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Kate S
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Comments by "Kate S" (@KateeAngel) on "Could Russia Become a Failed State?" video.
@AG-vb6vv and it has much bigger mortality rate then Western Europe. Had even before the covid and the war
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@reddix435 are you even for real? If you had any idea how life is in Russia, you would totally understand why people are quiet. Also those who were not quiet, were silenced pretty fast. It would stupid to assume that you far away would ever see their attempts to do anything right before they are beaten up and thrown into jail. If you lived here, you would understand what makes sense and what doesn't, even on some subconscious level. When any attempt to "not be silent" has a <1% chance of changing anything, and 99% chance of hurting yourself and your family, then I doubt you would not be silent. Westerners talk as if they seem to imagine protesting in Russia is the same as in the West - just go outside in a group and walk for an hour, then you can go pick your coffee
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Actually bigger percentage of young people is the biggest predictor of civil wars etc. Older people tend to change anything in a less radical way
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Most of Russia is 90+% ethnic Russian. All other regions are few and far between. You either have regions where other ethnic groups make much less than 50% (even if the region is named after them) or the ones where you have multiple ethnic groups, so the whole number of ethnic groups is much bigger than number of regions. But if you take away all regions with 25+% ethnic minority population, most of Russia by territory and population will still stay together. And many regions which have large ethnic minority population are fully encircled in Russia anyway from all sidea
7
Those "colonies" in large also have 90+% Russian population. When will USA and Australia give its territory back to indigenous people? Unfortunately, never. Same with Siberia and other colonised places in Russia. For the same reason. Colonised local ethnicities are now in the minority
7
Yeah you forgot to ask them whether they want to unite with you
7
@trevorroberts9584 well "a state" can mean many different things. It was a state, but its constituents were too, in a way. Same as constituents of the UK today are called "countries" even though in most of the world "country" means independent state. Also Russia today functions very different from British or even Russian empire of 19th century. And has very different population distribution, level of cohesion etc
5
Yes
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@trevorroberts9584 empire is a form of state dude
4
@Theorimlig being Nordic isn't the same as having one culture. Culturally Finns are very different from Germanic Scandinavians. But Karelia and Murmansk are very unlikely to ever get independence out of all regions. They have a huge depopulation rate, emigration rate, very bad economy, apathetic old population. So my bet would be those would be one of the least likely regions to get independence.
2
Tell that to CAR. They have plenty of resources too
2
All states and centralised power is wrong. We should live in anarchist egalitarian communities, but without borders. Unfortunately humanity won't be prepared to peacefully do so for the next 1000 years or so. But as long as centralised states and hierarchy of power exist, new "Putins" will pop up from time to time in different places
2
@reddix435 yeah if you judge by kremlin bots who are paid to spam every social media with their comments, then you would think 99% of Russians support Putin. No wonder the people here in the comments have very little empathy for what happens with us if Russia collapses fully. I personally see a lot of Russians who believe propaganda, but also a lot who don't. It is impossible to estimate the proportion however. I feel no pity to those who do support Putin, but if something worse happens, we will go down with them, so I hate those people who wish Russia to collapse too. Big f.. to them
1
@Tribuneoftheplebs well so far the right moment hasn't come. They are organising in a way they can, mostly in emigration, cause many people were lost due to being jailed. Look say at Ilya Yashin, who was regularly reporting on what is going on on his youtube channel and constantly expressing anti-war ideas until he too was put in prison cause refused to leave Russia. Many opposition leaders who emigrated focus on informing the Russian speaking internet users about the truth. In fact number of subscribers to their channels sky rocketed, so many people seem to need that independent information
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@reddix435 most of them you don't know about cause they don't care about changing your mind and produce their information in Russian, not in English. And the things like people blowing up and setting on fire conscription offices in Russia wouldn't be reported in Western media. They happen one by one. Why do you expect what you see to be the only thing that is happening? Are you in kindergarten? When something is out of your sight it doesn't exist anymore?
1
@puraLusa his inner circle will replace him at some point. Maybe even poison him to do so. They will stab him in the back the moment they see the opportunity. Miserable man has only miserable possible end
1
That is actually one of the more unlikely regions to secede from Russia. There are clear criteria that you can use to estimate the likelihood of certain regions doing so. And Karelia (plus Karelian Isthmus where I live, which isn't part of Republic of Karelia, but a part of Leningrad oblast) score very low on all of them
1
@Robert-xy4xi most Ukrainian refugees will return after the war ends. That is how it works. The war is still there. The cities all over Ukraine are being bombed
1
@antony6799 Putin can even barely keep the small percentage of Ukrainian territory he currently occupies, and he lost so much military equipment that he would have nothing to attack another, even the smallest country, with. Believe me I live in Russia very close to Finnish border, and most of troops and almost all working equipment which were stationed in local and regional military bases here, is now out in Ukraine being destroyed by HIMARS. Finland would have higher chances of success if they invaded, rather than if Putin invaded them. Also, it is not true that European countries would be in-fighting. The UK has left the EU, and they still support Ukraine as much as EU countries. Your assumption is weak
1
@rhea7756 true, Russian speakers are 92% of population instead of 80%
1
These polls are horse sh*t Most people refuse to even talk about the situation. So yeah 81% out of 5-10% who don't refuse to answer, support Putin. Such a useful statistic
1
Many leaders of non-western countries including China already do hint to Putin that he better end this war. There were signs of this even months ago. But he won't listen cause for him it is the biggest project of his life - his attempt at "reuniting three east Slavic nations", he imagines himself as greater than Peter the great or something. Plus he knows that was the point of no return - no way he will be allowed to stay a free man if he loses the war and loses his power.
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🤪
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@paddington1670 yeah, no
1
And then China would put local ethnicities through the same treatment as Uyghurs in China?
1
@arch3978 Sakhalin and Kurils combined have at most 500 thousand people. And not sure they would rebel at all. Maybe some would live for rest of Russia,some would accept whatever change. But I think those places are actually one of the least likely to be seceded from Russia anyway
1