Comments by "N Velsen" (@nvelsen1975) on "Anders Puck Nielsen" channel.

  1. No! Don't talk about peace by christmas! Historically that's when wars drag on for 4-6 years. 😉
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  2. Russian state media have repeatedly argued the Vistula Canal (allows one Polish port to reach the sea without going through occupied Königsberg) as a 'direct threat to Russia' with Sputnik argueing it was a threat 'because it contributed to Polish sovereignty'. So what Russia considers an attack can be literally anything positive for you, because Russia regards you as only an 'inferior' in dire need of subjugation.
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  3. Knowing British cuisine, that's one piece of Russian news that I instantly believed.
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  4. There's a bit of a meme saying Russia's economy was the size of the Benelux countries. Now it may be closer to the poor southern part of Belgium.
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  5. Yes we have ignored it. And I've had my nose rubbed in it. Ex-customer of my company used to be broke to the point that he was on benefits in 2013. I know this since he had to hand over his full financial records as part of a government background check. He made news headlines in 2014 when he campaigned against the Association Treaty with Ukraine, specifically using toiletpaper rolls with slogans on it. He collaborated with the pro-Russian gossipblogger and alround POS human being Jan Roos. Now since 2013 he has acquired real estate totaling 38 properties and is making a comfortable living ruthlessly exploiting tenants. My jobs was to clean that up and make it according to regulations, something he kept going back on. Not an easy enforcement. Then after the 2022 'official invasion' he's back to Russian campaigning and came to our office to talk about what we could do 'about government corruption' (destabilisation through undermining trust in the democratic government). By then I was aware of his pro-Russian involvement. I volunteered back in early march, but Ukrainians rejected my application, so that's where I stand. Let's just say things got a bit heated, police attended and he's now very squarely an ex-customer, his records were handed over to the intelligence agencies as I can't abide traitors. Not they're going to do a damn thing about Russia's infiltration, but at least they have records to prove you can make millions being a Russian infiltrator.
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  6. I bet he doesn't even have a license for those shrubs.
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  7. "I demand at least 500.000 Mexican volunteers to the Ukrainian army before agreeing to a vote! They're after all good at invading things so this is totally reasonable of me!" - speaker Johnson, probably
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  8.  @miriamweller812  It struck a symbolic part of a symbolic target while doing no damage, exactly like Russia would want for a message of "We are under threat, support Putin and enlist today!". Also like Eddy said, it was remote-detonated on command. Contact detonation against a thin target is nearly undoable; you'd see the drone smash into the flagpole first, disintegrate, and only then would anything touch a contact detonator. Also Ukraine has been complaining about lacking heightmaps for Russia, so they can't make drones fly low (beneath detection) without them flying into trees, random buildings and powerlines. How would Ukraine go from "We can't, at all", to "Perfect strike at the central symbol of the Kremlin"
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  9.  @petermagnus9919  Uhm, you're aware India, which invaded China six times, does have nuclear weapons? Wth would China have against South Korea and Japan? No trade routes go in that direction, unlike in the southern direction where the Philipines and Indonesia (a country that perpetrated multiple genocides against Chinese) can threaten trade routes. As for China's position, China is in camp China. China's position is "Don't invade other countries" and it always has been. Putin recruiting Trump was a masterstroke that brought Beijing much closer to Moscow, but still, Russia invaded China numerous times last time being 1969. Russia is the agressive and unreliable neighbour where there are economic opportunities to be had, nothing more. Putin asked for Chinese weapons. He didn't get any. Yet pretty early on China sent a couple million of civilian aid to Ukraine. The famous 'Wolf warrior tweet' further shows that Beijing feels Putin made them lose face (a huge deal in Chinese culture) and that's not something that's forgiven easily.
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  10.  @sixmillionaccountssilenced6721  Ah, because Hamas fanboys are a very reliable source of information of course.... 😆
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  11.  @tomk3732  That ten-to-one number has become vastly outdated with Russian production not keeping up and logistical problems. The detected fires (from space) suggest that currently (11-7) Ukraine is smashing up the Cherson region that's still controlled by the Russians, and the Russians are bombing Krivoy Rih and Osokarivka (across the Dnipro basin)
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  12. I doubt it. That means the same logistical problems that brought Russia down, would hinder the Ukrainians. It makes more sense to let the river be the frontline for the winter and push towards Melitopol. One of the prizes there is Enerhodar, which would deny Russia the ability to stage a nuclear incident that they've threatened several times as well as restore Ukrainian control over power generation. If the coastal road is within Ukrainian artillery reach (still takes at least a 45 kilometer push at the two thinnest points of the Russian line, so not easy) it would force Russia to exhaustingly ship all supplies for the entire pocket by smaller trains or by ships that need to be slowly loaded and unloaded. Most of the occupation zone including Crimea, would be choked that way.
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  13.  @ThePandafriend  That's a valid point, but Russian prison recruitment is already becoming a problem. Because the remaining inmates have by now all heard the rumours of 2 hour life expectancies and attacks that take 70-99% casualties. Prison sucks, being in a suicide squad sucks more. Plus having taken 100K prisoners out of the system, at some point Russia will run out. Pre-war Russia claimed to have had 439K inmates of which 93% are male and 6% are foreigners. That's 381K max recruitable (and thus over 26% killed already) if we make unrealistic assumptions like all of them will sign up.... The reality is not all of them are fit for service and some 24% were suspects not yet convicted (who won't sign up) and most of them are in there for relatively minor crimes (who won't sign up because they'll be out soon). Then it gets further complicated because the 'people who don't matter' are also not 100% of prisoners. Some of them have friends, family, money. Their death would shake Russia a lot more than some mentally ill serial rapist only known by his mother, being used as a cannon fodder. It could well be that Russian prison recruitment is already over.
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  14. One thing to consider is cold makes it miserable to be in the field. But one side is in the field to ensure the survival of their country and their people as an ethnic group, the country's liberation and their freedom. The other side is fighting for 900 dollars a month which most of the time isn't even paid out in full. If everybody takes a morale hit from the weather, that will favour the Ukrainians. It's not all sunshine and rainbows though, harder weather means people will need things to survive and be comfortable. For occupied parts of Ukraine that means relying on the Russian occupational forces. That is inevitably going to inspire some less hostility, perhaps even loyalty, in some people.
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  15. Here in the Netherlands an entirely political generation was formed by the MH17 terrorist strike by Russia. Apart from those parties being in power, there's several hawks in the opposition too. On top of this there were several Russian hybrid warfare attacks here domestically that those in the know are aware of but aren't media fodder. But those in the know stay working for decades; Our PM Schoof is one of them in fact. Even if you assume everybody who's suspected of being pro-Russia would instantly go full putinist mode in case of a war by Russia, they still don't have even a large minority in parliament. There WILL be a Dutch response.
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  16. Can you name at least 5 strikes AIMED AT civilian targets in Gaza that Israel carried out? For obvious reasons strikes against Hamas barracks and weapons depots with human shields living in the same building are not allowed as an answer. Those are military targets. Also how come the amount of Palestinians is increasing? Weird genocide if the number of supposed victims isn't reducing.... And why is it ALWAYS Hamas that escalates the situation and never Israel? Wouldn't you want to be on the offensive if you're after genocide?
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  17. Uhm, at the start, Ukraine had stocks of Russian-calibre ammuntion, such as 152 mm artillery shells. One of the major problems Ukraine has is that Russian sent terrorists to destroy ammunition stocks throughout eastern Europe in a 2014-2021 terrorism campaign where Russian terrorists struck in Moldova and Bulgaria. So now most of their (Soviet) artillery is running out shells. The western artillery Ukraine has is advanced and better than what Russia has, but lower in numbers and uses the 155 mm. To my knowledge it's not possible to re-bore a 152 mm barrel into a 155 mm and fire NATO standard shells with it. This transition from Russian gear to NATO gear is still ongoing for Ukraine and greatly complicates their logistics situation.
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  18.  @AlexP-mi2bc  Uhm, no. It's literally illegal to trade with Putin, and basically nobody complained.
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  19. I would rather watch something less predictable than Putin being interviewed, like, say, the North Korean elections. 😉
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  20.  @polarvortex3294  Where on earth do you get your information? What you said was a thing in february and march, but not after that. Ukraine actually had too many volunteers, they couldn't train and arm them all.
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  21. Not entirely. There have been fights with a lot weirder rules. Actually quite a lot of them. The UN imposed a mandate on the Dutch 'fighting' in Srebrenica that involved them not being allowed to fire even one shot. ....from their Uzi and FN minimes, heaviest weapons they had. ....Against Serbo-Russian forces with T55 tanks supported by artillery. This 'only cuddling and stern warning allowed'-approach, plus a French betrayal in not sending airstrikes of course didn't exactly work out, resulting in the Srebrenica Genocide. And our Afghanistan mandate only allowed defensive fighting. So how do you secure a valley against swarming insurgents with rules that dumb? Well you put down an OP right at the mouth of the valley and basically put up a big sign saying "Please shoot at me before proceeding". ...Which the insurgents invariably obliged us in ...After which we could 'defensively' hunt them down and deal with them, after they all they'd started it and we're just 'defending' 😆
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  22.  @peterkratoska4524  While I wish your optimism was correct, about half of Russia's 'sovereign wealth fund' is gone only after 2 years of war. Extrapolating they might be able to afford this pace until 2026, and then some more by going full Soviet mode on their economy.
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  23. As someone who was regularly hired to work along civil servants, that was very recognizeable. 😂
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  24.  @dpelpal  No wonder India and Russia get along so well.
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  25.  @lancerevo9747  Escalate further than Russia's current total war of national extermination you mean? 😆 Russia can't escalate further, because Russia is always in a state of total neglect of any restraint. The concept of controlling Russian escalation is weird and impossible.
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  26.  @evgeniya7853  You seem to have forgotten WW2 was going on. You know, that war where you allied yourself with the nazis and Japan, invaded Poland and China together. Those nukes saved 10 million lives minimum. 10 million, that's about 1/4th of the death toll of Russia's occupation of Europe 1940-1989.
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  27. So you're saying it's not about them having weapons and shooting at IDF troops, but it's over ethnicity? Are you under the influence of drugs? 😆
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  28. Uhm, do you keep up with the frontline developments? Ukraine is taking ground all over through relatively small leapfrog advances that allow them to then bring up the AA umbrella behind them. Sure, deeply penetrating armoured thrusts and air-based 'rollover' offensives are impossible due to Russian airpower, which is to say helicopters. But what's the value of that fact if there are angry infantrymen tossing grenades into your trench? And if you escape, tomorrow they'll be tossing grenades into your next trench. Besides of that, a scenario of Ukrainian air superiority is unlikely to the extreme. Yes, with AMRAAMS and better radars like in the F16 Ukraine will be able to match or (if they match western performance levels so quickly) roflstomp Russian combat air patrols. All Russia will be able to do is toss long range anti-Awacs missiles at them and pray. This is true. Yet, that doesn't change Russian (or more accurately Soviet) superlative GBAD assets assure a stalemate in the air. Unless Ukraine finds a bunch of F35's in a shed somewhere (and I hope they do) there is not going to be a Yugoslavia or Desert Storm scenario of Ukraine's airforce walking over the Russian GBAD and airforce at the same time to establish air superiority. Knowing that an air stalemate is the best possible, everything on top of a stalemate is wasted effort.
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  29. The dictator of Belarus has distanced himself from Putin a bit now and recently crushed an uprising against his regime before the war started; there won't be another so soon. Chechnya has been thoroughly purged with Kadyrov's death camps snuffing out anyone who might resist and his squads of goons (sometimes called the Tiktok Army) roaming the countryside. Chechnya used to have only 3 million people. After the purges and Russian rule probably a lot less. They can't resist through sheer lack of numbers. You might as well expect Prussia to rise up despite the Russians not leaving a single civilised soul alive and living there in 70 years of purges. It would however be quite curious if Japan took a plunge and liberated its northern islands. Or maybe Xi Jinping decides a good way to draw attention away from economic hiccups is to liberate northern Manchuria (even though that is even more thoroughly purged and is basically just wasteland). I mean at this point the Russian army can't even begin to resist the PLA if the two fought.
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  30. Anders is about facts, not the hysterical terrorist propaganda that you prefer. 😃
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  31. For all the tragedy this excellent analysis foreshadowed, I find it comforting to realise most of that 'suffering for Russia's influence sphere' has landed in Russia itself. Make no mistake: This war is a huge tragedy for Ukraine, but in absolute size it's much worse for Putin's slaves so far.
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  32. They didn't cover it, but recently some guy in China who runs a factory of mocking toilet paper (where they print faces of politicians etc on toilet paper) decided to advertise them selling toilet paper with Zelensky's face on it. So you'd think this is their job, they don't pick sides, if there's a market for it, they'll provide, right? Well, pretty soon, outraged reviews of Ruzzians began appearing who purchased it, only to be sent toilet paper with Putin's face on it. The guy then made a compilation of outraged e-mails and angry reviews by Ruzzians and posted that in a few places. It's going around in WeChat groups mainly right now.
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  33. Putin miscalculated Erdogan's motives badly. Erdogan brokered the grain deal, it's 'his' deal. Putin pulling out causes Erdogan to lose face and that's what prickly dictators hate to have done to them. Backgrounds: Turkey and Turkish interests are harmed greatly by Russia using famine as a weapon. The Turkish economy is in trouble thanks to Erdogan, he could use a distraction. The Turkish navy is more than capable of holdings its own against the Black Sea fleet. Putin misunderstood that he had no path out of this. When Turkish grain ships broke the Russian blockade, he could back down or attack. If he attacked the Turkish navy would have a reason to come defend their ships. Then Putin can back down or attack. In a shooting war between the Turkish and Russian navy, the Russians would likely lose, and if they win it's a casus belli, the Montreux treaty wouldn't stop NATO ships any longer as Turkey has now picked a side. All of those scenarios end in a loss for Putin and a win for Erdogan. So obviously Turkey was going to enforce their grain deal.
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  34. Ah, multiple experts... And you couldn't even name a single one of them. 😆 You're afraid that when you do, it'll turn out you were quoting Pallywood propagandists. Take your own advice: Remain silent.
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  35. That's still a 70 km push through rough terrain against a shortening front, staffed with more and more Russian cannon fodder, that over time will be somewhat trained.
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  36.  @user-yq2wk6yg8s  Not just a low price, it's basically just above or just below the price where Russia can make a profit, but it's not technologically possible to just pause oil wells, and you can't just break a trade link and restart it. The more worrying part is that France, Spain and a couple others still happily buy Russian LNG at market value argueing 'we have an existing contract' as to why they don't carry out the sanctions. It's an obvious fake: Law goes above contract everybody knows that.
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  37. "Belgium could conquer Belarus" Ouch, anyone who's seen that failed buffer state's 'military' knows that that is quite the insult. 😆
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  38. @T.J. Kong Naah, we'd now be seeing a very ugly guerilla war unfolding. The bodycount would be much higher, the result the same as now. Which is exactly why we need to further expand lend-lease to Ukraine. Russia has always constantly invaded its neighbours for 200 years and won't stop unless it's stopped.
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  39. The main disconnect between those advocating for peace now despite everything, and the diplomats, is that 99% of those people are Russian bots, covidiot Russian-brainwashed rioters and paid Russian agitators. I've not seen anyone serious even consider the idea, nevermind find a solution to the fact that Russia will simply use peace to rearm, expand their army and they'll invade again late 2023 or in 2024.
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  40.  @arturobianco848  Well there is an air stalemate. Both sides only engage in 'inevitable' (as in: no amount of AA would stop it) use of air assets like lobbing unguided rockets and using drones. Basically the only form of air warfare in the war right now that's actually subject to any tactical consideration is that Russia has found to way to have the limited number of surviving Ka-52s fire missiles at advancing vehicles from their maximum range, creating a defensive rapid-response force to a specific type of attack that way. All the rest is basically mutually denied.
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  41. That's why Arjan Lubach held a referendum that showed 100% of Russians wanted to be annexed by the Netherlands. So as per the 1st of october, Russia no longer exists. Putin needs to stop occupying such a huge part of the Netherlands! 😆
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  42. Well, the march strike against the International Legion recruits was so succesful because it was in a Soviet era system and to top it of some absolute *** had put it on Google Maps and people discussed it openly on social media for people who were going, any of who could've been an infiltrator.
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  43.  @Rokaize  Putin's had 11 oligarchs and business leaders murdered this year, among them only 1 exile. Those are record levels for Russia. He's terrified that some of the elite conspire against him. Which is rather dangerous for Putin, both their dissatisfaction and having to opress them with murder, because Putin's regime is built on the oligarchs.
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  44. Well, at least you guys now have decisively defeated Japan in the 'Weirdest country on the planet' competition. 😉
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  45.  @biornr.4031  Why not just admit you're lying? It's more open and honest.
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  46. It's mostly a manipulation: Bachmut is a Russian prestige target. They'll be desperate not to lose it, thus allowing Ukraine the initiative. That's why they attacked the flanks instead of getting into even more stalingrad-sh*it and attacking back into the city itself. Currently it's apparently being staffed partially by forced-conscripts from the occupied regions. Yes, those same forced-conscripts whose lines allowed the Kharkiv counteroffensive to progress at such blinding speed. And you can bet the occupied regions haven't seen a lot of men growing into a military age or migrating there so Russian press-gangs can snatch them up. These are guys aged 40+ and up with some squads made up of guys in their 50's and 60's and since then the situation's gotten worse for them.
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  47. Thing is: That means you're weighing another town, against all the lives lost in the weeks where Russia had the place surrounded and could shell Bachmut at their leisure with little to no risk of counter-battery. That's a lot of unknowns and assumptions. I don't think you can conclude either way since: -Which other town? We don't know. -What's it's value, even if we know the town we don't rightly know -Who would've been saved fighting under better conditions elsewhere? What's their military value? We don't know. -How much artillery would Russia have lost extra not having a few weeks of free shots at Bachmut? We can only guesstimate roughly. -Would Russia have paused if Bachmut was given up eventually, or pressed on during winter? We don't know. But if Russia pressed on anyway it would've invalidated Anders' 'Bachmut or have to go offensive' argument. -Would Wagner have been put to the torch elsewhere and still revolted? We don't know. -If Wagner did, would they have captured Gerasimov and Shoigu like they intended? We don't know. -If Wagner didn't, would they have bowed out of the war after Bachmut and just take their surplus manpower to Niger? We don't know. Now I wasn't bad at mathematics in school, but I don't think it's possible to solve an equation with 10+ unknowns in it.
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  48. The Russian propaganda has openly stated things like 'Russia is only sending 15% of its army' and 'They're only sending the oldest gear first' and 'Russia is so ineffective because they want to be humanitarian and not risk collatoral damage'. They have been pushing the 'one arm behind the back' myth quite a lot.
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  49.  @letsgetsteve  Jack Thelad is a Russian bot account. He was screaming about "Ukronazis" elsewhere. But more to the military point, all NATO-supplied artillery Ukraine has, has a significant range advantage of Russian artillery, anywhere from 2-30 kilometers of advantage. (only counting shell artillery) High ground to shoot further is not something Ukraine needs on a tactical level. Especially using Excalibur shells there's already plentiful footage of concentrations of Russians going "Look at us chilling way behind the frontlines" and kaboom, pinpoint destruction. Plus because the Russians are starting to lack materials and definately lack tactics, Ukrainian gunners have started using long range drone recon to pull off devastating strikes with 1-2 shells. They spend a decent amount of time scouting and working out the ballistics before firing 1-2 shells which typically have a devastating effect. If you want to see an example, Funker530 is currently having a single-shell attack that destroys a Rapira AT gun (and presumably most of the crew) on its 'latest' page.
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  50. 4:01 I feel the need to add 'why' sea clutter can't be fixed Because the only fix on maritime radars for clutter is to tell the radar 'ignore any object below X cm tall above the sea level'. Which means that against maritime drones that are really low in the water, you have to choose between: A - Seeing the drone and ALL the waves, good luck picking which of the 300 objects is the right target B - Not the waves or the drone, good luck finding the drone Source: I work volunteer maritime rescue for Dutch KNRM and have to operate such radars (civilian ones) sometimes in bad weather. Disclaimer: The navies of today may be sitting on more advanced solutions by now, I wouldn't know, I was army 2006-2010 then reservist 2010-2017, never navy
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  51. One thing people forget though: On the scale of economics and economic devastation from war, a few grainships are peanuts for Ukraine. Grainships or not, western financial support mainly from the EU is already a 'do or die' issue for them. So effectively, the cost of losing a few potential grain ships is minimal for Ukraine. So Putin is taking a huge gamble of being blamed globally and this escalation, all to do something that isn't really that valuable for Ukraine. Or in different words: Russia loses more over this than Ukraine does, ergo it's good warfare.
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  52.  @viniciustoresan4780  Antimonium? Is that like the opposite of ammonium?
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  53. There's a huge level of irony to the Republicans screeching that they think the Democrats aren't doing much against an 'invasion' of illegal migrants, while themselves refusing to do much of anything against a literal invasion. Under US law, accepting money or favours to work for a foreign power hostile to the US is treason and a severe crime. Mike Johnson and Rand Paul need to be investigated, especially their finances.
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  54. Not just the US, the UK too. GCHQ has its grubby paws in everything that's even remotely signals related. It's in civilian use and I never used it during my service so I guess it's okay to talk about, but there's AI that does pattern recognition. At the very least track changes between two photos. We use those for zoning enforcement purposes since they flag new extensions to houses, new windows, changed fence positions etc, which you can then cross-reference with known permits and enforce easily against rulebreakers without having to manually turn a whole village inside out. You can then mark exclusion zones as well, so it doesn't flag entire roads as false positives because of the changing vehicles. If you do this with satrecon of a warzone, the AI should flag all changes, which your analysts can then look at. This means you should be able to get all open-air ammo dumps and most of the ones in buildings because there's a high chance it'll get flagged over changing vehicles. I've heard talk of similar AI that can search for a specific shape, so if you feed them the profile of a Russian army truck and then set them to work on a region's satrecon, it should flag everywhere Russian army trucks are parked and driving.
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  55.  @kjensen7819  Non-Russian or non-Russian-sponsored source of this is found.... where exactly?
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  56.  @alexanderjdivic4784  Contract ran for just 12 months buddy. That was the minimum term back in april 22. How long has your 3 day war to take Kiyv lasted by now? 😆
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  57. It's an excellent analysis as usual, but I think you're slightly wrong about the first main objective, because: 1 - This Ukrainian offensive makes headlines and gives people hope. It shows the west Ukraine is capable of taking the fight to Russia instead of causing attricion, which is militarily effective, but fails to make headlines. As an example I would show Lindsey Graham, formerly a seeming hardcore putinist that some suspected was bribed, now she's argueing Ukraine should receive aid. That's because people like her read "Ukrainian offensive" and that motivates them. That A ensure the financial support that keeps Ukraine from losing and B keeps the military aid that enables Ukraine to win. Sun Tzu said the first step to victory is to prevent defeat, which Ukraine does. This is the main reason for the offensive, I think. Causing unrest in Russia is the 2nd reasion. 2 - Notice how Russia sent their full hybrid war assets to talk Nordstream and used up all their bribed SPD contacts in Germany for that? That supports point 1. 3 - I think Ukraine knows the Russian dictatorship can supress information and prevent protest/uprising. That won't be their main objective because that sort of pressure on Putin would require taking entire Russian regions and Ukraine lacks the manpower for that.
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  58. So you're argueing Hamas is committing a genocide against Israel? After all you just argued that not supplying your enemy during war is genocide. Hey, Luxemburg doesn't provide Hamas with fuel either while Hamas is happily murdering innocents, is Luxemburg committing genocide then? Or maybe your point is ridiculous and you need to stop lying....
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  59. On the propaganda front I'm seeing something new: Russia's agents both the Russians and paid traitors that form the covidiot movement, are now no longer talking about the war and how Ukraine will lose. They're screaming about the media, the government and vaccinations again. This means the Russian propaganda is at a loss to spin this into a victory or even a road to Russian victory.
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  60. And that's why it's not genocide, your story is bunk since: -It's not Palestinian land, Israel couldn't take anything if they wanted. You are wrong. -Occasional outbursts of violence are 100% initiated by Palestinians, so following your argument, Palestinians are perpetrating genocide against Palestinians -There's no such thing as 'culture genocide', that's idiotic racist talk -Even if it weren't, Palestinians aren't being erased except by themselves. 20% of Israel's population is Arabic, majority Palestinian. They're not erased. Stop lying. So it's not genocide, and the amount of mental gymnastics you did to claim otherwise is astounding.
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  61. Uhm, Bakhmut is the frontline. There's no logistics route from there to an other place. Kramatork is such a hub.
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  62. 'create a mass exodus'? 'Take over greater palestine'? Mate what sort of drug-addled mind came up with those fantasy stories? There were two groups. The spread of pan-arabism (middle eastern race theory) made one group say they now hate all other groups. So it got violent. Then the Palestinians declared a total war of annihilation in 1948 and prescribed their own people to clump together to avoid reprisals while Palestinian genocide squads worked. Then the Pallies lost the war they started, voila, that's where they are where they are, and have been for 3 generations now. That, and defending Putin... You need to stop lying and stop declaring fantasy stories to be truth. Let me show you how that works: 20% of Israel's population are Arabs, majority Palestinian. They have Israeli citizenship. This debunks your weird fantasy about 'Israel wants to make them disappear'.
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  63. Uhm, but for the Russian navy it applies that 'Black sea fleet = all we have' since Turkey correctly closed the straits as per 1936 Montreux Treaty. Any surface ships are going to get struck by Ukrainian anti-ship missiles like moskva was despite an extensive anti-missile screen. That was their flagship, the best they had, the best protected and Ukraine sunk it. Russians submarines are already fully engaged launching missile strikes against civilian targets. There is no Ukrainian navy. So there's not much the Russian navy can do: -They go agressive and they'll get wrecked by missiles and mines, maybe airstrikes. -They get reinforcements and get into a standoff with the Turkish navy backed by at least the British and American navy with 1-2 Dutch ships, maybe French too. -They carry on, they are where they are now: irrelevant. -They stay in port. Still irrelevant, lesser risk, commander probably going to 'volunteer' for a gulag though
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  64. Imagine being an apolitical farmer somewhere in Siberia just raising your two kids and minding your own business for years so nobody kills yoy.....then you get sent to your death because some civilian nazi blogger screamed their dictator wasn't waging enough war and said dictator decides that your death would bring the least political backblow.....
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  65. It also matters what Russian political will does. Russia is being destroyed right now, their economy is finished and we're currently counting the years of rebuilding they must do, per week of sanctions and war strain. So if you're a Russian nationalist, it's in your interest to make peace. And Putin can't supress the nazist/ultra-nationalist faction that his power is built on in the first place. This is also what we saw in Germany 1942-1945: Nationalists like Halder or Rommel deciding that it's best for Germany to kill Hitler and make peace, but there were also plenty loyal to their führer same as many brainwashed Russian Nashi members and graduates are still loyal to their führer Putin. It's impossible to predict if and when that faction will tip over and force Putin to make peace, any peace, in order to save Russia.
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  66. And yet you couldn't even name a single one of them with a single reliable source, you liar.
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  67. I think the Ukrainian government sat for a while before okay'ing this approach, specifically to contrast their approach to Russia. If Ukraine came out shouting "We'll be in Moscow before christmas" people would look at them as a 'Russia-light' in terms of truthfulness. Ukraine does lie in numbers of kills claimed, certainly, but it's extremely important for them to be considered at least somewhat truthful. What you see now in Gaza is that nobody gives a toss because we know Hamas lies on a huge scale but a lot of people no longer trust Israel as long as it's under Netanyahu, courtesy of a decade of lying and conniving, while underneath the Israeli data is either outright true, or a best guesstimate. That's killing because right now it means they're on a clock of just a few weeks in which to roll up Hamas before support for their defensive war against Hamas collapses.
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  68. That's easier said than done though. Here in the Netherlands we have no ammunition factories left in existance. All the government has been able to do is yell at the pension fund investors to re-include weaponry into their investment portfolio so the fabulous riches of the boomers might go towards more defense production. Which is sad since in the Cold War we had a literal 'reserve armee' of a couple hundred non-NATO citizens maintaining 2 dormant ammunition production capacities that would continue to function even during a full mobilisation.
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  69.  @gorillaguerillaDK  The Netherlands, Germany and Denmark found another 100 MBTs though, the Leopard 1A5, a hundred of them in industry storage. Going to get revisioned and sent to Ukraine, 20-25 of them this year, the rest in 2024. This comes on top of existing pledges. Doesn't surprise me that Musk is trying to profiteer even more. The initial Starlink was already a US government purchase rather than a donation, something Musk lied about. Then he started charging 3 million a month, now this.... Maybe the US should consider investigating Musk, as war profiteering is in fact a crime if it's a war that involves US interests (and the lend lease act has been activated).
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  70.  @happydays4302  So your source is a pro-Iranian blogger and the US hatespeech channel 'The Young Turks' which is proudly named after a genocidal regime, chairmanned by the Erdogan-worshipper Cenk? 😆 You could've just posted "Hi, I am a liar and Hamas member", you would've said the same, it would've been more honest.
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  71. Nobody cut off anything. Israel simply stopped supplying their enemies fuel during wartime. The Pally argument there is as weird as argueing the US was doing genocide against the Germans by not delivering fuel to the Third Reich in 1944 during the war. Fact is that Hamas was filmed driving around VBIED bombs days after Hamas claimed that Gaza had entirely ran out of fuel and hospitals had no more fuel. That says all you need to know: Hamas claimed there was no fuel even for hospitals, but was later seen using fuel to drive bombs around.
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  72.  @KasumiRINA  Except that wasn't the SBU, it was a local partisan. And the charge failed to detonate. They came back next night and the Russian radar plane went kaboom.
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  73. Well, that's why we have logistics officers, who can veto ideas like that before it becomes a disaster.
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  74. The UN is defunct and no longer matters in any way, shape or form. Case in point: Hamas was just recognized as a country by the UN.
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  75. So in your mind, the systematic murder and driving away of 30-50% of the entire Ukrainian population by the Russians, according to a premade plan, is okay, but not delivering fuel to your enemies during wartime is somehow 'genocide'? Maybe you should watch the video first... Your comment and the definitions used are outright schizofrenic, you're not making sense. And think on this: Days after Hamas claimed their hospitals no longer had fuel and people were dying, Hamas was filmed (using fuel) driving around VBIED bombs.
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  76. 6:45 Anders: 'Surovikin for example, can Putin really trust him?' Couple hours after recording that line: Surovikin is arrested. 😆
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  77. It's a good perspective, but I still think it's false flag. Because at 4:15 in my opinion you misinterpret. Yes 'Ukrainian drone through our air defenses' says the Russian army is weak. BUT, that message is already omni-present from all Russia's defeats. So no extra damage from this event. The message is "Russia is under threat, enlist now and go die for Putin!". Just like with Putin blowing up Moscow appartment blocks while claiming it was Chechens.
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  78.  @EverydayRoadster  China has never threatened anyone besides Taiwan though. Outside Russia-MAGA nobody seems to think we need to ignore Russia and instead try to monger a war with a country that hasn't fought an offensive war since 1952. (and even that was slapping down a vassal state of agressive India that put Indian troops on 40 km from Chongqing, so offensive, defensive, one can argue)
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  79. We do know who did it though: Since the Russian 'web brigades' and their purchased covidiots have been screaming the US did it, we now know for sure Russia did it.
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  80. I doubt such people are analists at all. There has never in modern history been a case where bombing civilian targets has had a beneficial outcome. The last times it did was during the age of pike&shot where bombarding a city with cannons sometimes made the population rise up and demand a conditional surrender (which typically involved the city not wanting to be looted).
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  81. Ah, you're back from today's breadline Sergei. So sad that those are back in Putin's Russia. I had an excellent day shopping today and bought high-quality food, none of which you can afford, for the rest of the day. Then I drove my 2023 EV that no Russian can afford to the forest and walked there in peace which no Russian has.
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  82. One thing I want to point out about 'the internet will go down' circa 22:30 is the historical precedent of radar in WW2. "Why didn't the German airforce just knock out the radars?" is sometimes heard. Well, even with a system like that, much fewer in nodes and much more vulnerable than the internet structure, it was undoable to knock it out. The internet can be damaged or in low-infrastructure areas of mobile phone connection only, maybe disabled, but knocking out the internet? It'll never happen. There's too much of it.
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  83.  @diceshard2436  One problem with your argument is that you treat the enslavement of Europe as Russia's right and therefore 'our interests'. This is why we can't reason with you Russian orcs: You treat plans that were literally too extreme even for the Waffen SS (I'm talking about your Generalplan Ost for Ukraine) as being somehow your birthright as a Russian and if anyone wants different you cry that you're a victim. Perhaps you will listen after we help put a few hundred thousand more of you in the ground....
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  84. So the existance of politicians who don't share your sadistic sick ideas, is genocide? What?
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  85. You can see it on a map even: The Donetsk water plant is right inside the frontline but outside of Ukrainian control. Probably got hit in the fighting. And seeing as only Russian has artillery there, that's the most likely candidate for the one to blame for any combat damage. Plus of course we know that Russians consider Ukrainians and even expatriate ethnic Russians to be 'inferior' (Donetsk was depopulated through ethnic cleansing, forced flight and forced conscription which all show Russia doesn't care), so cutting off their water to stage an incident is something Russians would feel is okay to do.
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  86. Valid point, but pretty sure the Iranian regime will be able to find some goods they can use to get rid of rubles. Just one hypothetical: Buy Russian oil with it, then re-export the Russian oil as Iranian oil and earn dollars that way. Plus obviously Iran will never feel like it has enough weapons. They could insist in being paid in AKs, then send those to Iran's colonial troops in Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen and any survivors in Somalia. That is of course hugely against Iran's economic interests, but for an irrational act, it is possible.
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  87.  @happydays4302  You're in fairyland, with your far-fetched lies about something Netanyahu alledgedly said, even though he is not part of the IDF command structure and doesn't issue orders. However, a charity that takes care of the dead indicated that 80% of bodies recovered after the 7th of october genocide by your Hamas friends, showed signs of torture. This includes children and young infants. Several people were burned alive by your Hamas friends, who then proceeded to kill 3000-15000 Palestinians as well.
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  88. It's sad that the ICC has simultaneously done all they can to erode their own credibility. For example by refusing to look into Iranian imperialism (roughly half a million dead in Yemen and Syria, 3 million dead if you want to blame them for the Iraqi civil war) and sometimes going completely overboard by somehow blaming random Israeli politicians for things that are fully outside their control, such as Netanyahu getting blamed for Hamas' insistance on starting and fighting dirty wars. Netanyahu is definately corrupt and definately doesn't sacrifice IDF lives to save terrorist supporters who technically aren't armed, but nobody who is serious can argue he's to blame for the wars and the dirty character of the fighting and casualties that go with it. It will enable Russia to go "See? What the ICC says only just means the evil establishment doesn't like you, these other ICC cases are also ridiculous after all" Already a while ago the Russian blogosphere lit up with stories about how "ICC is racist" because they went after Random African Warlord X, but not George Bush or [insert whoever represents western interests]. And the thing about Russia's current isolated position is: If it convinces anyone outside of North Korea and Eritrea, that's already a plus for them.
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  89. Putin is a genius though. He really understands that the enemy can't know his plans, if he doesn't have a clue what he's doing. 😉
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  90.  @nzer57  You're responding to a putinist coping lie, by spamming a putinist 'distrust the free media' lie? Sergei, you're confused. 😆
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  91.  @highdefinist9697  It's not about that. Putin hopes to win conquest through promoting a dual agenda of everybody only looking after themselves AND everybody hating on China to draw attention away from Russia. It's about shifting political focus. Where do you think Putin-Trump's 'America first' and his senseless hate against China came from? That's his FSB handler telling him he's supposed to think and say that, or otherwise they're going to broadcast what Trump did in various Russian hotels involving prostitutes, and I imagine underage prostitutes (being a 24 year long personal friend of Epstein) and other illicit activities, because there's no way Trump would turn traitor like he did over some videos of him banging hookers in Moscow.
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  92. Where were the pumps that drained New Orleans in 2005 from again...? Not from the US where conservatives had long since slashed reserve pump capacity. And why was I in Afghanistan twice? Which country decided to invade and then argued Europe should come save them from their lousy peacekeeping?
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  93.  @MrZlocktar  If all Russian media are banned, how come I can still acces all Russian media? Novaya Gazeta for example. Meduza too. Diskurs too. Russia is the one who banned all Russian media. Literally every single one was banned by Putin. All broadcasters are regime propaganda, there are no Russian media.
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  94. This war surprised me in the same way a supreme court ruling that did away with legal security of permits did: I was thinking "The worse scenario is so extremely dumb... Russia will be undone by sanctions. They'll be subject to 99% hate rate in all countries except the dumbest, the most moronic, the most immoral bootlickers like Trump-worshippers or India. China will seize Russia either economically or be rectifying the 'century of humiliation' to the detriment of the defeated putinists. Russia will lose tons and even at most gain very little..... There will be no war." Well... roughly 2 months after the video was posted I was mailing back&forth with the Ukrainian military attachee to volunteer. The guy rejected me based on me having small kids and not being able to sign for 1 year minimum, bless him. 😆
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  95.  @malcolmgibson5088  Russia didn't cede anything, China unilaterally redrew it back to the borders of before the Russian invasion of China, and anyone who doesn't like it can take it up with the PLA. Putin didn't fancy the chances of the 5 drunken conscripts and their pet dog that he has left on the border there, and declined to take it up with the PLA. 😉
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  96. The thing is: Russia can just become more totalitarian to compensate for their collapse. North Korea is completely broke, yet look at them go. Crucially mainstream pro-regime Russians don't care about such things. To them "You're de facto bankrupt" doesn't matter, conquering more 'inferior peoples' to bring about 'Russky Mir' is.
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  97.  @seancidy6008  Sergei, when you lie, make sure your target has at least said what you alledge. Also no Sergei, your beloved Putler isn't nuking Washington as an endgame, not unless he wants to go down in history as the guy who ended Russia and ended Russians by getting Russia turned into one giant radioactive parking lot.
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  98.  @petermagnus9919  Uhm, are you aware of the background of those conflicts? Yes, by now Indian invaders are stuck having to fight through jungles, plateaus and mountains. That's because in China's last war of conquest in 1952, they seized the Indian vassal state of Tibet, whose existance put Indian troops right on the border of Sichuan and China's economic core in the south (even more back then, than nowadays). The Moscow-loyal Vietnamese regime attacked and invaded the Beijing-loyal Red Khmer regime. Thus China intervened. Vietnam's loyalty to Moscow has been a constant annoyance as the Sino-Soviet Split meant that Vietnam arse-kissing the Russians was unacceptable, yet they did. Could've been neutral, but they choose not to. North Korea was being invaded by US troops, thus prompting China to intervene to keep US troops off their doorstep and maintain their buffer zone. Note how China didn't join the war until it became clear North Korea would lose and a unified Korea would soon be under the (extremely agressive) US-sponsored ruler Ree. (so I guess it's fair to say Beijing went Reeeeeeeeee) The South China Sea is kinda like the name implies. That's about oil and other resources as well as protecting China's trade routes. Where's the imperialism? What territory are they trying to gain merely for territory? If your view had been correct, China would've invaded Russia by now. It's tons of land, easy to get now with Ukraine slaughtering the Russians. Same for Mongolia, Bhutan, Nepal, why would China not invade if it was an imperialist country?
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  99.  @paulpaisley5291  The fighters-bombers that can detect Russian combat air patrols from two times the distance that they can, and have fire&forget support. The current confrontations between Russian gear and F16's sits at 100% win rate for the F16 pilots. Like the Dutch shootdown of a modernised mig29 from the Serbian airforce. By the time the Russian gear detects, an AMRAAM can already be flying.
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  100.  @alexanderjdivic4784  Consult your local Ukrainian embassy military attache. 😃
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  101. And what did he base that on? Has he found a pre-determined plan to kill all Palestinians, like Hamas had a pre-determined plan to rape and murder anyone they met? Don't just lie and screech, provide evidence: Where is the intentional killing? Why are there humanitarian corridors protected by the IDF and attacked by Hamas, for Palestinian civilians? Why would they evacuate the people that you, deceitfully, claim they want to kill?
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  102.  @seanthomas5303  In the end this is all hard to predict since none of us have inside information on Putin's clique or what the clique in power even is. Wagner being destroyed trying to take Bakhmut could be either Prigozhin using the option of a victory in Bakhmut to set himself up as the next führer after Putin OR a powerplay by some general wanting to eliminate Prigozhin's power, who got a majority of high command and his side and told Prigozhin that if there's any of his mercenaries left alive by the start of 2023 AND Bakhmut is not yet in Russian hands, he is likely going to accidentally fall out a window. In that scenario causing as many Wagner casualties as possible is a tool because Prigozhin can't conscript, therefore the end of Wagner troops is the end of Prigozhin's power, thus achieving the goals of his rivals. So killing off Wagner at a staggering rate can be done for two contradicting reasons. I guess the real conclusion is totalitarian dictatorships are difficult to predict unless you've got inside intel about the top levels or you can make educated broad predictions like "Xi Jinping was put in a concentration camp by maoists, his hatred for the maoist faction in the CCP is unlikely to ever stop". But gods know from under which rock they plucked a thug like Prigozhin, so good luck predicting a bunch of people like that all playing at power.
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  103. "This is a bipartisan issue in the United States" Cough, cough, Republicans blatantly taking bribes from Putin to block support to Ukraine. Such as Rand Paul, who was blatantly purchased by Oleg Deripaska. This is not criticism of the video (which is excellent) but 'bipartisan' suggests both parties fully agree. While in reality the Qanon part of the Republicans is pretty much pro-Russia on this. It's clear the Republicans are slowly losing the battle for control over the GOP to the Qanon cult. Look at the battle between Liz Cheney and Marjorie Taylor-Greene over overt anti-semitism. Cheney the moderate actually lost and got sidetracked because she opposed anti-semitic conspiracy theories. It took a concentrated effort by moderate Republicans to also sideline Greene and regain control over even such a no-brainer issue as shouting insane racist conspiracy theories off the rooftops. The Qanon cult is winning, as it results in worrying levels of support for Putin among Republicans.
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  104. What about the Russian 5th column? Russian hybrid warfare is nearly in control or in control of several key countries. Up until the last election confirmed putin-worshippers controlled 10 out of 75 seats in the Dutch upper chamber of parliament. Even after they control 3 in both chambers BUT Geert Wilders, previously proudly posing with a Russian flag and defending the Russian terrorist strike against MH17, is currently forming a government with him in control of the largest party by far. I mean Wilders saw the writing on the wall and hid his Russian flag in 2022, but as prime minister, who knows how much leverage Russia has? Heck, gain control of his stash of hair bleach he uses to appear more 'aryan' and Wilders does all you want. 😆
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  105. But the EU does not exist in a vacuum. Countries also pressure eachother. Germany started half pro-Russian because of putinist traitors within the Greens and SPD who love dictatorship and love Russian gas. Now they're backing Ukraine instead and extensively. It's well-known the Netherlands strongarmed Scholz into that after he first betrayed the Dutch by blocking their howitzers, leading the Dutch to schedule 'routine training' at the range in Germany where they 'accidentally' ran into some Ukrainian artillerymen who were there on 'holiday'. Meanwhile Dutch minister Ollongren was meeting with Scholz (where she presumably beat some sense into him) and after the meeting was over, the Dutch howitzers could go and Germany was sending some of their howitzers as well. And while Greek traitors happily ship Russian oil and stolen Ukrainian grain for Putin on their ships, the UK is so hardcore anti-Putin that they're nearly ready to board and detain Greek sanction-breakers. If any of them formally surrender, like Hungarian dictator Orban has done, they'll be forced back into line by others. Case in point: Poland has put huge pressure on Orban to behave. Both used to be anti-democratic friends, but Poland is hardcore pro-Ukraine and anti-Putin. Hungary needs Poland, so there's only so much sabotage Orban can afford.
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  106. It doesn't matter either way: The reason that missile fell there, is because Russian agression ended up going even inside Poland's borders in the form of terror-bombing civilian targets of which the debris ends up in Poland. That missile was fired at an illegal Russian strike against a civilian target right on the border. Russia is to blame. Not a single person other than paid pro-Russian traitors was going to go "oooh, it was a Ukrainian AA missile, let's blame Ukraine". This kind of goes into the hybrid warfare point though: NATO just went "Ukraine isn't to blame, say it's a Ukrainian missile", ignoring how Russia's lies will try to spin it into a huge thing in their information warfare.
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  107. Yes, they would. Even right now, Greek traitors are using Greek ships to transport stolen Ukrainian grain and oil from the Russians.
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  108. If you look at photos 2017-2021 of people who visited that intake, it's actually quite a big waterway. I'm not convinced a lower water level would cut off the occupied Crimea. Nor have I seen evidence that it would matter, especially not as Russia has reservoirs there. In that sense this terrorist attack Russia perpetrated, doesn't harm Russia.
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  109.  @teblack2  The Republicans didn't care about migration 1980-2023, so how naive do you have to be to believe their excuses that now, suddenly in 2024, it's all about migration? Besides: If they weren't Putin's obedient servants, the GOP would've made a counter-proposal immediatly with BOTH a lot of aid for Ukraine and their fabled 'border wall' (that doesn't work and can't ever work)
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  110.  @klafbang  "Geneva Suggestion" 😉
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  111. Putin destroying Russia to stay in power would be a bad thing.... how exactly? I for one can't wait for a civil war between oligarch/putinist troops and ultra-nationalists. Let them annihilate eachother over the question who Russia's next führer will be. Whoever wins will be so *** that they won't be able to beat even the Liechtenstein army. 😆
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  112. Hi, as someone whose job it is to write angry comments on the internet, I wanted tot his this is a pretty good video.
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  113. I find myself forced to disagree. This was unplanned. The main datapoints for this is the lack of Wagner resistance against the Chechen 'tiktok army' invading from the east (while anyone would've foreseen the Chechen warlord would jump at the opportunity) and Wagner having to move AA defenses in response to bombing (in a planned advance these would be around the Rostov HQ and advance north along with the troops). For me the explanation is Russia is desperately low on manpower. Wagner was able to basically advance 500-700+ km in a day and force Putin to flee from Moscow because what they encountered were mainly Rosgardia units and a handful of recovering former casualties on light duties. Much like Prigozhin himself stated 'anyone who can shoot is already on the frontlines'. Even Redut and Patriot failed to make an appearance, while the private armes of Shoigu and Gerasimov would surely protect their (co-)owners. These would've dropped everything and attacked Wagner, if they had any unengaged strength left.
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  114. We've also seen this in Venezuela in 1999 when the dictator began randomly seizing assets. In the years that followed, whatever could possible leave, did leave and whatever could possibly be sold off to pro-regime sources, was sold off. Investment into Venezuela went to zero pretty much overnight. Turns out people don't like people who break their word, or steal their stuff. And if you can rewrite the law on the spot to say "But it's legal around here", everybody else still says "That's true, but I'm not giving you my money". Anyway, that's how Venezuela became an outcast Russian colony with a totalitarian dictator paying violent goons to stay in the saddle while a legitimate democratic government doesn't actually control most of the country, and the people starve and flee.
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  115.  @LarryB-inFL  Is it though? These drones are maybe 70-110 cm above the water, easily below the crests of most waves. This is why the radar is useful: You can either see EVERYTHING (good luck picking your target) or increase your clutter filter and have an empty screen but not see the drone. A maritime rescue chapter around here smashed their boat across a small quay in heavy weather a couple years ago because they set their clutter filter too high, so the radar was like 'That's a wave 90 cm high, ignore. That's a quay 75 cm tall, ignore. Nope, no objects directly ahead of you, keep gunning it full speed'. Dudes damn near wrecked their boat flying across the concrete . We're still teasing them about it even today. 😆 Your first lesson in radar operation will go 'Once it starts, ensure sea clutter filter is zero, then increase as the conditions require'.
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  116.  @chriscoyne8034  "I don't understand why" That has nothing to do with Anders and everything to do with you, my dear terrorism-loving dimwit. 😃
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  117. When I served we were issued a locked-down Blackberry. Not sure what they did to it, but non-approved apps simply didn't install on it no matter what. And Blackberry phones are banned in 3 countries for being too safe so they can't spy on people.
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  118.  @F15_C  He can't. It's a pallywood hoax.
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  119. It's supposed to suck. And as any drill instructor will tell you (loudly) it's about embracing the suck. 😉
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  120.  @stevengrice1807  It is whatever we decide it is. Erdogan can really use an armed confrontation to draw attention away from his own failings. A limited Black Sea war would be his Falklands. And if Ankara calls London today that the Montreux convention has been suspended due to Russia perpetrating hostilities against Turkey, pretty sure that within a few weeks Russian ships suddenly start exploding in a way that suspiciously looks like they ate a British torpedo.
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  121.  @ericp1139  There is a plan. It's just that Johnson is putting his fingers in his ears going "Nanana can't hear you, lalalala" while it's being explained to him, and then complains he hasn't heard anything yet. Presumably Johnson then goes off to his FSB handler to collect a suitcase with money as payout. This is of course called treason, and several members of the US chambers of parliament such as Rand Paul need to be investigated for it.
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  122.  @Nabium  They don't need to make anyone up: Plenty of people willing to sell their soul for a couple thousand dollars. Look at Gonzalo Lira, Chilean legalised immigrant, unemployed and failing, couple convictions coming his way that'll make him well-acquinted with how a US prison cell looks like. Then 'suddenly' he starts singing Russia's praises and moves to Ukraine where he gets involved in disinformation and human trafficking apparently having somehow raised starting capital for that. He was expendable too: Russia put him in Kharkiv and the SBU was onto him in half a year. After Lira's arrest the Kremlin slammed Ukraine for it within hours, thus basically confessing Lira was their asset. That means they've dozens more losers lined up to take his place.
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  123. Just wait until a war breaks out in the Netherlands.... 😉
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  124.  @dpelpal  But to my knowledge our radars filter by object height same as Russian / civilian ones do, so we'd be stuck with the same conundrum of 'either see 300 blips and pick the drone, or see nothing because of the filter'. And I KNOW from Joint Caribbean Lion that our tertiary weaponry (meaning the stuff that engages small drones shortrange) is just a couple guys with LMGs, same as Russia has.
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  125.  @eaglesclaws8  Yes, but 'stuff' is defined as 'object above certain height'. So your radar can't tell apart waves and marine drones in rough weather as wave crests are higher than the drone. It only works if the clutter is shorter in a 1D height sense than the object you want to see. Which is why nearly all buoys are quite tall (and often lit with lamps): Small ones become a navigation hazard at night because your radar filters them out in rough weather. I've seen two buoys merge into one on my radar, than come apart and jump position roughly 25 meters only to snap back into place later. Couple years ago a boat of the Dutch KNRM rescue group smashed over a low concrete breakwater at night because their radar filtered the concrete object out: It was lower than the waves in the rough weather and unlit. I mean, we're never letting them live that one down, but in reality there was nothing they could've done to spot it earlier.
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  126.  @tomk3732  Sounds like Russian BS. That's never happened during the entire war.
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  127.  @LuminalSpoon  The US didn't randomly collapse. Vietnam ground them down gradually fighting a brilliant war of mobility against a juggernaut trying to refight WW2. And it also shows that you don't need to have the upper hand in battles to win the war. Vietnam suffered staggering losses and rarely achieved much in a direct frontal assault. But they didn't need to. They just needed to hold on and keep popping up all over, inflicting losses and demoralisation, and eventually US resolve broke. During the Chechen Wars, there were armed pressgangs at metro stations in Russia to abduct men for conscription if they couldn't prove they had already served, that's how low Russian morale got. Putin correctly identified that if he declares a war and sends in private Conscriptovich who's forced to fight for $ 30 a month, it'll cost him his regime very soon. That's why the 'special military operation was rigged up' and Russia's desperately low on manpower; They can only tap their regulars and paramilitaries and forced-conscription in occupied areas of Ukraine. They can't just conscript half a million random guys and half a year later show up with a big army; it would crush Russian civilian morale.
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  128. Remember months ago when your heat was cut off because the prices rose Sergei? Babushka has been nagging you about it hasn't she? ....If only you were a democratic country. You could have enough prosperity that your mother could afford her own appartment, and both of you could afford heating.
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  129. Okay Sergei, why don't you show us where NATO countries have deliberately targeted and knocked out 40% of a nation's powergrid during a deadly winter? Go on liar, show us.
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  130. Depends, but forced conversion tends to come with deliberately and systematically destroying the culture and thus nation as well. That would definately be a form of genocide.
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  131. I saw a debate on that early in the war and the defeatist politician got crushed when the pro-aid politician basically went "Name me even a single instance in history where Russia didn't escalate by itself, whenever sheer firepower didn't force them to refrain?" And he's right. Russia is locked permanently in a 100/100 escalation because they simply don't recognize concepts like self-determination or human rights for non-Russians.
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  132.  @daydays12  I failed to see an asterisk in your post covering things like "Except the Dutch who dug into their active stockpile" or "Except Poland that may seem to hate democracy as much as Putin does, but they hate Putin more than anything" or "Except the British where the Tories are strong, and only Labour is weak and has been bribed by Russia".
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  133.  @1conkers1  Nothing besides Trump, who has a record of 100% obedience to Putin within 48 hours of a demand being phoned in from the Kremlin. And in 2016 his supporters were just weird, but now they're more like completely insane frothing-at-the-mouth kill-the-infidels style demons. Feel free to call me a cynic, but if half the US electorate can have ISIS terrorists stammering "....But why so fundamentalist?" there's a problem. Look at the Republican policy about 'Jewish space lasers', a classical anti-semitic conspiracy theory that would've been political suicide 1945-2015. Nowadays Majorie Taylor Greene is defeating the few remaining moderate Republicans who oppose her for it.
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  134. Why would Germany betray two allies to help a bitter enemy? Besides, Odessa comes down mainly to Turkey. If Turkey let's through a bunch of supply ships protected by a US fleet, Putin would be very wise not to intervene since the average US battlegroup can pretty much sink the Russian navy (as in: All of it, not just the Black Sea squadron). But if Turkey doesn't let them through, then nothing's getting through. Since Turkey has demilitarised the straights and refused to let through orc reinforcements, they would be taking a big risk if they play favourites and block the orcs, but do let through US and UK warships. Erdogan doesn't like Russia, but he's not quite ready to seal Turkey off from Russia as things stand.
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  135. Ah yes, I can visit Tibetan-Buddhist monasteries, they're they're own prefecture, everybody's happy, but it's somehow a genocide....
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  136. So.... how do you explain the census showing there's more Uyghurs year after year? Weird kind of genocide huh? And how do we fit in that people only got volunteered for re-education based on a threat matrix based off of stuff like listening to extremist hate-preachers, showing signs of religious extremism etc? Wouldn't you just kill indiscriminately in a genocide? Actually, why are they re-educated and released? Why do Uyghurs show up on the other end of China being given a job and a place to stay? Isn't that incredibly self-defeating in a genocide? Anyway, don't listen to Russian misinformation (Russia invented the BS of 'East Turkestan' during their invasions of China) and to jihadi misinformation. What happened is Uyghurs did that, perpetrated systematic ethnic cleansing against Kyrgyz, Khazars, Han, Hui and some others during WW2, then began being fed hate-propaganda from the Middle East same as happened in Indonesia. Then the Ugyhurs went on a brutal 40 years rampage of terrorist strikes in China. After the massive 2014 Kunming attack, Beijing had had enough and dealt with the problem. Since the problem is islamic extremism, that's what has to go. That's how I walk up to a mosque in 2019 and there's an effing big sign next to it that says "The only correct islam is Chinese islam". They didn't destroy the mosque, or close it, but Beijing wants to make damn sure nobody going in there thinks "Oooh, the nice man from Dubai is telling me to go kill unbelievers, and gives me dollars to do so".
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  137.  @u2beuser714  And Vladimir Putin is a couple months away from becoming the de facto US president, who's riding on the support of a bunch of thoroughly-purged frothing-at-the-mouth yes-men who would back Putin-Trump blindly. The Netherlands was taken by Geert Wilders, who proudly posed with a Russian flag and admires Orban. Hungary fell. Turkey fell. Poland fell to all purposes BUT fighting Russia. France is about to fall to Putin-Le Pen as president. Germany was mostly subjugated with Russian hybrid warfare, specifically costly masses of zero-perspective incompatibles. By extension, NATO is a couple months away from becoming defunct.
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  138. What I noticed in the Russian propaganda: On the long war vs short war video you noted Putin is not trying to make the Russian population politically engaged to increase conscription rates. They actually are trying to create political support in Russia, in a very weird, very Russian way. There's propaganda clips on Russian television now, it's wild. Let me sum up the clip's points and symbolism (so this is not my opinion, but what the Russian clip says, so warning: extreme lack of sense ahead) since I can't link and probably nobody wants to torture their eyes watching it: "You need to support Putin, because if Ukraine wins, gay men will come live in your house, who will fancy your daughter and if the gay man can't find a boyfriend you will have to have sex with him. Then the doorbell will ring, where black guys, who will greet you by dabbing, will tell you that you're conscripted even if you're mid-50's to go fight for NATO and for the gay people who are also all paedophiles." Now I hope we can all agree this is insane nonsense, but that's what the Russian government is telling Russian people. Also the Russian Duma recently pushed through a law that legally makes homosexuality and paedophilia to be the same thing. Putin is trying to portray himself as the shepherd of traditional religious values, and increase mobilisation through that route.
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  139. You continue to change my views on things Anders. I'd seen these strikes as damaging for Russian exports only with maybe a theoretical-only chance at a military fuel shortage (they've been hammering Russian logistics after all). The dimension that they're trying to boost inflation and other problems via fuel shortage hadn't occurred to me.
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  140.  @nzer57  Because dumb putinists tend to shoot down random airliners including their own aircraft. As seen in the Russian terrorist strike against MH17 and the shootdown of their own transport plane in Syria.
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  141.  @obelic71  Hey look everybody, it's an FVD freak telling lies about Kaag because she slammed his racist ** Baudet. Talk about disdain for citizens, I haven't forgotten that your kind wants to put my family in a concentration camp, after trying to murder us by spreading covid deliberately.
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  142. Last week a car crashed into a signpost in Sorilsk. Clearly Ukraine is behind this!
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  143.  @ebrim5013  Others like Carlson have proven links to the Kremlin. Thiery 'Vladimirovich' Baudet (Dutch MP and hatepreacher) for example was caught discussing openly how Vladimir Kornilov (his FSB handler) would pay for things. Which puts him in the same basket as Willem Engel, a mafia boss' son who went full covidiot in 2020 and has since been demonstrated to be ran by Kornilov as well, getting caught in money laundering more than once since he can hardly put his Russian payments in a bank account and spend it as income.
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  144. Iran doesn't have that much oil and barely any gas.
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  145.  @TheTplehar  Ah yes, republican politicians, famously good at concocting military plans. 😆 With huge succes stories like jumping into Iraq with a few weeks prep time. Which went splendidly and didn't result in any spin-off fighting or instability at all. And Afghanistan of course, where the military genius Trump first withdrew all US troops, then as soon as the Afghans explained their army survives through air supply, Trump cut off the Afghan airforce, before Cadet Bonespurs complained that the Afghans weren't fighting hard enough despite having no pay, no ammo, no food, no water.
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  146. According to the media: Palestinian stubs his toe on a doorframe by accident: Genocide! Russians systematically eradicate Ukrainians as an ethnic unit in a pre-planned fashion: Atrocity but not genocide Ukrainian may have alledgedly killed a couple Russians: GENOCIDE! Indonesia plans to eradicate all non-Muslims and kills tens of thousands: Uh, the weather channel? (especially the genocide on the Chinese was ignored) Sudan uses the RSF/Janjaweed to systematically eradicate an entire population: Killing, but definately not genocide because then we'd have to do something ISIS kills 700 christians: Genocide The Erdogan regime kills thousands of Kurds: Uh? Hey look, that's an interesting corner of the room!
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  147.  @shelbyspeaks3287  That's more a thing for WW1 because the British were even pressuring the Dutch not to trade any food in a deliberate attempt to use famine as a weapon primarily against the German people. At least, I hope you're not talking about the racist hoax of India....
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  148. Unfortunately for you, we've documented proven cases of Russian invaders using violence to abduct Ukrainian children, as well as the Russian regime refusing to return them to their parents or other family. Ukrainian abductees have to flee from Russia secretly to see their family again. So brutal violent abductions as a genocide are okay with you, but you believe the dumb Hamas lies about 'apartheid'. Your moral hypocrisy is jaw-dropping.
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  149. Yes, but the Russian campaign of bombings in Spain has escalated to overt terrorism. Also you're not entirely right. Dutch AIVD broke into and monitored the Russian 'web brigades' for months using their own surveillance cameras, you could see Sergei and Dmitri discussing things before logging in and screaming that Biden is evil, Trump will win and yadda yadda. The Dutch further dismantled three Russian espionage rings around 2018. Now this is good, but gives Russia an idea of what we can do in terms of countersurveillance. Although I'm actually shocked Russia doesn't know that if you use directional microphones etc, there's monitoring devices that will instantly show you're being probed. In my therapy group there was a Yugoslavia vet who explained he had to haul a suitcase of that sort of stuff around that was on loan from the CIA, except they had to destroy it when the Serbo-Russian genocide squads rolled in. That was 1995. I'm aware of that, while in intel terms my work was kinda low-as-it-goes, they didn't tell me a damn thing yet I know such systems exist. (and it's not in my contract as opsec even) It's a bit weird how Russia apparently doesn't know.
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  150. There's so many unknowns though, that both arguments could be correct. And so many unknowns that require assumptions by both arguments. In this video too: The convicts mostly left Wagner after 6 months? Do we know that for a fact, or is it in assumption? And what about the contracts we know of that involved 1 month cooldown time after which they can be called up again? Would they not simply have been retained in breach of contract or after cooldown? 5:28 Yes they would've been redirected, possibly / probably into less favourable conditions where Russia couldn't shell Ukraine from 3 directions with impunity like happened in Bachmut's final stage, that's part of Kofman's argument and why it's a good argument: Ukraine could've had better results elsewhere. (could have, not saying would have) But that requires us to weigh the tactical situation of the final 3-4 weeks against the situation if other fronts were reinforced, which we simply don't know. 5:58 And we don't know what would've happened if Ukraine withdraw the last 3-4 weeks. Maybe all that saved manpower would've simply been spent on a harder fight against Russia. Heck, maybe Wagner would've captured Gerasimov and Shoigu if they had 2000-3000 extra guys to start the uprising with, who knows? So is destroying Wagner good? Do we even know who exactly was lost in Ukraine? For all we know many defenders lost their lives in crazy streetfighting while they would've been better doing the same in more open territory. Urban combat tends to be an infantry quality equaliser, and we know that most Ukrainian infantry is superior to most Russian infantry, suggesting Ukraine would have at least one advantage extra if Bachmut have been given up 3 weeks earlier. Kofman's argument suffers from the exact same reliance on assumptions though.
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  151. If you don't know a damn thing about it, maybe it's best to keep quiet while the adults speak. Richard Wagner composed 1833-1882, Germany didn't even exist back then, seeing as it was only founded out of the failed French invasion of the German states of 1870.
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  152.  @nattygsbord  Dumb Americans harping "It's German therefore it must be nazi" simply grind my gears. Guy should either get an education or keep his mouth shut. Not that stupidity is exclusive to the US, but Americans seem more prone to wildly offensive assumptions about other cultures.
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  153.  @Lorenz1973  And if you had read my post at all before kneejerking, you could've read how I explicitly pointed out 1871. Ferland was claiming the composer Wagner was a nazi, which is ridiculous. Not sure what the relevance of your post even is. Hitler also liked to breathe air, just like you do. Does that mean you're probably a nazi? No of course not, that's just as insane as claiming Wagner was a nazi.
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  154.  @christophesiewecke9208  You admit that you're a liar and it's not genocide, you just screech that word as an empty political statement. You even included the typical Hamas tripe about how 60+ years of constant terrorism and betrayal by the Palestinians is somehow 'Israel marginalising them' instead. What I wonder though, if I went door to door systematically killing everyone, including your entire family, would you be a hypocrite and condemn me, or would you praise me for murdering your family since I did a 'legit act of resistance'? I think you're a hypocrite as well as a liar.
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  155.  @alexanderbarkman7832  So you admit you're a liar by trying to reverse the burden of proof. But no problem, you filthy racist liar, I can fulfill that too. Military strike: The storming of Al Rantisi armoury/hospital. Bags of weapons, cells for captives and a Hamas tunnel found. Then you Hamas bois screeched "It was planted later", then Israel posted the Hamas CCTV from the hospital which shows fighters. You were crushed. Human shields Roughly two weeks ago: "Hamas Uses Warning Shots to Keep Human Shields In Place, Gaza" Posted by a Palestinian, it shows your friends beating Palestinians and shooting near them trying to corral them back into a clinic used as a missile storage. Crushed you again Hamas boi. So sad.
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  156. We can see a clear sign that Putin's grip on power is failing: Over 11 oligarchs who were all essential parts of the regime, have been murdered since just because the war started (30th january was the first). In the ten years before that, Putin only imprisoned and destroyed 1 oligarch. Now he's murdered 11 in half a year.
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  157. Well, so far most people formerly subjugated by the Russians prior to roughly the 1980's have usually collapsed in the face of renewed Russian agression. Think of the Georgians for example, got invaded, out matched, then elect a bunch of Russian *rse-kissers as their government. Serbia was reconquered without a shot being fired, cost the Serbs losing two wars and most of their future. Montenegro voluntarily submitted. Armenians sold their souls. Chechens fought but eventually submitted. Moldovans failed to fight and joined the invader in droves. Even China has refused to assert itself until now in 2023, while they were invaded by Russians six times. It takes quite something for a people to respond to agression by total war.
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  158. No, you are wrong. Germany is in fact all of Europe. No other countries exist.
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  159.  @tasospanagiotou7823  Uhm, since 1900, Russia began 86 wars of agression, defined as attempting to seize land or enslave peoples. Making Russian the most bloodthirsty country on planet earth since the 2nd most bloodthirsty country is India with 11 such wars. Since 1900, the US began 0 wars of agression; Their annexation of the Philipines was in 1899. Go home Sergei, you're drunk and argueing typical putin-fascistic nonsense like "We Russian OWN all of Europe! A missile shield to DEFEND against our AGRESSION is therefore an act of agression by the evil Amerikanskis". Go away Sergei, nobody believes you.
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  160. Yes and no. Earlier on Chinese citizens were murdered by Russian troops. Beijing said 'stop it', it happened again. This lead to the famous 'wolf warrior tweet'. Which showed Beijing is angry at that as Putin makes them lose face. So this will definately anger Beijing, but will it prompt them into action? So far all that's happened is Putin got on his knees and begged for Chinese weapons, and Beijing didn't even pick up the phone, that's why they went to North Korea instead. But what else is China willing to do? It's a public secret that Hong Kong is the base of a lot of Russian shell companies to circumvent the sanctions and import western weapon components. One thing they could do is crack down on that, seize all shipments and companies and use that as leverage. Worst case scenario for Putin (but also unlikely) is Beijing joins the sanctions against Russia. In that scenario they only have Eritrea and their Indian bootlickers on their team. That said, China is on Team China, nothing else. Sanctions would harm China, so they wouldn't do that, in principle.
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  161. Nice book. Do you plan to translate it from South-Swedish to English?
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  162. It's funny how for me that's one of the positive points. Twitter is one of the few platforms that doesn't agressively push American prudism and allows posting of kinky content. Tumblr went American prude, banned all nudity, and promptly lost 99,7% of market capitalisation across 3 years, and lost an even larger share of the user base as suddenly the 0.1% of Tumblr content, American far left fascist crap, was now suddenly all their algorhitm pushes, making nearly all users leave.
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  163.  @rlwdesigns  Oh come... "That's too explicit for anyone!" is the first step towards total censorship, since you reject it's reason for being. While in the case of twitter allowing bdsm content it's kinda relevant: A sexual orientation is a bit more relevant than your tiny hobby design 'business'.
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  164.  @rlwdesigns  Could it be because we've been hearing this "Think of the children!" BS you're spouting, from opressive reactionaries for the better part of 2 centuries now? And I can make that concrete as well: The Bush regime used that exact same argument to shut down Intersec (company behind Insex) in 2005. And it escalated to a witch hunt, as Ars Technica put it in 2007's "FBI agents paid to surf for deviant porn" You walk like a duck and quack like a duck but keep argueing you're no duck. Also your argument is about as convincing as me dousing your house in gasoline and then waving around torches while insisting that I'm no arsonist and you should trust me to ensure nothing bad happens.
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  165.  @krokodilpil8335  ISIS was created by Russia and Iran preventing the fall of the Russian-Iranian puppet ruler Assad. That lead a lot of ordinary Syrians to grow dissatisfied with the people's uprising and instead support extremist islamists who were getting the results. The SDF then crushed ISIS, after which the coalition of Russian and Iranian terror-troops and conscripted Syrians rolled in and crushed the SDF. ....And after the people began supporting ISIS, negotiations took place, Russia entirely stopped bombing ISIS (as maps of Russia's airstrikes reveal) and ISIS fighters were showing up with shiny new Russian army gear while stuff ISIS stole was being exported to Russia. Curious how all of that coincides....
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  166.  @ruifenghuang1029  Sounds cool, let me know if it ever happens in reality. But as it stands, the Hamas PR department made that number up. Why would you repeat such a lie? Isn't lying a sin?
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  167.  @ronaldbell7429  Biden's plan so far has been mostly "Ohnoes if I put my foot down in any way, I'll get voted out of office because Putin-MAGA will go even more defeatist hippy mode than they are now"
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  168. Yes Sergei, why were Russia's filthy hands all over those countries? Yugoslavia went into war because Russia encouraged the Serbs. Saddam loved Russia. Ghadaffi was basically just a Russian puppet. The Taliban is ruled from Moscow, with only the Russian embassy in Kabul currently open.
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  169. It's not a coincidence that crowd consists out of 99% Russian-paid agitators and Russian-influenced extremists. Covidiots, BLM, MAGA, some other fringe groups that Russia already ran pre-war. Around the elections here in march, I nearly got into a fistfight with a covidiot FVD member because he was putting up posters calling for 'peace' (meaning immediate Ukrainian surrender) illegally, on top of illegally splattered propaganda against other political parties. He thought he had a right to illegally put up such offensive propaganda and wanted to attack me when he saw me cleaning it off. FVD are the only pro-Russian party, with even another racist the Russians bribed, abandoning them at the start of the war. FVD got decimated from 12 seats in the 1st chamber of parliament, down to just one. Which puts them at the same number as the 'independant senator' who beg people not to vote for them in too high a number, since they just want to independantly check the work of the senate and not engage in politcs.
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  170. That burned harder than Notre Dame. ;-)
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  171. This issue was done to death during the initial discussion, and recently Israel hammered a nail in the coffin of your argument too: Gripen = overpriced trash, contracts tend to go 400% over budget. F16 is better than Gripen, and F35 replace the F16. Eurofighter is an overly expensive air superiority fighter, not a fighter-bomber. We need a fighter-bomber. The NATO war model against Russian-style armies involves using airpower to overwhelm their GBAD and ground forces, as Serbia discovered. The F35 can do that. Neither the Eurofighter nor the Gripen can. Israel recently used the F35 to overwhelm Iran's air defenses and took out all of their S400 and S300 systems: The best the Axis of Evil even has for sale. No planes were lost. Stealth worked.
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  172.  @adrien5834  So why isn't Ukraine currently halfway to Moscow after blitzing through Russia's AA defenses then, if stealth isn't necessary? Exactly, with Russia and Iran both able to clear the sky up to 100 km away from the front, stealth is a hard requirement.
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  173.  @adrien5834  Ah you mean they're in the same situation as the 20-50 Gripens would be if any single European country goes up against Russia. Well I guess stealth is needed then and you can stop shilling for inferior systems to eat up all of our defense budget.
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  174. Putin: "Ukrainians are nazis!" Sensible Russian aparatchik: "Hey you mean those people that we allied, supplied, planned to invade but then pre-empted us and kicked our asses until the Americans helped us?" Putin: "Shut up Sergei!" Putin: "I've decided Ukrainians aren't nazis, instead all of them are terrorists!" Sensible Russian aparatchik: "Hey boss, is the script still correct? You're now talking about us, our side, blowing up Moscow appartment blocks while blaming the Chechens, shooting unconcious theater visitors and MH17? Just checking but can we spin it so far that the Ukrainians are somehow us?" Putin: "Shut up Sergei or you're accidentally falling out of a window!"
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  175. Ah, the paid trolls are here to do damage-control.
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  176. Another aspect that will become relevant in the coming years. And I'm going to switch theaters entirely for a moment here: Remember Xi Jinping having an uncharacteristic meltdown at Trudeau about Trudeau blabbering in parliament about a previous private discussion the two had? China is a 'face culture'. Oh and as it happens they're THE regional power and world stage contender. By trying to publicly humiliate Zelensky, Trump has just reduced his own chances at diplomacy with China to zero as Trump tried to enhance his face in the most hamfisted way possible, in a very open ambush and attempt to humiliate Zelensky. The worst betrayal possible for matters of saving face. And he's already signalled to Taiwan, Japan and South Korea that Washington is possibly their enemy these days and at best an unwilling ally who will screw them over whenever possible. With this act Trump has already sank the US in the Pacific. And we're only a month into this 4 year shambles. 😆
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