Comments by "Robert Morgan" (@RobertMorgan) on "Timcast"
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Remember GATTICA, where they went on the first date, Uma Thurmon's character snuck a hair from Vincent and went to a kiosk and had it INSTANTLY full genetically sequenced?
That is the dating future I see in our current biotech revolution. Your date goes to the bathroom, you surreptitiously swab a few skin cells off her glass, put the sample in the dongle that plug into your smartphone, and DING 10 seconds later here's their whole genetic makeup, yes they're a woman, OOO there's some major risk factors for this list, have no kids with this person, your kids will be f-ed up especially combined with YOUR dna...
We're there TODAY, it's just the cost and availability. I got the full scan from 23&me when I decided I wanted kids someday, and thank god I have 0.00% inheritable diseases, I'm not a carrier for anything horrific, so there's at least that
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That's because Dr Fauchi and the CDC were consultants on that movie. It's screenplay is adapted from the actual response plans, the plans we're seeing real-world today.
If you've ever taken any of the FEMA independent study courses to certify for a job or position, none of this is a surprise, it's all rigidly planned and refined over decades.
WHILE YOU'RE LOCKED INDOORS, now is a perfect time to take some of those FEMA classes, it's free insider knowledge real estate. Start with the Incident Command System (ICS) as it's the base level you need to know, then work up to the NIMS (National incident management system) and finally to the top dog big daddy that ties it all together from the top down, the NRF, The National Response Framework.
Hell, they even have classes on how to run a distribution center under martial law, lots to learn.
https://training.fema.gov/nims/
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But that's the whole problem as I see it, you're not sitting at home. You're sitting at work, where you now LIVE. The whole point of working, to me, is to not have to work anymore at some point lol. You're giving your home time to your employer and then working MORE? I like the compartmentalization of being able to leave work.
ALSO, I hire engineers, it's on site or nothing. I'm not paying you MORE than I make at work for you to call me or zoom, no, you're billing triple-digits an hour you're driving here.
I stopped hiring an engineer I liked because of his billing practices. Phone call, $2000. Site visit, $2000. Email consult, $2000. He flat-feed everything, even when I or others did the work, that PE stamp is just a money press. Now he gets 100% of zero of our business.
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But here's the issue there, if you don't have all that travel overhead, you should get a reverse-premium on your pay. It's cheaper for you to work, you need less pay. Simple. Prorate remote wages to account for the lack of travel expenses. Those who choose to work in office get a premium/differential. Similar to shift work, third shift in a factory often gets a few more $ an hour as incentive/compensation for working overnights.
Call it pay equity if you want.
The other issue I see with remote work is the global aspect of it. If YOU can do the job by remote for $50k/year, then maybe someone in the third world with a Starlink dish can do your exact job for $10k, so I hire 4 of them, get 400% more productivity and pocket that extra $10k a year.
Teachers did this, oh look during covid we made remote learning work SO WELL, so now I'm asking why do we need these millions of local in person teachers? Fire them, keep the very best ones, pay them twice as much to remote teach all US students nationwide at a high standard, cut local school district taxes by billions a year.
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The reverse of that is what took down Enron and the us economy by extension, mark to market accounting, where you get to have an idea, project it's potential profit, then just say that profit exists, so now we have the money on our balance sheet.
Hey, I have an idea, wow, this could make us 10 billion over 10 years....cool, now we have $10 billion dollars in revenue we can use as collateral for borrowing actual cash, repeat!
You can't pay people expected money lol. It's too abusable. That stock you own, WE think it's going to quadruple next year, so you now owe 400% more taxes on that
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The way we beat the virus is to get the economy going again! With this many people not working, with businesses suffering losses like this, state and local governments are TAX REVENUE FUCKED. Because their revenues are thusly fucked, their ability to fund things like healthcare, hospitals, clinics, nursing homes, all that will be severely diminished.
Along with strain on funding for things like fixing roads, keeping the drinking water flowing, treating sewage, all that stuff no one thinks about.
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@justhecuke True, but in my case I'm maxed out, I'm a department head, I'm a director, I've been at my employer literally years longer than even my supervisors (because they're politically elected office). I don't need to build relationships, THEY have to do that with ME. My direct reports are loyal to me. They'll even tell me, just because you work for the mayor doesn't mean I work for him, YOU are my boss, he's your boss, we do what YOU tell us.
You know how you get that kind of loyalty? By absolutely never asking for it and trying to avoid it at all costs. It's a strange thing I've seen countless times in my own life, people for the most part stack up in line behind a reluctant leader, and betray those who WANT to be leaders. If you jump out in front to lead, people won't follow...if you step up when you don't want to, people see that and respect it. The more you want it the less you'll get it.
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My biggest criticism of wfh is if you work from home you now live at work. You're on 24x7x365 because you're there.
It's awesome being able to clock out at the end of the day, hop on my motorcycle, turn my phone off, and boom, work no longer exists to me, until it does again.
Think about it like heroin, if you have your drug dealer's stash in the other room in your home office, it's ok if we do a little, right? Its just one more thing I need to work on, just one more email to send, I know it's 2am but just real quick....
At least that's me, if I could work from home I'd obsessively work all the time because it would be so convenient. I'd never get any life done.
Working in a physical location, which requires millions in massive machinery to do so it can't be done from home (would actually be illegal under state law to do from home) gives me that Compartmentalization I need to not be a workaholic.
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Notice NO recommendation has ever said it stops the spread, everything is to SLOW the inevitable spread.
Masks, handwashing, 6ft distance, not touching face, they are all stated to SLOW the spread, no talk of stopping it.
We WILL all get it, the sole purpose of the precautions we're taking is so everyone doesn't get it at the same time, to distribute the ill over a longer timeline.
And yes, it IS similar to AIDS. You have non-stop unprotected sex, you will contract disease, but if you take measures to stop the spread through the population through your own actions, such as monogamy, abstinence, and condoms, it will slow or even stop the spread starting with you.
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That's great for jobs that you can do that, but it begs the question if it's that easy is it actually something useful, or just paper shuffling? Does an actual product get made?
It almost makes us start to have to differentiate between remote jobs, and 'Real' jobs.
You can't replace a water main by remote. I can't produce drinking water from home. We're approaching a point where we're just not going to have first world infrastructure that enables you to even work from home, because no one will be there to run it or build it.
Best of luck remote WFH-ing with no mains power ever, and no water service, no sewage collection. These skills take YEARS in the job to even be allowed by the state to take the test to hold the license you need to do the job, by law. I came into my current job operating a water plant with a masters degree, and the state says that's cool, now you need 5 years working in this plant as an apprentice THEN you're qualified to take the giant test to get the license to do your job, there is no shortcut there. 5 years regardless of other education is the bare minimum, and it has to be IN PERSON, and it has to be on the clock, they went back and audited my timesheets for 6 years to make sure I worked at least 2080 hours a year, every year, before they'd issue my license.
Now, it makes sense when you realize I make one mistake in my job and 10,000 people could die.
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