Comments by "" (@efghggdxlmfn33) on "Ukraine Badly Defeated in Kherson, Russia Advances Kharkov; Putin Mobilises Russian Economy for War" video.
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In addition to sanitary problems, there are also serious technical risks. Thus, the cooling system of the Zaporizhzhya NPP is fed from the waters of the reservoir. Here the need is so great that no promptly drilled wells can solve the problem. In addition, drilling will have to be deeper than usual - with the loss of water from the storage, the groundwater level will decrease. It is unnecessary to comment on what the overheating of the reactor cores of the largest nuclear power plant in Europe could threaten. We only note that the dispersion of several tens of tons of uranium fuel as a result of an accident is much more serious than the consequences of a nuclear strike. Of course, without taking into account the destruction from the shock wave.
The North Crimean Canal, unblocked by Russian troops, is fed from the Kakhovka Reservoir. It is through it that the peninsula receives water. Reducing the water level by 5-8 meters is guaranteed to leave several million people without fresh water. However, similar nationalists have already practiced in history.
Do not forget about the delayed consequences of dehydration of the territory. The south of Ukraine is very dependent on irrigation by the waters of the Kakhovka reservoir. This is where the agriculture of an essentially arid region lives. The 130-kilometer Kakhovka canal originates from the reservoir and is the key to the irrigation system in the south of the Kherson region. The negative effect of its draining will be felt by hundreds of thousands of people next autumn, when the harvest is missing.
Few facts serve as a weak hope for the sanity of the Kyiv regime. Firstly, the Kakhovskaya HPP is a critical infrastructure facility in Russia. The terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge has already cost Ukraine a third of its power plants. It is not known to what level the Kyiv regime will descend under Russian blows after the Kakhovka dam is blown up. Secondly, the destruction of the dam and the subsequent decrease in the level in the reservoir will entail a humanitarian catastrophe in the territories that are still under the control of Kyiv. For example, a canal to Krivoy Rog originates from the reservoir, and this is Zelensky's small homeland with a population of 600,000. The watercourse is far from the only source of water supply, but a dry canal may well cause the migration of the population from the city. The water intakes of the Nikopol agglomeration with a population of more than 300 thousand people, located on the left bank of the reservoir, will become shallow. However, humanitarian issues in relation to their own population have always been of little concern to the Kiev leadership, so it remains only to rely on the fear of Russian retribution.
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Modeling the consequences of the destruction of the hydroelectric dam paints an apocalyptic picture for the Kherson region. In the most negative scenario of the development of events, the nationalists manage to destroy the dam. To do this, they use both the above-mentioned guided missiles and missiles, as well as anchored river mines, which have already been brought in near the Gavrilovka settlement. Do not rule out sabotage. For example, in the UK, nationalists have been trained for several months to work with underwater uninhabited vehicles. And although the average depth of the Kakhovka reservoir is not so great - only eight meters, but it is quite enough to get to the upstream of the dam. Someone say fantasy? But many people believed that in the fall of 2022 gas pipelines at the bottom of the Baltic Sea and a truck filled with explosives on the Crimean bridge would be blown up? Even in the summer it seemed, if not impossible, then very unlikely. And now the probability of undermining the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station by underwater vehicles is unlikely, but not zero. Only the high eutrophication of almost stagnant water in the reservoir can interfere. Simply put, operators will not see anything in muddy waters. However, in October, even the most flowering reservoirs become transparent to a certain extent.
In any case, the situation will become catastrophic when one of the sections of the dam is destroyed to the ground. Kilometers of water accumulated in the reservoir will equalize the level before and after the HPP in just a couple of days. The wave will sweep away the regional center Golaya Pristan, as well as several small settlements. On the left-bank part of Kherson, the water will rise by 2-2.5 meters - things will not come to total chaos, but a sanitary catastrophe is guaranteed. Local authorities will either have to evacuate up to fifty thousand of the local population, or fight infections and other flood delights for months. Not to mention the difficulties of the approaching winter.
The most rapid and catastrophic consequences await the inhabitants of the territories downstream of the Kakhovskaya HPP. Larger events will unfold above the dam, even if they are not so swift. The main thing here is a drop in the level of the reservoir by several meters. The fact is that since the 50s of the last century, the Soviet infrastructure (later - Ukrainian) was imprisoned for the volumes of the Kakhovka reservoir in its current state. The rapid flow of water will expose the water intakes of most settlements on the coast. First of all, the 50,000th Energodar. The emergency services will not be able to quickly cope with the consequences of the disaster in the conditions of hostilities - this will take months. If, downstream of the Dnieper, the water eventually recedes, which will allow us to hope for a stabilization of the sanitary condition, then at the top of the hydroelectric power station, the previous level of the reservoir can be forgotten for years. Even if the dam is promptly restored. By the way, in the 1950s, the Kakhovskoye Sea occupied its shores for more than two years.
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