Comments by "" (@efghggdxlmfn33) on "NEW Tactic! Musicians Rolling Through BAKHMUT" video.
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@Boom.Desjardins We often see questions in the comments why the capture of Artyomovsk (Bakhmut) is being delayed and the city allegedly cannot be captured.
1. It is more convenient to beat the enemy on your own terms. Here, the Armed Forces of Ukraine throw precious reserves into battle and transfer to Artemovsk a lot of units that were previously protected, including the elite and the units understaffed after the defeat in Soledar.
In addition to this, almost everyone who can shoot or at least hold a machine gun is being driven under Bakhmut. But the narrower the “bottleneck” (golden bridge) becomes, into which these reinforcements and ammunition must be squeezed, the more equipment and people are lost by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Losses are on delivery, on the road, on unloading, during transfer and transportation directly to Artyomovsk. At the moment, there is not a single road that would not be under the fire control of the “orchestra” or the RF Armed Forces.
with the destruction of not only the regular army, but in general any armed units of Ukraine in Artyomovsk, the “orchestra” successfully copes. Once this task is solved, it will be clear which goal will be next.
2. Artyomovsk is not only a city. There are dozens of settlements around, and for each of them there is a fierce squabble with a hundred different Ukrainian units. No matter what anyone says, the flank support of the RF Armed Forces for the "orchestra" fighters operating inside is incredibly important, since the Wagner Group can focus on storming the city.
3. At the moment, the Armed Forces of Ukraine ran into the last three microdistricts of the city in the west - Cheryoma, Novy and the border section between Artyomovsk and Khromov. But the speed with which the "orchestra" is moving through the city blocks, and the very fact that the enemy is actively squeezed out and forced to crowd into a small area by relatively large forces (several battalions), hint that the denouement of this battle (at least for the city itself) is already close.
4. Does the PMC have losses? This question is often asked, but it was rhetorical from the very beginning. In operations of this magnitude, it is simply impossible to do without losses.
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@GaGProds One other issue is the Pentagon’s estimate of Russian vehicle losses. It seems that here too they are copy-pasting external estimates. In this case, they appear to be using the “documented” vehicle losses from the Oryx project. Oryx is… interesting. In theory, they are tabulating visually documented equipment losses, which sounds very scientific and hard to dispute. Furthermore, the sheer mass of pictures they have accumulated is something of a verification deterrent - nobody really wants to sort through thousands of pictures and keep score.
However, Oryx has been audited and found wanting. There are a variety of issues that cause them to overcount Russian losses, in some cases drastically. These include double counting (multiple pictures of the same vehicle), wrongly identifying Ukrainian vehicles as Russian losses, counting as lost vehicles that have no apparent damage, accepting images that have obviously been photoshopped, and so on. In one particularly egregious case, a picture of a Ukrainian Msta howitzer had its crew photoshopped out and was marked as destroyed Russian artillery piece.
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