Comments by "robs2020" (@sbor2020) on "“You, Nigel Farage And Richard Tice Have HURT This Country” Alex Phillips vs Femi Oluwole On Brexit" video.
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@thetruth9210 It's strange that no one was saying this before the referendum. But after 2016, Brexiteers like Jacob Rees-Mogg, acknowledged that voters didn't fully understand the potential economic consequences. Rees-Mogg himself admitted in his “Moggcast” that, unlike the 1975 referendum on the Treaty of Rome, the 2016 vote was a "jump in the dark," with many leavers unaware of what they were voting for. Before the vote, the focus was largely on regaining sovereignty, with little emphasis on the economic risks involved. Now, in hindsight, many are grappling with unforeseen challenges such as economic downturns, labour shortages, and trade disruptions.
Shouldn't voters have been given a clearer understanding of the long-term consequences before making such a significant decision ?
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@thetruth9210 While it's true that some predictions didn't unfold exactly as expected, it’s important to remember that the promises made during the Brexit campaign were very different from the actual outcomes. Key promises included taking back control over laws and borders, reducing immigration, investing £350 million a week in the NHS, securing better global trade deals, and freeing the UK from EU regulations.
However, since Brexit, we've seen issues such as trade disruptions, labour shortages, rising costs, and challenges to public services like the NHS – problems that may not have been immediately visible but are still affecting everyday life. So, while some immediate impacts didn’t materialize as predicted, many of the deeper, long-term consequences of Brexit are still being felt, particularly by working-class people and industries reliant on EU trade and labour. Shouldn’t these ongoing issues be considered when evaluating Brexit's success?
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@thetruth9210 Germany’s economy has faced challenges, such as slowing exports and the energy crisis, but it remains Europe’s largest economy and a global export powerhouse. France’s economy has shown resilience, with moderate growth and lower inflation compared to Germany, though it faces structural challenges. Poland has seen strong growth, but this is partly due to EU membership, including substantial EU funding, which contributes significantly to its infrastructure and development.
Poland has not adopted the euro, giving it monetary policy flexibility, but this does not mean it is planning to leave the EU. The EU provides Poland with numerous advantages, including a large export market. Speculation about the "collapse" of the eurozone or EU lacks evidence, as the union has weathered previous crises and remains integral to the economies of its members.
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@thetruth9210 Regarding the trade deals, while many are based on “copy and paste” agreements with the EU, those deals with countries like Australia, New Zealand, and Japan were negotiated post-Brexit and have received criticism for not securing the best terms for the UK. The prediction of 1 million job losses post-Brexit did not materialise, but the UK has experienced job creation alongside significant labour shortages in certain sectors, particularly agriculture, hospitality, and healthcare, partly due to reduced immigration from the EU. However, Brexit-related disruptions, such as new trade barriers, customs checks, and supply chain issues, have caused ongoing economic challenges.
While the immediate economic crisis predicted after Brexit, like an emergency budget or a severe recession, did not materialise, the UK has still faced slower economic growth, trade difficulties, and uncertainty in investment, particularly in sectors dependent on EU trade. There was no housing crash, but house prices have fluctuated, and some car manufacturers, like Nissan and Honda, have reduced production or delayed investments due to the new trade barriers, while others have shifted production to mainland Europe. Other major companies, including Nissan and Honda, have continued operations, but the UK has seen increased uncertainty, especially in industries that were previously integrated within EU supply chains. Over time, issues like supply chain disruptions, labour shortages, and increased costs have become more apparent, particularly after the end of the transition period, revealing some of the delayed effects of Brexit.
Dismissing the concept of the working class overlooks the ongoing exploitation of the labour force, where the majority of people still rely on selling their labour for wages to survive. Despite changes in society, the working class remains a critical force in capitalist economies, as they are the producers of value, yet they continue to face economic inequality, job insecurity, and alienation. Just because workers are increasingly in precarious or service sector jobs, or lack strong union representation, doesn’t mean their issues should be ignored or disregarded.
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The claim that Britain's struggles are primarily due to migration, rather than Brexit or government policy, oversimplifies the issue. While it’s true that migration puts pressure on public services, it's essential to consider the broader context of austerity policies, which have reduced funding for public services like healthcare, housing, and education. According to a report by the Institute for Public Policy Research, austerity measures have led to significant cuts in local government funding, exacerbating service shortages and making it harder to accommodate both migrants and the general population. Furthermore, Brexit has caused disruptions in trade, labour shortages, and rising costs, which have added to the economic strain.
Demonising asylum seekers, who are often fleeing conflict or persecution, overlooks the responsibility of governments to manage these challenges through inclusive policies. Austerity and Brexit-related economic disruption are key factors in the current difficulties, with evidence suggesting that these long-term policies, rather than migration alone, have contributed to the nation's ongoing struggles.
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Your post contains some inaccuracies about the EEC. Firstly, you did not vote to EEC, but rather you voted in a referendum in 1975 to join the European Community. Additionally, Beethoven’s "Ode to Joy" was adopted as the EU's anthem in 1972, but the EU flag was introduced much earlier, in 1955, as a symbol of unity. Contrary to the perception of the EEC as a mere "trading bloc," the Treaty of Rome, which established the EEC in 1957, outlined broader goals of fostering political and economic integration, emphasising "ever-closer union" among member states, far beyond just trade. This laid the groundwork for what would eventually become the European Union.
The myth of the EEC as solely a "trading bloc" is often propagated by groups like UKIP?Reform UK and you Brexit supporters to downplay the political and institutional aspects of the European project.
How does the misconception of the EEC as merely a "trading bloc" influence public understanding of the European Union's broader political and economic goals, and what impact might this have on the debate surrounding Brexit ?
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Your observation that the political implications of the EEC were not emphasised enough to the public is worth considering, but it overlooks the depth of the discussions at the time. The 1975 referendum debates between figures like Roy Jenkins and Anthony Wedgwood Benn (as he was known then) clearly addressed these political dimensions. Jenkins, supporting membership, underscored Britain's role in shaping Europe’s future and the economic advantages of collaboration. Benn, in contrast, argued passionately against the EEC, warning about threats to sovereignty, democratic accountability, and the erosion of protections for workers under what he referred to as a “siege economy”.
As a nine-year-old in primary school, I even took part in a debate, advocating for the "No" side, aligning with the view that Britain as a social democracy would be better served with protections outside the EEC. This shows that the political stakes were widely understood, even if framed differently depending on one's perspective.
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The UK's industrial decline began post-WWII, but it accelerated significantly during the 1970s and 1980s. Manufacturing started moving abroad as globalisation took off and industries chased cheaper labour costs overseas. Under Margaret Thatcher (PM from 1979-1990), policies prioritised deregulation, privatisation, and a shift towards a service-based economy, while coal mines, steelworks, and factories faced closures. While it boosted finance and services (especially in London), it devastated traditional industrial areas like the North, Midlands, and Wales, causing unemployment, economic disparity, and lasting regional inequality.
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It’s great that you feel confident in the choice you made to vote for Brexit, but I’d genuinely love to hear what tangible benefits you’ve experienced as a result. Brexit was sold to us with the promise of taking back control, improving the economy, and empowering communities – but has it delivered on these promises for you personally, or for the country as a whole?
Consider this: the political party driving Brexit has increasingly been funded by companies and individuals who prioritise deregulation. This often means weakening protections for workers, lowering food standards, and privatising essential public services like the NHS. Meanwhile, trade deficits have grown, and many of the UK’s poorest areas – places that were promised investment and revitalisation – are worse off than before. Studies and reports consistently show that working-class people have borne the brunt of these economic challenges.
So, I’d like to know – do you believe these consequences align with what you hoped for when you cast your vote? And if not, do you think there’s still time to address them? Genuine discussion is vital as we all try to make sense of the decisions that shape our lives.
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The idea that Brexit could have been fully successful overlooks several significant challenges, including the "Brexit Trilemma," which points out the difficulty of reconciling control over borders, maintaining access to the EU single market, and avoiding a hard border in Northern Ireland. The Good Friday Agreement, which ensured peace between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, further complicated Brexit, as any changes to border arrangements could jeopardise that peace. These structural and political issues, alongside economic disruptions and trade barriers, made it clear that a simple "full" Brexit could not resolve all the complex problems.
Before Brexit, how did you expect the UK to resolve the challenges posed by the "Brexit Trilemma" of balancing control over borders, access to the EU market, and Northern Ireland's status?
What solutions did you foresee for maintaining peace in Northern Ireland while addressing Brexit-related border issues and respecting the Good Friday Agreement?
Looking back, how do you think the UK government could have better managed the economic and logistical challenges that arose post-Brexit?
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