Comments by "" (@orboakin8074) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics"
channel.
-
665
-
376
-
234
-
122
-
117
-
111
-
88
-
72
-
68
-
51
-
42
-
41
-
33
-
32
-
@Rowlph8888 friend, America and much of Europe outsourced and offshore their manufacturing to China. Does that make them beholden to China? Japan also trades heavily with China. Are they beholden to China? Yes, during our former president, buhari's, time, my country borrowed a lot of money from China for infrastructure and general loans but that's just it. He needed cheaper loans for his legacy projects, many of which failed and just indebted us. That being said, we really aren't a Chinese ally; just a trading partner. Also, there is no real threat of China seizing our infrastructure like they did to Sri Lanka. This is cause our economy can actually service those debts, but at huge cost. At the end, we are more aligned with the west due to geography, history, economic and some sociocultural ties.
29
-
26
-
26
-
25
-
23
-
23
-
23
-
22
-
22
-
22
-
21
-
21
-
@mr.takethingstooseriously friend, same thing could be said for most places on earth. Heck! One party has consistently won democratic elections in Japan post WW2🤣 In any society, the elites, especially political ones, get more consolidated over time. Yes, this gets stagnant but also leads to more stability. It also leads to genuine but slow change improving society compared to radical change from authoritarianism. Also, I am Edo and no member of my tribe has ever held Presidential or VP power. Why don't I, or others in my state, feel underrepresented? Because that's democracy. The ones who have means and clout to become political elites get it but they still need my vote to win. We do have democracy here, friend. It's not perfect but that is the case for most of the world. It's also better than whatever they have in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso and Eritrea etc
19
-
19
-
16
-
15
-
15
-
15
-
15
-
13
-
13
-
13
-
12
-
12
-
12
-
11
-
11
-
@SuperDrake85 many good and true points you raise, friend. But as for Turkey, I really don't see them making headway into sub-Saharan Africa as they are more inclined towards the Mediterranean, North Africa and the Middle East (at least the Levant and Mesopotamia). Your observations on Nigeria make sense a d my government has been ramping up military reforms and improvements mainly to tackle internal insecurity, and safeguard our coasts and land trade routes. However, more needs to be done and we are also still involved in diplomatic ties with the West (we recently had drills with France, the UK and America. So France is still present here but taking a different approach to diplomacy with us in Africa after the fallout in Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso) mainly because I think Trump and the USA aim to pull back on their massive Navy presence and simply ally with pro-western regional powers (like my country) who can potentially fill that vacuum. I do hope we don't miss this opportunity, as you point out. It can be very beneficial for us and others in the region because stability and good diplomatic ties with others, especially the West (for all their flaws), is something we need here in Africa. As for China, the only thing they are interested in here in Africa is debt diplomacy, and extraction without any serious long term geopolitical or strategic aims. We trade with them because of the economic benefits and affordability but we also know of their negative impacts like illegal fishing off our coasts, illegal mining here in Nigeria and much of Africa, terrible loans with massive interests and some really useless infrastructure projects.
10
-
10
-
10
-
9
-
9
-
9
-
8
-
8
-
7
-
7
-
7
-
7
-
6
-
6
-
5
-
5
-
5
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
@atheistbushman Hi friend. Sorry for the late reply. As to your questions, ethnic relations here are far from perfect but they are much better than in the past and, especially, compared to some other countries in Africa. The socioeconomic rifts between the north and south still exists and even within both regions, inter-tribal schisms can linger but over the decades, civic nationalism and a more conscious National identity has been taking root here. Hausas and Fulani have their issues. Same with Igbos and Yoruba but for the most part, most people get along well. The main things causing tribalism to flare up are the economic problems brought on by poor policies and decisions of our current ruling party since 2015 and this leads to other secondary issues being brought due to this.
Regarding our military, yes, northerners who are mainly Hausa and some Fulani (Fulani are not nearly a large segment of our population as people think) do constitute a large portion of it--followed by Yoruba and Igbo people--but this is mainly due to demographics, not some tribalism issue. The same reason why the US army is made up of largely white people since they are the largest segment of America's population. For the longest time, our armed forces have been established as secular and national, not regional/tribal. Even our constitution and various military edicts forbid any religion or singular tribe from using our military as a proxy.
Finally, on the Biafran war, it is not forgotten but it is also not as majorly focused on these days. The fact that Igbo people still emigrate and settle successfully in other regions/states in Nigeria in the north and south-west, is proof of this. There are still secessionists elements in the south-east (as they are in other parts of Nigeria like Yoruba separatists and Haus/Fulani separatists) and while they call for separation and frequently use the civil war as a rallying cry, they are a loud minority and not supported by the majority of Igbo people on that topic. The fact that some of these groups like IPOB and ESN tend to use extortion and criminal/terrorists acts against their own people in the region, sours many against them. They are basically like the radical Sikh separatists of the Punjab. There are still legitimate issues facing the south east, especially economic ones but these are due to political inaction and ineptitude within their own region rather than discrimination from the federal government.
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
@AboSaad-q8n firstly, thanks for the kind words for me and my country. Appreciate, friend. Also, as to the population issue, I don't see it as a major thing cause Arab-Israelis already live in Israel and have high birthdates but also are fully enfranchised citizens and contribute positively to Israel. This could also be done for Palestinians so long as they drop the radicalism. Also, the white guilt thing is unlikely. That mainly tends to be in regions and countries with very little existential threats and the weird postmodern leftist ideology that promotes it. I mean, in Nigeria, my ancestors of my tribe, and those of others, had history of war, enslavement and conflict with other tribes yet none of us has any "white guilt" sentiments cause it's something all our ancestors did and we also real issues and problems here to dwell on the past. so the ideology has no root here.
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
@mr.takethingstooseriously honestly, it is really not as difficult as we think. India achieved their federal and democratic system mainly for a few reasons: They had the sociocultural and political foundation laid by the British during colonialism, same as we have. They even had previous instances of ethnic tensions and schisms like the Sikh-Hindu clashes similarly to our own civil war but due to the aforementioned sociocultural foundations, they worked to reestablish national unity rather than expunge the side that lost, same thing in our civil war happened. They also had a growing economy and increasingly young nationalist population that identifies more with India than their individual tribes. Finally, there is inertia and conscious effort to keep India united. The elites and populace there are to dependent on the economic security and political stability that a unified India brings and most want to maintain this. They might be problems but not enough to undermine the nation. They will simply work to improve their issues by necessity. This is the same that we also see in Nigeria. We already have a growing national identity and language. Many of our institutions, like the military, are becoming secular and avoiding divisive agendas. I mean, it is forbidden to classify our military as Muslim, Christian, or tribal. It is Nigerian. Most of us want to maintain our union, especially the elites. Even the secessionists in the North, South, West, East etc, don't have much weight anymore and most of us depend on the economic security and political stability Nigeria affords us.
2
-
2
-
2
-
@mr.takethingstooseriously well, friend, I can't argue with that. Nigeria's success is indeed Africa's success. Also, the thing about democracy is that it is very malleable and can be modified in various ways but it tends to maintain some core aspects. Democracy in France, after their revolution and Napoleon, was and is still unitary i.e majority rule while in America, it is Republic democracy (the kind of democracy we are trying to establish here) which is not the kind of democracy that was in the west for a long time. Britain still has Parliamentary democracy. So, western democracy is not one simple thing and democracy can be applied to any place, not just the west. That is why when Botswana gained independence, they kept democracy and other things from Britain mainly because their culture had similar systems like consensus building, chiefs being elected, property rights etc. Democracy can, and has, worked in Africa because it can adapt and change easily.
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
@chestnutters9504 Biafra war happened because a rougue Nigerian soldier Chukwuma Kaduna Nzeogwu and several others killed some of our prominent founding Nigerian leaders. This then led to reprisals and ethnic clashes. Then rather than surrender him for his crime, an Igbo man, Gen. Ojukwu, sheltered him against the advice of other Igbo people and plunged the east into a civil war that many Igbos didn't want. After the war, reconciliation happened. As for Boko Haram, you do know that most of them are islamic insurgents from neighboring Chad, Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso etc, right? They are not just limited to Nigeria and our military has gotten better at dealing with them. Finally, on the issue of religion, what exactly makes you think the majority of Nigerians don't co-exist, despite our faith differences? Or do you just think social media is representative of all reality here?
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
@tadeajao3344 India once penetrated Nigeria? Interesting....When did this happen? we have had diplomacy and ties with India but not as much as we are currently having with them. So how did they penetrate us, as you claim? Also, yes, India has similar problems to us but also has a vastly larger economy, better management of resources, better infrastructure development (they literally have better electricity production despite not having much petroleum like us) and they are also global leaders in pharmaceuticals, IT, and light industry/manufacturing. Why wouldn't we want to have closer ties with them for our own development? Indian manufacturing may not be as cheap as China but it is more reliable. And on a final point, strange how you think India always takes over businesses in Africa when they are many examples of china operating illegal farms, mining operations, or smuggling resources out of Africa and even engaging with war lords and slavers here. Why are you not talking about this? Has India done any of this here? And you winder why our country wants more deals with them🤔🤔
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
@karunama3771 Um, if it's a religious issue, can you explain why any of these other societies and their dominant religious institutions never could replicate Europe's and Christendom's development of the scientific revolution? Why didn't China, India, ancient Greece, post-golden age Islam, Pagan Rome, etc? I know most religions are social institutions but not religions are the same. For every Copernicus and Galileo, you also had the Church supporting as bad promoting medieval Christian monks like Georges Lemaitre who proposed the Big Bang theory, Gregor Mendel who practically created the field of genetics, and Roger Bacon who revolutionized optics, astronomy, and mathematics. These aren't the only examples.
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
@jeffersonhassan4558 did you not read my original comment or any of my replies where I acknowledged this? Of course I know we have high inflation, cost of living and unemployment. I know our economy has not been well since 2015 when APC took over and ruined things but you do also know that our GDP and economic forecast are among the best in Africa, right? Plus, as terrible as the effects of Tinubu's reforms are, the improvements they will bring down the line are undeniable. Also, here's a simple fact: A country's economic hardship doesn't mean they are not doing well. America, Canada, China, Brazil, etc all are facing high levels of inflation, cost of living, and unemployment but I doubt you are going to call them failed economies.
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1