Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "Lex Fridman" channel.

  1. Dan Carlin sometimes is wasted on podcasts. He is a history buff so that is what they mostly should be talking about.
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  2. @Physics Guy Unless there is a cultural shift in America and the west as a whole nothing will change. The problem is not just MIT it is a social problem. Right now the Chinese government are planning a world take over and nobody seems to care and most politicians and media will attack people for just stating the obvious. I cannot see another direction other than the path we are on.
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  3. Is it just boomers. Can it be that easy to blame them?
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  4. Covid is nothing like WW2. Not even close to be the same. There absolutely no relationships whatsoever.
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  5. What do you mean they are not doubling every two years. That is a very vague statement.
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  6.  @korbandallas8931  Neil DeGrasse Tyson is a philosopher and he probably would need an engineer to translate.
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  7. I am afraid that it is you that does not understand what you are talking about. Let me guess you actually believe that transistors are 2nm is size. Out of curiosity do you believe that 2nm transistor is volume, area, radius, diameter or something else?
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  8. People are too scared to use the middle finger encase they get called a racist, sexiest, homophobe, far right, nazis or a controversialist. In the past people had moral values that included protecting the weak, free speech, right to self determination and the expectation that culture was for the betterment of society. Today the main moral value is not to offend people. And everything now is considered offensive. Even eating food or reading a book. You could read a book that you do not agree with and yet you are labelled as committing an act of offence.
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  9. Moore's law has absolutely nothing to do with the size of transistors. It is about the number of transistors that are in an integrated circuit. There is a lot more space down at the bottom than people realize.
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  10.  @lechsiz1642  I am not sure what running out of oil has to do with an attack on the US. Are you suggesting that the attackers wanted to encourage the US to invade places so that the oil supply could be restricted. How would that help the US running out of oil?
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  11. Stalin was pure evil and there was no good to him at all. Knowingly killing tens of millions of people in an act to introduce an economic or social model is evil. Stalin was not defending Russia against an invading force he was doing this via his own command and anybody who opposed him in the slightest was gone.
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  12.  @redwardstone3651  The median income in America is $60,000 so there are very few people starving in America. The median weight in America is 197 pounds and the median weight for women is 170. Trust me when I tell you there is no issue with the amount of food available.
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  13. That is what you think.
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  14. It is not just the M1 chip architecture it is all the other architectures as well.
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  15. Medical doctors can operate with much higher levels of success as can engineers and so on with the use of a smartphone. There are pattern recognition programs that can enable people to identify plants. Better informed could be one way of saying a person gets smarter with the use of a phone.
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  16. That sounds like a lot of hippy nonsense.
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  17. AMD are nowhere near Intels level and really have grown because they attached them self to budget chips and the growth in mobile computing.
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  18. Intelligent thought and talking is not for everybody.
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  19. How is it dead? The number of transistors on integrated circuits has gone from 16 to 48 billion in a 60 year period.
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  20. An artificial brain with 1000 trillion modelled synapses will be nothing like the human brain. It will be capable of instantaneously performing billions of data calculations. Humans cannot do anything close to that. An artificial brain with only a fraction of the human brain will be far beyond anything a human brain can achieve. An artificial brain could if designed have millions of inputs computing data from sensors. We more than likely will have technological singularity in the late 2020s and what lies beyond that is anybody's guess.
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  21. Too many people are assuming that such a system would be human like. It would be an alien to humans. It will take the logical analysis of information systems and be layered with human capabilities. It will be a hybrid system and even if it is only a fraction of the human brain it will still be an alien.
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  22. Stupid war? They perpetrated an attack on America and that had to be answered because if it was not answered there would have been a string of follow-ups. It is all great saying money should be spent on science and technology but that is different from answer an attack.
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  23. The turing test is more of an indicator of AI capabilities.
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  24. Evil is obvious. Torturing people, killing people and general descruction is evil.
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  25. He is basic it on the idea of a Von Neumann universal constructor rather than the versions you are thinking about in science fiction. Most of the ideas you see in science fiction originate with this guy only he is viewing them from a point of science and engineering.
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  26. @2jewsviews It only takes one case of a patient taking it against a hospital to change everything. Especially if it could be shown that hospital could have saved a life or lives by using certain tools.
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  27. How could anybody agree with Elon on a government body to regulate AI. We know that would slow progress. It is the reason why now it can take 20 years to develop a life saving medicine.
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  28. Nope it is still functioning.
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  29. He does not need the money from the books as he is already very wealthy. His ideas of 2029 and 2045 are not that vague in his books if you have ever read them.
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  30. Ray clearly states that the google engineer was off but his assertion of 2029 has been his prediction for the last 40 years. What if what he predicts happens in 2039 does that mean he is wrong?
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  31. Moore's law is still operational.
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  32. In terms of the production price.
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  33. Once VR and realistic graphics merge will be the moment that they stopped getting called games.
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  34. We are nowhere near the limits.
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  35. Micho is assuming that we would be using today's computational architecture. Who knows what sort of weird and wonderful planes of computation exist.
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  36.  @hishdp1464  Simulation theory is not what I am referring to. You are assuming that reality has no underlying structure that can be modelled or that our current computation architecture is is even the correct pathway. We may design or discover something that could take us to very weird places in the future that has no bearing on today's models. History is full of fools who make predictions that we laugh at today. At one point Spontaneous generation was taken seriously. How do you know todays quantum physics is not Spontaneous generation?
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  37.  @hishdp1464  No I am one of those people telling that you cannot predict the future with absolute certain. You are probably one of those people that believes that expansion has won against steady state even though you cannot even create a unified theory due to gravity. I am warning you not to make such absolutely predictions of the future when we are not even close to an approximate model of certainty. The idea for or against universal simulation is your point of speculation not mine and I am telling you stay away from Luminiferous Aether it is not certain.
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  38.  @hishdp1464  Nope. My original point still stands.
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  39. In a few generations they will not need cannabis they will have access to neural links that will enable them to be in VR. Hacking the human brain will bring our civilization to a completely new point.
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  40. How about being a 74 year old man who maybe tired and has been on the move.
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  41. Joe makes it more simple and is not an engineer.
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  42. We are nowhere near the end of Moore's.
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  43. Transistors are not 2nm in size. That is a marketing figure that makes no sense.
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  44. Because he knows that transistors are not at 2nm and does not want to go down that route.
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  45. "The administors need to find other work". They are not interested in work they are interested in control and change.
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  46. What you really mean is you want to stop the advancement of science and are willing to use excuses to do so.
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  47. Not everybody will have their brain hooked up. There will be people not using any sort of brain interface and then there will be people using an interface that is a private self contained system and others that will be using an internet type connection. Some people may just be happy using an external computer but use the most advanced medicine to stay healthy.
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  48. Moore never predicted the power of computing. He was talking about the number of transistors on an integrated circuit.
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  49. Are you implying that the US should have a european system health system?
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  50.  @vanessa1569  But how do you decide what the ethics are before you even know how to use the technology. There are ethics that we all naturally understand today because of her physical world experience.
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  51.  @vanessa1569  Murder is very obvious and is something we all understand. Doing a VR experience where you travel back to when you were 18 years of age is not as obvious because we have never experienced such a thing or even know what it is like. There are many things that are obvious and then things we do not even know will happen.
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  52.  @vanessa1569  You only say that because you have no frame of reference when it comes to Vr and the advanced technology that he is referring to. There will come a point when AI characters in VR will be indistinguishable from a human and there will be the ability to have that character take a body in the real world that will not be a simple robot made out of wires but will have a body made up of cells like a human. Things can get very complex and very weird and will intersect with your concerns of replicating humans.
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  53. That is nonsense.
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  54. By ethical do you mean your choice to judge something?
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  55. It is answering it based of data it finds not an actual real prediction.
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  56. A government agency overseeing AI would just slow down progress in the field. They would have unnecessary regulations that would make it very expensive and impossible to carry out researching leaving it just to mega corporations that by them self could never create the same level of innovation. Look at what the FDA have done to drug development.
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  57. Kurzweil puts forward logical arguments.
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  58. You do not understand.
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  59. Moore's law is not strictly about density but was about the number of transistors that can integrated onto a circuit. It does not stipulate the size of the circuits, topology or geometry of integrated circuits. Intel chips went from producing 1 million transistors to producing about 48 billion in about 30 years which is a doubling every 2 years.
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  60. Moore's law has nothing to do with clock speed.
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  61. Moore's Law is about the number of transistors present on an integrated circuit. It is not about the size of the transistors nor does it stipulate the type of architecture being used. If you take the number of transistors on the first generation integrated circuits and calculate that against the top chips today in 2023 you will see that it has doubled every 2 years producing about 43.6% growth every year. The reason why computing power is doubling every years is due to the fact that computing power is more than just Moore's law.
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  62. It is a very relevant observation. The number of transistors that a integrated circuit can have is important but it is not the other factor in computational power. I think people are confusing computation with the number of transistors.
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  63. It is unlikely that you have the technical background to question his ideas.
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  64. TSMC are not at Intels level and people that think they are just have no clue.
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  65.  @pistolpete2803  They intend to apply their own methods but to do that they require infrastructure and that means it would be easier to buy another company that is already active.
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  66. The exponential growth of intelligent life that uses the raw materials of the universe most certainly would allow for that to spread out in century's.
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  67. 99% of people that push the topic are believers. They tend not to be objective.
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  68. Moore's law has nothing to do with speed.
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  69. You will have that choice.
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  70. The greatest minds are part of the political carnage. Stop acting like they are victims. Most of the great minds are happy with the change that is taking place are also accelerating it. We have to be honest about this.
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  71. That has absolutely nothing to do with Moore's law. Moore's law is not about the feature sizes either that people keep bringing up.
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  72. They are very difficult to stray from.
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  73. Why would he worry about something like that?
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  74. Sorry but Moore's law is not about clocking speed or even impedance.
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  75. I will let you in on a little secret transistors are not at 2nm in size.
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  76.  @Nuclearcx  It is not even about the size of the transistors that people have bought into. I find it ridiculous that people think that transistors are actually 2nm in size. Now they do not stipulate if it is volume, area, radius, diameter or some other metric which makes it even more vague.
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  77. If you have already been to university then there are online post graduates, short post graduate courses and so on.
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  78. So should all of it be stopped?
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  79. Moore's law has nothing to do with shrinking.
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  80. Autonomous data for healthcare is the way forward especially for large data sets.
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  81. His desire to stay alive is not connected with the singularity as a concept. Biotechnology and data driven AI will be the tools used for staying alive. The singularity is a much wider concept that looks to be happening based on the progress of science and technology.
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  82. The brain is not a quantum computer.
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