Comments by "remliqa" (@remliqa) on "Patrick Boyle"
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@David-ud9ju Firstly, NASA isn't Space X's competitor, they are their top customer. NASA doesn't have any launch platform of their own but uses Space to launch their missions, be it satellite , probe and astronauts .
Now let go to Space X's actual competitors . In the US theri biggest would be ULA and Boeing. Both offer more expensive services at while having generally less capability. Let not forget Space X have the cheapest and most powerful rockets in the business. There is a reason why commercial operators chose Space X over them . Unlike Space, all their contacts are government linked because congress mandated one company can't have all government contracts. The same goes for non-US competitors such as Arianespace which rely on subsidies from the EU . To see how dominant Space X is, I suggest you google the most of launches Sapce X does in a year compared to those companies.
As for Tesla, theri car may no longer be the cheapest, have mot range or offers best road performance among EV, but that are best jack of all trades in the business . For every metric an altansvebe EV beats Tesla , they get trounced in every other categories. Just like with Space X, look at the sale figure of all EV and you will clearly see Tesla dominates here as well.
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@wbwarren57
I just realised that my response to this post was never here. Either I messed up and didn't post it or something went wrong and my reply went into netherworld . Either way, something weird happened 3 weeks ago.. Here is a rethread of what I wrote then.
The aerospace industry can only surpass Sapce X if Starship never comes into service. When (not if, when) Starship starts its commercial operation, it will render every other launch platform obsolete, including the Space Launch System(SLS)as well as SpaceX own Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets . Currently the cheapest launch cost belong to Space X with its couple thousand dollar/kg price tag. With Starship, that cost will be reduced to less than 100 dollar/kg. Unless they have they own version of Starship, they can't compete on that front. Only niche platform that cater to very specific need (such Dream Chaser) , or heavily subsidized by their government (EU, China, Russia and even the US) will survive against Space X.
While I have many reservation about how Space conducte it operations (remember the Stage 0 debacle of the first full orbital Starship test launch?) , delay is inevitable in the aerospace industry . The answer to the question on what happened if the NASA test didn't go well is the same as when the first Falcon 9 test went horribly, they will reiterate and retool until works out or abandon it and a new solution entirely.
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