Comments by "Maggie Jetson" (@maggiejetson7904) on "Taiwan is next." video.

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  2. Fun fact: most of the anti-China / anti-Taiwan / anti-US hostile propaganda media jabbing suddenly stopped after the Ukraine Russia war broke out. They know this is serious and shouldn't mess around in time like this. I don't think China would attack Taiwan unless they go "independent" and Taiwan knows it is no joke this time around. 1) Communists and Nationalists have been fighting along the strait in small conflict from 1950s to almost 1980s, they know the ins and outs of beaching and counter beaching. They've also air raid each other in those areas so it is not going to be any surprises if the PLA made a move 2) They will also bomb Okinawa if they strike first, to stall US for as long as possible, and if S Korea come and help they will probably get bombed too, and N Korea may invade South as a distraction 3) Economy of the whole world would tank for a long time, mostly for China but also for US to be dragged into a big war (not as bad as going with Russia but pretty damn close). There is not going to be a winner in this fight. 4) Taiwan currently enjoys trade with both US and China, both sides want to sweeten the deal to out do each other. Not picking side is actually the best for Taiwan economically, by FAR. One wrong move that angers US or China can cut a lot of economic activities by half (tourism from China, farm export to China, chip production and trade to US, etc). The biggest war is actually on the financial front these days. Honestly the bigger problem is, the longer the communist wait the more powerful they may be, but the more independent the Taiwan people feel. The only way they will be willingly reunite with China is if US and Japan collapse and they have no other choice if another evil force in the world wants them (who? not Russia), then the only way China would let Taiwan go independent willingly is if they are in trouble themselves and in another civil war, and one fraction (pro US) gets Taiwan support and drive the communist out, and they are willing to lose the Xingjiang, Tibet, Hong Kong, etc in the process, and might as well losing Taiwan in the end. I can see this civil war business go on for another 50 years and still not settled.
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