Comments by "Casper de With" (@casperdewith) on "BEST Guess Who Strategy- 96% WIN record using MATH" video.

  1. I don't agree with the footnote at 5:00. Whether the population shrinks, doesn't affect the outcome. Sure, the less people you have left over, the higher the chance you'll guess it right. But all options, from 1–24 guesses, are still equally likely, like you said in the video. Here's a way to think about it. Imagine predefining the order in which you guess them. One of the 24 characters is the right one, and as you don't know in advance, it's basically random. So each option is equally likely from your perspective, and the expected (= average) value is 12,5 guesses (the arithmetic mean of all numbers from 1 to 24).
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