Comments by "Scott Franco" (@scottfranco1962) on "Who's Solving The DEVELOPER SHORTAGE Crisis?" video.
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Companies that have practices that you think need changes to solve programmer shortages, like hiring checklist programmers, unwilling to train, having age limits, etc, these companies aren't stupid. Thus I think it is reasonable to assume the "programmer shortage" is overblown. The Wall St. Journal has run some good articles on why the "open programmer positions" is a mostly fictional statistic, like positions advertised with no intention to fill, positions that were already assigned to a green card worker but required to advertise by the conditions of HB1 visas, and on and on. Any shortage should produce higher wages, and indeed, programmers are generally paid well. However the feeling with employers is that most software jobs can be divided up and given to new hires who are cheaper than one or two highly experienced programmers.
I have been in the industry for 40 years, and have lived through several "programmer shortage" waves. The biggest ones, like in the early 1990's, caused a wave of programmer graduates who mostly ended up taking jobs outside of the industry based on my own personal experience. I don't think this has really changed. Here in silicon valley I take Ubers and have many times found out that the driver was a programmer who could not find a job.
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