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Frostie-Flake
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Frostie-Flake" (@PlanetFrosty) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.
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What you are forgetting that in WW2 supplies poured in from Allies to USSR. Russia doesn’t have that now. It just defaulted on a major Chinese loan as well as others. It was mostly new equipment and Russia was in a different place. Now Ukraine enjoys the allied support of weapons and tactical intelligence. SO...unlike WW2 Ukraine is the downtrodden with drive and fire in the belly.
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Thanks, Peter for the insight, but my business is communication infrastructure on a global scale. I largely agree with much of your assessment. We are about to embark on not re-globalizing, but communication and transaction infrastructure that just may change many things positively. Energy is the key, Ark Invest discussion you had made that clear. That is my position. The collapse of China and soon Russia will bring about opportunities. Federation and reorganization of business infrastructure technologically, but not quite so Pollyanna as the Ark invest guys.
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As someone who deals with infrastructure and microprocessor development along with India. I beg to differ that India will do well. Corruption is horrific limiting many business opportunities and harming Indians the most. Modi has done little to address this along with fostering ethnic and religious tensions to benefit him politically. I thought he’d move in a better direction, but hadn’t. Indian brain drain has increased to US, Canada and many other countries in the last 3-4 years.
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“Crimean Citizens considering themselves Russians” does not consider reality of increase of anti-Russian protests in Crimea and Russian “settlers” leaving in droves. On the ground details
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Not fully as gas wells are failing and take years to develop new ones. Putin’s decision on gas is destroying the gas well that are irrecoverable. Oil production and refining starting to show first signs. Military parts unavailable for repair and manufacture.
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Excellent point! Russian logistics will not improve and they’re running out of repair parts.
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In the end the US is beginning to get it that Russia is a failed Empire collapsing in on itself This war hastens the process and Russia dies in the process for good..
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Again you missed the Youth Freedom Movement that’s taking root in Russia and even it’s military. Expect Russia to crumble from within with a spark like Iran.
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In modern warfare throwing bodies at opponent without modern equipment does not lead to success possibility in reality. Smart tactical and operational planning will win. Ukraine will be producing missiles that can reach far into Russian airfields and supply depots. After all, they helped China build their Space Program and have competent engineers.
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Population will see a new change with life extension technology at some point.
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This didn’t age well since mass protest broke out in St Petersburg! Humm, I agree the oligarchs aren’t the ones, but that’s not all the players as youth protests grow. Russia is DOA
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The reality is that we are capable of building out many of electrical industrial need sooner than you think.
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I largely agree.
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Russia is going to be sued and even found by UN Assembly to owe Ukraine a Trillion or more to rebuild Ukraine and repay allies for war expenses. That will further isolate Russia and limit even more economic future of Russia. Here is now where US recovers issues and American investors see option to recover assets. You missed this completely, Peter.
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Putin and Xi Jinping are very much the same in Cult Of Personality. Even the ethic suppression by each state are similar, both primed to collapse! FX reserves in trouble in China and servicing Russia drains them further!
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OPEC is DOA because of Youth Freedom Movement building across the Globe. In music outside US clever linguistically interesting pop music from SE Asia to Russia to Iran to South America and underground EU. Oil production will face REVOLUTION, but one that’s more libertarian growing across the world. Colorado just misses it as its in the language of Chinese, Spanish, Russian and Arabic even though these communities exist here. More to come...
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Peter you need to look at YT Channel “What’s Going On With Shipping” on ‘Jones Act Reform’ which explains many things you’re missing on smart reform to rebuild American Merchant Marine and American Shipbuild. Sal is a professor of Maritime Law, Policy and Operations with great insight and smart ideas.
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Actually, you’re not correct on traffic on our waterways and need to follow up Dr Sal Mercogliano on YT “What’s going on with shipping” expert on Jones Act, merchant marine and US Naval civilian operations. A lot of what you said is factually very wrong. He is a professor and former merchant mariner.
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Obama’s thesis does not demonstrate intelligence, but laziness. Peter, you equate detached confusion for aloof intelligence. Obama was the silent schemer, but poor at it.
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His analysis on the population collapse of Russia is further exacerbated by Putin’s wasting of personnel who could produce children. Peter believes Russia is at the point of no return population wise. Putin is murdering the future of Russia.
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Excellent point, and I think the ethic oppression you made inside Russia is not unlike China. Both totalitarian nations have used this tactic and bad economic policy that has them near collapse in population and economically. Russia, must be destroyed, but they’re already on course self immolation.
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@danielscalera6057 Russia is a kleptocracy now with few people able to afford many things to improve their lives. Look at all of those Russia Yachts and think, “that jerk stole from people keeping them poor.” That is exactly what happened largely by
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@kevincrady2831 Lunstic
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Putin is a relic with his thinking unable to figure out technologically how to have success. This is thug thinking.
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Many Tech Companies aren’t Tech Companies, they don’t have a product or disruptive tech service enabling life improvement. Google is advertising company primarily with a phone. Facebook the same some gaming hardware. I disagree on Tesla looking at their financials since it has not been subsidies in the last few quarters spring-boarding performance and high gross margins. Tesla does does have its challenges, but its performing better than it should considering its poor customer service. The key innovation ignored by big tech is evolving concept of self sovereignty coming from bitcoin and Lightning Network. This signals tech move to the “network edge” and new Internet converged communication and liquidity in instant movement of resources and ownership. This unwinds authoritarians and Government over reach. It’s celebrated in Music Videos from SE Asia to SA to even Russia as a new youth movement evolves embracing freedom. It’s global. These movements will unwind structures and stifling of individual freedom and potential. It signals the de-evolution of big tech to new innovation and federation.
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Entirely conjecture without substance, based not on facts. Peter knows nothing of gold, trade or its collapse. He’s an arrogant ass getting basic geographic facts very wrong in his pontification. Trading in gold is feudal, backward and not a good sign.
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Well, I’m coming to you from Colorado!
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Great Tie! Very good analysis of China.
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