Comments by "Steve Davenport" (@stevedavenport1202) on "Cool Worlds"
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My cure for future oriented FOMO is to think about my current life and compare it to that of an ordinary citizen living at the dawn of the industrial revolution. I can communicate with almost every corner of the globe instantaneously, enjoy all kinds of cuisines, physically travel to the other side of the planet in hours, enjoy the benefits of modern conveniences like electricity, appliances to cook my food and wash my clothes, miracle medicines, etc.
People living 200 years ago were condemned to lives of subsistence poverty, short lives, rampant warfare, many communicable diseases, illiteracy, super slow long distance communication, etc.
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I don't think life on a simple bacterial scale is rare in the universe. But, if you look at how incredibly rare it is to have a habitable Rocky planet in the goldilocks zone of a stable star which can foster life. Add to this the incredible and un interrupted chain of events needed to lead to simian level sentience, let alone human level intelligence. We also need to assume that no cataclysmic super volcano wiped out life or an asteroid impact, super nova explosion, etc.
So, just getting to homo sapien level intelligence on an alien planet is a very remote possibility. We cannot assume that the planet has the right combination of arable land in the right quantities with animals that can be domesticated and readily available mineral resources to exploit to create agrarian civilizations, which eventually ignite technological progress. This second step, on top of the first, makes the odds even more remote.
So, if we assume that light speed is the absolute speed limit and recognize how huge the known universe is, even if a single space faring civilization existed on the other side of the universe, it would take them billions of years to reach us.
So, in my mind we are either alone in the universe or one of two or three advanced civilizations separated by billions of light years travel. This answers the paradox.
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