Youtube comments of Joao Costa (@JoaoCosta-pn9im).
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Game Theory talks about empty threats, those that carry no credibility, no matter how crazy the gambler is. Threatening to use nuclear weapon against an enemy equally powerful and ready to retaliate at the first shoot, is indeed an empty one.
It seems that somebody needs to remind Putin what “deterrence” and “mutual-annihilation”, key words during the cold war, mean.
Someone needs to also tell Putin that while he may have many possible targets to distribute his bombs in several continents, the West has only very few targets to focus on: he himself and his bombs, wherever they might be.
Once the first shot is fired, there will be no safe place where he can hide, unless he is already prepared to go to Mars and live there with his friends, the Martians, or the Moon and live with its inhabitants, the Lunatics.
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Ядро власти Путина крошечное. В его состав может входить от 3 до 5 человек. Начальники его личной охраны, глава ФСБ, глава секретной службы армии и, возможно, парочка легко узнаваемых крутых парней. Это центр, который принимает решение. Второй слой, в который входят Медведев, Шойгу и другие, более многочисленный, но бессильный за пределами своего строгого бизнеса, где Путин устанавливает цели и методы. Ниже этого, третий слой состоит из технократов, которые не слишком близки к методам власти Путина, но готовы выполнять свою работу за хорошую зарплату. Если не считать хардкорщиков, ни у кого нет реальной власти, и никто не любит Путина. Те, кто на втором и третьем уровнях, — оппортунисты, набивающие свои карманы, как могут. Они легко поменяют пристрастие, когда придет время. Но они также знают, что у тех, кто занимается хардкором, есть файлы на всех из них, и они могут в мгновение ока отправить их в тюрьму или еще хуже. Авторитарный режим быстрее скатывается к тоталитарной автократии. Путин может доверять только хардкорам, чьи парни все полностью осведомлены и готовы продолжать совершать преступления и грабить государство бесконечно долго, поддерживая Путина у власти в режиме, почти основанном на терроре. Эта конструкция хрупкая и рухнет. У Сталина было то же самое. Но у Сталина была сильная коммунистическая идеология, и он мог позволить себе убить своих ближайших союзников, таких как Берия. У Путина нет идеологической базы, потому что он вор и все это знают. Идеология «Zизма» — это глупая пропагандистская попытка создать что-то вроде идеологического клея, но российским обществом движут удобства и сохранение статус-кво; они хорошо знают, что власть имущие крадут богатства страны, но предпочитают избегать неприятностей с полицией. Они знают, что Zизм — это всего лишь маска. Самоуспокоенность и страх заставляют россиян молчать, наблюдая, как их родственники гибнут на войне, а Путин убивает своих оппонентов. Это не может продолжаться бесконечно.
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@araara4746 Look, people have all sorts of limited, shortsighted, silly or plainly stupid point of view. Everyone is entitled to whatever they can make. For me, someone who says that survived the misery thanks to the help of those who caused the misery in the first place, is really limited in his/her capacity to understand the whole context. No, I maintain that is a discussion among a small group of neighbours and family members. As I have a big family, it des not sound strange for me that different options coexist, despite the intensity of the emotional argumentation. The citizens of the liberated areas have to understand the bigger picture. They have the opportunity to live in a democratic regime that will get closer and closer to the highest principles of rule of law in our civilisation. On the other side, they have kleptocrats stealing the people and all the wealth of the country, disrespecting all in their rights to live, speak and express their opinion freely. I myself, would not have any doubt, if I had to choose what side of this divide I wanted to be. I consider myself very fortunate in this regard.
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Number 1 principle to negotiate with Putin - do not trust him.
N 2 Russian troops must go back to where they were before the War.
And then, more serious conversations can start.
Meanwhile, remember Ho Chi Min strategy lessons for fighting a powerful enemy with guerrilla and partisan tactics:
1) The enemy advances, you retrocede;
2) The enemy stops for regrouping and resupply, you torment them from all sides
3) The enemy retrocedes, you carry on tormenting them all the way until they are finished or go back from where they came
So, while negotiations are on going, do not leave a chance for the Russian troops to rest, regroup, resupply or even breath. They are convinced the talkings will led to peace agreement and they will go home. They will be even less willing to fight then they have been so far.
Putin is just buying time to bring in fresh meat to be slaughtered and replace some of the equipment they have lost.
Putin would never come to a negotiation, if was not for feeling the disaster so far and for buying time to be able to continue.
He cannot be trusted, and Russian economy needs to go further down for him to feel the rope is getting tighter and tighter around his neck.
🇺🇦
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Totally agree! The tactics of bombing cities and civilians is evidence of failure. Cities and civilians are not military targets. The Russians can hardly find military targets while, in contrast, the Ukrainians can easily find Russian military to attack everywhere and treat them accordingly, legitimate targets. The contrast is brutal: a very powerful army hopelessly attacking illegitimate and ineffective civilian targets, while its opponents are very effective in destroying the forces and the morale of the invaders. Besides that, the destruction of the cities is highly counterproductive; it only increases the shame of the Russian population and soldiers, and increases the resolve and determination of the Ukrainians to fight an enemy that is making itself very evident as such, a brutal enemy that has to be destroyed. If any Ukrainian had doubts about living their lives under a Putin dominated puppet government, now they have no doubt whatsoever; they are united to defeat that ridiculous murderous monster, coming out of the intestines of Empires long gone, including the Soviet one. ✊🇺🇦
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Excellent, you covered well the key issues. Congratulations! I only add that for the Communist Party in China it is not possible to get out of the talking shop about Taiwan; they cannot afford to be seen as giving up that goal nor seen taking decisive military step to conquer the island. In a way, the Party is a hostage of its own narrative; a dilema it will not solve the years to come. The mood will go up and down and the media and the West’s rhetoric will also be going up and down, from more to less confrontational. We will see that going on for decades, as much as we saw the Soviet Union during the Cold War for decades. In the end, the danger will be to see the communist party collapse, as in Russia, and a delinquent come to power, as Putin, and try a high stake gamble which he is bound to lose soon. For the West, the real danger is not China as it is now. It is what will come next, after the Communist Party.
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The analysis has to consider whether Japan is increasing purchase of bonds of other countries and increasing the holding of reserves in other currencies. This would reveal a move away (slow but steady) from US bonds into other reserves. Second, if Japan has trade surplus, as an economy with very strong exports, the excess of US dollars coming into the country needs to be set aside in reserves to prevent inflation raise; buying US bonds is attractive for that purpose, but relying too much on US bonds is risky, as the current chaotic administration is demonstrating. So, my guess is: Japan is moving to other types of reserves. Furthermore, China imports and exports trade with Japan is bigger (imports) and almost as bigger than with the US. The US tariffs non sense can bring Japan and China closer than ever before, opting for trading in their own currencies and away from USD. Other Asian countries are becoming more and more attracted to the idea of trading between themselves in their currencies, avoiding the USD. USD will lose value and American bonds yields will go considerably higher, making the financing of US debt considerably more expensive.
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Orban swallows all the humiliation of being unmasked at the eyes of the large European, including Hungarian, public for two reasons: the money he gets or expect to get from Europe, and the approval of Putin, who wants him inside Europe to cause disruption and contribute to weakening European consensus. Putin would not see any value in him outside the EU. So, he acts as a foreign agente interested in undermining the European Union. If he did not have such intentions, by acknowledging the disruption his presence is causing, he would voluntarily give up and withdraw, for the good of Europe. But he does not have such moral standard, so he carries on, disrupting and being repeatedly demoralized and humiliated. Shameless of a man, letting everyone see his low morality.
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Rene Duba analysis is questionable. Basically any government anywhere face those kind of dilemmas. In the case of West, the initial hesitation was just hesitation, not strategic steps. At the current stage of the conflict what is happening in the US is the despicable majority of the GOP in the House of Representatives. Trump has total control over them. As Trump is stupid as a door on matters of geopolitical strategy, he uses the GOP for his envious egoistic infantile purpose of making Biden’s life as difficult as possible. That little doll, the Speaker of the House, has been instrumental do follow Trumps repulsive ambitions. The GOP under MAGA Trump domain put that little thing in the position of Speaker, a role he simply do not have the understanding of the global historical responsibility of US. He isn’t by any mean up to the relevance of the historical moment we are in. Narrow minded silly guys are being able to prevent US to fulfill its historical mission. This is unbelievable. Europe knows it has to get ready, sustaining the free world without the US, in case Trump does not go to jail and manage to win the election. The US will go down in an extensive internal turmoil if that happens. So, we Europeans, need to take care of ourselves and make Ukraine win.
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“Hybrid warfare” is an elegant name to something that basically consists of hooliganism, delinquency, banditry and recklessness. Putin, in his stupid mind, jointly with his equally stupid gang, believed they could get away with any dodgy deeds, as if Russia would become stronger and more powerful in the world by working in the shadows, away for the eyes of the law. In a larger scale, he and his band did what all gangsters and mafiosi have always done. But a country cannot find its stand in the world and be respected by disrespecting all sorts of legality, decency and correctness. A country run by bandits cannot convince the whole world they are doing the right things and deserve respect. No, everyone sees the country is a castle of lies about to collapse, later or sooner. No one can trust it. Without trust, the country is doomed.
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Let’s say, the very much wished outcome becomes reality, meaning Putin is removed from the face of Earth, then there will be a whole in the Russian power system that needs to be filled up quickly. That may happen through smart quick moves of key oligarchs in alliance with some guys in the Security apparatus (FSB and others), but, in the other extreme, through a civil war or something close to that. The possibility of a God’s given visionary, willing to educate Russian people on the values of democracy, something they have never really experimented before, is rather extremely optimistic. Let’s see. Anyway, after the debacle of Putin’s adventures, anything that will come will be less based in stupid fascist last century nationalisms.
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Just hearing he using the term “witch hunt”, a term that shows his profoundly distorted view and ignorance of what “witch hunt” actually means in US and World history, I feel like puking 🤮. First, he is not a witch, second, nobody is hunting him as if he was one, third, he is not being hunted for anything, he is being prosecuted by the Justice system of the United States of America for frauds he has been accused of perpetrating. If he is not guilt, he will be acquitted. If he is guilt, he himself will wish to be a witch and perform some magic trick to protect him from the heavy penalties he will face. Let’s see. No donald, you are not a witch and no one is hunting you as such. Stop saying those silly words.
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Это послание движения «Граждане мира» Путину. Это ответ на его речь на этой неделе.
Путин, знайте, что, когда вы угрожаете применить ядерное оружие, вы проявляете неуважение и оскорбляете всех нас, граждан мира.
Подобные угрозы в высшей степени непристойны. Мы сравниваем это с самой отвратительной и отвратительной порнографией.
Это богохульство, оскорбляющее самое святое в этом Мире, нашу жизнь на этой планете и жизни всех существ, которых мы любим и лелеем.
Вы не имеете никакого права делать такие угрозы. Вы уже пересекли границу, которую никогда не должны были пересекать. Теперь вы должны отступить и исчезнуть из общественной жизни.
Вы безумны, если думаете, что вы и русская культура переживете Армагеддон. Вы не будете.
Вы оказались неспособны помешать простым дронам уничтожить ваши нефтеперерабатывающие заводы и другие активы. У вас не будет средств, чтобы остановить приближающиеся к вам баллистические ракеты и все другие виды оружия с ядерными боеголовками. Нет, вы не сможете защитить себя.
Думаешь, ты будешь в безопасности в своем бункере с любовниками и бандой, пока вся Россия будет гореть? Ешь икру, пьешь водку и думаешь, что ты в безопасности? Нет вы не будете. Не ошибитесь. Сами россияне не простят вам того, что вы сделали. Они сами вас повесят при первой же возможности за все страдания, которые вы им навлекли.
Я говорю о русских людях, но Армагеддон не пощадит никого. Победителей не будет. Так что будьте уверены, если нажать на низ, в вашу сторону одновременно полетит столько же ракет с ядерными боеголовками. Никому не будет места, где можно спрятаться от чудовищной катастрофы, грядущей на их пути.
Вы видите сцену? Это то, что вы обещаете русскому народу? Это то, что они видят, и все мы тоже видим в ваших угрозах. Только глупцы не видят, что вы грозите принести Миру и своему народу.
Нет, на самом деле русский народ – это не «свой народ». Никто не владеет русским народом, поэтому никто не имеет права распоряжаться им по своему усмотрению и нести ему разрушение. То же самое справедливо для всех глав государств и их сограждан в своих странах, Граждан Мира.
Граждане мира
«Граждане мира» — это не организация; У него нет штаб-квартиры; он не занимается сбором средств; это не НПО и не правительственное учреждение; он не выдает членства; оно не исключает ни одного из Граждан Мира. Это движение, единственной мотивацией которого является борьба за мир во всем мире и безопасность планеты.
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Biden should have added: assassin, thief, kleptocrat, scoundrel, vile, criminal, mafiosi, bandit, liar, corrupt, and so on…
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Number 1 principle to negotiate with Putin - do not trust him.
N 2 Russian troops must go back to where they were before the War.
And then, more serious conversations can start.
Meanwhile, remember Ho Chi Min strategy lessons for fighting a powerful enemy with guerrilla and partisan tactics:
1) The enemy advances, you retrocede;
2) The enemy stops for regrouping and resupply, you torment them from all sides
3) The enemy retrocedes, you carry on tormenting them all the way until they are finished or go back from where they came
So, while negotiations are on going, do not leave a chance for the Russian troops to rest, regroup, resupply or even breath. They are convinced the talkings will led to peace agreement and they will go home. They will be even less willing to fight then they have been so far.
Putin is just buying time to bring in fresh meat to be slaughtered and replace some of the equipment they have lost.
Putin would never come to a negotiation, if was not for feeling the disaster so far and for buying time to be able to continue.
He cannot be trusted, and Russian economy needs to go further down for him to feel the rope is getting tighter and tighter around his neck.
🇺🇦
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@operator9858 look, a few points: 1) I am talking about supplies for Russian forces in Crimea. Although some supplies for the Russian troops occupying Southern Ukraine still goes through Crimea; 2) if Crimea becomes isolated from supplies, the Russian army in Southern Ukraine will be in very weak position as supplies coming from Dombas region will be easily disrupted. The Sorovik lines have being effective in preventing Ukraine advances towards the Anzov sea, but once Crimea militarily becomes a dead zone (without airports, fuel supplies, drone operators, long range artillery and air defenses), there will not be enough support anymore for Russian troops in Southern Ukraine (South of Dnieper River). 3) in the Political front, there is an infighting going on between the FSB and the Army. The FSB has been cutting the heads of high ranking generals and officers. This is a purge in slow motion. But the Army is getting restless seeing the generals one by one being arrested. This can become explosive. Putin and FSB are playing a tough high risk gamble. A political collapse can happen if a rebellion starts, or if the removal of Army leadership weakens the command structure so much the army becomes ineffective to face a major defeat such as the neutralization of Crimea. All officers know Putin and the top FSB/KGB have been stealing huge amounts of country’s wealth. Army officers are also corrupt, but they do not get much. There is a deep sense of lack of moral and principles. The propaganda only apparently succeed in brainwashing people. But the masks are falling.
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Trump is the useful idiot of a bunch of very rich guys, fascists and racists to their core, who have been financing the GOP and the disruptive extremists under MAGA umbrella. This guys do not show their faces, some names are known but they hardly do any interviews, not even to the press outlets they fund. Murdoch is one of the few very ugly faces everyone recognize. These guys meet, conspire and strategize. But none of them can actually show the face in open political debates. So, they see Trump as a manageable egomaniac, stupid enough to not see what actually is taking place, and deluded enough to believe in his own countless lies. These guys are looking for a replacement, because Trump, in a way or another, given his mental and physical decline, is a sinking ship. These guys know they cannot move away from Trump now, because no one could occupy the vacuum. So, Vance is someone’s bet, but he is still immature and operating in the sycophant mood. Elon Musk, for his political ignorance, seems to be a good bet for occupying the useful idiot post. But Elon’s vanity and eagerness to set into the lane lights does not inspire trust. Shows volatility and looseness. His immigrant status also disqualifies him. So, once Trump is defeated and in his way to jail, these guys will be desperate to find the replacement, the one irresponsible and reckless enough to carry the fascist flag forward.
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Sorry for this long comment. Let’s reflect. After WWII the communist block had a world-vision in which communist dictatorship of the proletariat was the most advanced society and had to dominate by defeating the capitalist-liberal-democracy, which also claimed to be the model for the whole world. Two strong ideologies trying to dominate the world. Without being defeated, communism lost due to its own weaknesses.
The post-USSR world found two types of cleavages 1) separating religious fundamentalism from 2) secular polities; and cleavages between 3) kleptocrat dictatorships and 4) societies based on the rule-of-law. Of these four sometimes overlapping blocks, dictatorial kleptocracies are the weakest ones, for lacking ideological consistency, coherence and convincing arguments. These, like Russia, are the government of thieves, by the thieves for the benefit of the thieves. No matter their propaganda, they do not convince anyone but the naive. Kleptocrats cannot claim to have a world view according to which all societies must be organized. They do not have ideology; they just want to dominate and steal. The blocks of non-liberal secular societies, believe they do good business by keeping their people disciplined; China is here. They do not have a world domination project. In contrast, the religious fundamentalist want to spread their views, but are not strong enough to claim world domination. Liberal democracies no longer plan to impose their world view by force, they believe everyone will sooner or later see that is the best system. So, the sources of conflict on a global scale are only visible at the kleptocratic projects, because they only believe in power, oppression and domination; because that is the only way they can go on stealing the wealth of their countries. In this sense, China is not the main risk. China has not be involved in any military adventure for more than half a century. China wants to do business as opposed to Russia, that wants to invade other countries and steal land and resources by force. Kleptocrats know they cannot justify what they do, so they need to use force. There is where the risk is.
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I don’t agree that the West and Ukrainians are in the back foot. Of course Putin is already setting up the whole scheme to win the fake election. He cannot survive outside power in any fashion. At the moment he loses power, he loses his life. Metaphorically, he made his pact with the devil and has no way out of it; he can only carry on stealing power the way he can do so, and having more hundreds of thousands Russians dying in Ukraine. He has no other solution and the Western leaders and politicians know that very well; as much as he does. So, he is poised to keeping playing the “Russian roulette” to the last bullet, perhaps hoping that Trump will save him, and take the bullet on his behalf. But this will not happen because Trump will be behind bars. Such irony that the Russian dictator is putting all his hope on the election of a corrupt in the US; again, as in the WWII, Russia powerful man praying for American “land lease” to save them … what irony! but this time the “land lease” will be wearing an orange uniform in an American jail.
It is seriously necessary to emphasize again and again that Putin is lost, no matter the fake appearance of successful statesmanship he puts up in his international trips and internal propaganda. All falsehoods. Russian population must be informed that he will make their lives even more miserable than they already are, with hundreds of thousands of Russian families, millions in fact, paying a very heavy price for his corrupt ambitions, with their men dead, crippled or crazy for life or far away in another country. This is a huge disaster and no dictator can survive that.
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I am not convinced the Admiral is right about Putin being just a façade and shady guys, pulling the strings behind Putin, are the ones in Power. A dictator does not survive longer with such arrangement, in which someone else is calling the shots. That simply does not work. Shoygu and Garisimov (sorry if a misspelled the names) are too weak to be part of such team; they are only in their post because Putin knows they are his puddles, otherwise with the dismal results of their strategies, they would have already gone out of the window or forgotten on the sidelines. Secondly, mafia does not like to be entangled into politics of running government business. Putin’s regime is “mafia-like” but not actual mafia. The real mafias think politics is not good for business. They only want to support with money some politicians who facilitate for them to carry on with their business. Third, with FSB free to do as it pleases, throwing whoever they want out of windows and exploding civil airplanes in midair, they do not need mafias to do their dirt business; they do it themselves. Mafias always run the risk to bump into regular police and create a big mess; FSB does not have such problem. FSB is Putin’s operational arm, serving him and keeping him in power by frightening anyone who may think about challenging him. That is the arrangement of the regime and also its main weakness. Putin’s pseudo popularity can change overnight, if someone turns the switches of the official propaganda in other direction. But for that, Putin may need to be already dead or in his way to that. Yes, there are shady guys, but they are at the FSB and are known by the West information agencies; but they are not calling the shots, although surely have influences on Putin’s mind. So, political science is different from military science, I think.
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Ядро власти Путина крошечное. В его состав может входить от 3 до 5 человек. Начальники его личной охраны, глава ФСБ, глава секретной службы армии и, возможно, парочка легко узнаваемых крутых парней. Это центр, который принимает решение. Второй слой, в который входят Медведев, Шойгу и другие, более многочисленный, но бессильный за пределами своего строгого бизнеса, где Путин устанавливает цели и методы. Ниже этого, третий слой состоит из технократов, которые не слишком близки к методам власти Путина, но готовы выполнять свою работу за хорошую зарплату. Если не считать хардкорщиков, ни у кого нет реальной власти, и никто не любит Путина. Те, кто на втором и третьем уровнях, — оппортунисты, набивающие свои карманы, как могут. Они легко поменяют пристрастие, когда придет время. Но они также знают, что у тех, кто занимается хардкором, есть файлы на всех из них, и они могут в мгновение ока отправить их в тюрьму или еще хуже. Авторитарный режим быстрее скатывается к тоталитарной автократии. Путин может доверять только хардкорам, чьи парни все полностью осведомлены и готовы продолжать совершать преступления и грабить государство бесконечно долго, поддерживая Путина у власти в режиме, почти основанном на терроре. Эта конструкция хрупкая и рухнет. У Сталина было то же самое. Но у Сталина была сильная коммунистическая идеология, и он мог позволить себе убить своих ближайших союзников, таких как Берия. У Путина нет идеологической базы, потому что он вор и все это знают. Идеология «Zизма» — это глупая пропагандистская попытка создать что-то вроде идеологического клея, но российским обществом движут удобства и сохранение статус-кво; они хорошо знают, что власть имущие крадут богатства страны, но предпочитают избегать неприятностей с полицией. Они знают, что Zизм — это всего лишь маска. Самоуспокоенность и страх заставляют россиян молчать, наблюдая, как их родственники гибнут на войне, а Путин убивает своих оппонентов. Это не может продолжаться бесконечно.
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The nucleus of Putin’s power is tiny. It may consist of 3 to 5 men. The chiefs of his personal guard, the head of FSB, the head of secret service of the Army and maybe a couple of easily identifiable hardcore guys. This is the centre that makes the decision. The second layer, with Medvedev, Shoygu, and others, are more numerous but powerless beyond their strict business where Putin is the one setting the targets and methods. Below that, the third layer is comprised of technocrats with not much affinities with Putin’s power methods but willing to do the jobs for good salaries. Apart from the hardcore, no one has real power and no one likes Putin. Those at the second and third levels are opportunists filling up their pockets as they can. They will easily change allegiances when the time comes. But they also know that those at the hardcore have files on all of them and can have them in jail or worse in a blink of an eye. The authoritarian regime is sliding faster into a totalitarian autocracy. Putin can only trust the hardcore, whose guys are all fully aware and committed to carry on perpetrating crimes and stealing the state indefinitely, sustaining Putin in power in an almost terror based regime. This structure is fragile and will collapse. Stalin had the same thing. But Stalin had the strong communist ideology and could afford to kill his closest allies such as Beria. Putin does not have ideological base because he is a thief and everyone knows that. The “Zism” ideology is a stupid propaganda attempt to creat something like an ideological glue, but the Russian society is driven by conveniences and preservation of status quo; they know well those in power steal the wealth of the country, but prefer to keep out of troubles with the police. They know Zism is only a mask. Complacency and fear keep the Russians quiet watching their relatives being killed in the war and Putin killing his opponents. This cannot last indefinitely.
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This is a message from the movement Citizens of the World to Putin. This is an answer to his speech this week.
Putin, be aware that when you make threats of using nuclear weapons you are disrespecting and insulting all of us, Citizens of the World.
Such threats are obscene to the extreme. We compare it with the most abject and revolting pornography.
It is a blasphemy offending what is the most sacred in this World, our life in this planet and the lives of all beings we love and cherish.
You do not have any right to make such threats. You already crossed the boundary you should have never crossed. Now you must retreat and disappear from public life.
You are insane to think that you and the Russian culture will survive Armageddon. You will not.
You have been incapable to stop simple drones from destroying your refineries and other assets. You will not have the means to stop ballistic missiles and all the other sorts of weapons with nuclear warheads coming in your direction. No, you will not be able to defend yourself.
Do you think you will be safe in your bunker with you lovers and gang while all of Russia is burning? Eating caviar, drinking vodka and thinking that you are safe? No, you will not. Make no mistake. The Russians themselves will not forgive you for what you have done. They themselves will hang you at the first opportunity, for all the misery you brought upon them.
I speak about Russian people but Armageddon will spare no one. There will be no winners. So, be assured, if you press the bottom, there will be as many missiles with nuclear warheads flying in your direction at the same time. No one will have a place to hide from the monstrous disaster coming on their way.
Do you see the scene? Is this what you promise to the Russian people? This is what they see and all of us also see in your threats. Only the stupid ones do not see what you are threatening to bring to the World and to your own people.
No, in fact the Russian people is not “your own people”. Nobody owns the Russian people, so no one has the right to dispose of them at will and bring destruction upon them. The same is valid for all heads of states and their co-citizens in their countries, the Citizens of the World.
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Well, he did not answer the question what is life. He listed some attributes and aspects that may guide one who wants to identify whether something is alive or not. But his question belongs to the set of questions that science does not bother to answer, because they are not answerable in the realm of science anyway. Still, science goes on with its business without trying to answer such fundamental questions. Another example, what is space? Physics does not care about answering it, but do a lot of work with it. The recognition that some questions cannot be scientifically answered is not a failure.
As we land in other places in the cosmos, we use identifiers of life to try to recognize whether there is any form of life, with the attributes we know. So, we look for some sort of “unit” that may distinguish itself from its surroundings, and show some sort of functions we may recognize as “taking something from the environment” for its own apparent “needs”. We will expect those needs are related to preservation, growth and reproduction, in whatever fashion it may come about. Those will be the basics: unit, distinction from environment, absorption of something from the environment for preservation as unit, as well as possibly growth and reproduction. From there, it may get more complicate with attributes that are relevant but not essential, like perception, communication, sociability, will and aim. But the creature may show attributes we have never noticed anywhere, never mind associate with life. Let’s see :))
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@ There are non-negotiable limits. UK decided that it would be better off outside the rules of the Union; fine, it carried out the plebiscite and adopted the majority of its electorate. Fine, bye bye UK. What is intolerable is the presence of a country making efforts to undermine the Union from within. That is betrayal. UK cannot be accused of betrayal, but Hungary is right at the edge or already crossed the limit, as many already see it. The external enemies of the EU project are very active. Their envy is big, particularly Putin, his gangsters and minions. They know they cannot implement democratic rule-of-law as the EU does. They are far away from that. They see it as a threat to their empire ambitions. So, they spend a lot of efforts and resources to undermine the EU project. Useful idiots such as Orban plays nicely in Putin’s hands. This is exactly what Putin likes, besides continue stealing the wealth of the Russian people, killing Russians and destroying Russian families. He has already destroyed more than a million of Russian families. This bandit will never impose his terms on the EU. And we all, European citizens must be ready for fighting and protect our precious Union.
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Putin has to be cornered; there is no other away of solving this problem once and forever. By giving him any sense of free room to play and possibly win only prolongs the agony of the whole conflict. He has already crossed a number of boundaries with no way back. His only way is ahead and getting deeper and deeper into the war direction. Incorporating the Ukrainian regions into Russian Federation territory is another of those no-going-back destroyed bridges. So, his end will come from inside, when many around him realize that he has misjudged, he is a bad strategist, he is out of his mind and the price he is asking Russian people to pay is too high comparing that the only thing that is in the bargain is his personal ambition (supported by a group of yes-sir subservient guys). Many, including the oligarchs are fed up with him. Now he has to more and more be exposed to the reality that facts are not following his expectations, and the more desperate he gets the less the facts obey him. When he may try some ultimate extreme movement, that is when the opposition to him will gather enough energy to liquidate him. There is no other way. He will not commit suicide, withdraw or capitulate. If the incorporation of Ukrainian territory goes ahead, there will not be any chance of diplomacy or negotiated settlement. He will have crossed the ultimate line making any dialog impossible. He knows the Western countries know that he is not in condition to offer any credible acceptable settlement to the problem; he knows he broke the trust and the will to give him an honorable way out. There is no such way out anymore. And the people shouting on the streets “Putin to the trenches” is indeed very disturbing for him. We need to have faith that when his desperation reaches the highest point, some guys around him will act and solve his problem. The question is whether, after he is gone, the FSB guys up to their necks in his criminal deeds, will stage a coup or not.
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Well, what does not seem to have entered McConnell's calculation is that while the president may surf through the shutdown with his base blindly supporting him, this does not mean that the very same base will be on McConnell's side. He may and should end up paying a heavier price for the shutdown than Trump. The blind crowd supports the president just because he is the president; any president could get similar support by default. However, majority leader in the Senate is seen differently; pending on how heavy is the bad effects of the shutdown on his constituencies, he may see things getting very tough on him. The President has a country constituency of blind followers; McConnell has only a state base, and that could turn very ugly on him, no matter the support the president gets from them. If McConnell is not seen as making any explicit effort in any direction, he certainly will lose a lot of his supporters, particularly anyone in a way or another affected by the shutdown. He is making a dirty gamble that might backfire on him. On the other hand, if he is betting on the erosion of the president chances to reach the end of the mandate and be the candidate in 2020, he may be welcoming the opportunity of letting the president prestige with his base burn out in slow fire. He will not be seen as the one who did that. Either way, he is gambling that everybody else but him will look bad in this story, the president and the Democrats included, and he will be the one to have spared his prestige. But, again, he is very wrong if he is thinking that way. We will see.
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All those in the Trump gang must realize that the tide is unstoppable, the net has been thrown as wide and deep as necessary, and no one can escape the drag. The more they swim against it, the more entangled they get into the net. They must start to realize the less costly and harmful way out of the torment is to plead guilt, open their mouths, say everything they know, and cross the fingers waiting for smaller punishments. The farthest they move away from donald, the biggest fish of all, the heavy one at the bottom of the net, slowing and making the drag more and more painful, the better for them. No MAGA fanatics will save them from their fate. Wake up guys!
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@karle.3784 it is a waste of time to talk to someone who wish to give up and be subservient to a cruel criminal dictator, Putin, to be sure you get the name right, who steals the wealth of his country, kills children (killed in Russia - the bombing of the buildings in Moscow, killed in Georgia, killed in Chechnya, killed in Syria, has been killing in Ukraine), has no scrupulous in sending hundreds of thousands of Russian men to inglorious death in a war of aggression, all of that for his evil corrupt ambitions. No, conceding victory to him is the same as let Hitler have it his way. No, this repulsive man has to go to jail or to the cemetery. There should be no concession to his criminal ambition. He is the biggest criminal of this Century.
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The nucleus of Putin’s power is tiny. It may consist of 3 to 5 men. The chiefs of his personal guard, the head of FSB, the head of secret service of the Army and maybe a couple of easily identifiable hardcore guys. This is the centre that makes the decision. The second layer, with Medvedev, Shoygu, and others, are more numerous but powerless beyond their strict business where Putin is the one setting the targets and methods. Below that, the third layer is comprised of technocrats with not much affinities with Putin’s power methods but willing to do the jobs for good salaries. Apart from the hardcore, no one has real power and no one likes Putin. Those at the second and third levels are opportunists filling up their pockets as they can. They will easily change allegiances when the time comes. But they also know that those at the hardcore have files on all of them and can have them in jail or worse in a blink of an eye. The authoritarian regime is sliding faster into a totalitarian autocracy. Putin can only trust the hardcore, whose guys are all fully aware and committed to carry on perpetrating crimes and stealing the state indefinitely, sustaining Putin in power in an almost terror based regime. This structure is fragile and will collapse. Stalin had the same thing. But Stalin had the strong communist ideology and could afford to kill his closest allies such as Beria. Putin does not have ideological base because he is a thief and everyone knows that. The “Zism” ideology is a stupid propaganda attempt to creat something like an ideological glue, but the Russian society is driven by conveniences and preservation of status quo; they know well those in power steal the wealth of the country, but prefer to keep out of troubles with the police. They know Zism is only a mask. Complacency and fear keep the Russians quiet watching their relatives being killed in the war and Putin killing his opponents. This cannot last indefinitely.
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He may have forgotten that all the previous insurgence in Dombas was fueled by Russia through and through, with money, equipment and disguised military personnel. If all that influence was not there, Dombas would quietly continued as part of Ukraine. In his mind, Putin had the clear objective of destabilize Ukraine and eat bits and pieces of it until it was reduced to what Belarus is, a vassal state. But he misread the history books and got it completely wrong, despite the fact that managed to poison segments of Dombas (as well as Crimea) population against Ukraine. But, at the end of this war, Dombas people, or what will be left there, will be prone to accept to live in Ukraine with all the positive prospects of becoming EU citizens at some point in the near future. As soon as Russia stops its bad and nasty influence over Dombas, the region will experience progress as not seen before.
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Obviously, surface-to-air or air-to-air missiles would leave lots of traces behind and could also be registered on mobile phones. So, a professional work, as the kind Putin adopts, would only leave traces that could be identified in laboratories, over which results, of course, Putin, the killer, could have full control. So, the bomb was implanted and the remaining Wagner fighters should have no doubt about who did that. Some deaths will follow.
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This is a message from the movement Citizens of the World to Putin. This is an answer to his speech this week.
Putin, be aware that when you make threats of using nuclear weapons you are disrespecting and insulting all of us, Citizens of the World.
Such threats are obscene to the extreme. We compare it with the most abject and revolting pornography.
It is a blasphemy offending what is the most sacred in this World, our life in this planet and the lives of all beings we love and cherish.
You do not have any right to make such threats. You already crossed the boundary you should have never crossed. Now you must retreat and disappear from public life.
You are insane to think that you and the Russian culture will survive Armageddon. You will not.
You have been incapable to stop simple drones from destroying your refineries and other assets. You will not have the means to stop ballistic missiles and all the other sorts of weapons with nuclear warheads coming in your direction. No, you will not be able to defend yourself.
Do you think you will be safe in your bunker with you lovers and gang while all of Russia is burning? Eating caviar, drinking vodka and thinking that you are safe? No, you will not. Make no mistake. The Russians themselves will not forgive you for what you have done. They themselves will hang you at the first opportunity, for all the misery you brought upon them.
I speak about Russian people but Armageddon will spare no one. There will be no winners. So, be assured, if you press the bottom, there will be as many missiles with nuclear warheads flying in your direction at the same time. No one will have a place to hide from the monstrous disaster coming on their way.
Do you see the scene? Is this what you promise to the Russian people? This is what they see and all of us also see in your threats. Only the stupid ones do not see what you are threatening to bring to the World and to your own people.
No, in fact the Russian people is not “your own people”. Nobody owns the Russian people, so no one has the right to dispose of them at will and bring destruction upon them. The same is valid for all heads of states and their co-citizens in their countries, the Citizens of the World.
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Хороший вопрос, который можно задать на улице: что им делать? десятки тысяч русских вдов, чьи мужья погибли на Украине? и что делать десяткам тысяч молодых русских женщин, которые потеряли или не смогут найти своих парней?
Можно также спросить, знают ли они, что, считая всех мужчин, погибших в Украине и всех, кто покинул страну, сейчас женщин в России гораздо больше, чем мужчин.
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I don't think he nailed it. His analysis of the dilemma the Republican party faces with hidden powerful and rich constituency and a "populist" appeal to the "disenfranchised" is to the point; no question about that. However, his analysis of the Democrats, with his statement that the Democrats missed the point by giving relevance to the Russia interference, according to him, a mild or even irrelevant issue, seems to reflect his position on the far left, disappointed with those that are supposed to be his neighborhood on the left of the political spectrum. Russia interference was serious and raised concerns about the legitimacy of the elected president. That is not a negligible topic. Furthermore, he may have lost track of the fact that if the majority of the media were fully tuned on the collusion/conspiracy topic, in contrast, the Democrats were in fact fighting in many fronts, despite the weak position they were in before the elections in 2018. Anyway, an opposition party cannot neglect a very serious issue like collusion/conspiracy with a foreign power, until it is fully clarified. If the communist party had a presence in the US Congress, as a small opposition party, it could have afforded to leave the collusion/conspiracy aside and focus exclusively on the other points crucial for its programs; unfortunately, the PC is not there.
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And obviously no one in his functioning mind would accept to sign a peace deal with Putin, an indicted criminal that has already profusely shown that cannot be trusted at all. Crimea has been part of independent Ukraine since the end of Soviet Union, approximately 24 years, up to 2014. Russian Federation has illegally annexed Crimea in 2014, this means, 10 years. So, the generation born Russian in Crimea is not older than 10 years old, so, only children. Adult Crimean have indeed fresh memory of being Ukrainian citizens (whatever that means for them). Becoming Ukrainian citizens again will have the great attractiveness of sooner rather than later becoming also European Union citizens. That makes difference and is surely part of Putin’s nightmares. Free, fair and honest referendum, supervised by UN and other international bodies, will most likely give Crimea to Ukraine. But, anyway, Putin has to be definitely out of the picture for a solution such as this to be implemented.
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This is a message from the movement Citizens of the World to Putin. This is an answer to his speech this week.
Putin, be aware that when you make threats of using nuclear weapons you are disrespecting and insulting all of us, Citizens of the World.
Such threats are obscene to the extreme. We compare it with the most abject and revolting pornography.
It is a blasphemy offending what is the most sacred in this World, our life in this planet and the lives of all beings we love and cherish.
You do not have any right to make such threats. You already crossed the boundary you should have never crossed. Now you must retreat and disappear from public life.
You are insane to think that you and the Russian culture will survive Armageddon. You will not.
You have been incapable to stop simple drones from destroying your refineries and other assets. You will not have the means to stop ballistic missiles and all the other sorts of weapons with nuclear warheads coming in your direction. No, you will not be able to defend yourself.
Do you think you will be safe in your bunker with you lovers and gang while all of Russia is burning? Eating caviar, drinking vodka and thinking that you are safe? No, you will not. Make no mistake. The Russians themselves will not forgive you for what you have done. They themselves will hang you at the first opportunity, for all the misery you brought upon them.
I speak about Russian people but Armageddon will spare no one. There will be no winners. So, be assured, if you press the bottom, there will be as many missiles with nuclear warheads flying in your direction at the same time. No one will have a place to hide from the monstrous disaster coming on their way.
Do you see the scene? Is this what you promise to the Russian people? This is what they see and all of us also see in your threats. Only the stupid ones do not see what you are threatening to bring to the World and to your own people.
No, in fact the Russian people is not “your own people”. Nobody owns the Russian people, so no one has the right to dispose of them at will and bring destruction upon them. The same is valid for all heads of states and their co-citizens in their countries, the Citizens of the World.
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@manilajohn0182 You may be right in relation to the destination of the reserves, but how many soldiers Russia can afford to take from their current positions, send to the front line and replace them with those reservists remains to be seen. Pay attention that the call for reservists goes to men from 18 to 45 or so. I would say that the guys above 25 have not joined the reserves recently and are not in need of only a two weeks refresher training; they will need far more than that. Most of the guys from 25 to 45, have not gone into the reserves recently, as you said. They are settled in their civilian settings, building their private lives. They have been uprooted from there to fight a war that, so far, in their mentality, may seem to be ok, as shown in the TV propaganda of the government. But once they start to feel in their flesh and surroundings the misery they have been dragged in, that will make them extremely scared and angry. Besides that, unless Russian Army fixes its incompetence and corruption (what I doubt), the reservists will experience the poverty of their condition (shortage of food, accommodation, support, equipment, ammunition, medicine, and so on). The ideological glue is very weak. All of them know the regime is filth corrupt and the kleptocracy in the Kremlin does not give a shit to their lives or the lives of anyone else. This is very different from fighting for the communism ideology (or for nazism, or radical islam, or liberal democracy, etc. for that matter). Nationalism to sustain the privileges and illusions of kleptocrats is a trick that does not survive for long; It betrays itself in no time.
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Ни одна благородная правовая система ни в одной стране не будет поддерживать, одобрять и поддерживать такую презренную схему смягчения судебных приговоров за участие в войне. Это отклонение, возмутительный разрыв с правами человека и верховенством закона. Любой юридический процесс, созданный для того, чтобы придать этой схеме видимость законности, столь же презрен. Посылая таких людей на войну таким ложным способом, Россия доказывает, что не имеет никакого уважения к закону и закону. При Путине страна скатилась до той стадии, которая была два столетия назад или даже раньше. Это режим, который претендует на установление своего мирового превосходства над цивилизованными принципами Запада. Как это вообще могло быть возможно? Как можно допускать такие повторные обработки по вопросам правовых принципов? Если бы я был гражданином России, мне было бы очень стыдно за свою страну.
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Dear Rehi, I appreciate very much the work you do and the quality of your videos and presentations. Excellent! I have only one suggestion: I think guys like Putin and his plate licker (or Chief or whatever) should not be glamorized. They should be always exposed for what they really are: thugs, bandits, thieves stealing the wealth of Russia and trying to steal the land of Ukraine, thieves stealing the life and future of many Russians and Ukrainians families, unscrupulous murders, assassins of the worst type, envious of what the others have and they will never have, dignity. They should be painted as this sort of abject, repulsive, disgusting and despicable persons they are. There is nothing in them that deserves any positive comment, not even the Rolex Putin stole with the money of Russian people. If all heads of states and all international media treated them for what they are, maybe the delusional Russian people would wake up.
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Yes, we applaud Kelly’s remarks; To the point! The problem with donald is not that he has an ideological project to transform the US into something else. No, he has no project whatsoever. He is just simply and purely an ignorant egomaniac; sort of reincarnation of a crazy Roman emperor without a clue about what progress and civilization is about. He only reacts as a toddler does: “am I being praised and fed? So that is good!l; “no, I am not, so this is someone’s fault, therefore I should bite whoever he or she is”. That is how he processes information and makes decisions. Within this “logic”, everything he does or thinks is approved by himself, no matter how outrageous and illegal it might be. He is about to get a reality check followed by a reality shock that will be very hard for him to find a way to live with. If I was one of his siblings, I would try to shelter him from himself and remove him from the limelight, because the results are going to be disastrous. He is locked in a Faustian pact, from which he will not find his way out by himself. He feeds the monster that feeds him; both accomplices carelessly and blindly cultivating their own demise.
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Putin must be all smiles. He could never imagine that his support to Trump would end up so well, depleting the basic sense of what democracy is about, which means the collective acceptance that there are factual truths, and that everybody can work out agreements about the facts and from there make common judgements of what the consequences of the facts are. Thanks to Trump, America is deeply divided on the need to speak the truth. Sad, very sad. But, obviously, Putin is enjoying the whole thing; this reinforces his principle that the state has to be strong, meaning, use authoritarian power, as he does. He can show to his accomplices - "see what is happening to the US. I am right in not allowing the same to happen to us here in Russia".
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