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Tony Wilson
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Comments by "Tony Wilson" (@tonywilson4713) on "New Video shows how the Titan failed!" video.
Aerospace engineer here: You are 100% correct. I actually work in industrial control systems and automation which includes the safety systems. Anyone who's ever done maintenance knows that if you ignore the data you have failures. In the late 90s I had a boss who had race cars. I once asked one of the mechanics WHY the pulled the cars apart after going to the track. He told me they are looking for signs of things failing. They'd pull the entire gearbox out and dismantle it and crack test everything, because if a gearbox fails in a race car it costs so much and is potentially so dangerous that its not worth the risk AND RISK is really the major issue. One of the major issues in the world right now is we have an elite with extraordinary power and money who are willing to risk the entire planet because in their brains its acceptable and because these people are so sure of themselves that any other opinion does NOT MATTER. Just look at how people like Stockton Rush, Elon Musk and others respond to contrary opinions. Just this week a bunch of people walked out of OpenAI because they said Sam Altman has lost hos mind and wont listen to anyone.
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@Lucien86 You misunderstood my reference comparing Stockton Rush to Elon Musk. It has NOTHING to do with things like Falcon or Falcon Heavy. It has to do with Elon the PERSON not handling people who disagree with him for which there's a mountain of evidence. You don't have to lecture me on Falcon I actually defend that part of Space X. There's a contingent of people who just love to bash Space X along with Elon and they hate it when I correct them. Falcon has been a staggering success. YES it is NOT the mind blowing leap forward in rockets that Elon harps on about. In fact most of what it does was done long before Elon or Space X ever existed. I regard the Space Shuttle as a successful failure. It was successful in that they made it work. It was a catastrophic failure in that 2 crashed and its costs were nothing like that promised. What SpaceX has done is take a step back, a step sideways and a step forward. So its no giant advancement but it is something that has allowed NASA to get back to having its own system. Also Gwynne Shotwell gets a lot of flack and occasionally its warranted when she parrots Elon. The basic reality is that her and her team have built a reliable and reusable rocket. They have then got it man rated and successfully sent people into space. What the SpaceX detractors seem to ignore is that without Crew Dragon NASA and the Western Partners in the ISS are at the mercy of the Russians and the Russians were upping the price. Also the Elon detractors who bash SpaceX never hold Boeing to the same scrutiny and their system deserves to be panned. Boeing got a lot more money than SpaceX to develop a crew system. They took a lot longer and so far there system has being Boeing Reliable which is now a meme. So understand I am a huge fan of Gwynne Shotwell and her team and the Falcon program. Yes they took a lot longer to get up to Crew Dragon compared to what NASA did in the 60s but then they had staggering resources during the 60s. People forget just how many people they threw at the Apollo program. I think it was around 400,000 and they weren't just who you could find and recruit they were the best of the best that America had. On the other hand I can't stand Elon Musk and his BS. He does have 2 talents that he's seriously underestimated on. 1) He knows how to get non-technical people to respond to an idea. As in he can sell an idea to an audience like he has with Starlink which is just another "who really needs, other than the people selling it, technology." 2) He can also identify technical people who can get a task done which he's shown at SpaceX. On that in particular he's seriously misunderstood. BUT when he forgets to get the right people or he ignores them like he did at Neuralink, Hyperloop and a few other places it becomes a disaster.
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@crabbcake Can people like you WHO KNOW NOTHING just please stop making asinine comments. What do you even know about rocket engines other than they power rockets? 1st: What actual engine did Elon actually "create" that you think can be refueled on Mars? 2nd:Nobody has proven they can make rocket fuel on Mars, let alone refuel a rocket on Mars? In fact NOBODY had proven that we can even re-fuel a rocket in space. 3rd: What type of fuel are you even talking about because there's more than 1 kind of rocket fuel. About the only thing SpaceX did that was innovate was the switch to methane as the primary fuel. All SpaceX has really done is combine ideas and concepts and make them work. AND SO WE ARE CLEAR I think that's incredibly impressive because just taking all those technologies and combining them and making them work is incredibly hard. Just keep it in perspective.
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@Lucien86 And you are spot on 100% about AI. Its going to be the next great etch disaster. Its basically a solution to a problem that does not exist and might not ever exist. I've heard ChatGPT is losing $700million a month. When I checked I could not find that reference but I found claims it costs $700k per day to run. However I did find a report that said OpenAI expected to lose $5 Billion this year. Plus Altman is asking for $10 Billion form investors. So who knows what's really going on. One thing I can say is they have a massive issue with power requirements and energy is one of my pet subjects. There was a proposed server farm in one of the Carolinas (I think) where they needed 1Gigawatt of power. that's the same as an AP1000 nuclear reactor and they cost $17 Billion and 10 years just to build. The world already has an energy shortage and these clowns want the rest of us to pay for power stations so they can feed us their AI. They're utterly nuts.
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@eelcohoogendoorn8044 All good points.
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Aerospace engineer here: I've 30+ years working in industrial control & safety systems across a number of industries. I can state for a fact that MOST engineering standards, codes of practice, procedures and regulations are ALL WRITTEN IN BLOOD. (edit) Or should we say "*Written in somebody else's blood!*" There's basically an ongoing battle between engineers who want things to work properly and those wanting to take risks and in most cases take risks that other people will have to pay for if it goes bad. The actual truth is we are now dominated by an economic paradigm where unacceptable risk is now acceptable because as Milton Freidman said "Greed is good." Ask any engineer who wants to do things right and follow standards and they will tell you that 2 questions are fired back - "What's the business case for that?" and "Who's going to pay for that?"
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