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duncan smith
NBC News
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Comments by "duncan smith" (@duncansmith7562) on "Steve Kornacki explains why Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are focused on Pennsylvania" video.
Trump is leading in all the swing states. the polling average is nonsense. it includes numbers from pollsters who consistently under count the Trump vote and have done for the last 8 years. AtlasIntel was the most accurate at the last election, and AtlasIntel has Trump as winning the swing states.
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@krissy-jw8kj AtlasIntel came closest, out of all of them, in 2020, so sorry the facts hurt, but Trump is leading. Harris has given up on AZ and GA, and her internal polling now tells her she is underwater in MI.
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@chrisgronskei5416 Rasmussen and AtlasIntel were the 2 most accurate polls in 2020, and both have Trump ahead in the Swing states today. If you want to take comfort in the fact that hideously inaccurate pollsters like CNN have it as a narrow Harris lead, fine, delude yourself, but remember all the polls had Hilary leading right up to election day.
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@krissy-jw8kj even left leaning Quinnipiac has Trump now leading in PA
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@chrisgronskei5416 check out what the polls said Biden would win by in WI in 2020 and then check out how much Biden actually won by. That gives you an idea of how much the Trump vote is under counted in polls
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If Trump is only up by 0.8% in AZ, why has Harris given up on campaigning there? She knows Trump will flip AZ and GA, so Harris is clinging on for dear life in the Rust Belt, but she'll lose all 3 states. WI, MI and PA will all revert to 2016 and go for Trump. If you want to make some money, go place a bet on Trump flipping VA too.
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