Comments by "C_R_O_M__________" (@C_R_O_M________) on "driving 4 answers" channel.

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  24.  @guard13007  " No, because they aren't polluting continuously. They only pollute in construction and destruction. This outweighs the continuous pollution of ICE vehicles SO MUCH that even if your power is 100% COAL-DERIVED, AN ELECTRIC VEHICLE IS STILL CLEANER over a useful lifetime. It takes 5-7 years for this to become true because of the different in initial pollution costs, but maybe don't replace your vehicle every 5 years. Also, regenerative braking recovers a lot of energy used in movement, boosting the overall efficiency in a way ICE vehicles just can't." >>Absolutely wrong! They just outweigh conventional ICEs in terms of mass AND emissions produced. Read the following: "Electric vehicles also involve energy intensive lithium-ion batteries. Few realize how much energy is embedded in an electric vehicle before it is ever plugged in. Over the life of a typical EV, nearly 40% of the total energy goes into manufacturing the battery. The IEA expects electric vehicles will represent nearly 15% of total transportation energy by 2040. We calculate this equates to approximately 850 mm EVs and nearly 65 terawatt hours of batteries. This is a staggering amount considering global lithium-ion manufacturing capacity is currently less than 0.4 terawatt hours per year. These batteries will require an incredible 2 billion tonnes of oil equivalent to build. Unfortunately, few people realize how energy intensive the “green transition” will be. As a result, much (if not all) of the carbon savings will be undone by generating the power in the first place. The IEA’s proposal assumes wind and solar make up nearly 50% of all electricity by 2040 and that some 850 mm electric vehicles will be on the road. These initiatives are expected to reduce CO2 by 55% or 18 bn tonnes per year. While this may sound impressive, simply moving away from coal towards much-cleaner natural gas would itself save nearly 14 bn tonnes of CO2 per year. When analyzed through this perspective, renewables would save an incremental 4 bn tonnes compared with the next cleanest option. At the same time, an incredible amount of energy is required to build out the renewable capacity and manufacture the necessary batteries. A move toward gas would be much more energy efficient (given its high EROEI) and would not require batteries for either grid storage or automotive uses. We estimate the move toward renewables and EVs would generate nearly 45 billion tonnes of incremental CO2. Therefore, nearly 10 years of carbon “savings” would be spent on the energy transition itself. A battery is expected to last between 6 and 15 years depending on charging behavior while wind turbines have an expected life of 20 years and PV solar panels have a useful life of 25 years. At best, a huge amount of the expected carbon savings will be undone by the necessary manufacturing. At worst, the impact could be net detrimental." There's a lot more in their site (they are commodities expert analysts) Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC. and the title of this report was "Ignoring energy transition realities". They have nothing to gain and everything to lose if they get that wrong. So far, whatever they have said, coincides with reality.
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  27. The bucket part was a favorite!!! Laughed really hard on that (and you're right). You are a sophisticated and complicated young man. You also seem like a natural contrarian to me. My kind of guy. Allow me to make a few points on the topic of first bike. I think you should focus your efforts on affording a bike you LOVE to ride which will push you to want to learn how to ride it properly. You are a very sensible person to know how much to twist the throttle so the checks and balances are in place for you, so as to not make some stupid decision of the moment and get hurt (even so, sometimes our unconscious takes over and things can get difficult - don't underestimate the unconscious). Moreover, and because we all have crashed or going to crash as newbies or even as experienced riders, try to find a bike that's crash-resistant and those are usually the enduro type, with cheap plastics and almost crash-proof design. I mean, you can throw one of these from the second floor, pick it up and ride away. Street bikes (like that Ducati or your previous bike) are the antithesis of that. Even a drop from the sidestand can cost a lot. Been there, done that. The 250 Dominator (we also call them like that here in Greece) is a good choice for a new rider but not perfect imho. I think that you'll eventually get bored of this bike. It's kind of a novice's Swiss army pocket knife that does most tasks decently but it's not the motorcycle on which you'll feel ecstatic riding it. As you get to ride more motorcycles and feel the huge differences in engine characteristics and geometry setups, you'll get to a point of preference or call it "bias", which will determine what you'll prefer riding from that point on. As your riding matures, you'll, most likely, understand better what I'm trying to convey. Until then enjoy your new bike but know that nothing is written in stone, if you get an opportunity to flip that bike for another do it.
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  31. Comment 3 of 4: "In his excellent work, Energy and Civilization, Professor Smil describes society’s ongoing adoption of new technologies. A theme that runs through his work is how every new major “prime mover” is able to convert energy into useful work more efficiently than what came before. According to our models, wind and solar would mark the first time we have seen a widespread shift into a much less efficient source of energy conversion. It has never happened in the past, and the only way it can happen in the future is if governments subsidize wind and solar (as is being done right now), or outlaw old hydrocarbon-based technologies—now being threatened. In either case (subsidy or outlaw), government intervention is the only way people would likely adopt new energy conversion technologies with inferior efficiencies. It is difficult to forecast the impact of transitioning from a system where 3% of all energy is consumed internally to one where more than a third is lost. To the extent solar and wind facilities do not achieve their target lifespans (and there is ample evidence to suggest this is happening), the results will be even worse. Solar and wind’s low EROEI also impacts their carbon emissions. While billed as being “carbon free,” solar and wind generate CO2 during their construction and maintenance. To the extent overbuilding and battery backup is required to allow for baseload power, CO2 emissions increase dramatically. This partially explains why German carbon intensity only fell by 12%, despite having among the highest renewable penetration in the world. Electric vehicles also involve energy intensive lithium-ion batteries. Few realize how much energy is embedded in an electric vehicle before it is ever plugged in. Over the life of a typical EV, nearly 40% of the total energy goes into manufacturing the battery. The IEA expects electric vehicles will represent nearly 15% of total transportation energy by 2040. We calculate this equates to approximately 850 mm EVs and nearly 65 terawatt hours of batteries. This is a staggering amount considering global lithium-ion manufacturing capacity is currently less than 0.4 terawatt hours per year. These batteries will require an incredible 2 billion tonnes of oil equivalent to build. Unfortunately, few people realize how energy intensive the “green transition” will be. As a result, much (if not all) of the carbon savings will be undone by generating the power in the first place. The IEA’s proposal assumes wind and solar make up nearly 50% of all electricity by 2040 and that some 850 mm electric vehicles will be on the road. These initiatives are expected to reduce CO2 by 55% or 18 bn tonnes per year. While this may sound impressive, simply moving away from coal towards much-cleaner natural gas would itself save nearly 14 bn tonnes of CO2 per year. When analyzed through this perspective, renewables would save an incremental 4 bn tonnes compared with the next cleanest option. At the same time, an incredible amount of energy is required to build out the renewable capacity and manufacture the necessary batteries. A move toward gas would be much more energy efficient (given its high EROEI) and would not require batteries for either grid storage or automotive uses. We estimate the move toward renewables and EVs would generate nearly 45 billion tonnes of incremental CO2. Therefore, nearly 10 years of carbon “savings” would be spent on the energy transition itself. A battery is expected to last between 6 and 15 years depending on charging behavior while wind turbines have an expected life of 20 years and PV solar panels have a useful life of 25 years. At best, a huge amount of the expected carbon savings will be undone by the necessary manufacturing. At worst, the impact could be net detrimental."
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  45.  @Simon-dm8zv  "EV produce LESS CO2, not 0" >>You obviously begin with the false assumption that more CO2 is bad. It isn't! It's a benefit on all accounts. The greenhouse effect is something that might depend very little to CO2 as CO2 is just 0.04% of the atmosphere from which 0.03% was already there before we even started adding to it 200 years ago! 0.04% is nothing and one would assume a very high ECS (Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity) to refer to CO2 as a "problem" (which I sincerely don't see, at the end of the day a warmer world is much more hospitable for all life on Earth than a cold one). The problem with modeled ECS at high sensitivity values is that it doesn't align itself with observations and that means it's likely substantially lower. In other words, the assumed "forcing" of CO2 (never actually proven experimentally) is exaggerated in theory vs what we actually see in reality. In the meanwhile the planet is actually greening. Not just theoretically. I'll stick with reality vs the potential malevolent incentives of people who want to persuade us that they can predict the future, even though they don't even though they can't provide basic answers on climate questions (like what causes the ENSO cycles). Your Laconic answers tell me that you don't know much about the subject. I happen to do so and I am a scientist who understands the unfathomable complexities involved and the huge uncertainties in proving causality. On EVs, don't be so sure that they are a net saver of emissions. That depends on many many outcomes throughout its life. It's not that simple not black and white. Nuance is needed.
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