Comments by "Piccalilli Pit" (@piccalillipit9211) on "Here's what the US economy can expect if a recession hits" video.

  1.  @billthecook4357  - Well as a European it would be my natural reaction to call you crazy for the guns, but you live in a country with 400 million guns, if things get bad they will likely get REALLY bad. I'm about to publish a book called "ADRIFT IN THE SHARK TANK - how to cope in a post-pandemic world" - its not a preppers guide, its a psychological manual, but this is a section you might relate to: So your number ONE top priority in life is to clear any debt you have and to never take any more debt on unless it is to start a business or buy a house. Do absolutely everything humanly possible to clear every penny of debt you have, I mean go to extreme lengths. Go around your house and put a little sticker on everything you have not used for the last 12 months - you don't need it, put it on eBay and sell it. Even if you only get $5 for an item - that's $10, $20 even $50 over the lifetime of that debt you are clearing off. Cos $5 can be the difference in a payment happening or a payment “bouncing” and then you will be hit with late fees. Stop buying ANYTHING that is not food, a necessity for your children, an absolute necessity for life and pay off those debts in the order of most horrifically expensive. PayDay loans first. Credit cards second. Car finance third. Bank loans fourth. Mortgage fith. ---§--- This is another section and the one that 99.95 of people fall foul of. REALITY LAG ‘I haven't learned how to confront a problem by avoiding it.’ Brian Spellman People’s admission and acceptance of the reality of any given bad situation is always rolling six months to one year behind reality. This is largely why small businesses go bust, people ignore the red flags for way too long. This is how people end up trapped in an abusive relationship - because they make excuses for the first year and ignore people ignore the red flags. This is how people wind up in a dictatorship, because people ignore the red flags... ...When the universe sends you a hurricane warning via the weather service, it’s probably a good time to board up your house and evacuate. That way you have the best chance of surviving and your property surviving. That's not being pessimistic or unambitious. That's just being sensible, heading the warnings and preparing. But when the universe sends us a warning that things are not that great with our small business, or our relationship, or our finances, the vast majority of us say, ‘It will be OK’, ‘it will work its self out’, ‘we’ve had hard times before…’ Toxic Positivity has trained us to ignore reality for fear of being ‘negative’ and ‘pessimistic’ when in reality all we would be is prepared. We seek out motivational material to overcome any temporary lag in our relentless and socially approved of positivity. And we deny the reality of our situation.
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  2. IM AN AUTHOR on the collapse of civilisations - these guys are desperately trying to boost your confidence to keep you spending. You want my unsolicited advice. STOP SPENDING NOW, save every penny, make friends with your neighbours, and form local groups cos this is part of a larger collapse. Most of all - stop buying plastic crap from China you don't need and fast fashion. If you have a garden, plant vegetables, it won't get that bad you need them, but it's therapeutic and life will be stressful.
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  3. IM AN AUTHOR on the collapse of civilisations - these guys are desperately trying to boost your confidence to keep you spending. You want my unsolicited advice. STOP SPENDING NOW, save every penny, make friends with your neighbours, and form local groups cos this is part of a larger collapse. Most of all - stop buying plastic crap from China you don't need and fast fashion. If you have a garden, plant vegetables, it won't get that bad you need them, but it's therapeutic and life will be stressful.
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  4.  @billthecook4357  - You sound really interesting guy. I wrote the book to help desperate people so mostly it will be given away free in digital form. I'm super lucky that like you I have learned to live a happy life on very little money. My other books provide enough income for me to not have to work or to have to charge for this book. I hope to do collaborations with some youtube channels to give it away to their viewers. I was inspired to write it when I saw the suicide statistics and the overdose statistics for 2020 in America, I just thought I have to at least TRY to help this situation. The latest figures are out for 2021 - 100,000 opiate overdoses...
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  5.  @billthecook4357  - Im British living in Bulgaria and since Brexit I don't qualify for truly FREE healthcare here. July last year my dog pulled me down a flight of concrete steps, I fell about 8 feet and landed on my ass, smashed a load of major blood vessels in my ass which turned into a giant sack of blood. I went straight to the hospital. I was seen within 5 minutes of arrival. They wanted to try and deal with it without surgery which meant a further 7 visits to the hospital to have the blood drained out and to check it was not going septic. Also lots of anti-coagulents and anti-biotics. The TOTAL course for all this - and I am NOT making this up was €40 for the hospital and another €40 for the dugs.
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  6.  @billthecook4357  Bill - I listen to so much total bullsh!t from people on YouTube comments, honestly no one has got closer to the truth of the situation than you have. I get to spend 8 hours a day for 3 years thinking about this and calling it work, I understand that most people can't have an in-depth understanding, they have not got the time. But it does distress me how wide of the mark the vast majority of people are. Here is another chapter, but you know it already, sorry its a bit long. IS CIVILISATION COLLAPSING? ‘Whether we like it or not, change comes. And the greater the resistance, the greater the pain.’ Alan Watts YES, civilisation is collapsing. At least in the U.S.A. and the UK, and in the west more generally. That is a bit depressing. Not the best way to start a book. But I'm not trying to make you happy. I'm trying to give you the tools to cope with what is happening. And denying the reality of what is happening is, as we have discussed, NOT a coping strategy! Denying the reality of what is happening is what gets most people into most of the serious trouble in their lives: not opening that stack of overdue bills because it’s just too depressing to face, not calling the car finance company when you can’t make a payment because you just can’t face it. So, we have to first acknowledge the reality we are living in. And that reality is: Life in the U.S.A. and the UK will never be the same again. Everyone will have to cope with a new reality. A reality of life in a declining country. And this happens. The Roman Empire collapsed. The USSR collapsed. The British Empire collapsed. And people lived through it. And so will you! Will you have to adapt? YES. But that is largely the point of this book. Change is not in its self a ‘bad thing’, it’s just ‘a thing’. It’s only bad when you cannot cope with it. And the first way people fail to cope with change is by denying it’s happening until it is too late and requires drastic upheaval in their lives. The classic example is the failing small business. First it’s a ‘bad week’, then it’s a ‘bad month’, then it’s a ‘bad patch’, then it’s a ‘bit worrying’, then it’s a ‘maybe we need to do more marketing’, then it’s ‘we have to think about cutting down spending’, then it’s ‘we really need to cut down on our spending’, and then it’s ‘we need to take drastic action!’ Then it’s bankruptcy a year or 18 months after the first red flags that something was wrong. Over 25 years in business, I have watched this happen to people’s businesses time after time, even my own in the early days. Until I learned the lesson. Everyone says the same, ‘we didn't act quick enough’, ‘we thought we were doing enough’, ‘we thought we had cut our spending down to nothing - but we were still spending hand over fist on things we did not need…!’ Humans deny realities they do not like. They bury their head in the sand and hope for the best. When they should be preparing for the new reality. Accepting the reality of your situation allows you to prepare for it physically, prepare for it financially, prepare for it mentally, and prepare for it emotionally. So, let's have a look at the situation in the U.S.A. today from an historical perspective. Why do civilisations collapse? Looking at all the historical analysis I can find and watching a lot of YouTube videos (when you are an author, watching YouTube videos counts as work), listening to podcasts and reading books, I have come up with this list of contributing factors to societal collapse: Plague / disease Environmental change Massive wealth inequality Loss of the administrative class The government stops governing Attack from the outside - now includes cyber attack Loss of faith in the political system Economic collapse Exposed obvious corruption Crumbling infrastructure Mismanagement of a crisis Societal division Loss of belief in the unity of the society Restriction of international trade / loss of trade agreements Increased isolationism Rising internal violence Excessive spending on military / arms race Inability to maintain the currency - hoarding / devaluation / hyper inflation If a majority of things on the list happen to a civilisation simultaneously, it is invariably the end for that civilisation. As I write this in May 2022, we can safely tick most, if not all, of these boxes for the U.S.A. and the UK. If you live outside the U.S.A. and the UK, don't think you are getting off Scott free. Take a look at the list again. Most western countries tick off a good number of the collapse criterion. I doubt many people would argue the U.S.A. is in a more perilous position right now, but everyone has a right to be worried about the future at the moment. You are not being paranoid. You have reason to worry. Just because you are not living in the U.S.A. or the UK does not mean this book is irrelevant to you. This book is relevant to you if you are worried about your future. Your society may not collapse, the U.S.A. may not collapse, I may be completely wrong. It only matters if you FEEL like the society around you is collapsing and you are having difficulty with that. Because at the end of the day, the universe is nothing but your perception of it and the feelings that engenders in you. If you feel like the world is collapsing around you and you cannot cope - your world is collapsing. And that is all that counts. ---§--- Change is not the problem, its people's inability to cope with the change that is the problem. Clinging onto a past that no longer exists...
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  7.  @billthecook4357  - Very quick cos Im off out the door to buy wool for knitting - cos I'm learning to knit :-D Russia - like most things its complicated. The world like simple narratives and usually there ISNRT a simple narrative. Putin is dying, we have known that for 3 years. He wants to leave a legacy, he wants to be compared to Alexandre the great and he wants to restore the status of Russia in the world order. OK - megalomaniac... BUT... how do you do that in 2022? Well the world is transitioning from oil and gas to renewables to that is Russia screwed. Give Russia a future - food will be the oil of the 21st century so position Russia as a world power in the food economy that replaces the petro economy. It wont make him a hero for 25 years but in 50 years he would be seen as a visionary genius by his people and hat is IMO what he wanted. BTW - I live very close to Ukraine - no way did he intend to invade in March - NATO pushed him into that will all the rhetoric - you dont even walk your DOG on the fields here in March - its liquid mud month. Thats was a tactical decision by NATO to hype it up and up and force his had, so the people that say NATO provoked it are correct, but it would have happened anyway. - just 6 weeks later.
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  8. IM AN AUTHOR on the collapse of civilisations - these guys are desperately trying to boost your confidence to keep you spending. You want my unsolicited advice. STOP SPENDING NOW, save every penny, make friends with your neighbours, and form local groups cos this is part of a larger collapse. Most of all - stop buying plastic crap from China you dont need and fast fashion. If you have a garden, planet vegetables, it wont get that bad you need them, but its therapeutic and life will be stressful.
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