Comments by "Steve Davenport" (@stevedavenport1202) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. I did a paper on Argentina in the 90s and concluded that the country keeps shooting itself innthe foot.
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  2. I once heard a live broadcast of a former Mexican president, Zedillo, addressing a live crowd during their independence day. He specifically stated how he wont allow the country to be manipulated by the United States, etc. So, yeah, anti gringoism is part of the culture.
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  3. He stated why Bush Sr. was his favorite and it had everything to do with his foreign policy.
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  4. I would love to see a detailed cost break down of the issue. Besides, our interstate highway system didn't exist when the Jones Act was passed.
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  5. Yeah, unbearably cold and dark. Remote AF. Polar bears up the wazu. No WIFI...No thanks.
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  6. Honestly, it's the man bun that puts him over the top 😀
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  7. @Gene Oh  Well, true. Knowing how to say "My name is John Smith and I am here to talk about the Church of Christ of Latter Day Saints" won't work in an Intel environment. However, it's a foundation to build upon since these folks most likely have a solid listening comprehension of the target language.
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  8. Gosh, Peter. I always try to start my day on an optimistic note...and then I watch one of your videos 😭...lol
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  9. Definetly a factor, but doesn't explain inflation entirely.
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  10. Well, that is a long term project that requires a degree of consent from US law enforcement and ultimately US citizens.
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  11. It's an anti gringo sentiment. Having foreigners, especially gringos, participate in their oil sector is a political non starter.
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  12. Gosh, Peter. My American heart is swelling with pride knowing that my country is the leading maker of diapers 🤣
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  13. "He could livestream the abortion of his Trans lover." That is pure comedic gold 🤣
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  14. Makes sense. Russia is literally their next door neighbor.
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  15. None at all. They are not employing large numbers of Mexicans in Mexico nor killing them by the thousands every day. They don't block emigration from Mexico either. The real reason not as many migrate there is that there are better opportunities in other parts of the USA with a cheaper cost of living.
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  16. Well, Vietnam and Philippines are part of the alliance, though not as powerful as Australia and Japan.
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  17. Peter is a word Smith 😂
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  18. Peter, there are still lots of Mexicans coming to the USA. There are also skilled Mexicans who work in the tech sector
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  19. He rarely does.
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  20. There are foreign truck drivers who are immigrants making American wages. Without the Jones Act, you would have foreign crews making third world wages.
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  21. I don't think under cover spies would have gotten so nervous.
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  22. He was not advocating the state as a place to live, just emphasizing its economy.
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  23. @A B Well, renewables are solar, wind, hydro, geo thermal, etc. Germany isn't super abundant in those.
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  24. One of many great quotes
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  25. UK is still very EU-focused due to its proximity to continental Europe. I cant see how it can be a vital participant in NAFTA, if not for just geographic isolation.
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  26. So, you are saying he is dead wrong? Clearly, he can't give an 8 hour PhD dissertation on the topic.
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  27. Depends on how labor intense or expensive the final product is. Low value added goods that are labor intense to assemble...not coming to the USA.
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  28. Lol
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  29. ​ @AndrewinAus  Our engagement with Vietnam had nothing to do with internal change. It was about having an ally against China.
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  30. ​ @777mantikor  But they bought it at the Home Depot in Fargo 😂
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  31. And a funny accent too
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  32. ​.well, how do you explain the great regional businesses that have started in Singapore?
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  33. Your revolver won't work against a gang with fully automatic rifles
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  34. He is saying it isn't being utilized due to the elevated costs of using American owned, captained and crewed vessels. Before the advent of our extensive rail and interstate highway system, transporting agricultural commodities overland was a near impossibility, so our internal waterways were heavily utilized.
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  35. I understand your assertion that Russia will continue to surge westward until it is able to anchor itself to more favorable geography. But, come on, Peter. Russia is barely able to absorb a fraction of Eastern Ukraine. It is already militarily and economically exhausted. What makes you think that it will be able to power its way through Ukraine and then conquer NATO militaries further west?
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  36. Well, that is his audience. He can narrow cast on YouTube and still have a large following.
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  37. Or just working at McDonalds
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  38. This old notion of plugging gaps seems outdated. No sane country would attempt a full scale invasion of Russia given its nuclear arsenal.
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  39. Culturally and linguistically, they fit in well. However, wages in Mexico are crap, so they would skip it and come to the USA.
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  40. Yes, spot on regarding Spanish. I am one of those gringos who speaks Spanish fluently, but have limited technical knowledge of the language. However, let's be honest, if these facilities will be located in Mexico, there are plenty of bilingual Mexicans who already have the technical knowledge. Would also add that becoming fluent in Spanish is more involved than just taking some classes in highschool. You will need to really immerse yourself by spending time in country with native speakers.
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  41. ​@zibbitybibbitybop I think it is Ohios nicest city.
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  42. Geopolitics with a man bun...yes sir.
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  43. @Jonathan Lehtonen  Yes, most normal human beings do not enjoy killing. However, I think the greater trauma comes from seeing soldiers on your own side being killed. You get to see that up close and personal.
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  44. Exiting the EU doesnt mean a loss of access to European agriculture...you just pay tariffs to import it.
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  45. The problem is that Italy doesnt have an economy that is very attractive to foreigners.
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  46. Didn't break a sweat
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  47. Well, I believe it has a higher per capita GDP Indonesia.
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  48. That is very green. I thought the UK still got the majority of its grid energy from coal.
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  49. The countries that border the Baltic Sea are important to the USA. Singapore is important. The Philippines is important as well since they are directly in the passage between Singapore and the Northeast Asian powers. The Philippines is one of the few countries that REALLy likes Americans.
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  50. Taco Bell...by a country mile
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  51. I don't like drug lords, but El Chapo's business philosophy makes sense. It's crazy how the other cartels terrorize the population.
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  52. Well, also depends on the individuals talents and interests.
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  53. Gangs
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  54. "The Grand Honkey Alliance" 😂 LMAOL
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  55. If you want a sense of how the Brits feels about the USA, watch the movie Love Actually.
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  56. There are certainly a few oddballs who would like to. However, nah, 30 million people a year who would want to move to a borderline totalitarian country with a lowish GDP per capita, insular society and strange language???
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  57. Good point. The only concern is that they might not be 100% loyal to the USA
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  58. Trump is an idiot
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  59. @autobootpiloot  That is a super cheap rate. Are you Dutch? Unless the barge industry has a manpower need in the 100s of thousands, I can't imagine why it would be so hard to recruit Dutch crew members. It's possible that there is a lack of awareness among Dutch youth about the opportunity.
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  60. Well, when they take over the Russian far east, that will make sense.
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  61. The whole illegal immigration thing is a scam. Just makenit illegal to hire illegal aliens. Thats the solution.
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  62. Hmm, tariffs are just another form of taxation
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  63. So, China is not going to implode and completely lose its economy. It will still have around 600 to 700 million people by the end of the century. Use some combination of pragmatism and what appeals to you to inform your choices. If you love international trade and plan on dealing extensively with the Chinese, then learn Mandarin. Assuming you are a typical learner, it will take a lot of time and effort to master a language, so chose wisely.
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  64. ​@pjpredhomme7699 I wish such high quality training was available for more trades.
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  65. My skeptical side has me believing that Peter made a video on the geopolitics of wine in order to write off the trip from his taxes 😅
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  66. ​ @devalapar7878 Interesting. Yeah, and massive amounts more of grid energy to power those robots.
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  67. Is it possible to just recruit people who are good at their jobs without consideration of their race or gender?
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  68. Well, when I look at the wage levels of low to mid skill white collar work, it's reflective of the value they add, which is not that great. So, go get that blue collar job.
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  69. That's just Mexican culture...to glorify death. We gringos like to pretend it doesn't exist.
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  70. I find it absolutely amazing and brilliant that the Kremlin has been able to turn US citizens into tools of its propaganda machine.
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  71. Hmm, not 100% familiar with drone tech. However, it seems to me that counter measures could be invented to deal with a drone attack, especially if they are airborne.
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  72. Mexicos population growth is declining.
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  73. He is frolicking in the bushes with Mary Anne...
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  74. Makes sense to me. These are not stupid people.
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  75. China's population is projected to decline to 700,000,000 by the end of the century. Yes, that is a sharp decline in their population. But, dang. That's still a lot of people, with the same amount of farmland and housing. If the economy will have shrunk dramatically by then, well, there will be more than enough folks for the few jobs available.
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  76. We cant have Cuban workers in the USA. Their Spanish is impossible to understand 😂
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  77. @Jared Green  It's a random, made up name of a hypothetical Mormon missionary, not the founder.
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  78. Umm, a lot of the homeless are severely mentally ill and drug addicted. They are not employable.
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  79. Hence Brexit
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  80. Trump's M.O. is power. The straightest path is the best, idealogy and law be damned.
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  81. So true. I grew up in the Seattle metro area. Pre 1990, Russians were merely an abstraction. Post 1992, they were all over the place and you over heard nearly as many Russian conversations as Spanish.
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  82. California wont be able to reinvent itself with its current political system, tax structure and homeless problem.
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  83. As an American, I just love the suspicious reception I get at the Canadian border, as if I planned on entering the country to reside there illegally and take away jobs from Canadians. The other thing to consider is that Canada itself is leaky. Many native born Canadians leave for better economic opportunities in the USA and same with a lot of first generation immigrants. They just use Canada as a trampoline to get into the USA.
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  84.  @adamlee2550  That's absurd. They would not be siding against the US by not siding with China.
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  85.  @thedadstale  He probably fired his research assistant...😀
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  86. Bingo. I see a lot of gringos do hard ass labor jobs if the pay is right.
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  87. You have a fleet of dinghies used to intercept illegal alien penguins off your southern coast. So, you can't tell me you don't have a navy 😀
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  88. I think he said he was on vacation, so no long videos.
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  89. Thanks, Peter. I always suspected Canada was the 3rd rail of American politics 😂
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  90. Every weapon system has a counter measure
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  91.  @aglaea-k2p  It is a strong force, but Japan and Australia have military forces capable of reaching out and touching China. Vietnam does not.
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  92. "We tried to make Iraq look like Wisconsin" 😂
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  93. Damn, Peter, first video of the morning and you are talking about the end of civilization and cannibalism. Way to start my day 🤣
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  94. And Trump has his hand on that whip.
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  95. Depends on your industry.
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  96. I hope he is not including skilled trades in his assessment of what low class blue collar trades are.
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  97. Well, I am certain they are far more special than the rank and file cannon fodder that make up your typical Russian infantry unit.
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  98. Biden was 3 years old when the first nuke was dropped.
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  99. Umm, OK, what you don't seem to mention is precisely how many poorly supplied, trained and motivated Russians soldiers are required to overcome Ukrains advantages in training, supplies and overall combat effectiveness due to having shorter supply lines, superior intelligence and equipment. A Russian soldier in Eastern Ukraine circa 2023 is not the same as a Russian soldier defending Stalingrad circa 1943.
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  100. 80K Kiwis departing is 1.6% of the population...😮
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  101. High labor costs make no sense when Chinese companies won't e mploy people over age 35. Can a 36 yo not work on a factory floor?
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  102. There maybe be some faulty logic in Peter's assumption about the Jones Act, but am not sure. Clearly, the advantage of using our water ways like the Mississippi, The Ohio, Columbia and Missouri is to transport bulk commodity cargo like wheat, corn, soy, etc. All of our other transportation networks are operated mostly by American made vessels and US crews...planes, trucks and trains. Foreign truckers can operate on US soil, as in they can bring cargo into the USA then return to their country with a return load but are not allowed to drive around from one US city to another transporting goods. Foreign airlines operate under the same constraints. So, what is the variable in using barges to transport goods via our internal water ways that is making this mode of transportation artificially expensive? If it is the barges themselves and they can be manufactured cheaper overseas, then ammend the law for that variable.
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  103. A fresh batch of doom porn to start my day...
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  104. Am sure he has some VAs helping with research.
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  105. Peter, if you weren't a geopolitical analyst, you'd make a great comedian 😀
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  106. Cuba is most important of all these options
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  107. Literally ON Uranus.
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  108. Hmm, NAFTA took effect on January 1 1994 and was signed into law in 1993.
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  109. I think some of his conclusions are misguided. He suggests that Mexico is, or soon will, stop being a major source of immigrants to the USA due to demographics and economic development. Really? Mexico still has a sizeable population that is surplus to its economy's needs and will continue to be so for the foreseeable future.
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  110. Well, I think China will reach a point of equilibrium between its capacity to produce food and energy vs the size of its population, which will shrink to about 600 million by 2100. Still, that is a very large country and I am certain their economy wont collapse completely.
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  111. ​. That is a policy issue that can be solved.
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  112. I think the Mexican government needs to side with one cartel, then destroy the others and create a state regulated monopoly.
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  113. Welcome to my hood.
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  114.  @thomasakase  Very sad
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  115. ​@caseyh1934 He works on longer time frames than day to day.
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  116. Why would Mexico consent to this and not get the water itself?
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