Comments by "Miriam Weller" (@miriamweller812) on "Weeb Union"
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The problem is, that people got wrong expectations.
Russia's goal is to a) free the Donbass, b) destoy the military power of the coup regime Ukraine and C) get rid of the Nazis (at least in their position of power).
While you can argue, that a is about territory, it is something you gonna reach anyway when you take care of b and c.
There is simply no reason for any big push.
At start it was necessary to secure as much as possible, but as soon as the build up defense lines were met, this couldn't go on like that (and of course there had always been the hope, that the Nazis today are a bit smarter than the Nazis 194x - well, they aren't).
Why take an increase risk, when the enemy is so nice to create a shooting range for you? To not take that gift would just help the enemy and increase your own losses.
Russia IS in the offensive. Constantly. The offensive to reach goal B and C. That they don't move much for this doesn't matter.
We aren't in medieval times, where you have to send your spearmen and knights in to fight the enemy mano a mano.
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Layered defense works roughyl like that:
You got the first line which mainly acts like a castlewall, an obstacle to slow down/stop the movement of the offensive.
You got the second line which is more armed and got as main job to attack those who try to get over the first line and replenish the first line (for example with mines).
And you got the third line with all the longe range weaponry.
On top of that come of course drones, air force and additional long rance missile systems.
To break such defense you have to pretty much crush through the first line, overwhelm the second line and then get in direct fight with the third line to pin them down, defeat or at least dispers them, then use all this to harden your own stand by creating a bridgehead ( a real one, not just "you are there", but "you dominate that area and control the pathes to it"). From that position on you could act further.
If you just fool around at or even worse in front of the first line, you are pretty much doing nothing.
What you got in front of the first line are few scout troops, light equipped, fast troops who are there to, well, scout and mess with the enemy when possiblek but also instantly fall back when things get rougher.
Such strategies aren't new at all, but thousands of years old and while the arms have changed, this just made it worse, because now those lines can be many km apart from each other, while the power of the last line is even deadlier than ever. It's also way harder to make break throughs via stealth, because you overall need heavy equipment these days to break lines, which is of course not very stealthy and modern surveillance and communication makes it easy for the lines to not be surprised by and kind of advances or surprise attacks.
An alternative is of course when you can just bombe these lines, but against an enemy with heavy air defense that can also quickly become a suicide mission. Still an air force can of course at least ignore the gruond part of the defense lines and only has to fear the air defense, while directly going for the third line.
The best solution is of course to combine both - if you can, but for that all this must really work together and the ground forces have to use the time the air force keep the lines under pressure to ease the break through.
Ukraine is clearly lacking in every area of this. They overall simply don't even have the tools to start with nor can NATO deliver them. NATO would have to go all in itself to have a chance.
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