Comments by "#Wagner With Shovels" (@WagnerWithShovels) on "What does attempted rebellion mean for Putin and Russia?" video.

  1. Many western media outlets have of course been barely able to contain their delight and have completely innacuratley dubbed the actions of Prigozhin as a "Civil war" or revolution. Some facts. *The actions of a single individual do not constitute anything but the actions of a single individual, the fact that that individual has private command of a significant military force still does not constitute anything but the actions of a single individual. * Prigozhin has no political support and no formal or informal political apparatus behind him. Therfore the idea that this was a Coup is flawed and not based on any political reality. *Secondly, there was not a single regular Russian unit that joined this action or aligned themselves with it, either overtly or as far as we know covertly. *Thirdly, the ability for Wagner to mount any serious challenge to the state is severely limited by their lack of not only political support or know how but their lack of logistical depth. Wagner are entirely and uniquely reliant on the Russian MOD for logistical support. It's this reliance rhat has caused the public spates between Prigozhin and the MOD which led to yesterday's "Demonstrstion" The sense here in Russia is that given Prigozhins numerous theatrical performances threatening to pull out of Bakhmut etc etc many felt his actions yesterday would end in a settlement with his departure, this has indeed happened, however there was serious concern that his actions could have triggered a dangerous limited conflict in Rostov where the Kremlin would have had no option but to take on the PMC militarily. This according to sources I've spoken to today I am told is highly unlikely as Wagner operators had absolutely no wish to spill the blood of their comrades in the regular forces. My view is that Prigozhin pushed too far on this occasion and has now burned his bridges to a great extent. * How Wagners resources which consist of a significant body of Russian combat Veterans now unrivaled globally regarding combat experience, is probably the biggest issue. *I do not think or belive that Putins position or popularity have been adversely impacted as the frenzied suppositions in the western media. His address to the people was well received and the vast majority, despite their frustrations with past mistakes during the SMO(which have been acknowledged and acted upon by the Kremiln) support Putin and his ultimatum to Prigozhin.Thankfully the realisation of the reality of what faced hin and his fighters led to Prigozhin standing down with relatively little blood spilled. But for all the reasons outlined above, he would have had a very difficult time trying to convince his operators to engage their fellow countrymen in any escalation. At the end of the day thankfully it was Prigozhin that backed down, and large scale conflict was avoided.
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