Comments by "Sababugs112" (@sababugs1125) on "Georgia: Russia’s Unsuspected Allied?" video.
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@MyNameIsJ3ffrey as per oryx 450 tanks lost and considering they include damaged tanks which can be repaired , more of them are active than not
2)well we've got confirmed low base 1700 tanks for Russia lost too . Yes some of them here are also listed as damaged but considering the fact Ukraine started the war with 1000 tanks have gotten 300ish more , they cannot be losing the vehicles at a higher rate . Also Ukraine is mostly on the defensive, this gives them several advantages
3)we have mostly accurate data. Just because it's not pro russian data , doesn't mean it's inaccurate the data we have correctly lines up with the events which have happened. Toll on Ukrainian has been heavy but not as heavy as some make it .
William oam, interviewed on guy who we only know as soldier X , his story wasn't the most bulletproof, even if real , this is circumstancial and anecdotal evidence. Interviews with others like Civ Div paint a different picture , the weight of evidence here isn't strong .
I think what's happening here is oversimplification. People like to watch a 2 minute news segment instead of 5 hour analysis of the subject. Russia isn't going to run out of all the missiles , but it hasn't switched to shahed drones and s-300 ground mode strikes for no reason. In the same sence Russia isn't going to run out of artillery shells but it didn't reduce its fire rate from 60k to 15k for no reason .
If you look at the data 1 to 5 is a stretch, this is artificially only selecting the worst occasions such as severodonetsk and then applying the thing to the whole front . I can do the same thing with bilohorivka and Russia should be at 30k vehicles lost by now .
Artillery is the biggest killer is a broad claim it could be responsible for 11% of all kills and everything else could be 9.8% . An advantage in fire rate doesn't mean more targets hit . Look at mariinka, avdiivka , Bakhmut, etc . The pictures don't scream precision strike. A makiivka style strike will kill far more than a hundred indiscriminate artillery barrages like the ones at vuhledar . All that artillery and the attacking force still got torn apart . Also Russians are the attacking force , Ukrainians aren't sitting in an open field , they have trenches , dugouts , foxholes , camouflaged positions , it's the Russians who have to in the end go forward to take this places . You can flatten an entire city but unless you manage to hit basically directly in the trench doesn't really matter that much
War is complex , it's factors don't live in a vacuum and you cannot reason about them in a vacuum either
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