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N Velsen
Anders Puck Nielsen
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Comments by "N Velsen" (@nvelsen1975) on "The Russian war narrative after mobilization" video.
Uhm, but for the Russian navy it applies that 'Black sea fleet = all we have' since Turkey correctly closed the straits as per 1936 Montreux Treaty. Any surface ships are going to get struck by Ukrainian anti-ship missiles like moskva was despite an extensive anti-missile screen. That was their flagship, the best they had, the best protected and Ukraine sunk it. Russians submarines are already fully engaged launching missile strikes against civilian targets. There is no Ukrainian navy. So there's not much the Russian navy can do: -They go agressive and they'll get wrecked by missiles and mines, maybe airstrikes. -They get reinforcements and get into a standoff with the Turkish navy backed by at least the British and American navy with 1-2 Dutch ships, maybe French too. -They carry on, they are where they are now: irrelevant. -They stay in port. Still irrelevant, lesser risk, commander probably going to 'volunteer' for a gulag though
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Putin: "Ukrainians are nazis!" Sensible Russian aparatchik: "Hey you mean those people that we allied, supplied, planned to invade but then pre-empted us and kicked our asses until the Americans helped us?" Putin: "Shut up Sergei!" Putin: "I've decided Ukrainians aren't nazis, instead all of them are terrorists!" Sensible Russian aparatchik: "Hey boss, is the script still correct? You're now talking about us, our side, blowing up Moscow appartment blocks while blaming the Chechens, shooting unconcious theater visitors and MH17? Just checking but can we spin it so far that the Ukrainians are somehow us?" Putin: "Shut up Sergei or you're accidentally falling out of a window!"
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