Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. Yes German can do that but it would have required decades of planning and policy. Instead Germany decided to invest hundreds of billions in "Green Tech" and then boast about it on an epic scale to the point that they managed to convince the whole of the EU that this was the way to go. All while governments lied to their people and allowed them self to become reliant on Russia and China. Do you think Germany that is not producing babies to do anything about this?
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  2. Because Putin him self has stated that they view other countries as part of their empire. You have to take them at their word.
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  3. ? He is saying it is unpredictable on many levels.
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  4. The media pressure of that job would make even the smartest people look like an idiot. If a person is not good in front of a camera at times it can become very overwhelming. Trump, Obama and Clinton never appeared overwhelmed on Camera but behind the scenes who really knows.
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  5. Robots will come and we will start to see them in the 2020s but they will be like 1970s cellular phones in that they will be bulky, slow, prone to failure and extremely expensive. We now have prototype models in existence but they would be useless as products. By the way we are nowhere near the end of Moore's law.
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  6. The economic collapse is going to happen over the coming decade. Spinning up its existing industry to a war economy is completely different.
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  7. Europe as in Germany and several other countries will always have it on their mind that Russia could invade them. Handing over european wealth to build up the Russian military will not sit easy.
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  8. Trudeau is not a fascist. He is most certain left in politics and may be a socialist (have to guess that one).
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  9.  @paperandmedals8316  I do not think the average person thinks the US is going to be overtaken by China that is a fear that the media keeps pushing.
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  10. OPEC are weak not strong. They do things ont he basis of their own self interests. The world is already in turmoil and OPEC will not now have the ability to create more turmoil. Many of the OPEC countries are now in very unstable conditions and could easily collapse them self.
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  11. Why are people whining about student debt?
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  12. No it is more than just panic but there is a good reason for the panic they do not have natural gas at the ready.
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  13.  @piotrszostakowski416  They choose one set of policies over another and are no paying the price. The root of the pricing is not just about a panic and is is really about future supplies. Maybe if they can find oil and gas at the end of the rainbow everything will be sweetness and honey but the markets that value these commodities do not buy into such rainbows they tend to be purely quantitative.
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  14. If America had of been more assertive in the world none of this would have happened.
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  15. Korea has a massive military stockpile. There weapons systems are far more advance than what the North has. Taiwan on the other hand has a storm rough ocean between them and China and a dense missile defence system and 1.5 million fighting force to defend their island. The only thing the US would have to do is supply aid. China would not be stupid enough to target the US navy in open seas warfare they would get mauled.
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  16. The US has cars that are European on its roads. You will find BMW, Audi, VW, Porsche and Volvo in the US. You not find that many American cars on European roads because the industry has been regulated so that American cars cannot function in Europe. It is a joke if you think the US is more protectionist than European countries.
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  17. That is part of the problem a college graduate with work experience is not a young person they are mostly approaching late twenties. Current system is focused on college graduates with professional experience and 10 years post college work experience. By the time they arrive in Canada they are in their thirties and then have to start all over again. Those immigrants are leaving it very late to have children.
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  18. It is just fantasy.
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  19. Innovation only occurs when there is a market place which requires geography to take place.
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  20. If Germany industry was motivated it could easily fill out its military requirements.
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  21.  @imapimplykindapimp  That automation will be in the hands of people. There is too many people out there believing that the automation is completely autonomous. Automation that the US employs will be a force multiplier that enables existing workers to output 100 fold current levels. Even with that there will be a shortage in the world of products.
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  22. It has nothing to do with Fiat currency.
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  23.  @acenull0  Factories shutting down, schools shutting down, parts inventory running low and base materials falling of the market caused all of this.
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  24. There was no major crisis pre 911 that were of such an order that motivated the American public.
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  25. It will not work and is just fantasy.
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  26. When cultures collapsed before it was never on display for the world to see. This is a first time.
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  27.  @marcobonesi6794  Smuggling is not the issue it is who is supply the items to Russia. They would not want to be the target of sanctions them self. That is how the game is played.
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  28. He is not saying that America should not have immigration. He is saying it is very difficult due to the sheer size of the US border with Mexico to regulated it. I believe a border wall can be built and should be built but not to cover the whole border and just to focus it in certain parts. It is the same problem Europe has in the mediterranean.
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  29. Ireland is really funny one and hard to put in the same groups as other European countries. Ireland was one of the first countries to industrialize after the Britain but it was limited because Ireland went through a population collapse and then sat in the doldrums for several decades post WW1. Ireland post 1980s went through an economic rebuilding but it also is heavily exposed to foreign direct investment. There is also an issue with trying to decipher Ireland demographics due to the large influx of EU migrants.
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  30. Your statement does not make any sense.
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  31. China could implement a 10 child policy and have observers in every bed room but that is not going to help their population issues. China simply does not have enough women in its key childbearing demographics to turn that decline around. Maybe a 10 child policy may recover China population in 60 years time to a more positive structure but that would be a very different China that went through several crisis events.
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  32. Intel had one plant in China but it has already been closed. AMD have plants in china but I would suspect they are already planning those out.
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  33. Those types of innovations are beyond our current level of science and technology. They will happen if humans do not destroy them self. To get what you want that would mean living longer, healthier but staying younger. So that women can be fertile into their fifties. There is a lot of complexity in that. We will with biotechnology, generics and information sciences improve health and create longevity but that does not mean it can keep people in a younger state for longer. It will more than likely mean that old age is better managed and diseases are more preventable.
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  34. Research companies that have lower debts, cash on hand, generate free cash flow, produce products that people buy and have a long hard track record. Diversification is key so using bonds, stocks, mutual funds, cash in bank, small bit of gold and paying attention to your portfolio. And last but not least you know best what to do with your money nobody even with fancy qualification can tell you exactly what to invest in. If you want to educate yourself look for the book "intelligent Investor" that was written in 1948 and is based on an older book that was written before the great depression.
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  35.  @rasmuswittsell10  What you are saying is that you do not like that he said it rather than him just stating the obvious which is that Russia is a much larger force than Ukraine.
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  36. Defensive forces never face the same level of casualties as the offensive. It is just the nature of attack and defence. Russia does not have free movement either.
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  37. That is always the danger but before they and he would do that they probably would declare war and send all of their troops into the regions and saturate it.
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  38.  @SianaGearz  You are living in a fantasy.
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  39. None of those countries are technologically advanced so stop trying to kid your self.
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  40. Putin would have to get a declaration of war into place but hard to know if there is a stomach for such a move in Russia.
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  41.  @jackstraw262  That is terrible fantasy work there.
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  42. Schwab is a failed academic politician, Bill Gates is really rich and probably bored and Club of Rome is just a think that many will virtue signal towards but then ignore in the real world.
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  43. Concession for what?
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  44. Destroyed off shore is not the correct way of putting it. It most certainly is not helping the US but it does help with keeping peace and ensuring that others are able to function. Everybody thinks the US coming off the reserve status is a bad thing for the US when it is nothing of the sort. The US just decides it is worth paying the price to lose some of that currency economic ability.
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  45. Nope. Nothing to do with immigration. US Birth rate has remained steady for many years with about 4 million babies being born in the US every year.
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  46. Everything in America faces legislation and the idea that bitcoin can some how stay out side that but at the same operate within the US is laughable. Bitcoin at present is house fly in a mansion and until it becomes a wasp it will be mostly ignored.
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  47.  @franciscobermejo1779  So let us get this straight you think the ECB that has no track record or earned capital is going to get into an agreement with a series of countries that do not even have a market economy? What on earth are you smoking?
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  48. It is not easy for German culture to make that change.
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  49. It was never about of disabling Germany and was all about ensuring that war could not be easily started again from Germany. It has worked for 75 years but may now be about to break down. EU did not come into existence until 1993 and German Reunification happened in 1990. You cannot blame the EU for what Germany has done nor can the Jews be blamed this time. Germany always had a history of blaming others for its problems.
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  50. Turkey can play the system but there are limits to how far it can play that game. Turkey can stall some deals but not actually stop them or significantly hold them up.
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