Comments by "Engineering the weird guy" (@engineeringtheweirdguy2103) on "Real Engineering"
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@ranjeetkapse Yes and no. if you had to recycle them simultaneously, they are fairly similar between BEV and FCEV's. However there is one more consideration. A FCEV vehicle is expected to last little over 200,000 miles (320,000 km). a BEV such as the Tesla Model 3 is expected to last well over 500,000 miles (800,000 km). Based on the rated lifetime of the battery which is 1,500 cycles. And that rating is to 70% capacity. So after 1,500 cycles your battery still has 70% of its original range which is well over 230km range which makes it still very useful domestically.
So by the time 1 EV reaches its technical end of life (of which it could still be used for double that time before it reaches the motors rated lifetime of 1 million miles), you have had to recycle 2 FCEV's. and will be on your third.
So whilst the individual vehicles recyclability are approximately equivalent, when factoring lifetime of the vehicles FCEV's have just over double and potentially 4-5 times the impact of a BEV. (if you continue to use it past the Battery lifetime benchmark of 70% capacity).
That's not even factoring in the wasted energy due to the creation of Hydrogen, the compression and transportation of that hydrogen, and then the loss of energy in the fuel cell. recourses will be used to generate that wasted energy. which needs to be accounted for as well.
The only advantage Hydrogen brings to the table for domestic vehicles is speed of refuelling. But only if the infrastructure is there. Which it isn't. By comparison every household in a developed country has electricity supplied to the home. Most EV's can easily be charged off regular power points. And whilst that wont charge you in a hurry, most days you don't travel over 300 miles. Meaning that it can charge while you're at home watching TV, eating dinner, and sleeping and every morning you wake up with a full tank. The infrastructure of EV's is there already for 90% of your regular domestic use. most of the infrastructure is there for the 10% of long trips you'd do each year. and that infrastructure is already expanding rapidly.
BEV's have the lifetime, the efficiency, the performance, the infrastructure, the ecological impact, the safety and lower running costs, all over and exceeding that of FCEV's.
As I stated FCEV's only advantage domestically is refuelling speeds. However industrially they have 1 other significant advantage. Potential range. It takes far less volume to pack more hydrogen in a tank than it does to pack more batteries. As a result hydrogen trucks will hold a significant advantage over BEV trucks due to range and stopped time refuelling. (given adequate infrastructure for either). That is also to say that BEV trucks will still have an advantage is performance and safety. A fully laiden Tesla truck for example is shown to out run most modern cars outside performance vehicles off the line. Something to consider with traffic impacts in cities or places with regular steep inclines to navigate. However into city or interstate or even international freighting, this is hardly a consideration. So the only advantage there to BEV's is safety
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well no I disagree. You think its intuitive because you've been raised on it. A foot, isnt actually the size of a foot. You find it easier to measure something in feet away because you're more familiar with feet. Go to somewhere like Australia or Europe and you ask someone to approximate a distance in feet and they'll give you a funny look. They approximate things in Meters. It also makes doing every day thing in your head much easier. Instead of working out which fractions of an inch is more or less or how large, in metric you just say 10mm or 12mm instead of 3/8th or 7/16th. If you're working out distances, you know that there is 1,000m in a km, and 100cm in a meter and 10cm in a millimetre. So if someone says they have a piece of wood 2700mm long, you know right away that its 270 cm long or 2.7m long. If someone says the track goes for 1,500 meters, you know right away that its 1.5km long.
and from the temperatures you know that 0C is the freezing point of water. you know immediately if there is a chance of snow or ice. 100c is boiling point of water so you can tell immedately that a 40c day is going to be hot.
If working out weights you know that there are 1,000 grams in a kg. So if someone tells you something weighs 500 grams you know immediately that its 0.5kg. or if its 300 grams its 0.3kg. its immediate, just shifting zeros. you also know there are 1000 milli litres (ml) in a litre. So if you get a 1L container of milk and you need 250ml of milk for your morning coffee you know straight away that, the milk container will be able to make 4 coffee's for you.
But you are trying to say that figuring out if 3/8ths is more or less than 7/16th is more intuitive than working out 10mm and 12mm? or that 2ft is 0.66 yards rather than 2m is 2,000mm? or that 2 feet is 0.167 inches rather than 2m is 20cm, or that 1.5 miles is 7920 feet rather than 1.5km is 1,500 meters is easier and more intuitive? i'd say you have a screw loose.
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The names are sorta explaining the unit. kilo means 1,000. So a Kilogram, (sometimes called K-G), is 1,000 grams. kilo-gram. A kilometre is 1,000 meters, kilo-meter. Centi 1 one hundredth, there are 100 centi-meters in a meter. milli means one one thousandth, there are 1,000 mm to a meter. a milli-litre is the same, there are 1,000 mL to 1 L. Centi meter, one, 100th, So the boiling point of water is 100c and the freezing point is 0. Otherwise known as a centi-grade.
you want to have a gripe about names that actually describe what they are instead of throwing around words like chain, furlong, gill, peck, rod, fathom, acre-foot. I'd hardly be able to tell you if they were measuring length, volume or weight. meanwhile for metric, anything with meter is length, anything with gram is weight, anything with Litre is volume. and what ever is infront of those is how much of them they are. 1 kiloMETRE, 1,000 meters. 1 milliLITRE, 0.001 Litres, 1 kiloGRAM, 1,00 grams. 1 CentiMETRE, 0.01 meters.
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@AzureViking you can have appoximations like that for metric too. It isnt something unique to metric. the length of your nail bed is approximately 1cm, a long step is approximately 1 meter. If you were to stand and raise one hand above your head that hand would be approximately 2m from the ground, if you reached your arms out to your sides in a T, the distance between your elbows would be around 1m. 1L of water will weigh exactly 1kg, so water like fluids, will approximate 1kg per litre, such as milk (1.035kg/L) or fuel, (0.85kg/L) So if i were to fill my tank with 10L of fuel I would assume I have added 10kg of fuel to my car. (8.5kg in reality but it can be approximated to 10kg). Typical buckets now come in L capacities such as a typical 20L bucket (like a plastic backyard bucket). If I want to know how full that will be full of water, I know that its going to be 20kg. 1L of water is 1kg.
You can find intuitive ways to approximate units from any measurement system. that doesnt make them better or worse. it just means you're used to that measurement system. You find measuring fathoms or feet intuitive against different body scales because that's what you're used to. Thats not something unique to Imperial, it just means you grew up with it. Ask any Australian to approximate a meter and they will have no trouble doing it fairly accurately. You ask them to measure an area, they'll start marching around and give you an approximation in meters according to their steps. its not unique to imperial.
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@AzureViking im not saying you dont find imerpial more intuitive. I'm saying you're used to imperial and that approximating units intuitively isnt something unique to imperial.
Let me gives some more examples. Lets say you want to work out the size of your backyard so you know how much fencing to order. With metric, you just take wide steps, you take 10 steps out to the edge, then you take 20 steps along that edge, then 10 steps back to the house. the two side edges are therefore approximately 10 meters and the back edge is approximately 20m. So you need approximately 40m of fencing. Then lets say you want to work out the area. well its 10m x 20m which is 200 square meters. Done and dusted.
Then lets say you have to buy a new down pipe on the side of your house. instead of going on, measuring the diameter in inches, then converting to fractions before going and getting the pipe. for example, measuring 1.25 inches to get 1" 1/4" pipe. I can go with the tape measure, measure that its around 40mm and go to the store and ask for a 40mm pipe. If they ask how long I want it, I dont have to measure in inches then work out how many ft then inches I need having to do mental conversions between 12 inches to a foot. i can just say I need 1,700mm which is 175cm or 1.75 meters.
If I am going to measure a bolt so I can get a replacements its alot easier to measure and buy a 12mm bolt than it is to measure 0.4375 inches and convert that mentally to fractions to get 7/16th of a inch.
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@niniv2706 When I say that even on a Coal only grid. I am not talking green coal or clean coal. Im talking dirty dirty 1980's coal. EV's still produce far less emissions per mile than ICE does even before you consider the massive emissions and energy impact of refining the fuel you need to burn each mile of driving. Coal being far more dirty than natural gas. By a factor of 2.
Whilst producing EV's is a more emissions heavy process, since the cars themselves produce so little emissions over their operational life and since ICE vehicles produce so much emissions over their operational life, you only have to drive an EV between 6 months to 3 years before your emissions footprint is lower than that of a similar ICE car. (time frame varies depending on how much driving you do and what your local grid mix is.)
unlike flying cars you can buy Battery agricultural equipment. whilst the set up around these machines isnt quite there yet, such as charging infrastructure on the farms themselves. They are promising, especially from an economic standpoint. The power that the electric motors can deliver can in alot of cases out perform traditional diesel equipment. Thats why freight trains use electric motors.
Not sure what you mean by weak amp reserves. As you said, you're not an Engineer. I dont think you fully understand what you mean by that comment. amps arent power. Neither are volts. Amps x Volts is power. Most domestic homes have low voltage and high amps. But through transmission lines they have high voltage and low amps because this reduces line losses greatly. talking about amps is only talking about half the equation. literally.
Work delays depends mostly on 3 things.
1.) what equipment you have
2.) what charging infrastructure you have.
3.) how you're using it.
Take an Tesla model 3 for example. Not agriculture I know but lets look at its charging case. from a wall point it takes 24 hours to charge fully fomr 0%-100%. But thats if I drive 400km in a single day and came home rolling in on the very last electron. This never happens. people only drive maybe 100km in a day at most, meaning they'd roll in with 65% Because most people only charge to 90% (because they dont need the full 400km every day.)
Now from a wall point that only takes around 7 hours to charge. If you have a cheap home charger, you can charge that in just over 1 hour. and a full 0%-100% in 4 hours. Now some people might thing thats too long to wait but consider this. You dont use the car when you're asleep. In fact, in most cases, cars are left unattended for an average of 10-13 hours every evening/morning. And unlike fuel, you dont have to stand there holding the plug. You plug it in and walk off and in the morning you have your full range.
Now looking back at farm equipment. If you had something with sufficient battery capacity to do a days work. its downtime overnight would also be considerable (10-13 hours) unless you're a rare case that you operate your machinery 24/7 like big industrial farms do. It might take you 5-8 hours to fully charge your machinery overnight with a standard home charger which can operate off a domestic electrical system. This not only saves you money on fuel, and on parts and servicing. But it also saves you time from having to refuel your vehicles and from having fuel delivered so you have reserves on-site. You can also curtail your own electrical costs using rooftop mounted solar, and in some cases, like those who have large farm sheds, you can remove that cost entirely.
So think about that use case for battery electric agricultural equipment. But I do realise that the offerings in this category at the moment are very very slim. but it wont always be that way.
Final note though. I am not cheering to remove fossil fuels. Fossil fuels will be a big part of the world for the long term foreseeable future. Not even considering the environmental benefits of electric vehicles, they have far more to offer than most people realize. From an Engineering perspective (and I am happy to explain further if you're interested) EV's are:
1.) safer to operate than ICE
2.) faster than typical ICE's
3.) Cheaper both in fuel and maintenance than ICE
4.) save you more time than ICE's
5.) Offer better features than ICE's
6.) Last longer than ICE's
Many of those seem counter-intuitive to the current narrative. However legacy automakers and big oil has done a fantastic job at seeding misinformation about EV's which becomes plainly apparent when you look at numbers and Engineering of these vehicles.
From Australia - Have a good day.
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Well that’s a big bag of cats there. Every grid has a different mix, even locally. And grid impacts can change depending on overall demand. A power generator running slowly will be less fuel efficient than one running quickly, coal, gas, oil, nuclear, geothermal, bio thermal, solar, wind, hydro all have different impact footprints and change drastically from location to location and even time of day.
It would therefore be suffice enough to say (which he does) that hydrogen uses a percentage more electricity per unit distance than Battery Electric. So you can scale up those impacts for what ever locality you are in under the assumption the same grid supplies the energy in both scenarios.
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@orlovskyconsulting Comment 1/? well no. firstly, drive for long distance? not much more than EV's. I'll go over like for like specs but the mirai and the Tesla model 3 are both 4 door midsized sedans with similar areodynamic frontage. The Tesla gets 325 miles. The Mirai gets 400 miles. and I will go over what you trade off to get that extra 75 miles of range later. But they hardly travel much further than BEV's.
As for space. Yes there is a problem with space for Hydrogen. Firstly lets look at BEV's, They have no engine, no transmission, no exhaust and no fuel tanks. That means they have very deep boots and have converted the front engine bay into another storage compartment. They also offer generous amounts of space in the cabin, especially for the rear seats as they're not crammed and raised to go around the fuel tanks and the transmission like ICE cars. EV's have some of the largest storage and cabin spaces for cars in their respective size classes.
As for hydrogen, sadly thats not quite the case. You see hydrogen whilst being very light, is also takes up alot of volume. The Mirai takes 5.1kg of hydrogen in its fuel tanks. Which doesnt sound like alot until you realise that fully compressed, 5.1kg of hydrogen takes up 141 L of tanks space. Thats more fuel tank space than a ford F150 crammed into a mid-sized sedan. It also has to bounce this around a 1.6 kWh battery pack, a fuel cell, and exhaust system, coolant system, impact protection and an electric motor.
What this means is that the Mirai, far from having no problem with space, has less storage space than a Toyota Yarris. 100L less boot space infact. And the yarris is a car less than half its size. It has no front trunk like the Tesla either.
In relation to the cabin, there is so little cabin space in the Mirai that you cant even fold the rear seats down if you want to extend the boot. Something very easily achieved in the model 3. This, despite the Mirai being 1 inch wider, 1inch taller and 11 inches longer than the model 3.
so yes, hydrogen vehicles have a problem with space. to suggest they dont is pure denial.
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@orlovskyconsulting Comment 2/? Safety is an issue in hydrogen vehicles. Not because of explosive risks. they've more than mitigated that risk. Not zero, but very mitigated. However thats not the issue, in my last comment I noted that the Mirai has a boot space significantly smaller than even a car half its size. It also does not have any storage space in the front engine bay as that is where they've fitted the fuel cell. In terms of safety the best way you can protect the tanks from puncture is to protect them from collision. The entire car is reinforced to prevent any collision from crumpling up near the fuel tanks or the fuel cell. The car is so reinforced infact that the Mirai is heaver than the Tesla model 3. This is Bad for survivability because crumple zones matter. They absorb energy and reduce the impulse of energy to an occupant.
If you're travelling in a car, what is more uncomfortable, a short sharp slam on the brakes or a slow gradual deceleration? Crumple zones matter because if you can increase the time it takes to go from moving to stationary in a collision you significantly increase the chances of survival for the occupants.
What the Mirai does is protect the fuel tanks over the occupants. You cant have you cake and eat it too. The front crumple zone is compromised to protect the fuel cell whilst in a Tesla its extended because there is nothing there. In the Mirai the rear crumple zone is compromised to protect the rear fuel cells whilst in a Model 3 its extended because there is nothing there and in a side collision the Mirai's crumple zone is compromised to protect the centre line fuel tank, whilst in a Model 3 its, again, extended.
Coupled with the fact that out of pure physical contraints the Mirai, like all hydrogen vehicles will have a higher centre of mass than an EV with a skateboard battery pack, meaning the likelyhood of a roll over is increased in the mirai compared to the the model 3 which again, reduces survivability.
Dont get me wrong, the Mirai is a safe vehicle to drive. But its not as safe as an EV. pure and simple. Designers had a choice, protect the occupants, at risk of the fuel tanks rupturing or protect the fuel tanks at the detriment of the occupants. The fuel tanks won out because an explosion from them would not only kill the occupants anyway but also anyone nearby. And i say rupture instead of puncture purposefully. The tanks are designed to vent safely when punctured. When I say ruptured I mean the vehicle had had a collision significantly enough to tear the car apart (happens all the time in high speed collision). In that event the breach in the fuel tank isn't a small controlled hole but a large tear which could be almost the size of the fuel thank. coupled with the inevitable sparks and other ignition sources likely to be occurring in that sort of collision, the result can be catastrophic. The Mirai is design to prevent that from happening by reducing the survivability of the occupants in a collision. Them is the physics. like it or not.
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@stickmouse5002 In that area the Pro's and Con's between the two start to become less black and white. Hydrogen vehicles suffer from a critical lack of power. Fuel cells output very low amounts of power and need to use batteries to adequately accelerate. The limitation there is the surface area of the catalytic element in fuel cells, meaning to have more power you need to take up more space. which means less fuel.
So hydrogen trucks would be underpowered compared to their EV counterparts without making the truck prohibitively large. The Tesla Semi can carry 40T. (6T is the Cyber Truck Ute carrying capacity which again, is on-par for its size category) which for its size is pretty on-par. However there are limitations in legislation in different parts of the world which limit the amount an electric truck and tow (I am not familiar with why).
The Tesla Semi has a few advantages. First is that thanks to the power available in the batteries, the acceleration of Semi's even under load is very fast. Reducing traffic impacts, and reducing transit times which is appealing to trucking companies. They also have better turning circles and a longer lifespan than their hydrogen counterparts noting the fuel tank space requirements mentioned previously, causing the hydrogen semi truck to be larger than the Electric Semi. EV semi's such as the Tesla Semi, also have a significant advantage that the cost of electricity is significantly cheaper than the cost of hydrogen. Meaning lower operating costs, especially with the longer lifespan. Which is also very appealing to freight companies.
So EV's make a good argument for freighting semi's. However hydrogen has its advantages aswell. Hydrogen will likely be able to travel further on a tank. Which can matter in some niche circumstaces. However more broadly it would be faster to refuel a hydrogen truck than to recharge it. Suggesting that long distance freight instead of same city freight would favour hydrogen over EV as saving time would save costs, but that has to be balances with costs of operation per mile in fuel.
Another advantage is that hydrogen Semi trucks have is weight. There is an upper limit to the gross weight allowed on truck which varies between areas depending on road conditions and local/federal laws. EV's at this scale will be heaver than Hydrogen due to their scalability. (whilst in the private car scale hydrogen is only barely heavier than EV's). This means that potentially a hydrogen truck could transport more cargo before it max's its gross weight limit.
In every instance, the freight companies buying the trucks will have the weigh up the cost per mile, cost per minute, cost per kg of product, for what ever they transporting and how far they are transporting it. So it becomes very case by case as to which would be better suited.
However I predict in the future, local couriers and semi's delivering within the same city, say 400 miles radius, will most likely be Battery Electric trucks. However long distance freight will more than likely be Hydrogen, mostly due to refuelling times.
Another split would be that less weight dense products will lean towards BEV trucks whilst more weight dense products would lean towards Hydrogen trucks, due to gross weight limitations.
Hope that sort of clears things up a little bit, anything bigger than a domestic car and smaller than Train or Aircraft, and the line between EV and Hydrogen becomes kinda blurred. Similar could be said about agricultural machinery.
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@AGGELIAFOROS most of it is due to lack of investment. There are ways you can stablise renewables, diversification in both geography and generation type, as well as fairly minimal storage. For example the state of South Australia in Australia went from being the most unreliable grid in the country, with the highest wholesale prices and was dependant on other states for the majority of their energy. They invested heavily in renewables with a science based approach (not a virtue signalling approach like California). Now they 70% renewables grid with out a single 150MW big Battery storage farm, They are not the most stable grid in the country consistently remaining operational and even keep other states above water during nation gird events, they have the second lowest wholesale electricity prices in Australia and are net exporters of energy to other states.
Its not that it cant be done, or we don't know how to do it, or that it cant be done rapidly (in SA, we're talking 10 years to do this). The problem is politicians wont do it. In almost every major economy, you will find oil and fossil fuel companies being some of the biggest political donors out there. Especially in Australia, the Federal government ran a smear campaign against the shift, especially the big battery even going as far as the now priminister of the country saying the state government was stupid and, on live TV, spewing blatantly false information as to what the battery actually does.
Thats the only real hurdle here.
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@kacper3586 H2 power station would be pretty useless. Additoinally whilst it costs $1.2 million to retrofit a fuel station to dispense hydrogen it only costs $0.25 million to build a bank of superchargers.
But thats not the only costs. There is the fact that it takes ALOT of electricity and resources to make hydrogen in the first place. Thats why the cost of hydrogen is around 20x per mile than it is for a BEV to charge per mile. Thats not inconsiderable either.
The reason why a hydrogen powerplant would be fairly useless is because its not a power plant, and its inefficient. You are storing energy as hydrogen, you lose around 40% of your energy converting energy into hydrogen. Then you have to turn it back into electricity, in which you lose a further 40% of your remaining energy. The end result is that for every 100kWh of electricity you put into making the hydrogen, you get out only 35 kWh. Thats a loss of 65kWh, almost 2/3rds of your energy is wasted down the drain.
Why on earth would you do that when you could just store it in batteries, kinetic storage, liquid salt storage, pumped hydro storage, gravity storage, and more. All of which are far far more efficient than storing it as hydrogen.
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It’s clearly worse. Fuel cells don’t last as long as batteries, they have notoriously low power output making the cars themselves slow and needing lithium batteries anyway just to accelerate, the fuel takes up a huge amount of volume meaning no, they can’t get further than EV’s because you don’t have enough physical space to put the fuel to do so. That also means you have drastically reduced cabin space and boot space making them vastly more impractical to own. Infact, if you were a taxi driver, it would be more practical on space constraints alone to buy a TOYOTA YARIS than a Toyota Mirai as it has both better passenger space AND boot space.
Additionally due to the energy and logistical requirements, the fuel will always cost significantly more per mile than it costs to charge a BEV per mile.
Where’s the competition? BEV,s last longer, go further, have far better cabin and boot space, cheaper to operate, have better performance, and are generally safer designs. I see no competition.
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some comments and your points.
1.) demand doesn't necessarily peak that much from charging EV's. EV"s can be charged with as little current draw as a toaster uses.
2.) EV's are typically charged when demand is lowest. This actually increases power plant efficiencies reducing the cost of power.
3.) only very selective cities have regular brownouts. Most are fine. The ones that arent is due to poor infrastructure management and planning and political interference in them. California is a great example of when politicians decide to play Engineer.
4.) Typically, modern EV's have rages around 250-300 miles. Most people doing beach trips live closer than 2-3 hours drive of a beach. having to suffer 4-6 hours drive round trip takes up most of your day. Meaning the ranges on current generation EV's would be sufficient without charging for most cases. Additionally for coastal states and countries such as Australia, the majority of the population lives within 100km (around 60 miles) of the coastline. So again, modern EV charge ranges are sufficient. So that means in your scenario it isnt everyone trying to get a charge.
Then we have to consider that, that will likely not be the only fuel station with charging points. Additionally fuel stations arent the only place you would have charging points unlike fossil fuels. Meaning there would be far more places to get a charge. For example its becoming more common for beach side carparks to have their own chargers (between 3-6 typically). Although not rapid chargers, a 4 hour stay at those chargers will do you to 100% from 0. But since most people dont roll in on their last electron the average stay would be between 1-2 hours while they're at the beach enjoying themselves. Dad comes back and moves the car once its charged to let the next person who rolls in use it. Keeping in mind that even if you're not using the charger and you're waiting. its a beach side carpark, you can park and enjoy the beach while you wait.
But they wont be the only ones with chargers, Cafe's super markets, council parking spots are all getting more and more of these destination chargers, whilst more and more fuel stations and super charger stations are being built with rapid chargers. So the idea that the only place to get a charge would be 4 bays in a single fuel stations is misleading today yet alone in 20-30 years when EV's make up 50% of the vehicles on the road.
5.) Whilst power plants certainly use fossil fuels, EV's are still far more efficient and produce far less emissions than a combustion car in 3 ways.
A.) Even on a coal only grid (which isnt even the case in the US), EV's still produce significantly less emissions per mile than Combustion cars do even before considering the emissions produced by fuel refining and transport. Infact, its actually more FUEL EFFICIENT to charge your EV with a cheap small portable generator than it is to use that same fuel in a similar sized car.
B.) Even the US isnt a fossil only grid. Infact the nation grid in the US is around 33% emissions free/renewable energy and that fraction is growing steadily. whilst 66% is of fossil fuels with 32% of that being Gas which is one of the more emissions friendly fossil fuels to use in power plants. All making the emissions efficiency of EV's higher.
C.) ALOT of people have home solar and more and more are getting home solar which further reduces the emissions impact of EV's on the energy grid.
Hopefully this cleared up some misconceptions for you.
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@MikeHottVOD it does violate the laws of phyiscs. Energy cannot be created or destroyed and entropy always increases and never decreases without the input of external energy.
That means that to get energy out you need to put energy in. Self charging assumes you can create energy from nothing which violates the law of conservation of energy. The second part about entropy, also called the second law of thermodynamics, means that a system can never be more than 100% efficient. Even then, there is an upper limit to efficiency, you'll never truly have something 100% efficient. there will always be losses. So a "self charging car" violates the laws of physics.
as for energy requirements, there isnt really a problem predicted for this. Whilst if everyone overnight took delivery of an EV, we would have a problem. But the worlds energy grid has never failed to increase over time by an average of doubling every 20 years. Think about all the electronics we have today that we didnt in the past. Im stting on a laptop with a separate screen using a digital mouse and keypad, listening to music on a speaker system, connected to my phone, whilst my washing machine, dishwasher, 3D printer are all on, and my aircon is also blasting with several lights in the house on, and a refrigerator running 24/7, meanwhile 2 decades ago, it might have just been the fridge and lights operating and an aircon if you were lucky. maybe a radio.
The point of all that was that at the rate EV's are being adopted, even with optimistic predictions, the grid should have increased enough to support them by the time we get to full market penetration.
Saying the grid cannot support it now, is a very myopic thought to have. it doesnt need to support them now, it is always growing, by the time EV's are fully adopted the grid will be more than capable of handling the power demands.
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@MikeHottVOD so your "self charging car" isn't a "self charging car" but a "refuelling" car. Got it. Except unless you're using fossil fuels, you'll have to use more energy to create the fuel and due to the law of entropy, you'll get less of it out as work. So no.
As for your example with Texas, let me get your logic straight. The power goes out during a natural disaster therefore its EV's fault? not good logic. You see, the power went out in texas during the snow storm not because people turned their heaters on. But because the FUEL FROZE! Texas has more than enough power to supply all the homes and heaters in the state, the problem was that the state had never had an event like that in recorded history, as such, the power grid wasn't designed to withstand artic temperatures. What happened was that the gas lines supplying the power stations froze and fuel stopped flowing to them because they're not insulated or heat traced like ones in colder climates (again, because they've never had to be.) Coal supplies were left outside of the plant instead of having to build an entire facility inside the plant (again, because they never had to.) and they couldnt get it into the burners through all the snow. Train supplying more coal were also stopped by the amount of snow. Switching stations also froze over mitigating the girds ability to load shed.
Power didn't go out in texas because they didn't have the grid capacity, it went out because they weren't built for those climates.
Complaining that EV's shouldn't be adopted because the power went out during the texas snow storm is like saying that EV's shouldn't be adopted because one time there was a hurricane in New Orleans and the power went out for days. its fundamentally flawed logic void of any critical thinking what so ever.
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@MikeHottVOD ..... the point of having a battery is that you dont need to have it connected to the grid..... your logic is still flawed. lets run through a scenario
Modern EV's have enough charge to run a daily commute, even a longer than average one, 3-5 times without worrying about charging. If we're looking at the US average daily commute, as much as 25 times before you need to look for a charge. Most EV's are charged from home overnight, so you wake up every morning with what is effectively a full tank of fuel. when the grid goes down, batteries in your car dont.
Now lets look at ICE cars, the fuel tank on the average car is around about the same as modern EV's unless you're looking at larger diesel SUV's and pickups. at the time the power goes out, you have only what ever fuel you have left in the tank since you filled it up last. that could be a full tank or you could be just about to trigger your fuel light. How do you expect to get more fuel WHEN THE POWER TO THE FUEL STATIONS TO RUN THE FUEL PUMPS TO REFUEL YOUR CAR REQUIRE GRID ELECTRICITY!? again, think boy! think! no power, no pumps, no pumps, no fuel, no fuel, no vroom vroom!
again, try thinking things through more!
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@MikeHottVOD Here is the problem with that idea. solar powered cars are fairly gimicky, you have around 2 square meters of a car you can put solar panels, assuming they dont get dirty or damaged which is a BIG assumption. 1 square meter of solar panels will produce 1kw of power. So lets say you leave your car in the sun all day on a summers day and you produce a whopping.... 13kWh of electricity. thats going to get a car like the model 3 (one of the most efficient EV's on the road today), only around 63 miles.
Now there are some fully functional EV's coming out which ARE solar AUGMENTED but to make the most of the solar they're shaped like a giant wing making them both ugly and impractical, they have 2 seats, no boot space, have the weight of a feather, are slow, and.. get this, only have 3 wheels, which if you've ever seen a reliant robin go around a corner too quickly, you might immediately spot the problem with that. and thats not fully on solar either.
the trouble there is that the power you get from the sun over the area of a car, even if you captured all of it, isnt actually alot. and there are some base requirements for diving a car with passengers are freeway speeds in terms of energy requirements. Further to that a solar car would have been completely and utterly useless in say, the Texas snow storm, or really anywhere too far from the equator like areas of Canada, norway and others. For example, in winter, you only get 7 hours of daylight. Assuming you get a sunny day of course (not common in the UK from what I hear), you'd succeed at capturing around 30% of that energy as it goes around (think glancing angles as the sun moves around. You cant point the car at the sun all day) so you'd make 4.2 kWh of electricity, which would get a Model 3, 20 miles.
Not exactly an encouraging range is it?
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as a quick example, lets do some basic maths here. Firstly lets assume some VERY efficient values and we'll calculate the bare minimum energy requirements, and then we'll compare to the 1.3kW that the sun can provide maximum per square meter on a sunny day, assuming a 100% efficient solar panel that captures every bit of sunlight energy.
Firstly lets work out where we are going. So lets say you want to drive to the top of a small mountain such as Mt Dandenong in Victoria Australia. The trip from the base to the top is around 17.7km and ascends 633m to its peak. Lets also assume its 1 passenger plus luggage so around 120kg. We'll also assume 1T for the car, its systems, seats and safety features (crash frame, airbags, etc) (VERY optimistic). Then lets assume the weight of the battery is only sufficient enough to get us to the top of the mountain, zero waste (impractical but lets do it) with a battery density that of the model 3 also of 260 wh/kg. We will also assume a VERY good drag co-efficient such as for the model 3 of 0.23, we'll also assume a similar size car to the model 3 with a frontal cross sectional area of 2.6m^2, and of course, an average speed up the mountain of around 60km/h.
Now that that is out of the way, If we work out losses due to air resistance, rolling resistance, and the energy required to displace the mass of the occupant, luggage, car and batteries, up 633m of elevation, we can use simultaneous equations to solve for the weight and size of the battery, and the energy required to get to the top of the mountain.
What we get is that, assuming 100% efficiency, and zero braking on the journey, we get 2.66kWh required, meaning around 10.2kg of batteries. But if we add some optimistically low losses, such as 97% efficiency for the motor, 98% for the batteries and 95% for the inverter, we will need 2.96 kWh of electricity.
We also know that at 60km/h it will take around 18 minutes to travel that distance.
We know that in clear sunlight, the maximum amount of energy the lands of a single square meter of earth is 1.3kW's of energy. If we captured every single drop of that sunlight energy, (impossible but lets assume so and lets assume its at noon when that energy concentration is at its peak and not say, late afternoon.)
Over the time it takes to travel up the mountain, 18 minutes, we wold have collected 0.39kwh of energy, or 13% of the energy we require
And that's Impossibly unrealistically optimistic efficiencies
There just isn't the energy for it. yet alone factoring in things like shade from the overhead tree's as you're driving, aircon or cooling systems, internal power in the car for things like radio and instrument panels etc etc etc.
IT CANNOT BE DONE I've been trying to tell you this, there just isn't the energy. face the facts.
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@abstractexchange5057 actually no. When I say it takes alot of energy to create hydrogen. Which it does, I dont mean the energy converted to chemical potential energy. I mean the energy wasted. If you were to supply 100kWh to an electrolysis process, and then compress that hydrogen before passing it through a fuel cell, you would only get 33kWh out of the fuel cell. The rest of the energy will be wasted However supply 100kWh to a battery and you will be able to get 92 kWh of electricity out of it. Thats what I mean by alot of energy.
And whilst hydrogen is gravimetrically dense in terms of kWh/kg (around 33kWh per kg) It is not very Volumetrically dense in kWh/L or kWh/gal. Even compressed to 700 bar hydrogen only has a volumetric energy density of 1.4kWh/L (5.3 kWh/gal) Meaning for vehicles like the Toyota Mirai for example, whilst they only carry 5.6kg of hydrogen on board, that takes up a whopping 3 fuel tanks totally 141L of fuel tank capacity (37 gallons).
Thats more fuel tank storage in a small mid-sized sedan than you'd get in a Ford F150 twice its size. And for only 400 miles of range. This mean the Mirai has to sacrifice space, they have VERY little cabin space, the boot in the Mirai is so small its 100L less than a Toytoa Yaris which is a whole 2 classes smaller than the Mirai, and even then it doesnt have enough space to fold the rear seats down to try to extend the boot space.
Meanwhile the similarly sized Tesla Model 3 gets only 75 miles less range, has a massive trunk (almost class leading) with another trunk in the front engine bay, and has class leading cabin space. It is also significantly faster than the Mirai, last longer than the Mirai in terms of total lifespan, and costs around 20x less per mile to operate.
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@benjaminjoseph3392 whilst BEV’s have around 15% more emissions and environmental impacts than a ICE car of the same size, trim and role. (Would be more of it needed a fuel system, engine, transmission, etc.) that equates to approximately 1 ton of emissions more than the its ICE equivalent. However over its operational life, it will emit approximately 30-40 tons LESS than its ice equivalent. And their end of life impacts are roughly equivalent. And that a well to wheels analysis. From the source of fuel for power plants (assumed coal, the gap is more drastic with a mixed grid). Likewise it also follows extraction of crude oil, transport to and processing thru fuel refineries, and ultimately transported again to fuel stations.
And that’s even with the assumption both vehicles have the same lifespan. In reality modern EV’s should see about double the useable lifespan (if not more) of either their FCEV and ICE counterparts. With drastically less servicing than either. Meaning you can safely double those results as well.
As for FCEV competitively, they are terribly inefficient. You have to utilise 9x more electricity from the same grid that charges a BEV per kilometre for hydrogen on a best case scenario assuming technology efficiencies at current only hypothetically achievable.
They also last about as long as ICE cars and half as long as BEV’s. Meaning for every one BEV you need to make use and dispose of 2 FCEV’s or ICE’s.
That is why many people think FCEV’s are mind bogglingly stupid. But that’s also not true. It’s only stupid for domestic vehicles. For long distance freight, FCEV’s offer better range and refueling times. Albeit with less performance and safety. But in long distant freight, battery cannot compete. But for domestic use, you’d be a fool to chase FCEV’s.
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@muzahirabbas8282 hat depends entirely on the size of the battery for your drone example, but happy to discuss why hydrogen would be unsuitable for small drones.
as for Tesla vs hydrogen the reasons I believe hydrogen will no be competitive in the domestic vehicle market are plain when outlined and I am happy to discuss. It comes down to the following 7 reasons. (I will be using comparisons between the Toyota Mirai and Tesla Model 3 as they are both similarly sized vehicles in the same category (mid-sized sedan). It is also worth noting that the Mirai is much longer than the model 3 but its cross sectional area is only marginally larger than the model 3 (around an inch wider and taller). In addition the Mirai despite being hydrogen weighs slightly more than the model 3. but only by a few hundred kg.
1.) Performance
2.) Handling
3.) Safety
4.) Space
5.) Cost
6.) Refuelling
7.) Lifespan
1.) Hydrogen Vehicles suffer from a fatal lack of performance. This is because Fuel Cell (which is the most efficient way to use hydrogen. you don't want a combustion vehicle as you will see in (4.) & (6.) has a power output entirely dependant on the size of the catalytic area in the fuel cell. With a fuel cell taking up the entire engine bay, there is still not enough power to adequately accelerate the car but only just enough to allow it to cruise. This means they mostly need batteries or some other form of energy storage to provide the additional power to accelerate the car. Unfortunately the smaller the battery, the less power output it has, and with so little space as outlined in (4.) most hydrogen vehicles don't have very large batteries. By contract performance, due to the large batteries, comes naturally to electric vehicles. The model 3 for example does 0-60 in 3.2 seconds, whilst the Mirai does 0-60 in 9.2 seconds. a whole 6 seconds slower.
There are some hydrogen vehicles which can go quickly, such as the Hyperion XP-1. However this is a very expensive, purpose built performance car. It has 3 fuel cells and an array of super capacitors to help with acceleration. All the space is taken up by fuel tanks and fuel cells. meaning its about as practical as a daily driver as lamborignia Aventador. Meanwhile the Tesla model S plaid can out drag the hyperion despite the tesla being a 4 door, 5 seat large luxury sedan.
What I am getting at is that there is a physical limitation to the performance of these vehicles in balance with their practicality. More power means you'll need to sacrifice space, seats and practicality. For Battery Electrics (BEV's) this isn't the case.
2.) as well as performance, Handling is impacted as well when in comparison to BEV's. That is because the while base of the car is used to house fuel tanks. which are round by necessity. Ontop of those they have to place the battery packs and exhaust system. Then in the engine bay they have to place the fuel cell. All together this gives a higher centre of gravity which results in less elegant handling. BEV's by comparison have what are called skateboard battery packs, This puts the centre of mass almost at the wheel axis giving it incredible natural handling and natural roll over prevention.
3.) Let me start this off by saying hydrogen vehicles are Engineered to their teeth to be safe. They are safe vehicles. Safer than combustion vehicles, but not as safe as BEV's. This is due to several factors. one of them being the roll over. As noted in (2.) the vehicles have a higher centre of mass making them easier to roll over. Whilst lower than a combustion vehicle (ICE) they are easier to tip than a BEV. This impacts survivability in an accident. What they also dont have are crumple zones. As noted previously, the fuel cell stack is usually in the engine bay which is the case for the Mirai. As I will explain in (4.) there is little room in the boot either. Because Hydrogen is extremely explosive in ranges of 4%-74% air saturation, Fuel cells and fuel tanks are critically protected. They do this with chassis reinforcement and steel plate guards. (note that whilst the hydrogen, tanks, fuel cell, exhaust, batteries are all lighter in Hydrogen Vehicles than their equivalent in BEV's the Mirai is heavier than the Model 3. This is why, the added protection). These areas are very well protected. Whilst the tanks are very safe, and aren't usually prone to critical failure, they are safe in the event of over-pressure from crushing or punctures, however if you tear one open in an accident then they are very not safe. The vehicle turns into a bomb which can wipe out traffic and pedestrians within a few hundred meters of the vehicle. The kinds of forces which would result in that are the type of forces which tear vehicles in 2, chassis and all. Whilst those kinds of accidents are rare, they do happen and its not hard to find photos of similar accidents online. As such the chassis is reinforced to protect the hydrogen tanks and fuel cell. The tanks are also protected by steel guards. This means that the crumple zones for the front, rear and sizes are significantly compromised. Meaning lower survivability. Meanwhile BEV's excel at this. With nothing in the front but storage space, no fuel tank in the back, and no transmission or engine running the length of the vehicle, BEV's have higher than average crumple zones. Giving them excellent survivability.
To finish this point off. Hydrogen Vehicles are designed to be extremely safe. The hydrogen systems are extremely safe. but to do so they did have to trade off survivability in terms of energy absorption. (crumple zones).
4.) Space, Hydrogen vehicles suffer from a distinct lake of space which makes them impractical. By comparison, BEV's have alot of it. With not transmission running length, passenger space inside is generous. With no fuel tanks, the rear boot is very deep and spacious. With not engine the front of the car turns into another storage compartment. By comparison, Hydrogen Vehicles are the worst for space when compared to BEV's or ICE's. This is because while hydrogen is very energy dense (energy contained per kg), even at 700 bar (the pressure its stored at for hydrogen vehicles. This is also 32 times the pressure LPG is stored at. For reference, big steel Gas Bottles). they have very low volumetric energy density (energy per volume). While the Mirai can get 400 miles on only 5.6 kg of hydrogen. That hydrogen, even at 700 bar, takes up a whopping 147L of fuel tanks. That's ALOT of space gone! sitting on those fuel tanks are batteries for acceleration and in the front, fuel cell stack. all together what this means is no storage in the front. very little internal cabin space and even less boot space. In real world metrics, the Mirai is dimensionally larger than the model 3, about 1 inch taller and wider and 11 inches longer. Yet it has less internal cabin space for passenger. infact so little that you cant fold the rear seats down if you want to extend the boot. The boot of the Mirai is also so small that despite it being a mid-sized sedan. It has a smaller boot than a Toyota Yarris. A vehicle less than half its size and 2 whole size categories smaller. Infact the Yarris beats the Mirais boot space by more than 100L!
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@muzahirabbas8282 When you consider the poor performance of the Mirai in terms of acceleration, you can begin to see why these vehicles are becoming impractical. If you want a daily driver you have to get used to driving one of the slower cars in its class. If you want speed you have to get used not being able to carry passengers or even your shopping.
5.) Cost. Hydrogen is expensive. This is due to its efficiency and how the energy is transported to the car. Hydrogen is either made via electrolysis, where you pump in electrical energy from grid to separate hydrogen from something like water, or its made with fossil fuels. Less energy intensive but VERY dirty for the environment. The cheapest form of Hydrogen is unsurprisingly the former. Whilst still using a large amount of energy, (although not as much as electrolysis), its still very expensive. This can be as much as twice the price of petrol per mile range. With Electrolysis, even more so.
To compare it to BEV's you have to understand how much energy is used and where from. If you want green hydrogen you need electricity from the grid. The same grid that would charge a BEV. (so all those "EV's drive on coal" arguments would also apply to hydrogen except much worse as you're about to see). From outlet to wheel the efficiency of a BEV is around 80-85%. Electrolysis alone is 70% efficient. That is that if you were to get 100 kWh from the grid, you would get 70 kWh of potential chemical energy of hydrogen as a product of electrolysis. The rest of the energy is lost to heat and breaking chemical bonds. It then has to be compressed to 700 bar (which is not a little bit of pressure). This is only 80% efficient. It then has to be transported which is generally around a 15% less (if we assume the trucks are hydrogen powered). Then it gets put into a hydrogen vehicle. Now a combustion hydrogen vehicle has efficiencies between 15%-20%. But a fuel cell has an efficiency of 60%. Then it just puts it through an inverter 95%, and into an electric motor 97%. So from the 100 kWh supplied by the grid to an outlet, For a hydrogen vehicle only around 26 kWh actually makes it to the wheels. For a BEV for the same 100 kWh supplied to the same outlet, around 80 kWh reaches the wheels.
What does this mean to cost? it means that you need 3 times more energy per mile to run hydrogen. Which means on energy costs alone its 3 times more expensive. For a BEV, that is the only cost to consider. For hydrogen you also have to consider the cost of water, the cost of the hydrogen plants overheads (staffing wages, maintenance, admin and logistics) and the cost of transportation. Then that plant has to slap on profit overheads. After all they have to make a profit, Then fuel stations have to buy this hydrogen at that price, and add in their overheads and slap their profit markup onto because they too need to make a profit. BEV's are around 10x cheaper to run per mile than ICE vehicles. Meanwhile hydrogen costs around 8x as much per miles than ICE vehicles. Even if they reaches cost parity of ICE vehicles hydrogen will still be 10x more expensive to operate per miles. And in energy alone, they will always be at least 3 times more expensive.
It is also worth noting the arguments against EV's for things like "the grid cant handle EV adoption" is 3 fold worse for hydrogen.
6.) Refuelling. This may seem like something hydrogen vehicles have an edge with but that's sadly not the case. For Domestic passenger vehicles, refuelling is a disadvantage. This is because the average person has daily commute of around 70 miles. The model 3 for example has a range of 325 miles. More than enough to cover you daily commute. And since you only need access to electricity to charge an BEV, this means that you can charge at home. Simply plug it in when you get home, enjoy your evening, get up in the morning and you have the equivalent of a full tank every morning. 0 time out of your day. Also thanks to the relatively cheap to install super charger network, when you do happen to do longer trips of say, 1,000 miles, it will only add an extra 1.5-2 hours to your travel time when you take out the time for the inevitable toilet and food stops. and mind you only 1.5-2 hours added to a trip somebody might do once a year at best. Hardly a daily occurrence. However for hydrogen, you have to refuel. Regularly. The average person refuels once per week which means that on average a person will spend 16-17 hours per year refuelling their car. Which is far more than the 1.5-2 hours added to a trip you might do once a year. So in the case of domestic passenger vehicles, Refuelling is a disadvantage.
7.) Lifespan. Contrary to popular belief (thanks media idiots), BEV's are incredibly long lasting. Current EV batteries are designed to last well longer than 500,000 miles or more with many on the road already passed 400,000 - 500,000 miles on their original batteries. They last approximately double the lifetime of a standard combustion engine. But what about Hydrogen?
Hydrogen vehicles come off the assembly line with an expiration date printed on the fuel cap which says "do not refuel after xxxx date". This is because of 2 reasons. A.) hydrogen embrittlement of materials. Hydrogen atoms are small. very small. so small that they can pass through solid metal. When they pass through certain materials they degrade the integrity of that material making it weak and brittle. This isn't a fast process however. But it compromises the lifespan of anything in contact with or even near hydrogen in its gas form. B.) is because of the pressure its stored at. As hydrogen fuel is used, it doesn't "drain" the fuel tanks but depressurises them. The pressure inside that tanks are constantly cycling from 1 bar to 700 bar as you use a refuel the vehicle. This has an enormous fatigue loading on the fuel tanks. After a certain amount of time, this will reduce the safety and integrity of the tanks. As a result of those 2 things, hydrogen vehicles get an expiration date of around 10 years. Whilst for a standard person 500,000 miles represents 30-40 years of driving.
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@Wolf-Spirit_Alpha-Sigma people seem to be disillusioned about the realities of the technology. And the point is I don’t want people to have the wrong information or assumption. Such as hydrogen would be any better for heavy haulage. There are some very real and serious physical limitations to hydrogen that nobody seems to talk about. And just people people put money into it doesn’t mean it’s good. People put money into Betamax, even millions of dollars has been spent on fly wire for a submarine. Doesn’t mean they’re a good idea. Mazda spend untold millions on rotary engines, where did that go?
You can get a hydrogen car if you want but let me sum up how that would compare to if you had got an EV,
-You get similar ranges, so no advantage there.
-you’d be paying 20x more for fuel per mile.
-you’d been buying a car that would last around 1/3rd the lifetime of the EV.
-it would be exceptionally slower than the EV.
-you would buy a car that not only has pathetic cabin and cargo space compared to an EV, but in its class as well (the mirai for example, despite being a midsized sedan has almost 100L less boot space than a toyota Yaris half its size! and so little cabin space you can’t even fold the rear seats to extend the boot if you needed)
-you’d be getting something way less green. Not only is most hydrogen made from fossil fuels, even if you had green hydrogen you’d need 3-4 times as much grid electricity from the same grid per miles worth of hydrogen.
-you’d be wasting time. BEV’s can charge from home while your asleep, for daily commutes 99.9% of the year that means you’d have a full tank every morning. Hydrogen can’t do that, you’d have to spend on average 17-16 hours per year getting fuel.
These short comings also reflect on hydrogen vs electric trucks. With less cargo space and less power and even less range with drastically higher operating costs and drastically lower lifespans. They’re not a good solution there either.
Unfortunately those are the facts. They’re not competitive. What they are, is a way out for fossil fuel companies as ICE cars are slowly being phased out globally. Not only is hydrogen predominantly made with fossil fuels but they also have to be distributed by fuel stations. Of which fossil fuel companies own a monopoly on, neither could be said about BEV’s. If you think the automotive industries biggest partner (fossil fuel companies) aren’t having any influence on the push for hydrogen, even in Toyota, then think again.
All you have to do is look at all the lies and disinformation you hear about BEV’s but that you never hear about any of the negatives about hydrogen. Like how they come off the assembly line with an expiration date printed on the fuel cap limiting the life to 10-15 years of life. Bet you never heard about that. But I bet you hear that EV’s catch fire despite statistics, automotive safety authorities and others all agreeing that BEV’s are 11 times less likely to spontaneously combust and 5 times less likely to combust in an accident and less serious when they do combust in terms of survivability.
People seem to think hydrogen is this underdog that will eventually triumph, but it’s not, hydrogen is being boosted at every corner and batteries are being smeared at every turn.
I mean hell, a mirai costs more without incentives than a Tesla model 3 but in some places you get get one with incentives for $8k USD brand new! Plus $15,000 of free fuel from Toyota! suffice to say there is a good reason that even with all they, hydrogen has consistently failed to take off. They’re just not good for cars/trucks.
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@moodymoody2013 hydrogen isn’t the only solution. Big battery storage, hydro electric storage, kinetic storage, liquid salt storage, liquid air storage, the list goes on. In relation to efficiencies hydrogen actually sits fairly low. In that if you were to put in 100kWh into hydrogen storage, you’d only get 30kWh out when you need it later. Compare that to a big battery, if you stored 100kWh, then you’d get around 98kWh out.
Hydrogen is extremely wasteful as an energy storage solution and is only really talked about as a solution due to rapid refueling and fuel transport.
In terms of grid energy storage it’s a horrible solution. In terms of domestic passenger cars it’s a horrible solution. In terms long range freight, shipping, and air flight, it’s probably one of the only solutions. (One of)
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The state of South Australia has 70% renewables, have the second cheapest wholesale energy price in Australia and the most stable gird in Australia. Germany is also not an example of renewables failure but a renewables success. However Germany is fairly limited geographically for renewables and would need the implementation of the European super grid to actually get to fully renewable. Otherwise winters will become a long standing problem for them.
As for home solar, It cost me $7,800 to install. Its a 5.5kW system (after inversion losses). on winter days (sunny, not hard in Australia) we produce around 20kWh, In summer days we produce 40kWh in a day. (sometimes more depending on cloud cover). 5.5kW a lot more than is required to run a blow drier (typically 1.9-2.4 kW draw). We have a 50 kWh electric vehicle good for 400km on a charge. We only drive around 100km per day (12.5 kWh used by the EV on average). So the car has to charge up 12.5kWh. which a charging efficiency averaged for that car to be 96% efficient it would require 13 kWh to charge from the panels. (FYI we charge the EV at 3kW.)
Fortunately due to current circumstances my wife works night shift and takes the EV, while I work from home, meaning we can charge it during the day direct from solar, However a standard home energy storage would be able to store enough energy to charge the car, otherwise we get money back from the grid for putting in power to the grid. So no, you're wrong about solar there buddy.
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well hydrogen for vehicles isn't exactly the best option. Take the Mirai and the Tesla Model 3 for example. The mirai and model 3 have near identical dimensions, except the Mirai is slightly longer and only 1.4 inches wider and higher. Both have similar weights with the Mirai being only 53kg heavier than the model 3. The model 3 has a range of 325 miles, and the Mirai has a range of 400 miles (75 miles difference).
here is where they begin to differ.
-The Mirai has a 0-60 of 9.2s whilst the Model 3 has a 0-60 of 3.2s. Due to the low power output of fuel cells.
-The model 3 has exceptional handing due to its extraordinarily low centre of gravity thanks to its skateboard battery design. The Mirai is force to mount components up higher to move out the of the way of the fuel tanks. meaning it has worse handling and suffers more risk of roll over in an accident.
-The Miria only has the one boot at the rear which is smaller than the boot you find on a much smaller Toyota Yarris yet alone other cars of its size class (midsized sedan). The cabin space is so small that you cant even fold the rear seats to give better boot space when needed. This is because whilst hydrogen is light weight with the Mirai storing 5.6kg of hydrogen. Its volume is large. For the Mirai to store 5.6kg of hydrogen (or 400 miles worth of hydrogen) it tanks need to total a whopping 147L capacity. That's enormous and takes up alot of the space in the car. By comparison the Model 3 has one of the largest rear boots in its class plus a boot at the front of the car and has class leading cabin space. (the extra front and rear boot room also give it better crumple zone further improving safety).
-Safety, The mirai, whilst alot of work has been dont to bring the tank safety down to on par with ICE cars, or even better in some circumstances, its no where near the level of safety of the model 3. Not just in fire risk, but also due to the reduced crumple zones, and lower centre of gravity, its survivability in an accident is lacking by comparison to the Tesla.
-cost. At current, hydrogen stations which make their own fuel, end up being a whole 8x more expensive per mile than a BEV or in this case, the Model 3. That means if you were to drive 100,000 miles over the life of ownership and it cost you $$3,780 in electricity for the model 3, the Mirai would cost you $30,280 in hydrogen. Not a small thing to swallow for consumers.
-operational life. EV's have come leaps and bounds since the first Nissan leaf and Chevy Bolt were produced. Current EV Technology will see vehicles like the model 3 reach 500,000 miles to a battery life. (which is classed as 30% degradation. i.e. 70% of your original battery capacity remaining). This, for the average person, represents almost 40 years worth of driving. Unfortunately due to the nature of hydrogens interaction with materials, this sort of service life is not yet achievable. with the Mirai's coming out of the factory with expiration dates printed on them. usually giving the Mirai around 10 years of service life before they have to be retired. Which means, very little to no second hand car market making owning a car all the more expensive and un obtainable to low income earners. Further to that the emissions to do with manufacturing and recycling 4 Mirais for every Model 3. seems to be an emissions hazard.
-The grid. Because hydrogen isn't exactly efficient, this means more energy. The only way to make hydrogen is with electricity. Either steam reformation, which creates more emissions than if you had used that gas in a combustion car to begin with, (how do you think the steam is heated) or by electrolysis. This electricity could be used to charge a BEV. Even without taking into consideration desalination of water, liquifying/compression of hydrogen, transportation of hydrogen, if you just make hydrogen then put it directly into a fuel cell to make electricity there is a greater than 50% loss in that process. For example if you put 100kWh of grid electricity into making hydrogen. Once you run that hydrogen through a fuel cell you will have only generated around 45 kWh of electricity. And thats at hypothetical limits of efficiency which aren't realistically achievable. What that means is that if you had 1 wind farm which could power the demands of 100 drivers with BEV's like the model 3, you would need 3 wind farms to power the needs of the same 100 people if they were driving hydrogen instead. That sort of cost for grid construction, upkeep and demand also has to be taken into account.
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@JosephHui57 also as Milan said. The hydrogen producer must make a profit. To cover capital expenditure on equipment, land rates, power costs, water costs, staffing, admin, transportation, wages, training etc etc etc. and ontop of all that it needs to make a profit when it sells its hydrogen. Then it goes to fuel stations, who similarly have to make back money on capital costs like buying pumps and the building, staffing wages, and other services. And need to make a profit ontop of that when they sell the hydrogen.
That’s why hydrogen is expensive. It’s triple dipping ontop of 3 times the amount of energy as a BEV.
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@nikhiljoshi7486 I covered multiple points. I am also responding on my phone since I’m out doing a 45km hike.
Li in batteries aren’t used up in the storage. The chemistry of the electrolyte is what ultimately does in the battery along with tendrites forming on the anode. Modern EV batteries are around 96% recyclable with nearly 100% of the lithium recyclable. This could have been confirmed with a cursory google search. Before making your comment.
As for the 100 cycles, what fucking rock are you living under. Again a cursory google search shows that modern EV batteries almost all EV manufacturers almost all universally give an 8 year warranty on their batteries. The cycle rating of modern Tesla batteries are 1,500 cycles to a lifetime. For a model 3 with 325 miles that nearly 500,000 miles. At end of like that’s also determined to be at 30% degradation. You’ve only lost 30% of your original range after 500,000 miles. So where you got 10% over 100 cycles that’s beyond me. And whilst steam reformations itself isn’t wasteful and only produces a small amount of carbon, the energy required to heat the steam has to come from somewhere. And it’s usually supplied one of two ways. Electrical heating, by drawing power from the very same grid, or by burning something.
No one is trying to be biased here. Hydrogen just isn’t that green. And the only way you are going to make it green is the same way you are going to make BEV’s green. By making the energy sources green.
The only difference is that you need significantly less green energy for a BEV than for a FCEV. If you had to produce, build and commission 3 times the name plate energy for hydrogen then BEV. That’s a big negative, both financially and emissions wise. If you need 1 windmill to power the needs of 100 BEV, you’d need to build 3 windmills to power the needs of the same people with FCEV’s.
Doesn’t matter which way you look at it.
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@orlovskyconsulting Comment 3/3. I was not concerned with the cost of manufacture. I am concerned with the cost of fuel. Hydrogen is not found naturally in its pure form. You have to split it from something like water, ammonia or hydro-carbons (fossil fuels). This process requires alot of electrical energy from the power grid. It then needs to be compressed, then transported then used in a hydrogen vehicle. (if splitting from hydrocarbons, you are also releasing carbon into the atmosphere by making the hydrogen).
Hydrogen is expensive because this process is expensive but lets look at just the electrical costs as a baseline comparison before we start adding other stuff in. Lets start with 100kWh from the grid. If you supply that to hydrogen production plant, at best you'll get an efficiency of hydrogen product of 70%. So now you have 70kWh of hydrogen. You then need to compress it to store it, maybe even liquify it. This is 80% efficient (assuming you use some of that power to compress it otherwise you'd be cheating) so you now how 56 kWh of hydrogen. Then you have to transport it presumably from a hydrogen powered truck which has an average of 15% loss meaning you now have 47.6kWh of hydrogen. Then you put it into a hydrogen vehicle. The fuel cells only operate at around 60% efficiency so of the 100kWh from the power grid you put into making, compressing and transporting the hydrogen, you only get 28.6 kWh of electricity to the electric motor in the hydrogen car. not very efficient.
If you look at EV's, if you supply it with 100kWh to charge it has a charging efficiency of 98% meaning you now how 98 kWh of energy in the battery. And thats where i'll stop. Because the discharge, the inverters and electric motor after that point are identical on the Mirai and the Tesla model 3.
That means to go the same distance the Mirai needs 3.4 time more electricity from the same grid than EV's need.
So on power costs alone, no matter what you do, in electricity prices alone hydrogen will always cost 3x more per mile.
Then you have to realise that whilst EV's only buy the electricity, for hydrogen you have to pay for 3 times the electricity, plus the water/ammonia/hydro-carbons. Plus the transportation, plus the suppliers profit mark-up ontop of facility overheads, staff and logistics. Not only that but then you have to pay for the fuel stations profit mark-ups ontop of that to cover them buying the fuel, their overheads and costs, plus they have to make a profit all before it gets to you. Meaning that hydrogen will always be significantly more expensive to drive than an EV.
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Regenerative breaking is more than 90% efficient. This works out that if you had two identical vehicles, one being 300kg heavier than the other, the additional energy used by the heavier vehicle by the time it comes to a stop, would be the same as 2 AA batteries. not very much at all when you're taking battery packs between 50-100 kWh. As milan Swodoba said, rolling resistance has a very small coefficient. usually between 0.03 and 0.06 and as low as 0.01 for eco tires. For the heavier vehicle, the addition 300kg would only add a force of 90N if your coefficient was say, 0.03. with the tires fitted to EV's typically that would be closer to 0.01 which is 30N. (the same force as 3kg in your hand for reference (or 6.5 lb if you're American)). which is understandably very little.
finally there is the other point that Milan mentioned. Of the two, battery and Hydrogen vehicles, Hydrogen is the heavier vehicle. This is mostly due to the reinforcement and protections in place to protect the fuel tanks in the Hydrogen car during collisions. its a lot of extra, high strength steel in the chassis. This is where the majority of the weight comes from.
Recently, Toyota drove the Mirai 1003 km through France on a single 5.6kg fuel tank (the tank is 147L). This represented an average of 0.2 kWh per km. and whilst Toyota gives you the exact start time, they dont mention the finish time. If you look at Toyotas video you can see the dash at the finish line and it says 3.59. It is also dark and on the day they ran the test, it didnt get dark until well after 9pm, so we can assume its 3.59 am. This means it took them over 22 hours to travel 1003km, which works out to around 45km/h average travelling speed.
A model 3 would have an energy consumption of 0.095 kWh/km at 45 km/h. (model 3 and Mirai are similar sizes aerodynamically and also similar weights with the mirai weighting only 53kg more than the model 3 (the model 3 also has far more luxury features which add significant weight to the car). So they should have about the same rolling resistance and energy consumption, give or take. This suggests that the fuel cell is only around 47% efficient. They also used green hydrogen which is made via electrolysis. Which is only around at beset 75% efficient. All this means is that the fuel used to travel 1003km, required 277 kWh of electricity from the same grid that charges the Tesla to make enough fuel for the Mirai to travel 1003km at 45km/h. The model 3 on the same energy, also travelling 45km/h can drive over 2,900km on that 277 kWh.
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@UghTech ok, so the metric system is based on something called CGS, which was meter, gram, second. however when creating the SI units off of these CGS units, it was noted that when linking chemical and electrical energy units with mechanical energy units for a cohesive system, the result was that either the mechanical energy units were inconveniently small or the chemical/electrical energy units were inconveniently small. This was overcome by basing Kg as the unit m, kg, s for SI units.
Another way of thinking of it is if you are working out force or stresses you can use m, kg to get newtons and newton/meters, or you can use mm, kg to get kN or kN meters. They opted to move from grams to kilograms to keep the overlapping units reasonable as kg is much easier to measure without being impractical.
Keeping in mind the use of meters, grams, seconds were widely used at the time they created the SI unit system.
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@DoubleplusUngoodthinkful more clarifications, thankyou for your response though,
1.) nuclear power still produces low level and high level waste that we still don’t know how to dispose of safely.
2.) a home charger (type 2) charges at 12kW. A model 3 has an efficiency close to 0.2kW/mile a 12kW home charger would charge a model 3 at 60mph. Considering most charging is done at home whilst your asleep, you don’t really have to wait any time for it to charge. Much more time efficient than going and getting fuel.
3.) hydrogen fuel cells last around 1/4 the lifespan of BEV’s you need 3-4 time More grid electricity to produce 1 miles worth of hydrogen than you do to charge 1 miles worth of batteries, hydrogen has notoriously low power output making them slow, hydrogen is very very expensive compared to ICE yet alone electricity for BEV’s and hydrogen, whilst being lightweight, takes up a huge amount of volume. Meaning you have extraordinarily small boot space and cabin space for the size of the vehicle, as is exemplified by the Toyota Mirai.
So they’re not very well suited for cars because they get just as much range or less than BEV with no ability to store more fuel with compromised cabin and boot space making the vehicle less practical. The vehicles don’t last as long, have poor performance, need much higher infrastructure costs, even as far as grid capacity, and cost significantly more to operate. Doesn’t sound well suited to automotive applications to me.
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@DoubleplusUngoodthinkful Climate Change Denialism is a completely separate subject I dont want to get into. As for the cost of hydrogen, It should be pointed out that you would have to pay for 3-4 times the amount of grid electricity per mile from a BEV, plus water, plus equipment and facility capital, plus maintained of the site, staffing wages, logistics, site overheads, etc etc, All with a profit markup to be transported and sold to fuel stations, who would then put a profit markup ontop of that before it arrives at the consumer in the car. Meaning, even if the company only had to pass on the power prices AT COST BEV's are still 3-4 times cheaper per miles. With no real solution on how to make the fuel much cheaper at all.
As for charging. I think you are mis interpreting how EV's actually work. EV's today have ranges between 250-400 miles with the average commute being around 16 miles and a 70 mile commute being deemed on the far higher end. Even travelling those distances, if you get home and plug into a wall socket, yet alone a home charger that the vehicles come with, you would wake up the next morning with a full battery. Every morning. just for arriving home from work and getting up the next morning to leave. That would save the average person approximately 16-17 hours per year on getting fuel from a fuel station (hydrogen included).
When doing longer trips over the 250-400 miles. You would almost exclusively use super chargers, the most modern of which can fully charge your EV in 5-10 minutes, with the most common of which doing so in 25-35 minutes. Which after several hours of charging is enough time to go get a coffee and have a toilet break. Keep in mind you dont have to stand there and hold the hose like you do with a ICE car.
All in all BEV's actually save people time and are far from being as slow as you make them out to be. They are far more practical than most people give them credit for because its a paradigm shift. Most people thing they'd have to drive to some special station and stand outside holding a plug for 12 hours. Not the case at all. You just plug it in when you get home and have a full battery every single morning with enough range that if your forgot for some reason, you could afford to do so something like 3 or more days in a row before it becomes critical.
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Even the cleanest way to produce hydrogen requires 3-4 times the same electrical energy per miles as a BEV. So from the same energy grid, EV's produce 3-4 times less emissions, Sure you can make Hydrogen greener through renewables, but the same can be said for EV's which would require much less. If you have 1 wind farm to power the needs of 100 drives with BEV's, you would need 2-3 more windfarms built and commissioned with all the emissions involved with that to power the needs of those same 100 people if they had hydrogen cars.
Ontop of that modern EV's inclusive of the battery, are designed to last 30-40 years. Meanwhile hydrogen cars are limited to 10 years or 100,000 miles, whichever comes first. Meaning you'd need 3-4 hydrogen cars to cover the lifetime of just 1 BEV. and all the emissions that go with making and disposing of that hydrogen car.
In terms of practicality, Hydrogen cars have next to no storage or cabin space. Having less of either than a car half its size. BEV's have massive boots, alot of cabin space and even a front trunk. Hydrogen cars go much slower than BEV's whilst BEV's are known to be incredibly fast. Hydrogen cars protect the tanks through chassis reinforcement making them (yes its true) heavier than BEV's and reduce the crumple zones leading to lower survivability in a crash making them less safe than BEV's.
Hydrogen also costs ALOT of money. Hydrogen, even when made cheap through fossil fuels instead of electrolysis, is around 10-20 times the cost per miles driven than a BEV. Making them very expensive to own.
SO... BEV vs Hydrogen, Hydorgen cars create more emissions, dont even last half the lifespan of a BEV, are slow, have less room in the cabin, impractically small cargo capacity, are less safe and cost significantly more to operate. All for only 20% more range to a tank than an equivalent EV to a charge. Bargain.
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@club6525 firstly, no, a car has maybe tops, 1.5m2 of roof surface area on large vehicles. Solar panels at best produce 1kW per square meter. They also couldn’t told to maximum sun absorption meaning your utility factor would be dumped somewhere around the 15%. What that means is over a sunny, cloud free 10 hours of sunlight day, you could expect to generate a whopping 2.25kWh of electricity in total. So no, it wouldn’t be sufficient to run a car. Electric or pointlessly water.
And no, in terms of weight it still doesn’t make up for it. Water isn’t energy dense. It just isn’t. You don’t release energy from water, you put energy into it. 4.6kWh into water gets you 2.2kWh out. So no. Additionally, most of waters weight, IE, 89% of its weight, is oxygen, so again, not really all that energy dense. And you’re carrying a lot of additional weight. Infact in terms of weight, 1L of water weighs 1kg and has 0.11kg of hydrogen in it, whilst 1kg of hydrogen at 700 bar on its own weighs… well 1kg. So you’d be drastically increasing the weight of the car. For the same 5.6kg of hydrogen in a mirai, you’d have to carry onboard, 51kg of water. You’d also need a battery which could convert that water to hydrogen, you’d need more than 230kWh of energy to do so. Which again, solar panels won’t cut it.
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hydrogen trucks have a worse outlook than battery electric trucks. the majoirty of the specs for both the Tesla semi which is undergoing road trials currently for selected frieght companies, and the Hyundai Hydrogen semi truck the Xcient currently in use in Sweden i believe. Comparing the two shows scary differences.
Range: Xcient is 400 miles fully loaded. Tesla is 500 miles fully loaded
Power: Xcient lacks the power to go faster than 85km/h (52mph) even unloaded. Tesla can acheive freeways speeds even on a steep slope.
Battery: Aside from having not one but two fuel cells and double the fuel tank capacity of a standard semi, the Xcient has a 75kWh battery (same size thats in a Tesla model 3 long range). The tesla is estimated to have a 1,000 kWh battery.
Lifespan: Xcient fuel cell is only rated for 100,000 miles and the fuel tanks are only rated for 10 years. The Tesla is designed to last well over 1 million miles. If current Tesla Battery degradation applies to the Semi, then that is an underestimate.
Design: The Xcient needs space for all its fuel tanks, 75Kwh battery and 2 large 95kW fuel cells. With all that space requirement the Xcient not only takes up alot of verticle space of the first trailer, reducing overall cargo volume, but the rear of the truck extends almost the full length of the first trailer. Meaning it has a terrible turning circle. The tesla suffers not such issues. The tesla also has the ability to charge from its destinations, meanwhile hydrogen is difficult to come across. Even in California.
Cost of operation: Xcient, does not last very long and hydrogen is approximately 20x the price per mile than a BEV costs to operate and around twice the cost of diesel per mile. And that wont get much better for hydrogen. The Tesla costs remarkably little to operate and will outlast diesel trucks without any of the regular maintenance. around 10x cheaper than diesel per mile.
Lastly, refueling. Semi trucks have no real requirement to go further than 500 miles in a day due to labour laws in most countries. They prohibit truck drivers from being behind the wheel for certain lengths of time in a day and mandate breaks. For example, in the US truck drivers are not allowed to be behind the wheel for more than 11 hours in a day. With them being required to take a 30 minute break somewhere between their 5th and 9th hour. There is only so far you can travel in 8 hours with a truck. around 400-450 miles in fact. Meaning that the truck has enough range fully loaded to keep going until the truck driver is required by law to stop for 30 minutes. 30 minutes also happens to be the time required to charge the Tesla Semi. You also dont have to be with the truck whilst this happens. You can go into the rest stop and use the facilities and eat some food and drink before going back on the road.
Therefore its reasonable to conclude that there is absolutely not time penalty for driving a Battery Truck.
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@aerotuc 400km isnt exactly a short drive. That represents around 4 hours of driving on a freeway. Most people don't travel more than 100km in a day, even when they're busy. In reality the average Australian doesnt travel over 400km in a single day more than once per year at best
as for time. 20 minutes in an unacceptable waste of time? ok, lets put that into context shall we? The average person will travel, on average, 7 minutes out of their way to get fuel. 7 minutes there 7 minutes back. and spend 5 minutes refiling and paying for fuel. They will also, on average do this once per week. That means that is 16-17 hours per year spend attempting to get fuel as for an BEV, you plug that thing in when you get home and it charges when you're at home and you're not using it. You dont have to sit there and hold the plug. You dont have to drive to a fuel station to do it. You plug it in, have dinner enjoy your evening, go to sleep and get up in the morning to a full charge. That represents 0 hours of your time wasted charging in normal day to day.
As I said before you might travel more than 400km in a day maybe once per year. I've only done it twice this year. I drove to Mt Hotham to do snowboarding. Then I drove back. I stopped twice on the way up. And once on the way back. 3 stops, each for 20 minutes. give or take 1 or 3 minutes. So thats 1 hour. Now if i were in a car i would have to stop once for fuel (I used to do this trip in my subaru) when we stopped for fuel I would also stop to get food and stretch my legs. This would take me around half an hour to fuel, park get food, get back on the road. once going up, once coming back. thats 1 hour.
So time lost getting a charge compared to in a combustion car? oh well you guessed it! zero.
even if it were an hour lost compared to driving an ICE car. thats 1 hour per year compared to 16-17 hours per year.
Which one do you think is the more unacceptable waste of time?
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well heres the thing. GVM for electric trucks in the US is roughly 1 metric ton more, so around 37T. The truck itself does not have a big heavy diesel engine or transmission, that means its the 3-4T battery weight doesnt put it much over. The end result is that its carrying capacity is about 1 Ton less than a conventional diesel truck. In the EU however, the offset for Electric trucks is 2 metric tons, giving the semi and equivalent carrying capacity as a diesel truck. This is already been confirmed by Tesla even without the actual numbers being released. (which I believe is because they want to re-assess with their new 4680 Batteries).
But we know from on road tests that the truck will be able to travel up to and just over 500 miles to a charge, thats around 9 hours of driving, We also know most developed countries like the EU and the US have laws limiting the length of time you can be driving a truck for. For the US thats 11 hours straight with a 30 minute break sometime before your 8th hour. Tesla have also released that the Semi on V3 superchargers will be able to recharge up to 80% of its battery in 30 minutes. That means you'd be able to drive up to your 8th hour, pull over at a charger, after 30 minutes you have enough charge to continue up to you 11th hour.
Keeping in mind that the cost of electricity per mile will be around 1/10th the cost of fuel per mile, in addition even with Teslas current batteries the semi should be able to outlast its diesel counterparts and with the stated cycle numbers for the 4680 batteries (Tesla have always underquoted expected cycle lifes) it should last significantly more, (well over 20 million miles if they are to be believed, which as I've said, they've always underquoted their batteries cycle lifes).
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