Comments by "" (@pwillis1589) on "New poll spells disaster for Kamala Harris as she failed to deliver ‘knockout blow’ in debate agains" video.

  1. You almost had it right. Trump is ahead in 3 swing states, 2 are tied, and Harris is ahead in 2.
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  2. Is this the average IQ of the voting public?
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  3. @VK6AB-  So in the battleground states and according to RealClear polling Trump and Harris are tied in Pennsylvania and Harris is ahead in Nevada, Wisconsin and Michigan. So as I haven't got a clue what poll you are referring to (maybe the one in your colon) you are just factually wrong.
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  4. @VK6AB-  Hilarious. The NYTimes/Siena poll has Trump 4 points ahead and the Quinnipiac poll 3 points. No poll has Trump 18 points up Georgia.
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  5.  @VK6AB-  No you are misunderstanding polling data. If you want to put your own personal gut feeling into polling data that’s fine, but it is totally worthless. Anybody can make stuff up. I’ll just stick to actual polling data.
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  6.  @VK6AB-  Factually incorrect. Nate Silver poll had Trump 11 points ahead of Biden in July and now while Trump is marginally ahead in some polls Harris has picked up a lot of ground. Trump is still narrowly in front but it is going to be close.
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  7.  @lisalangrehr8383  Yes Clinton was about 5 points up nationally in the polls, and on the 2016 election she won the popular vote by 3.8 so not that off. Trump won the presidency because he won the battleground states in very narrow margins. This time those battleground states are virtually level pegging, Trump is leading but it is very very close.
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  8.  @VK6AB-  whose probability? I have referenced polling data not betting odds. Sports bet have Harris at 1.83 and Trump at 2.00. Odds checkers has Harris at 10/11 and Trump at 21/20.
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  9.  @VK6AB-  The Hill DDHQ forecast model gives a 55% chance of Harris winning the electoral college against Trump’s 45% chance. Either way it is going to be very close and may well be the results of a single state and 20 electoral votes.
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  10. @VK6AB-  Here are the average results for several betting agencies. It is considerably closer than wherever you get your data from Betting odds Harris. Trump RCP Average51.1. 47.4 Betfair. 50. 45 Betsson. 52. 48 Bovada. 52. 49 Bwin. 53. 48 Points Bet. 52. 50 Polymarket. 48. 47 Smarkets. 51. 45
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  11. @nivyr5677  No I referenced RealClear polling and betting data.
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  12.  @Charly-in-the-808  Hilarious, this whole pet eating has already been fully debunked. It started out on a facebook page and was picked up by ultra ring racists. Unfortunately you have been completely duped. You will now be to embarrassed to admit you were made to look stupid and will double down on what was just a racist meme.
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