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bighand69
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Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "Coronavirus: How many people are at risk?" video.
Sal DiMarchese Having an R0 value of 2.6 with a serious complication rate of about 10% is out of hand. I do not believe this has anything to do with decreasing population of man made at this point.
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+John Valerian No the data on this is freaking me out. At present the R0 value is 2.6 which means it grows at 260% for every infection. That means every person that is infected will pass it to 2.6 people every cycle. Each cycle is about 1 week at this stage so that means 100 people in 12 week could infect about 10 million people. The thing about exponential growth is in its early stages the numbers appear small but in a very short period a massive growth level of 2.6 can produce spectacular results. And here is another thing at this point the serious health complication levels are at about 10%. That means if there are 200000 infections about 20000 people are going to have very serious health problems and there is not an country in the world with a health system that can handle this. Chinese government are trying to underplay this as they are in denial.
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