Comments by "" (@thomasherrin6798) on "The End of China" video.
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The immediate problem is COVID, a solution exists, it has already been implemented in the West. It has not been implemented in China because they have chosen the lockdown route which Initially worked, but however, as the virus has become more transmissible it is not working now, due in part, to relaxing of lockdowns. The C.C.P. is not going to stop lockdowns unless a viable vaccine is in place as the problem goes up by a factor of 10, which they found out in Hong Kong. The C.C.P. has not indicated that it is ready to carry out vaccinations from the West on the elderly and vulnerable (At least two doses, maybe three, which will be a six to 12 month programme where lockdowns must remain in place). The third option is to continue with the lockdowns and deter protesters in their usual C.C.P. fashion by intimidation, beatings, imprisonment etc. which at present is still the preferred route. It has very little to do with the West, and the West will not change China's direction of travel, so a lot more pain for the citizens for at least three years or more, with the C.C.P. still in charge, things will have to get a lot worse for any major changes to be made!?!
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@Gizziiusa China to the West is a strange place, and it does things that no other country has done, and this could be that they are super efficient or extremely inefficient or a mixture of both. Their G.D.P. trajectory suggests efficiency, their debt pile of 300% of G.D.P. to achieve that G D.P. (and rising) suggests inefficiency, and that is the concern, their large surplus is swallowed up by underlying debt due to inefficiencies in the property market, non productive infrastructure investment and the like, it seems unlikely all will end well, and that's without COVID. COVID has had a negative effect on all the World economies, but China has kept it going for four years, to the end of 2023 being likely due to the second winter wave, where everyone else has taken two years, and China's death rate will still be equivalent to that of the Wider West and other countries!?!
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