Comments by "The Folder" (@thefolder3086) on "How Would WW3 Be Fought?" video.

17:12 I think I’ve missed this in your old prediction. However, as a guy from Thailand I would definitely ageee with your new decision and say I don’t think this is possible. First many people don’t realized how laughably weak Laos and Cambodia is compared to Vietnam. The Vietnamese has one of the strongest military history and most nationalistic populations with a recently booming economy and trying to be an American ally. On the otehr hand Cambodia and Laos are barely functioning states with Cambodian government recently declaring themselves emperors and Laotian people being mountainous and having large zomia decends not really caring that much about what the government say and won’t be hyper nationalistic. Their economic is laughably poor and laos population is nearly nonexistent compared to Vietnam. In your map Thailand fall to Chinese influence which I would say that it’s as a Thai person, even with Chinese heritage and a pro Chinese father side, Thai people across the political spectrum don’t like the Chinese very much and with Thai national identity forming around prolonged independence from the Europeans and is actually an anti communist American ally during the Cold War, people here have a strong identity around indepence and would immediatly go agaisnt China if it ever slowly conquers Laos. Cambodia is pretty weak and unstable but the population is extremely nationalistic, if anyone have come across internet Cambodians you will know that. thus I don’t think a full slow Chinese takeover will be allowed and just like in much of Africa there will be a native protest agaisnt Chinese incursion . It now just depends on whether America will support Thailand with most of the population being anti Chinese especially the new left but also the old left and the right aren’t very keen on it either. If China can keep the coups and the country break into civil war due to the return of Thaksin or if America support thaksin China will win but if America put even the smallest support for Thailand it will definitely side with Vietnam and squeeze Laos and Cambodia out of existence. The only possible real war would be if China only use these two country as passing ground like Russia and Belarus but with it being so mountainous I don’t think that’s possible. I agree that vietnam will defeat Laos and Cambodia but if America support it or If thai society can get itself together they will definitely join in with vietnam and crush Cambodia and Laos. However I don’t know what Myanmar will do since the coup might support China and could declare a two front on Thailand but also it’s not really that coherent and the millitary technology is pretty backward.
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Most Chinese Allies in south east Asia are dysfunctional state like Laos Cambodia Myanmar and Brunei while stronger powers like Vietnam Thailand Indonesia Malaysia and Philippines are pro America.idk where Singapore lie exactly tho but they are just rich. As a city state they wont have the manpower to wage aggressive wars. China often side with the more authoritarian and hated side of society like the coup in Thailand and Myanmar and the absolute monarch of Brunei. Thus, the more dysfunctional the country the easier it is to fall to China. If it can keep itself together it will be with America. Unless anti Chinese racism start rising in other parts of south east Asia which seems to be on the way in many places I hope it wont be as strong here, bc I’m ethnically more than half Chinese
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@Nesstor01 ah, nice They won’t have a massive effect on the war anyway tho, maybe a large defensive and economic effect but not much militarily even with good firepower
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@onlyfacts4999 unlike common belief it’s more complicated But long story short, they didn’t surrender, at leats to the Thai government they thought they are allying with Japan It’s a complicated situation so let me explain It started with general p(plaek phibunsongkram) when he take power. He was a strong nationalistic right winged authoritarian leader, not exactly facist but pretty similar. He was trying to take back Cambodia and Laos with some even claiming he has a plan of “greater Thailand” but idk how true it is. He install large authoritarian cultural reform movement making many old cultural aspects illegal and creating nationalist norms for Thai people making stuff like standing in front of the national anthem every morning and evening legally required. Additionally, along with him being a general he knows Thailand couldn’t really resist the sheer Japanese strength so he allied and allow them to go pass Thailand since their goal is to attack Myanmar. Afaik the Japanese also tell general p they will help him get parts of Cambodia and Laos and if they won the entirety of it will be given to Thailand under the Asian co prosperity sphere so he falls for it. However, this does not reflect the thai population at all with large numbers of people already hating general p from his questionable rise to power and many dislike Japanese rule. However, the general Thai people prioritizing peace and harmony doesn’t really want to rebel at first so you don’t see massive anti Japanese movements alone and they know they would lose anyway. However, later in the war, the Japanese started losing grounds and with back up from the Americans the free Thai movement rebel and overthrow general p. They then, with American backing, say that the alliance was “unofficial” and the country have stayed “technically neutral” with the alliance being jsut th decision or general p alone which most people don’t agree with and he just do bc he know he won’t win anyway. This is also to keep the country from paying war reparations from being in the axis. Thailand have always been amazing at diplomacy so it’s not surprising to me they pull this off. I don’t think the same thing will happen with the Chinese. It’s not as unwinnably strong as the Japanese.Japan have defeated multiple strong nations inside and outside south east Asia like Vietnam and China and general p have a similar ideology. None of that exist in Thailand today and If China pour in a small number of troops struggling over the mountains of Laos they will be resisted. Japan also target the city of Bangkok as well with its navy which is extremely important due to how centralize Thailand is so China fighting in the north east will likely be resisted and it will be a long while before they take enough of the country to surrender. There’s a large leftist ideology in the north east so maybe China can pull on that but I doubt they will fall for it. With so much Thai identity being around liberty from foreign powers I doubt they will give up to the Chinese This also depends on th action of ofc, asean and the Americans. ASEAN isn’t that strong but it does influence how south East Asian nation respond. currently they are anti Chinese with the problems in the South China Sea, especially from Indonesia. From what I’ve heard from my Indonesian friend on the internet they are extremely anti Chinese with even anti Chinese racism rising among young generation,something expected for a nation with a rough history agaisnt its Chinese minority. it’s too wrapped up in its own problem to fight China tho but it could still influence asean decision if it doesn’t break first.
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Just wanna know Since you have before predicted such a good future for turkey, and with their current occupation of Syria, do you think they will be involved in this war?
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@Kaiserboo1871 yeah fr I wish American boomer led education stop forcing the Vietnam war with Vietnam as American enemy down the kids throat tbh, many places in south east Asia are very pro America especially Vietnam
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