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Tony Wilson
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Tony Wilson" (@tonywilson4713) on "Can AI Replace Those Retiring Boomers? || Peter Zeihan" video.
Engineer here - great observation and the answer is YES. I have a degree in aerospace but have spent over 30 years in industrial control systems, automation and robotics. Control systems are what engineers call the combination of computer (or circuit) and sensors that run things like factories, power stations, mine sites, water treatment plants,...... Its also in the same area of engineering to the technology that runs the engine in your car, the electronics in your washing machine, microwave, air conditioner and thousands of other things. Basically everything from the simplest thermostat in your house to the international Space Station. Its the least understood area of engineering even by other engineers and NONE OF IT REQUIRES AI. We already have algorithms that can self-tune a process to work better and have had them for decades. The entire AI productivity thing is just the latest piece of hype-tech from the IT industry and trust me EVERY Engineer worth more than a dime KNOWS 100% how FULL of SHlT the IT industry is. Yes there's a bunch of them who are insanely clever but MOST of them are overrated garbage people.
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@joefish4466 On the personal slander stakes GO F⋃CKYOUR SELF. I have actually written self tuning software for control algorithms and was first doing that work in the early 1990s. It was nothing worth the hype and plenty of other engineers did a lot more than I ever did. I was mostly on the final application side of getting stuff to work. There were 1,000s of engineers doing incredible work back in the 80s and 90s and its all been pushed aside for this overrated over-hyped garbage. I actually went to college at U. of Illinois where people like the founders of YouTube, Oracle & Tesla went. It was where Marc Andreessen the guy who helped create the first practical web browser went. I have known all about the IT brigade and their nonsense and vacant promises for a couple of decades. We were used as lab rats for the first (of what were then called) Expert Systems (and you know as AI) that the IT people back then claimed was going to design aircraft and all sorts of stuff. We knew almost straight way they were full of SHlT and would always be full of SHlT. But try telling a hype-merchant that they are selling hype.
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@oa5779 That's a great comment with great information and I wished more people would explain things like that. If you think about how people cost things. I'm an engineer and as part of projects we build costing models based around quantities, costs and options. Usually done in a spread sheet and we can quickly answer things about project changes. What your pointing out is something similar but in another environment where you have a pile of data and its needs to be fed to a model that calculates an answer. I know about enterprise software in the engineering space and sadly its been often over-hyped and badly deployed by people who didn't know what they were doing. I once saw a major mining company spend $600M deploying SAP and not do it well. About 7 years later I was on another mine site for the same company and using the SAP system was hopeless. So I expect it will be like any other software or calculation tool. If its DONE RIGHT it will be great and the companies who get it right will do well, but if its done wrong then the companies that get it wrong will fail and fail disastrously.
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