Youtube comments of Lepus Felix (@MasticinaAkicta).
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TLDR;
Women expect to much, parents of the women expect to much, men simply can't carry all that weight or make enough money so the whole system is crashing.
Look, it goes deep there. As obvious women there want and expect a lot more. In china you need an apartment/house before you even can THINK about proposing a women as men. And with the housing crash and before that prices doing up up up up ... a rotten situation. Then you have her, but you don't because parents of a female expect the male to be able to support the wife and potential kid(s). So there has to be an expensive car, and wedding gifts and a sign that a lot of money is there for the coming years.
In part, understandable, in reality with the economics in China. It is about impossible for most of the men. Most of the men out of the city and areas where jobs are.
If you are in the farming area, forget about it... you have no chance. Being a farmer in china is like being a blue collar in America. Women don't even notice you.
So yeah more and more Chinese men see the BS and decide not to anymore. It isn't as if they don't already have to take care of their parents and grandparents...right? Where the hell is the money to do anything...
Yes the 4-2-1 system means that most grown ups in china now has have to support 4 or more parents/grandparents. How? With what money?
Covid crashing that market and many hardly can feed themselves.
China is crashing. It is modern yet old, it has connections to "you have to take care of your parents and grandparents" yet equally due to the one child policy has less and less people actually making the money to keep that system going.
Oh and forget about them living with you, after all you have to work so you have to life in a CITY... in a small APPARTMENT. So yeah lying flat it is, "Why don't you have a GF, why don't you have a..." .. why should they care? As much as they can shame the young generation of workers... shame at a point stops working.
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Wow, someone got burned...
Look don 't get me wrong here, it is a dark month, nature is asleep, it is cold, windy, there is snow. Everybody is waiting on the the light to return.
And that is pretty much the main source of all these feasts!
So many places, so many religions, once the sun began to shine more again. Well you had a feast. Because you survived another year to reach it.
No matter how a book, the bible, tries to claim they own things. They don't. Any look around the other religions around the time and faiths and you see patterns.
Look, we all can share a month of being happy we survived, the light returning and being together. No matter what the name.
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A lot of it has to do with how society works there, and worked, till a point they were just worker drones with no real ownership of things. The state would assign them a place to sleep, work, life...etc
Then they opened it up, a little, actual ownership became possible. So yes actually owning an apartment, a house, became officially possible. Like giving a 5 year old a 100 dollar bill... they were not ready for it.
Huge social changes and shifts in society, things from from the state to the "state" [banks and big businesses are still semi state like and protected by the state, not just directly owned]
For a while all seemed well, growth, potential, the ability to make something of their own life and not being just a worker drone. There was even potential to get rich.
Of course we all know how it went and is going. The minds don't change and corruption is heavy, getting anything done is still with the old mindset. But it has to look modern.
There was some hope for Chinese people that the world was changing for them. Look at it now, the party will clamp down even harder now. Maybe even undoing some of the huge economic steps they took.
Some say that one solution is to fall back in USSR/MAO mode. But we all know what that means, border shut, trade falters, efficiencies won in the newer system are lost.
For a while, the Chinese people had hope, growth, sure they had the party over them, but there was light. Now, now the problems are coming everybody's way, except the party to not be a shield for the people, but a shield for its few. As it always has been.
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EV's have issues. They are sold on that it is cheaper, but as subsidies die down and electricity prices go up, are they cheaper?
Even the taxation will mean that your EV will cost the same taxes wise as an ICE car. So where is the cheaper?
"Oh but long term you'll" ... you need to calculate that. Batteries are not cheap, EV"s might have less parts that can go wrong, but IF they go wrong they still need fixing. That isn't cheap either. So where is the point of EV's being cheaper to run compared to an ICE car depends on how much you drive, where you drive, the conditions, and soon.
Hell I haven't even talked about the weak charger network, EV's are fun, as long as you can charge them. In many places there are no charging points! And getting one for your house/door so your car can sloooooooow charge. Ha, have fun fighting with the local city about that one!
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I wonder,
If you compare two situations.
Student A, studied, got their masters, found a job but will have to pay off their student debt for at least 25 years meaning that they probably won't get kids or own a house.
Student B, did go into the trades, did get a small debt but rolled right into a job anyway and that debt was gone within 2 years. Will have to do certifications once in a while, yes, but that is part of the job!
Sure Path B isn't for everyone but if many accept that Path B is actually an option that leads to work quicker and much less to none debt. Versus studying and hoping you find that job that allows you to pay off the huge debt you have in time for you to actually get a house, marry and get a kid. Because these things matter.
You are right that women and men are different and have different plans in life. [Boooh Heresy, kick that person of the university grounds!] So for woman trades probably is not the most sought option.
But when I hear that some women choose studies that effectively NEVER WILL MAKE ENOUGH MONEY TO PAY OFF THE DEBTS... what are you doing to yourselves? Has anyone checked how much a Nurse makes in their state before going for a nurse/medical degree? Don't get me wrong, yes nurses are needed but have you checked the debt vs potential income?
So yeah some men are just more willing to take chances and have less debt at the start and through hard work and luck win in life.
My point, DEBT WILL F YOU UP!
Before taking on debt, think about IF and HOW you can pay it back.
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The real estate businesses will go through some horrible years ahead of this. After all, again, there are more houses then the market really needs. So. There is little to no reason to build more houses.
That also means local governments have less ability to set up groundright sales through loans and hence get money. Which means, yes, no money to pay for the basic services as we are already seeing. Salary cuts of over then 50% seems normal for the "IRON BOWL" people. Oof.
So governments are stuck with debts they can't repay, services they can't pay, bankruptcies are ahead.
The Central government can't really take all that either soo.. they will have to get some go bankrupt, disrupting the economy in areas and.
And yet, don't worry, the party will still be there in 20 years. Because, you can always blame the USA/Japan????
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+George dg I am a sceptic but I will try to see it from your point of view.
Yes science sometimes has to take big risks, it has to spend allot of money, time and energy into things that probably fail in the end. We learn from success and failure. And yes, much of our succesfull modern industry is build upon the failures of the past. That is how humans work.
This project has issues, problems, not problems that area easy to solve. It has a few fundamental problems that could have terrible consequences.
Yes the first flyers where brave people, nowadays flying is safe and easy. It is safer then driving from A to B at times.
Without the first world war we wouldn't have some of the more interresting medical procedures and knowledge that keep people alive. Many had to die before we could find that out.
This project can work, but it has allot of problems. And I feel that money could be spend on other things. You want trains going through tubes? That is fine, those already exist and do their job just fine. But removing the air and doing the same makes it costly and dangerous. If something fails in the train in a tube model it usually is safe.
Lets take the tunnel between france and england. Now that is something else, to make it safe they had fire safety systems, emergency routes out or at least into safe rooms. Ability to vent the tunnels etc. It isn't cheap but it is required because we are talking about human lives.
Doing that but with an almost vacuum tube is allot more dangerous. First of all, there is no air for the people so they can in emergencies get out of the train and to a safe location. There is only air in the cabins of the train, which means they require canisters of highly pressurized air, and if a fire breaks out due to that we have an issue. Lets say a fire breaks out in a cabin with people in a vacuum system. We can't let them out without putting air in the tube and it is a darn long tube to airate! We can't put a vacuum in the cabin without some space age equipment to make sure all humans get their own air. So, how long do the people inside the burning cabin have?
How long before a team can get there? How long before they can get out? How many safety methods are at hand to deal with a cabin fire. Now you say "I am not an scientist, others solve that."
Well with the tunnel between France and England they solved it by offering allot of extra safety measures. It is a pretty safe way to get from A to B. If there are problems they can slow the train down to stop at a safety station, unload the people, get the firefighters down there etc. With a vacuum tube? I wish you much luck trying to make that one work.
I am not saying the technology is stupid, I just don't think that the problems it has are easy enough to solve. My suggestion, study up on the tunnel between France and England and see how much work they had to do to make it safe. Look up a few videos about tunnel fires and how those are dealt with, think highways going through tunnels and fire happening in a lorry.
Bad stuff can happen, and you need to plan for it. This system, is far from easy to solve.
My point in short, if you are in a vacuum tube and a fire starts in your carriages you are dead. If you are on the train in a well made tunnel they can stop the train before the fire kills you and you and the others can flee from it.
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Remember all, China has a 1 child, I mean "had" a 1 child policy for over 30 years.
This means that as fewer kids where born less young ones are around to replace the workers that support the OLDER people.
See China still works quite old style in that when one gets old the state isn't the first person that takes care of you. It is your kids. This was normal for farming families and the reason why families were big.
But with China's "great" idea of 1 child policy for so long they created a 4-2-1-0 situation. 4 Grandparents, 2 parents, 1 child, ... and 0 children in the future! This is going to cause HUGE economic trouble.
Her parents are VERY strongly trying to get her to get that 1 kid... ASAP... because they know that once they are old, they are FUBAR. For the system to run they need that kid!
China might say you can have 3 kids now but... after generations of controlling numbers society has changed. And people don't really want 2 or 3 kids anymore. Because... for generations 1 child was the plan. So that is what everybody is used to now and what society is meant to support. Schools are not cheap in China... good schools definitely not! So getting ONE child through school is possible, but 3?
Thing is, she is old, her chance of getting children is low. So her dating value is not very high. Wake up to this... some people date to potentially get kids! I know surprising isn't it. You learned something NEW!
BUT her standards are just too high. People that SHE wants to date in China can find other women who THEY want to date. Women who will have a good chance of getting kids.
Hurts right, but that is the situation.
I think that China itself will have to deal with the "gray wave" that will force it to make choices. 4-2-1 ...0?
And yes, she wants a husband that is smart, is willing to deal with western values. She has to find someone living in the west, not in CHINA! If she has the resource and can leave china, she should...
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Interresting, makes sense,
In certain industries, they could re-use lesser parts. Processors, for instance, are binned, depending on how well it handles higher speeds they can be clocked during a later process. Or, if the cache has issues, they can block off a whole section of the cache and sell it as a lesser model. It doesn't hurt anyone in the end, cheaper parts for cheaper pc's. Great deal.
But guns? Yeah, I want a gun to be 100% accurate. Yes please! With an explosion less then an inch away from my fingers YES PLEASE.
Makes is quite expensive, reminds me a bit about space technology. Same rules apply there, it has to be 100% right or they can't use it. Soo... expensive, throwing away a lot of non 100% parts.
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So lets talk hydrogen, you build a charging station close enough outside of town [far enough so an explosion just gives a big BANG and does not damage to surrounding areas, much like why there is always a certain space around the fueling area of a fuel station]
Good, you get cars coming in, charge up and then suddenly they have to wait. Why wait? Pressure has to be risen up again as the station has been used enough time that it can't pump hydrogen INTO a car anymore. Not without raisin pressure. No troubles what is 4-5 minutes right? So all that the car before you now has its hydrogen and off it goes. Now you slide in and... 4-5 minutes of pressurization. Also a warning that they are running out of hydrogen and that new hydrogen will be delivered soon enough.
Oh but how about in Station hydrogen creation? Yeah but it is a slow process! Which require a lot of power. So compared to a gasoline/diesel situation where cars can just tank and leave a hydrogen station has a few more rules. The first few WILL leave quickly, the rest will have to wait! Inevitable the stations will have to run on a monitoring system that sends out fresh bottles of gas once they notice things go to low for expected behavior.
"That is still better then 8 hours normal charging speeds. " Maybe but that can be done at home.
As SG N points out, you are not allowed to have a hydrogen generation station at home. But you can have a charging station. Slow charging is super easy with basic wall plugs. And faster charging only requires installing a special station.
Look, there is one issue with Hydrogen Gas, it is quite dangerous. It can and does burn easy. This is why tests are down far out in nowhere. If BOOM happens that means the loss of a test station out there. Also the cars itself will have a gas cylinder with quite dangerous gas on board.
Batteries can burn horrendous, gasoline can burn too, true but none of them will just explode under you.
Even CNG gas requires very special methods to hold. Hydrogen would be worse when it comes to safety.
The safest? Gasoline and Diesel. Definitely Diesel as it won't just burn. Gasoline burns easier then Diesel but still requires the right mix of air-fuel. Diesel... diesel needs PRESSURE and HEAT to go boom!
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The problem is, if business goes, and office workers can move out of NYC, which they probably will once they smarten up. The other industries also get hurt! Food industry, less people living in a city means less need for the food industry. Leisure, same, transport, same, groceries, same, luxury items, same, we can go on for a long time here. Reality is that yes NYC is a city with good and bad times, we might be looking into a rather bad time. If enough people leave what is left?
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Kids are expensive. Definitely if they have to go to school, after school, pre school, activities, etc.
The days that you have 7 kids and three of them died, so you had four left to farm, are long over.
As expectations of society and the kids rose, so did the cost.
At this point, in china, you expect your kid to leave university with five degrees, all top of the class. After all it is their future, and secretly yours as your kids will become your living pension.
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I remember these things... yes.. eh, a printer is easier.
But the idea isn't to bad, if it wasn't a quite slow process and really? Really? Do you really want to take all that extra time to do that?
Lets be fair, time costs money, even time for a person who isn't working is valued. So extending the BURN time is not the solution many people seek. Sure it looks nicer but, I also can just write on it with that special pen. Or I can put it in my printer using that special tray. I do have to remind myself that my printer actually HAS that functionality.
The time spend designing a cover is time not put into important things, like listening music, gaming, office work, administration, whatever.
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Americas love with the car is just absurd at times. Just think of how many highway miles, interstate miles, main roads and.... parking lots there are!
Look at Europe those cozy little vacation towns? People life there... how many cars do you see? Oh yes they are there, but many cities keep cars OUT of the centre.
So the center is for busses, bikes, people walking, and at the outer ring is where parking space is.
Parking space is where it is needed. Sure you are going to buy a couch, a bed, some stuff for in the kitchen. That is in the OUTER ring area.
I am not joking, the outer ring area! So the city centers are livable...
I get is, America will never get rid of THE CAR. But is it possible to make the cities more livable by pushing out the cars from the city centers?
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The quality of the dye matters quite a bit, I had some early cd's go back pretty quickly and others, though maybe not 100% stable anymore, still able to work. But yes every few years, make copies!
There is also that M-Disc stuff, weird stuff, only in Write Once variant but instead of an organic dye the promise is that it is more like a rock layer. So that it requires burners that are willing to push a little bit more power in the laser to burn... but, as they say, what is written in rock. Being some kind of rocky layer it shouldn't go wrong. Because you know, rock doesn't rot.
I got a few of them, just to try, not sure how much I like them. They are really expensive and well... as long as you refresh backups from time to time.. dye is fine.
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To Russia, men power is merely a number. It is willing to empty the whole country side of fighting men if needed.
Of course, at the beginning of the war the quality of material, weapons, armor, clothing and supplies already was shown to be lacking. Right now any person drawn into this war will have to enjoy the WW II approach, be send into war without a gun, any gun! And wait till a comrade is killed then take said persons gun.
Now remember, Russia already has huge problems with amount of children born, people living in it, size, and other things, so killing a lot of people in the age where they can get kids is really really smart. The damage is not just short term, it is suicidal long term. Putin is spending resources that he doesn't has. Because after this a huge problem will rise... where will the kids be? Who will get kids? You need a men and a women, mothers left without husbands can't just get kids out of nowhere.
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The good news, IF they finish those units, almost nobody will life in it anyway. How is this good news again?
Hell finishing it, that is a weird thing to say with the Chinese market. What is a finished home? How does one define it, legally that is. That the windows are in there, the pipes for water, electricity and so on? is that finished? Or do those buyers, many of which see it as potential investments, want to keep certain things out due to Feng Shui reasons. Choices choices...
This whole housing market situation reminds me of so many failed investment options. "Buy this, buy that, it will only raise in price, then sell it." And then it crashes.
Hell the whole "You won't marry unless you have a car, good job, an apartment, etc..." Nice society you got there.
Still we are talking about human lives. And a state which doesn't cares about humans, those debts will be forever yours.. and your families. After all the banks need to be protected right? Humans have no value in that system. They are leek to be cut, so the fat sows(the party) survives.
In the end, there is no simple solution... nor a painful one that the party is willing to take.
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