Comments by "Mosern1977" (@Mosern1977) on "Preston Stewart " channel.

  1. Nice review and I agree, seeing the informed Russian perspective is helpful. I think NATO is OK with this dragging on. Now NATO has a renewed purpose, and most of Europe is re-arming and re-investing in the arms industry. Big money is flowing in, production facilities are upgraded, and new ones are built. Old equipment is shipped to Ukraine, new equipment is procured. Latest stuff gets actual field testing. War is big business. As long as the conflict is locked down to some fields in eastern Ukraine, it can continue for decades for all NATO military establishment really cares. Economically speaking, bleeding Russia dry is not really going to happen. But making Russia into North-West Korea is still on the table. So a few more years of this, and Europe will have disconnected itself fully from Russia. The idea of NATO countries attacking Russia, is just a result of Russian propaganda. It is one of the many stories that they tell themselves over there. While the victory condition for Ukraine is pretty clear, it is telling that nobody in Russia knows what their victory condition is.
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  2. I really really really hope there is no war between China and Taiwan/USA ever. China is probably peaking a bit now, and have a lot of internal issues to deal with. But I think it is good that Europe gets back on having a credible self defense and defense industry. Poland is leading the way there, and they have good historical reasons for being better prepared.
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  3. The question is, how much weapons are needed? Russia has spent thousands of tanks getting nowhere. And they dont have air superiority either, even though the Russian air force is much bigger than what there is even Ukrainian pilots for. So exactly what wonder weapons are we talking about, and in what numbers? What we see is that the defending side has so many advantages that to overcome Russia on the defensive, an unrealistic amount of weaponry is needed.
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  4.  @scottbrower9052  - oh, really now. What is Germany doing then with all the billions of Euros? And Poland is. Sweden is. Norway is. Probably a lot more as well.
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  5.  @-Zevin-  True, and the reason NATO is having a hard time on the artillery front, is that NATO doctrine is relying on airpower, not artillery to deal pain at distance. Which may or may not be a good idea in a near-peer situation. In any case its not all about the shells, you need the cannons as well, and they get worn out. Finally, making artillery and dumb rounds for artillery isn't exactly cutting edge stuff. So any country can do it, in theory. But of course, no western arms manufacturer is going to invest in new factories and tools, if there isn't a long term supply contract. So I think the war in Ukraine is shaking things up in the West as well, as it now see the issues that counter-insurgency operations does not showcase.
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  6. Thanks for the great report.
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  7.  @-Zevin- - there is absolutely merit to this line of thinking. I guess 'stealth' technology might render it void though. So it is a gamble. If you are not able to deny the enemy air superiority, then your artillery is really done for, and you can basically just pack it up. If you are, then the enemy is going to have a hard time vs. your massive artillery. Of course another aspect here is that air-power can be moved around much easier than artillery. Which makes it much more useful for the US, that wants to project power on the other side of the globe, than when you just want to harass and invade your neighbors.
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  8. The way Trump now is shooting the US military export market in the foot is astonding.
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  9. As a European, this article sounds more like an anti-Trump hit-piece than any serious evaluation of a possible scenario. The hit to American economy if it was to move away from NATO would be massive. One of the few export articles US has, is weapons. And one of the main reasons to buy those, is that they come with the "certified good friend of the US" sticker. If that means nothing, then a lot of Europeans countries would have to turn to domestic production and development of weapons. That would be untold billions of dollars being pulled out of US economy, into European instead. Also the value of the dollar would crash, and it might loose its special world-reserve-currency status. And if that happens, US economy is really done for.
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  10. Thanks for discussing this article, and I totally agree with your point of view.
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  11. Not to mention that one of US greatest exports are weapons. Guess who buys those weapons, Europeans. So giving weapons to Ukraine, showing how they work well, is basically just a sales-pitch for US weaponry around the world.
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  12. So in the very short term, this might sound smart from a US perspective. However, US has two main export articles. Dollars and weapons. Both of them are dependent on US being the world's only superpower. If the US now turns away from that position, it will be interesting to see how the military industry in the US will be hurting bad from loss of export sales. The Dollar is even more critical to the US. Currently people in the US have been buying a lot of stuff from abroad, and just paid back with Dollars. Which costs nothing to produce for the US government, they just conjure it out of thin air all the time. If that concept starts to falter, then it can get really "interesting" really fast. We sure live in interesting times.
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  13. Huh, Russia will spin it as de-escalating the Korean conflict, by taking some ammo from North Korea. Russia loves peace, remember.
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  14. China starts looking mighty rational....
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  15. It is fascinating, and also so sad that we live in a world where all this effort is made to make instruments to kill people faster.
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  16. I mean - its an original idea....
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  17. And given the progress of the Russian army over the last 18 months, care to give any predictions on when they reach Moscow?
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  18. I know we are on a new chapter in the history books. The title of the chapter better be something else than WW3.
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  19. No, I don't believe Russia is going for any NATO country. That doesn't mean that the sham referendums held parts of occupied Ukraine is valid though. But it shows that this is just a war of conquest for Russia. Might makes right. Russia will need to turn east for everything in the future though. The west is closed for it for a long time, even if the war stopped tomorrow.
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  20. One of Americas key exports are weapons. NATO has been one way to make sure there is a market for these weapons. Seems like Trump is really shooting that export market in the foot.
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  21.  @EvgeniyYakushev-m2u  - why would Europe turn into North Korea?
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  22.  @johnm7267  - they have a whole year to prepare. Germans will manage.
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