Comments by "Mosern1977" (@Mosern1977) on "Why Norway Became Rich From Oil But The UK Lost Out" video.
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The Norwegian governement is allowed to take out up to 3% of the fund's value every year, to prop up the government budget. Due to the war in Ukraine, and good times in the stock market, and weaking NOK, the fund is now so large that using 3% of it is way too much for the Norwegian economy. (Those 3% is around 20% of the entire state budget).
The real return on the investments are way higher than 3%, and today Norway doesn't even need to use 3%. And every year as other countries buy oil and gas, more money is poured into the fund in addition to the unused returns. So due to compound interest and very long term investment horizons, the fund will continue to grow for the foreseable future, getting bigger and bigger - faster and faster. (Compound interest is a very powerful force).
The main challenge for Norway going forward now is actually how to funnel all that wealth into the society, without collapsing the norwegian way of life. Its yet another potential Dutch Disease candidate, instead of oil, it is now oil-fund dividents.
But needless to say, the future looks pretty bright from Norway's perspective. A bit more global warming would be welcommed, as the winters are still cold. Who knows, maybe that will sort itself out as well.
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