Comments by "No Fate But What We Make" (@SonoftheAllfather) on "I Was Right Again: Paul Manafort is Indicted by Mueller Probe" video.

Styx has never claimed to be completely objective. The majority of his content is subjective, but that doesn't mean it is "conjecture" i.e. based upon incomplete information. Styx makes predictions: he ends up being correct about the majority of his predictions.
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Derek Watson Based on anecdotes? You must be new here. Styx predicts political happenings at an unusual degree of accuracy. His reputation for this is well known. I am not alone in this sentiment. You might interpret his opinions as conjecture, but your critique is subjective in and of itself. When does something become analysis and not conjecture? It is the opinion of the viewer. As I said, he rarely claims objectivity. The vast majority of the claims he makes are opinions and speculation. If something he mentions or claims is an unquestionable fact, he routinely ensures his viewers that what he is saying is fact and not merely his opinion in that instance.
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Derek Watson You can be as condescending and disparaging as you like with me. The fact of the matter is that much of what Styx does is conjectural and speculative: two words that are essentially synonymous. Yet, I am not trying to draw a distinction between conjecture and speculation. I am trying to draw a distinction between analysis and conjecture. Conjecture is simply opinion based upon incomplete data. Analysis is more investigative and objective. Styx does not normally give objective analysis. His content is almost strictly subjective and speculative. Btw, the sanctimony required to say that your critique of another person's opinions are completely objective and unquestionably a fact...wow.
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@ Derek Watson: Not triggered at all. We're only arguing semantics. The difference between subjective opinion and conjecture lies in the eyes of the beholder, IMO. Conjecture just means the opinion in based upon incomplete data. But no one has all the facts and data, so deductive reasoning needs to be used in most political commentary. My basic point is that the difference between analysis and conjecture can be slight, and many times is a simple question of whether or not you personally believe a person is credible, well-researched and has viewed enough data to deduce a reasonable conclusion. Sorry if I was confusing or contradictory, but Styx is pretty much consistently subjective and/or conjectural in delivering his content, which is why I was surprised to see someone criticizing him for pretty much doing what he always does. I do think it's sanctimonious to say your critiques are completely objective i.e. lack any shred of opinion or personal bias in your interpretation of them. I think Styx does a pretty good job of conveying his opinions and not painting them as undeniable truths, although he is guilty of that sometimes as well.
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Yes, every opinion is subjective to some degree, including mine. A subjective viewpoint is based on personal opinions or biases. Objectivity is simply delivering facts without opinion. Conjecture is an opinion based upon incomplete data, i.e. guesswork, as you said. Styx makes predictions. He predicted Trump would win. You could label that conjecture, but it wasn't based upon completely incomplete information. It was based on deductive reasoning and logical assumptions, as well as other facts that led him to believe what he did. He ended up being right, as he is about many things he predicts. That is what the vast majority of political commentary is, and is what Styx does all the time, so I don't know why you decided to have a problem with it in this particular instance.
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