Comments by "" (@orboakin8074) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

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  42. @SuperDrake85  many good and true points you raise, friend. But as for Turkey, I really don't see them making headway into sub-Saharan Africa as they are more inclined towards the Mediterranean, North Africa and the Middle East (at least the Levant and Mesopotamia). Your observations on Nigeria make sense a d my government has been ramping up military reforms and improvements mainly to tackle internal insecurity, and safeguard our coasts and land trade routes. However, more needs to be done and we are also still involved in diplomatic ties with the West (we recently had drills with France, the UK and America. So France is still present here but taking a different approach to diplomacy with us in Africa after the fallout in Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso) mainly because I think Trump and the USA aim to pull back on their massive Navy presence and simply ally with pro-western regional powers (like my country) who can potentially fill that vacuum. I do hope we don't miss this opportunity, as you point out. It can be very beneficial for us and others in the region because stability and good diplomatic ties with others, especially the West (for all their flaws), is something we need here in Africa. As for China, the only thing they are interested in here in Africa is debt diplomacy, and extraction without any serious long term geopolitical or strategic aims. We trade with them because of the economic benefits and affordability but we also know of their negative impacts like illegal fishing off our coasts, illegal mining here in Nigeria and much of Africa, terrible loans with massive interests and some really useless infrastructure projects.
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  78.  @atheistbushman  Hi friend. Sorry for the late reply. As to your questions, ethnic relations here are far from perfect but they are much better than in the past and, especially, compared to some other countries in Africa. The socioeconomic rifts between the north and south still exists and even within both regions, inter-tribal schisms can linger but over the decades, civic nationalism and a more conscious National identity has been taking root here. Hausas and Fulani have their issues. Same with Igbos and Yoruba but for the most part, most people get along well. The main things causing tribalism to flare up are the economic problems brought on by poor policies and decisions of our current ruling party since 2015 and this leads to other secondary issues being brought due to this. Regarding our military, yes, northerners who are mainly Hausa and some Fulani (Fulani are not nearly a large segment of our population as people think) do constitute a large portion of it--followed by Yoruba and Igbo people--but this is mainly due to demographics, not some tribalism issue. The same reason why the US army is made up of largely white people since they are the largest segment of America's population. For the longest time, our armed forces have been established as secular and national, not regional/tribal. Even our constitution and various military edicts forbid any religion or singular tribe from using our military as a proxy. Finally, on the Biafran war, it is not forgotten but it is also not as majorly focused on these days. The fact that Igbo people still emigrate and settle successfully in other regions/states in Nigeria in the north and south-west, is proof of this. There are still secessionists elements in the south-east (as they are in other parts of Nigeria like Yoruba separatists and Haus/Fulani separatists) and while they call for separation and frequently use the civil war as a rallying cry, they are a loud minority and not supported by the majority of Igbo people on that topic. The fact that some of these groups like IPOB and ESN tend to use extortion and criminal/terrorists acts against their own people in the region, sours many against them. They are basically like the radical Sikh separatists of the Punjab. There are still legitimate issues facing the south east, especially economic ones but these are due to political inaction and ineptitude within their own region rather than discrimination from the federal government.
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  96.  @mr.takethingstooseriously  honestly, it is really not as difficult as we think. India achieved their federal and democratic system mainly for a few reasons: They had the sociocultural and political foundation laid by the British during colonialism, same as we have. They even had previous instances of ethnic tensions and schisms like the Sikh-Hindu clashes similarly to our own civil war but due to the aforementioned sociocultural foundations, they worked to reestablish national unity rather than expunge the side that lost, same thing in our civil war happened. They also had a growing economy and increasingly young nationalist population that identifies more with India than their individual tribes. Finally, there is inertia and conscious effort to keep India united. The elites and populace there are to dependent on the economic security and political stability that a unified India brings and most want to maintain this. They might be problems but not enough to undermine the nation. They will simply work to improve their issues by necessity. This is the same that we also see in Nigeria. We already have a growing national identity and language. Many of our institutions, like the military, are becoming secular and avoiding divisive agendas. I mean, it is forbidden to classify our military as Muslim, Christian, or tribal. It is Nigerian. Most of us want to maintain our union, especially the elites. Even the secessionists in the North, South, West, East etc, don't have much weight anymore and most of us depend on the economic security and political stability Nigeria affords us.
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