Comments by "" (@efghggdxlmfn33) on "CNBC Television"
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@a.barker7792 Nearly 10 months after Russia’s all-out invasion of Ukraine, allies who supported Kyiv’s war effort are increasingly wary of struggling to ramp up munitions production as conflict continues to linger in their stockpiles.
At stake is not only the West’s ability to continue to supply Ukraine with the weapons it needs, but also the ability of allies to show adversaries like China that they have an industrial base that can produce enough weapons to mount a credible defense against a possible attack.
Ukraine focused on us. . . “What really matters,” said William LaBant, the Pentagon’s chief arms buyer, at a recent conference at George Mason University. “What matters is production. Production really matters.”
After sending more than $40 billion in military support to Ukraine, much of it from existing stockpiles, the defense ministries of NATO members are discovering that idle weapons production lines cannot be put into operation overnight. Increasing capacity requires investment, which in turn depends on securing long-term production contracts.
The United States has sent about a third of its stock of Javelin anti-tank missiles to Ukraine, and a third of its stock of Stinger anti-aircraft missiles. But it does not have a high probability of being able to replace these quickly. “There is no doubt about that…[supplying Ukraine]”He’s put pressure on our defense industrial base,” Colin Kahl, the US undersecretary of defense for political affairs, said last month.
The UK has turned to a third party, whom it declined to identify, to restock its depleted stocks of NLAW anti-tank missiles. “There are some really hard truths that we have been forced to learn,” James Heppey, the Minister for the Armed Forces, said in October.
US President Joe Biden on the Lockheed Martin assembly line of Javelin anti-tank missiles © Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
Arms stocks in many European countries are sparse. When France sent six Caesar self-propelled howitzers to Ukraine in October, it could only do so by diverting a Danish order for the high-tech artillery.
Defense officials and corporate executives said there are two main reasons why Western countries are struggling to obtain new military supplies.
The first is structural. Since the end of the Cold War, these countries have reaped the peace dividends by cutting military spending, downsizing defense industries, and moving to lean “just-in-time” production and declining stocks of equipment such as munitions. This is because fighting insurgents and terrorists did not require the same kind of heavy weaponry as is required in high-intensity land conflicts.
Ukraine has ended this assumption. During heavy fighting in the eastern Donbas this summer, Russia used more ammunition in two days than the British Army used. Given Ukraine’s artillery depreciation rates, British stocks could last a week and the UK’s European allies would be no better off, according to a report by the Royal United Institute of Research Services in London.
“The West has a problem with limited defense industrial capacity,” said Mick Ryan, a former major general in the Australian Army. “A major industrial expansion program will be required if the countries of the West are to rebuild the capacity to design, produce and stock . . . large quantities of munitions.”
The second factor is bureaucratic. Governments say they are committed to larger defense budgets. However, amid so much economic uncertainty, they have been slow to write the multi-year purchase contracts defense groups need to speed up production.
“It’s a financial problem for companies,” said a senior European defense official. “No company wants to invest in a second factory line to increase production without a long-term contractual guarantee. Will Russia still be a threat in five years, and if not, will governments still buy weapons from companies in that time?”
Corporate executives say this lack of certainty exists on both sides of the Atlantic. Saab, the Swedish defense and aerospace company that makes the NLAWs and Gripen fighter jets, says it is in talks with several governments about new orders but progress in signing contracts has been slow.
“When it comes to demand directly related to Ukraine. . . “Very little has really appeared or happened,” said Saab CEO Mikael Johansson. “I am sure it will come…but the contracting process is still very slow.”
Britain’s BAE Systems also says it is “in talks” with the UK government about increasing production of a number of munitions, while US defense firms have similar complaints about the lack of a clear “order signal” from Washington.
They are in a ‘show me the money’ mode,” said Mark Cancian, a senior advisor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. [the defence companies] What they worry about is that they will expand capabilities, and then the war will end and the Department of Defense will cut contracts.” :face-purple-crying:
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@a.barker7792 more. in your face - Pentagon May Run Out Of Money For Ukraine — Politico
A looming cut to Pentagon appropriations could throw a wrench in US military aid to Ukraine, including artillery and ammunition, Politico magazine reported on Saturday, citing Department of Defense internal documents and officials familiar with the matter.
Congress has until December 16 to pass a full-year defense stopgap bill, known as a continuing resolution, or a CR, as Republicans and Democrats debate appropriations.
However, the resolution would cut Pentagon funding by $29 billion, or 3.7%, compared to what the White House requested for fiscal year 2023, according to the report. This means that the Department of Defense would have to put a halt to key projects, including aid to Kiev during its conflict with Russia.
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@a.barker7792 "Shooting empty rockets with no war heads" any evidence? LoL. Well, look at other military experts your age, like Col. Douglas McGregor or Scott Ritter (American military who worked in Russia for many years). Arguing with a zombie person is not interesting. About empty warheads - low quality lies. I am familiar with the state of the Russian military-industrial complex, firsthand. It's a pity, of course, to break your crystal world of illusions and fakes, but soon it will collapse itself ..
the real situation at the front for Ukraine and NATO is catastrophic. I'm not exaggerating. I can send a lot of videos that will not be shown in the media. There is a rather revealing video from the trenches of the Ukrainian military.
What you should pay attention to:
1. Commanders have not been in position for several weeks now.
2. Despite the fact that these are positions in the second line of defense, 8 out of 20 people were killed in three weeks. Several dead soldiers are in position, since there is no way to take them out.
3. The provision is poor, they warm themselves by the fires, which unmask their positions, but they don’t care about it, because it’s cold and they need to warm up.
4. Also, part of the losses is due to the fact that Polish 155-mm self-propelled guns "Crab" with Polish crews come to them, work out and leave back. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are then worked out and given to these fighters in the trenches, who believe that they are dying because of the Poles.
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