Comments by "Trevor Sutherland" (@trevorsutherland5263) on "Defense Politics Asia (DPA)" channel.

  1. Unless you are ex-military or a war history nerd, most people have no idea how difficult it is to take occupied land from a hostile force. In 2004 10,000 US Marines took SIX weeks to defeat only about 4,000 Al Queda and Baathists in Fallujah, Iraq. They were dug into an urban environment, knew the land, and were fanatically motivated.
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  2. Even if the Chechens are just as brave and well equipped as the Wagners, there is NO WAY they can be as effective initially. There is no substitute for combat experience and Wagners are probably the most experienced urban fighters on Earth at the moment.
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  3. That explosion looked like a tactical nuke going off----literally turned night into day.
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  4. I can only assume Ukraine is trying to re-take Bakhmut in order to push through it and possibly flank the Russian defense line to either side. Otherwise I can't see why they'd waste troops and ammo in re-taking a pile of rubble that would be very easy for Russia to defend at great cost to Ukraine.
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  5. I see 1943 in this all month. Trade land for time while bleeding the enemy with artillery. The factories in Siberia run night and day. Hit ammo and fuel supplies, hit leadership like the generals and NATO officers killed yesterday, wait until enemy is spent. Then start the steamroller and it doesn't stop until the Polish border in 2024.
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  6. Russian defense lines are designed to yield in certain places and hold in others. If Ukraine is penetrating deeply and relatively easily, its because Russia wants them to.
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  7. Just like 1943: Russia is holding a defensive line, while back in Siberia the factories run day and night pumping out weapons. Once the enemy attack is spent, they go on the offensive with a tsunami of new equipment and the steamroller doesn't stop until Berlin.
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  8. Ukraine's air defenses are down; many destroyed, those that remain low on missiles. That is why Tu-95s and Tu-160s are now showing up.
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  9. Thanks DPA! Yeah, I think we all kind of realized this when the T-14 Armata's were confirmed to be deployed. Russia would not use those unless the Leopards and Challengers were deployed.
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  10. The Alligators will have to carry a double loadout of Vikhr missiles for the next week or two. Ukraine HAS to break at least a line or two before the NATO summit or they are toast.
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  11. If a country starts a military offensive because a YouTuber "shamed" them into it; that means the future of humanity is doomed. 🙂 No knock on you, man---you have done a great job, but if that motivated them that scares me more than Putin's nukes!
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  12. Anyone seen the Challengers yet?? I see the Russians have captured an almost intact AMX10 (including the instruction manual!), but so far the Challengers are being hoarded for some "breakthru" attack that will never come.
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  13. War bloggers have inserted themselves into the "Information Wars" theater of the conflict. I'm only half joking----some say the Propaganda Theater is the most decisive over Land, Sea or Air.
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  14.  @mattkemp2162  In the Fall Russia was retreating to their occupied territory to secure their supply lines and prepare for the kind of war we've seen since. There were no prepared defenses at that time.
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  15. As soon as I saw Prigozhin make that public statement to Zelensky, I thought "He's goading Zelensky into sending more men in just so Russians can chew them up". Seems to have worked.
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  16. So, it seems there is no "magic wand"; Ukraine has decided to attack right where Russia expects them to. No surprise to me; they really don't have much option to flank or do something unexpected. It basically going to be a barroom brawl...
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  17. So, they are attacking right where Russia has always expected them to? Charge of the Light Brigade part deux.
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  18. Looks like the amateur bloggers were right yesterday: This was Ukraine covering its redeployment from Kherson to Zaporizhzhia region where they were blunted two days ago. They could not move their main combat force from Kherson without risking the Russians just walking through there in their absence. They blew the dam to ruin the area for offensive action for either side. It appears the NATO-trained hammer blow is going to strike in Zaporizhzhia. Ukraine only has one army; it can't be in two places at once and if they split it up it will be weak and easily crushed in detail. The "Big Dance" is going to be in Zaporizhzhia (no surprise, it was either Kherson or Zaporizhzhia).
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  19. Some other bloggers "guess" the main thrust will be in Novoprokopivka direction but that's just a guess, Novodonetske isn't that far away so that could also be the direction of main thrust. The problem is both areas are heavily defended; Novoprokopivka has two lines in front and two bigger lines behind it. No matter where Ukraine goes, this will not be any kind of maneuver war until Ukraine breaks through at least 5 or 6 lines; this will be the Germans and Belgians at Liege. Rock vs. hard place and one will eventually be broken.
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  20.  @TheFIFABoys  Agreed. However the launch planes can get closer now and still safely launch. Less reaction time for Ukraine AA to shoot down missile.
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  21. Dude, I started looking for more accurate news on this war two months ago. At this point I can't even watch news reports about it on MSM.
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  22. Ukraine must be doing a good job keeping these NATO tanks and Bradleys hidden. Camo won't do; they have to be inside buildings or better yet underground. Any cave systems or mountain ranges in the South that could be used for this purpose? I can't believe the Russians haven't bombed such armor concentrations; they must be well hidden. To be honest, if I were Putin and I knew for sure all this armor was gathering in Vilyansk, I'd drop several tactical nukes on it and end the war in one day.
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  23. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=phua2ANPCpw&lc=Ugxr6LT_qKFjZFC-RO14AaABAg
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  24. Dumb NATO war, but I can't help but feel happy seeing the Mirage 2000. It is like an old friend to me as the first model airplane I ever got was a Mirage V from a friend of my father's who was cleaning out his collection. I thought it was so cool looking and it started my love for French fighters that I still have today. I was a big supporter of the Rafale back 20 years ago when everyone said it was garbage----now look at it----everyone wants one. 🙂
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