Comments by "N Velsen" (@nvelsen1975) on "Anders Puck Nielsen"
channel.
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Not just the US, the UK too. GCHQ has its grubby paws in everything that's even remotely signals related.
It's in civilian use and I never used it during my service so I guess it's okay to talk about, but there's AI that does pattern recognition. At the very least track changes between two photos.
We use those for zoning enforcement purposes since they flag new extensions to houses, new windows, changed fence positions etc, which you can then cross-reference with known permits and enforce easily against rulebreakers without having to manually turn a whole village inside out.
You can then mark exclusion zones as well, so it doesn't flag entire roads as false positives because of the changing vehicles.
If you do this with satrecon of a warzone, the AI should flag all changes, which your analysts can then look at. This means you should be able to get all open-air ammo dumps and most of the ones in buildings because there's a high chance it'll get flagged over changing vehicles.
I've heard talk of similar AI that can search for a specific shape, so if you feed them the profile of a Russian army truck and then set them to work on a region's satrecon, it should flag everywhere Russian army trucks are parked and driving.
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 @petermagnus9919Â
Uhm, are you aware of the background of those conflicts?
Yes, by now Indian invaders are stuck having to fight through jungles, plateaus and mountains.
That's because in China's last war of conquest in 1952, they seized the Indian vassal state of Tibet, whose existance put Indian troops right on the border of Sichuan and China's economic core in the south (even more back then, than nowadays).
The Moscow-loyal Vietnamese regime attacked and invaded the Beijing-loyal Red Khmer regime.
Thus China intervened.
Vietnam's loyalty to Moscow has been a constant annoyance as the Sino-Soviet Split meant that Vietnam arse-kissing the Russians was unacceptable, yet they did. Could've been neutral, but they choose not to.
North Korea was being invaded by US troops, thus prompting China to intervene to keep US troops off their doorstep and maintain their buffer zone.
Note how China didn't join the war until it became clear North Korea would lose and a unified Korea would soon be under the (extremely agressive) US-sponsored ruler Ree.
(so I guess it's fair to say Beijing went Reeeeeeeeee)
The South China Sea is kinda like the name implies. That's about oil and other resources as well as protecting China's trade routes.
Where's the imperialism? What territory are they trying to gain merely for territory?
If your view had been correct, China would've invaded Russia by now. It's tons of land, easy to get now with Ukraine slaughtering the Russians.
Same for Mongolia, Bhutan, Nepal, why would China not invade if it was an imperialist country?
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So.... how do you explain the census showing there's more Uyghurs year after year? Weird kind of genocide huh?
And how do we fit in that people only got volunteered for re-education based on a threat matrix based off of stuff like listening to extremist hate-preachers, showing signs of religious extremism etc? Wouldn't you just kill indiscriminately in a genocide?
Actually, why are they re-educated and released? Why do Uyghurs show up on the other end of China being given a job and a place to stay? Isn't that incredibly self-defeating in a genocide?
Anyway, don't listen to Russian misinformation (Russia invented the BS of 'East Turkestan' during their invasions of China) and to jihadi misinformation. What happened is Uyghurs did that, perpetrated systematic ethnic cleansing against Kyrgyz, Khazars, Han, Hui and some others during WW2, then began being fed hate-propaganda from the Middle East same as happened in Indonesia.
Then the Ugyhurs went on a brutal 40 years rampage of terrorist strikes in China. After the massive 2014 Kunming attack, Beijing had had enough and dealt with the problem. Since the problem is islamic extremism, that's what has to go.
That's how I walk up to a mosque in 2019 and there's an effing big sign next to it that says "The only correct islam is Chinese islam". They didn't destroy the mosque, or close it, but Beijing wants to make damn sure nobody going in there thinks "Oooh, the nice man from Dubai is telling me to go kill unbelievers, and gives me dollars to do so".
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What I noticed in the Russian propaganda: On the long war vs short war video you noted Putin is not trying to make the Russian population politically engaged to increase conscription rates.
They actually are trying to create political support in Russia, in a very weird, very Russian way.
There's propaganda clips on Russian television now, it's wild.
Let me sum up the clip's points and symbolism (so this is not my opinion, but what the Russian clip says, so warning: extreme lack of sense ahead) since I can't link and probably nobody wants to torture their eyes watching it:
"You need to support Putin, because if Ukraine wins, gay men will come live in your house, who will fancy your daughter and if the gay man can't find a boyfriend you will have to have sex with him. Then the doorbell will ring, where black guys, who will greet you by dabbing, will tell you that you're conscripted even if you're mid-50's to go fight for NATO and for the gay people who are also all paedophiles."
Now I hope we can all agree this is insane nonsense, but that's what the Russian government is telling Russian people. Also the Russian Duma recently pushed through a law that legally makes homosexuality and paedophilia to be the same thing.
Putin is trying to portray himself as the shepherd of traditional religious values, and increase mobilisation through that route.
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There's so many unknowns though, that both arguments could be correct. And so many unknowns that require assumptions by both arguments.
In this video too:
The convicts mostly left Wagner after 6 months? Do we know that for a fact, or is it in assumption? And what about the contracts we know of that involved 1 month cooldown time after which they can be called up again? Would they not simply have been retained in breach of contract or after cooldown?
5:28 Yes they would've been redirected, possibly / probably into less favourable conditions where Russia couldn't shell Ukraine from 3 directions with impunity like happened in Bachmut's final stage, that's part of Kofman's argument and why it's a good argument: Ukraine could've had better results elsewhere. (could have, not saying would have) But that requires us to weigh the tactical situation of the final 3-4 weeks against the situation if other fronts were reinforced, which we simply don't know.
5:58 And we don't know what would've happened if Ukraine withdraw the last 3-4 weeks. Maybe all that saved manpower would've simply been spent on a harder fight against Russia. Heck, maybe Wagner would've captured Gerasimov and Shoigu if they had 2000-3000 extra guys to start the uprising with, who knows? So is destroying Wagner good?
Do we even know who exactly was lost in Ukraine? For all we know many defenders lost their lives in crazy streetfighting while they would've been better doing the same in more open territory. Urban combat tends to be an infantry quality equaliser, and we know that most Ukrainian infantry is superior to most Russian infantry, suggesting Ukraine would have at least one advantage extra if Bachmut have been given up 3 weeks earlier.
Kofman's argument suffers from the exact same reliance on assumptions though.
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