Youtube comments of Steve Davenport (@stevedavenport1202).
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I will weigh in with my opinion:
I speak fluent Mexican Spanish and lived in Mexico for a year, interacting with government officials, business owners, campesinos and people from different regions. I have also interacted extensively with illegal immigrants here.
Mexicans are extremely patriotic and DO NOT want to live in the USA. They come here out of sheer desperation. Yes, correct, government corruption leads to an under developed economy.
What you are describing is the "push" factor for why people want to leave Mexico. The "pull" factor is that many businesses need these migrants as cooks, farm labor, construction workers, cleaners, etc. Most Americans don't want these jobs because they have better options.
That being said, illegal immigration is not the solution. We need to massively boost temporary work visas to fill these positions. AND we need employers to pay for their health insurance instead of having them live off of public welfare.
By doing this, we curtail the illicit trafficking of humans across our border and allow this work force to be here worry free and in constant fear of being deported. We would also reduce resentment towards this population amongst Americans.
By the same token, we still need to reinforce our borders to disincentive illegal crossings and to interdict drugs. We also need to halt the flow of fire arms into Mexico.
Last, but not least, sanctions must be placed upon business that hire illegals.
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Well, it's very clear that these videos are essentially infomercials for your service.
However, like all things in life, it's a little more nuanced than you are portraying here.
If you are a laborer in Mexico making $10/day, then you are going to 20x your income by migrating to the USA, plus enjoying free health care and most likely moving into a community of fellow Mexicans where your neighbors and local businesses and service providers speak Spanish.
You are most likely to live in a home with 4 or 5 working adults, so your real cost of living will be manageable. Given these facts, moving to the USA is a no Brainer.
However, for people making middling incomes in developing countries, let's say 1K to 3K USD, moving to the USA would be a wash financially since that income range could afford you a comfortable lifestyle there.
As for high 7 figure earners in the USA, unless your effective tax rate is over 50%, life can be pretty sweet here. Imagine living in Marin County where the climate is close to perfect. You have season tickets to the 49ers, are close to Napa Valley and can ski in the Sierra Nevadas or Rockies, live near a world class city with fantastic dining options and non stop flights to dozens of international locations in Europe and Asia.
On top of that, most of the people around you speak your language and share a similar cultural reference and you are very likely to find similarly affluent peers with whom to rub elbows.
Until the USA becomes an Hugo Chavez style cleptocracy that demonize and exorts the rich, it's a pretty good option for rich people.
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It is a bit of a misnomer to refer to 25,000 mph as the velocity needed to "get into space". If I am not mistaken, "space" is the region approximately 60 miles or so above sea level. So, if you pass this point, you are "in space" but 25,000 mph not required. You can simply plot a ballistic trajectory to this point in space and parachute back to earth. This is precisely what the Gemini program was in the 60s.
However, in order to orbit the planet at the minimally viable altitude of 100 miles above sea level, a velocity of 17,500 mph is required.
In order to escape earth's gravity and transit to another planet, the minimum speed is 25,000 mph.
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@TheYarbros TJ is a surreal place, even on the ground. It is truly an immigrant society as the majority of its inhabitants are from other parts of Mexico. It also has a a surprisingly large Chinese community, people from other parts of Latin America, Haitians, Russians and Americans who live in TJ and commute into San Diego for work. Despite the diversity, it is still a very Mexican city.
The gastronomy is worth checking out as well, lots of seafood, fusion cuisine, traditional Mexican, etc. Also some nice vineyards south of TJ.
Oh, and the climate is pretty sweet year round.
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So, DEI does nothing for performance or productivity. The real objective is to give traditionally marginalized groups a chance to participate in prosperity, etc.
I wish we could live in a color blind world.
Also, real diversity revolves around how people think and act. You can have an engineering team consisting of a white guy, an Asian guy, a black, a latino and a guy of Middle Eastern ancestry. However, if they all grew up in suburban New York as native English speakers with the same mindset, passmtimes, etc, then the differences are only superficial
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So, yeah, deporting 11 million people would win major political points. However, the secondary effects to the economy would probably trigger a recession as you are removing 11 million consumers from the economy and 11 million workers who wont be available to do our dirty, low paid work like rendering plants, vegetable picking, McDonalds wage slave, etc.
Some of the jobs will probably be taken by Americans, especially the less physically demanding ones. So, maybe th3 net loss will only be 9 million workers. However, that means that 10s of thousands of small businesses will likely close or cut back hours. Labor intense agro businesses might face failure as well.
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My cure for future oriented FOMO is to think about my current life and compare it to that of an ordinary citizen living at the dawn of the industrial revolution. I can communicate with almost every corner of the globe instantaneously, enjoy all kinds of cuisines, physically travel to the other side of the planet in hours, enjoy the benefits of modern conveniences like electricity, appliances to cook my food and wash my clothes, miracle medicines, etc.
People living 200 years ago were condemned to lives of subsistence poverty, short lives, rampant warfare, many communicable diseases, illiteracy, super slow long distance communication, etc.
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@garetht9666 Also, the upper income people fuel the economy with their spending. Let's assume millions of high income people are replaced by AI bots. Their income goes to zero and they stop spending. This means that they will not be hiring people in jobs that still require humans, like manicurist, plumbers, house cleaners, massage therapists, mechanics, etc. Essentially, the entire economy will stop and we will enter into the mother of all depressions.
Tax revenues, which are derived from peoples' incomes, go away, so no funding for highways, police, firefighters, courts, no DMV, nada and no government employees.
For the few prepper types who had the fore sight to hoard resources, things will be OK for a while as they form apocalyptic gangs that go around raping and pillaging. Eventually, the gas will run out, machines won't be repaired since no spare parts are being made and the paved highways will be rubble. So, we are back to pre industrial tines with rudimentary agriculture, human slaves, horses, no modern medicine, no human rights...a real shit show.
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I don't think life on a simple bacterial scale is rare in the universe. But, if you look at how incredibly rare it is to have a habitable Rocky planet in the goldilocks zone of a stable star which can foster life. Add to this the incredible and un interrupted chain of events needed to lead to simian level sentience, let alone human level intelligence. We also need to assume that no cataclysmic super volcano wiped out life or an asteroid impact, super nova explosion, etc.
So, just getting to homo sapien level intelligence on an alien planet is a very remote possibility. We cannot assume that the planet has the right combination of arable land in the right quantities with animals that can be domesticated and readily available mineral resources to exploit to create agrarian civilizations, which eventually ignite technological progress. This second step, on top of the first, makes the odds even more remote.
So, if we assume that light speed is the absolute speed limit and recognize how huge the known universe is, even if a single space faring civilization existed on the other side of the universe, it would take them billions of years to reach us.
So, in my mind we are either alone in the universe or one of two or three advanced civilizations separated by billions of light years travel. This answers the paradox.
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Most countries have bilateral tax treaties with each other. These apply to businesses, mostly. So, let's say a Canadian producer of widgets, whose operations are 100% in Canada, sells millions of dollars worth of merchandise to customers in the USA and Mexico. They would not have to pay income taxes to the USA or Mexico.
As for individual US citizens living and working in a foreign country, yes, they have to pay income taxes on those wages. However, there is an exemption on the first 100,000 dollars of income.
What this means, practically speaking, is that most US citizens working outside of the US, wont end up paying taxes to the IRS since most jobs don't pay 6 figures.
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@inovakovsky Thanks for responding. I have a few more ideas, but didn't want to turn a You Tube comment into a PhD dissertation...😀
To satisfy the research mission that universities are known for, historically, you could have a dedicated state-funded research center where upper level academic types who prefer to do research can ply their trade.
Teaching professors could visit the research center every few years for a semester or two to update their knowledge. Or, if more applicable, sent to an archeological dig or to reside in a foreign country, etc.
However, these changes may be nearly impossible to implement as there are already too many entrenched interests at existing universities.
Fortunately, we do have a bunch of community colleges which are already fulfilling this mission. Just increase state funding for these or create entirely new ones and leave the "legacy" universities to their own devices by de funding them.
This wouldn't be a problem for USC, CAL, Berkley, etc but others might suffer.
Oh, while I am at it, get rid of tenure. Give profs 8 years to pursue their bliss, but review their performance and only renew if they are productive, effective, etc.
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You simply cannot predict how AI can kill us since, presumably, it will be far more intelligent than us and can do it with a combination of stealth and speed.
How it could kill us would depend upon how far ahead of humans it is, the tools at its disposal and its end goal.
Lets say, for example, that it wanted to preserve the earth's biosphere with all of its plants and animals, minus humans. It would simply unleash some kind of bio weapon tailored to our biology.
If a handful of humans survived, lets say 20 million, it would probably hunt them down piece meal with drone swarms, destroy our food supply, etc.
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Interesting topic. Well, you can't really say that 100% of the time Americans are willing to take these jobs. For example, some of them have a bad combination of being low value added and labor intense plus some kind of nasty.
A good example of this would be a meat processing plant. It is dirty, nasty, monotonous and low paying since food has a low margin. Most native born Americans avoid them because they have better options. So, the need for imported labor isn't going away.
As for employing chronically homeless people in these jobs, are you kidding? They are homeless for a reason. It is a combination of mental illness and drug addiction and, because of this, they are useless.
It is not like the 1930s America where millions of people with sound minds and bodies are out of work and are willing to take any job at any wage. There are people like this who become homeless, but it is temporary. They can take a wide variety of jobs, so you probably won't see them picking apples.
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Interesting topic. Well, you can't really say that 100% of the time Americans are willing to take these jobs. For example, some of them have a bad combination of being low value added and labor intense plus some kind of nasty.
A good example of this would be a meat processing plant. It is dirty, nasty, monotonous and low paying since food has a low margin. Most native born Americans avoid them because they have better options. So, the need for imported labor isn't going away.
As for employing chronically homeless people in these jobs, are you kidding? They are homeless for a reason. It is a combination of mental illness and drug addiction and, because of this, they are useless.
It is not like the 1930s America where millions of people with sound minds and bodies are out of work and are willing to take any job at any wage. There are people like this who become homeless, but it is temporary. They can take a wide variety of jobs, so you probably won't see them picking apples.
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Both of these gentlemen are off the mark. Capitalists/entrepreneurs have a VERY important role to play in society. A "committee" of un motivated Joe's and Jill's is not going to dream of making an amazing chicken sandwich. Only a passionate, focused individual is going to dream of a world with amazing chicken sandwiches.
There must always be a leader to call the shots. The government, via the democratic inputs of working people, must ensure fair labor laws, a living, wage,more form of UBI..in the future, zoning laws that incentive affordable, decent housing, and affordable universal health care.
Most people are NOT going to get rich or even upper middle class. Our system requires hard working individuals and these people deserve to be treated well.
Insipid, uninspired comittees do not start and grow amazing businesses.
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It never seems to be the right time for the UBI 😣 However, I think we can have some modified form of one as our economies get more automated. For example, why not start with a simple UBI of $150/month per adult, payable quarterly.
What this will mean, for example, in an bousehold of 2 adults, $900 will be dropped into their bank accounts.
With this "found money" most people will likely spend it, thus stimulating the economy.
For people who are "technologically displaced" , pay them a more robust UBI on top of their regular unemployment, maybe $1,200/month and some extra funds for education programs.
As more and more peoples' jobs are automated and fewer replacement jobs are created, then there will be a larger number of citizens receiving the full monthly UBI.
We will need to index the UBI to economic growth. This way, we can increase the UBI and create an upward spiral of economic growth.
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There maybe be some faulty logic in Peter's assumption about the Jones Act, but am not sure.
Clearly, the advantage of using our water ways like the Mississippi, The Ohio, Columbia and Missouri is to transport bulk commodity cargo like wheat, corn, soy, etc.
All of our other transportation networks are operated mostly by American made vessels and US crews...planes, trucks and trains.
Foreign truckers can operate on US soil, as in they can bring cargo into the USA then return to their country with a return load but are not allowed to drive around from one US city to another transporting goods.
Foreign airlines operate under the same constraints.
So, what is the variable in using barges to transport goods via our internal water ways that is making this mode of transportation artificially expensive? If it is the barges themselves and they can be manufactured cheaper overseas, then ammend the law for that variable.
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Am sorry to hear about this. You say you are OK, but am sure it sucks big time.
I know the FAA has their age 31 cut off, but I think that age should be raised to 37. Let's assume you are hired at 37 and fully trained by 40. That's still 16 years of service and I think you should be able to qualify for a partial pension.
As for DEI, man, it just kills me. Reverse discrimination is still discrimination. When it comes to careers with life and death consequences like ATC, cops, surgeons, fire fighters, electricians, etc, there is no place for this.
I understand the thought behind DEI measures. How can you get qualified minorities into these jobs if the powers that be are dyed in the wool racists.
I believe that our culture really has undergone a sea change in the last 50 years and most white Americans, especially 5he sensible ones in positions of power, don't really harbor these attitudes.
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So, when Mexicans say to me "Pinche Gringo" are they saying "Welcome to Mexico?" 🤣
Mexicans are not 100% malinchista. There are many elements of their culture they are very proud of.
Also, let's just say that, like people from all different countries, Mexicans have an ambiguous attitude toward foreign people people in their country. So, they are happy to tolerate the foreign ghettos like Cancun and Cabo San Lucas because of the money they bring into the country and they are isolated from the main population centers.
When large numbers of foreigners settle into the interior of the country as in Gudalajara or Mexicalli, there has always been some friction since these people are there permanently and live alongside the native population.
Malinchismo, as in, an excessive admiration for foreign products or people is not limited to Mexico. Even gringos do this to some degree. I remember sitting in a Japanese restaurant in the Seattle area. A couple in the booth behind me was speaking German. An American lady in the booth next to them introduced herself and just couldn't stop fawning over this lady. She even gave the Germwn lady her phone number and insited that their children have a play date together.
In another incident several years prior, we had a substitute teacher in my Spanish class who was from Germany. After the class, a fellow student ran up to her and declared, "Oh My God. Germany is my FAVORITE country in the world!".....cringe worthy.
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