Comments by "" (@efghggdxlmfn33) on "Ukr Bakhmut Attacks Fail, Kiev Complains Dud Weapons Supplied; China Ambassador Backs Russia Crimea" video.
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Alexander, the accession of France to China's peace plan, which involves the completion of this stage of hostilities at the achieved borders, creates the prerequisites for its implementation immediately after the bogged down counter-offensive of the Ukrainian troops. Three of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, behind the scenes Germany, Turkey, some of the most important members of the world community in the form of the BRICS countries, Arab, Latin American, Southeast Asian countries create a numerical superiority over the Anglo-American deuce - China's silence in relation to the United States is silent the demand to accept this state of affairs.
As I often wrote earlier: in order to prevent an image defeat as a result of a failure in Ukraine, the Biden team will join and lead a hard line in relation to the Taiwan issue - there is already an understanding in the region that the conflict is almost inevitable. If China plans to achieve an image victory through the occupation of the islands of Penghu, Xisha, Nansha, Dongsha (South China Sea), then the monsoon rains until October will turn out to be even more beneficial for it, since they will have more influence on the military logistics of Taiwan's allies than on its own. . Since October, the rains in the region have ended and do not impede the operations of the Navy and aviation.
January 2024 - Taiwan's presidential election, which could cause a political crisis on the island - and the first test of strength.
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Alexander, my respect! The remark that came from the Chinese ambassador to France, who is already quite famous for his bold statements, about the status of Crimea and the former Soviet republics, has several important layers:
▪A certain carte blanche from China's top leadership in France is pushing the ambassador's bold statements - we already see China's effective and influential position in relation to this country by the fruits of Macron's reincarnation.
▪It is obvious that there is competition between EU representative Fu Cong, known for his conciliatory position, and Lu Sha-e 卢沙野 - or work for different centers of power in Beijing.
▪after Macron's visit, they again started talking about the strategic investment agreement between the EU and China, two years ago it was almost sunk by the US satellites in Europe - primarily the Baltic countries, the Czech Republic. The remark about dubious sovereignty is directed at the Baltic countries. Obviously there is a deal between Beijing and Paris - Macron at the head of the EU, China - investment. Against USA and Sprat Coast.
▪the remark on Crimea reveals a very large invisible layer of Chinese foreign policy, which I have been talking about for a long time: the historical right to Crimea and Ukraine, just like to the entire post-Soviet space, legitimizes the same “historical sovereignty” to Taiwan, which, although inhabited by the Chinese sub-ethnic group, was part of Qing Empire, but not under one international agreement does not belong to the PRC.
There is something to work on here - the return of Taiwan can be the basis for legitimizing the return of all territories of the USSR to Russia. Of course, this Moscow-Beijing law is already a different international concept on which the world of the future will be formed.
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