Comments by "G L" (@gelinrefira) on "Binkov's Battlegrounds" channel.

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  6. I doubt Japan will really want to fight a hot war with China when push comes to shove. A lot of these calculations made by US strategists hinges on everyone in west Pacific going against China at the behest of the US. I can assure everyone that no one in SE Asia wants a war with China. Phillipiness is just the dumb exception and they won't matter and even then I think they will balk. SK entire economy depends on China and Japan's economy is also heavily tied to China. Going to war with China will destroy all of them. While China will suffer, it won't collapse because it has the entire supply chain within its borders and now it has BRI that stretches across Eurasia and into Africa. Its supply chain won't be fatally threatened by the US and its vassals. In an all out war without nukes, China will win by attrition. The Chinese will be fighting for their homeland and the years of injustice, unfair treatment and humiliation they suffered at the hands of westerners will boil over if the US really attack China. Everyone can make that calculations and they did. Most of the war simulations done by the Pentagon showed even with Japan showing up, China will win at a great cost but they will win in a west Pacific war. You Americans think in the most childish, bloodthirsty and irresponsible ways because you have never gotten your mainland getting bombed to nothing before. So you think your invincibility allows your to do whatever you want and not suffer any consequences. This is not about freedom, or democracy, it is just Americans doing its "might makes right" BS.
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  7. The only side that is trying to provoke a war over Taiwan is the US. China already made it very clear where their red line is with the One China Policy, which even the US has agreed to respect on the surface. Yet the US is trying to disrupt the status quo by deliberately stepping on the red line trying to force a reaction out of China. It will be like China putting nuclear missiles on Cuba like back during the missile crisis knowing full well that is the US red line. If you do not respect other countries' security concerns and sovereignty, no amount of talk about freedom or liberty will give you any moral high ground. No one in the west Pacific wants war and everyone can see it is the US provoking one. Only westerners are arrogant and blind enough to believe that the US is trying to protect Taiwan. Yea, by deliberately forcing Taiwan into a dangerous situation knowing full well how China and the Chinese people feel about the island. It will be as though China goes to Hawaii and fund and provide weapons to separatist groups there, then claim that Hawaii is now a country and have the right to secede from the union. To the Chinese, and most of the world, that is exactly what the westerners are doing when they start to claim that Taiwan is a country. If you think China is going to be a pushover, you are going to be in for a nasty surprise. Moreover, China is governed by a highly rational, highly intelligent and disciplined corp of technocrats. If they are really as incompetent as you westerners love to delude yourselves with, then why worry about China? Because deep down you know China cannot be beaten down anymore. The Chinese government is far less likely to be move into making geopolitical mistakes than the US and the west which are more into ideological dogma and purity tests than actually governing their countries. The restrain they have shown, and yes it is restraint over pelosi's dumbass visit to Taiwan showed that level of discipline. They didn't start a war even when their own country has been invaded. On that alone, China only have to bide its time and continue to grow stronger and build alliances with countries put down and brutalized by the west. Within 10, 20 years China will find a way to reunify Taiwan peacefully. If war comes to the west Pacific, we will all know it will be caused by the US, and the whole of East Asia will turn against the US. Even Japan and South Korea will find itself in an extremely difficult position.
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