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snuffeldjuret
The Hill
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Comments by "snuffeldjuret" (@snuffeldjuret) on "" video.
have you taken any course in statistics?
5
polling deserves more credit than you think.
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but with a way smaller margin. That matters.
3
it gauges the feelings of the people.
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have they? how?
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not useless at all
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@ams914 it gives you a picture of how it is for the moment, and you can look at how the polling results are effected by what is happening. If Biden would be 50 points up, no reasonable analysis would have Trump winning the election. The less Biden is ahead, the more likely it is for Trump to win. Comparing the polling of Hillary vs. Trump to Biden vs. Trump can inform us about how Americans will vote in the upcoming election. There is a reason why campaigns conduct their own polling and act accordingly based on the results, and have focus groups etc.
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@ams914 sure, I share the same view, but that doesn't make the current polls useless.
1
same exact? leading 2 point in the polls is not the exact thing as leading with 8 points.
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less this time than in 2016 though.
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the thing is that if the polls showed it to be a tie, Trump would be more likely to win second term. Do you get that?
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@chrispoole8630 which includes the truth if you want it.
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@censoredforthetruth7475 it does, because you wouldn't if you knew the math.
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she only ever tied with biden in national polling early on before any voting.
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at what point will you give credit to polls? Polls say The democrats will win California, do you trust them on that?
1