Comments by "Trevor Sutherland" (@trevorsutherland5263) on "DW News"
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This past month the battles have been fierce. Not a day goes by without lots of new combat video on all the various military blog sites. One thing stands out to me: BOTH sides are making fewer and fewer mistakes. The "Bradley Square" from June, with Ukrainians running into each other, hitting mines, getting blown up with ease; that doesn't happen anymore. They are still losing vehicles, but they are losing them while attacking, not because they are jumbled up running into each other. The Russians are experienced, that is obvious. Like the Swedish CV-90s that were knocked out and captured last week...the video clearly shows them attacking and firing, but the RPG round comes from the side, not the front. That means the Russian soldier WAITED until the CV-90 passed him before firing, knowing his round had better penetration chances to the side than the front. FPV drone video shows both sides often fly past a vehicle, then turn around to hit it from the rear as most vehicles have less armor in the rear and ex-Soviet ones in particular carry their fuel in the rear. If NATO sends in their troops, it will be a year of them being slaughtered before they gain the experience necessary to survive.
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Those of us who have bought M4s, AMG, RS3, Camaro, Mustang, Challenger, Corvette all our lives look at these horrid little toasters and frown in disgust. However, the reality is that it is cost-effective, safe and reliable that sells in ALL countries by the metric ton. There is no amount of "buy local, support local" that can overcome the power of the individual wallet; Wal Mart is proof of that. Germany's auto industry is doomed; take care however, as you are not alone, the United States' auto industry will join yours in the dustbin of history...
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It is now 3pm CST where I am and the afternoon updates from the three main mil bloggers I follow start trickling in around now. Sometimes the days battle updates can vary a bit, but when they all definitively say the same thing, taken together that is Gospel. BBC/SKY said Russia sent VDV (Airborne) to Robotyne yesterday. If that is true that means THIS next line is the one where they mean to HOLD, because VDV are Paratroopers---the "Elite". This can only mean AFU is now in the kill box and they are not going to be "allowed" to go deeper. The only way forward for Ukraine is to smash through. Meaning drive up to the dragon's teeth and push them aside or blow them out of the way, bring up equipment to cross the anti-tank ditch, then via these crossings, continue forward. All under the fire of 100 guns, 1000 drones, mines, FAB-500s, attack helicopters, TOS-1A, Uragan, etc. Ummm, yeah.... If Ukraine tries to just brute force their way, the slaughter we will see in the next few days will be on the scale of Iwo Jima or Okinawa.
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As a longtime military historian, one of the things I most respect about RU is how they keep so many old weapons, for decades even, long beyond when you'd think they would be useful, and here they are in 2024 still punishing their opponents. NATO by contrast, so vastly wealthy for so long, throws away virtually anything over 30 years old. Earlier this year at Avdiivka, RU took anti-submarine rocket launchers from the 1960s off old warships, welded them to a T-55 chassis, and instant mobile artillery. Designed to sink subs, the rockets were huge but inaccurate since they were meant to be fired in a pattern in the open ocean. Didn't matter since area effect what exactly what was needed at Avdiivka. Now, at Kursk, since AFU is using mostly speed/mobility tactics with wheeled armored vehicles, RU has used the MT-12 Rapira 100mm gun from the late 1960s; originally an anti-tank weapon, it is no threat to Abrams/Leopard2 , but against these Strykers and Senators, it is a crushing smoothbore sniper. At crossroads or just outside town in a low ditch with trees all around and covered in leaves, it is invisible until it fires, and 100mm is way enough to one-shot any APC or armored car. Just makes an old history nerd proud....."
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"reshuffle" - Here it is late afternoon in US CDT, and the word "resigned" appears nowhere in any West Media story. Nor has CNN/BBC/SKY ever mentioned the number of other ministers who quit and the timing of Kuleba's impending resignation to convey the true context of what happened today. Yet, outside the US, in Asia, Africa, the ME, South America, Central America, literally everywhere else ; full reports with documents and interviews and videos and reporters and the full story.
WHY? Why does the West Media lie by omission to us in such a transparent way? Why do they constantly sanitize words, leave context out, not report relevant facts, all in an effort to present the "rosy" picture to us about Ukraine for ALMOST THREE YEARS! Why can't they just tell the truth??
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I hope the leaders in emerging parts of Asia, Africa, South America are watching and studying all this intently. If you plan to become one of the "big boys" of the 21st century, you better put 10% of your GDP into tanks, guns, drones, supercarriers, destroyers, subs, frigates, missiles of every kind, and a standing professional army. If things get bad enough, your "treaties" aren't worth the paper they are written on; if your "friend" needs shells to protect his own people, you won't get them at any price. Words don't mean anything; might makes right.
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