Comments by "" (@thomasherrin6798) on "Ukraine War Qu0026A Series: How Long Can This War Last? || Peter Zeihan" video.

@hobblesofkarth3943 The sanctions on their energy revenue has only "kicked in" since 2022, since then they have been hemorrhaging money from their sovereign wealth fund and that will run out this year, they can use the remaining FX reserves but they need to pay for imports, and although they have a relatively large amount of gold that is not enough in itself to keep the country afloat for long and keep paying for an expensive war!?!
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@ryanzucker8345 Russia's economy is not doing well, the sanctions to Russia's energy sector only kicked in in December 2022 and every month since then they have posted significant losses (These losses are compiled by Russia so may even be worse) and the money in their wealth fund will be gone this year, they can tap into their FX reserves but then will be limited by what they can pay for imports, their gold reserves are large by comparison but not for paying a countries bills, they do not have a large enough economy to wage a large scale war, had Mainland Europe not been dependant on Russian Energy then Russia would have been bankrupt already as energy sanctions could have been applied at the start of the war, the people who replace Putin will have the same mindset as Putin, but the economy will not be able to finance their expansionist ambitions!?!
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@Michael Peter originally said (Along with most analysts) that Russia would easily win the War, this has not happened. Ukraine priority is to boot Russia out with interest, so its ambitions are not with Ukraine. A united country in "peace time" can achieve wonders after war, especially if Russia gets the bill, including rebuilding its population quickly, it will not be an easy task and it could go awry, but I think it will broadly go well. Russia does not have the economy to sustain this war for years without it threatening Russia's collapse itself, that is the dilemma!?!
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The cost to Western Countries is less than 1% of the GDP average, some smaller countries pay a significantly higher rate however. If we do not provide defence to Ukraine, Russia has indicated it will continue with its expansionist plans, then not only will we be paying for a war, we will be dying in one, so providing Ukraine defence and financial aid is morally and economically sensible against the barbaric and genocidal Russians!?!
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Russia already lost the war on 100 days it's fighting for how much it is going to be humiliated by, the West can pull the plug on Ukraine but it is very unlikely to do so as it has invested so much in Ukraine's defence already!?!
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