Comments by "L.W. Paradis" (@l.w.paradis2108) on "Myocarditis data from Korea" video.
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@garthdryland First, these numbers are prelimiary -- I have read research papers with the opposite conclusion. Second, there is at least one glaring flaw in your reasoning: you are comparing known cases of COVID where young men were suspected of having myocarditis and tested for it (when we know that in young people, COVID can pass unnoticed), with reported cases following a vaccination. You know whether someone was vaccinated, and you know to watch for the side effect -- it was first reported two years ago. You may not know if a young person had COVID, because it is so often very mild. So that denominator in the COVID group could be much larger, and the myocarditis rate smaller, than you think it is. Then there is the problem that we don't always know who had COVID before being vaccinated. Vaccinating those people could turn out to have been unwise, especially if they are young and have robust immune responses.
But just parrot one study. Whenever I finish a post like this, I pause to wonder why I care.
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@stephenwilliams3213 I agree that that is the correct question. The problem is, to answer it, we would have to go back in history to find out the projected harm of swine flu at that time, versus its known harm, and we would also need to figure out the projected harm of COVID compared with its known harm. I hope you realize that currently, we do not have clean numbers on that. Second, there are lots of ways to deal with a novel drug that has serious, unexpected side effects. You put a black box warning on it, you limit use in those under 50, you stop requiring it for anyone. European countries have done all of those types of things, after being hysterical for a while as well. In France, it is illegal to ask a minor about their vaccination status. It's a misdemeanor. (As a practical result, no one is asking anyone.)
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