Comments by "Mikhail M" (@mikhailmik) on "Ukrainian troops perform parachute training at Odesa Military Academy" video.
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Is that all American aid? It's too early to rejoice.
A few days ago, there was news in the news that the United States adopted a budget without assistance to Ukraine. And naturally, many of us accepted this fact with joy, saying, well, that’s it, Ukraine has enough equipment left for several months of war, and then victory is inevitable. There will definitely be victory, but not so soon. Let's look at the situation as a whole.
When the United States first announced that it would begin military assistance to Ukraine, it became clear even then that they planned to return and increase this money. The thing is that the US military industry is not doing well at the moment. Here, on the one hand, there are huge reserves of relatively old equipment and weapons, so Congress does not give the green light and huge budgets for the development of new models, on the other hand, the manufacturing companies themselves are stagnating, some of them closed back in the 90s and 00s and they need a massive relaunch and therefore an injection of even more money.
So when the United States announced unprecedented military assistance to Ukraine, it had a very simple goal. And this goal correlated perfectly with the political decisions of those times.
What do we mean? It's simple.
Let's go back to spring 2022. What do we see? Sanctions blitzkrieg and hopes that the conflict in Ukraine will end very quickly, because... The United States and its allies believed that they could strangle Russia with economic sanctions, and then, by changing the political leadership of the Russian Federation, more than recoup all the losses incurred from the introduction of sanctions. And gas for 10 dollars and oil for 30.
Fortunately, this bet did not work for them. Any allocation of funds to Ukraine did not come as a gift, but as a loan from one or another organization or country. And this money, again, would more than return from reparations to Ukraine during the lost conflict and would easily cover any temporary difficulties in the US budget.
But thank God we survived.
The next stage was military pressure on Russia, massive transfer of equipment, training of soldiers, espionage, satellite reconnaissance, and so on. At this stage, again, any dollar invested now would pay off later because of Russia's potential defeat in this war. Therefore, the United States poured in billions without worrying too much about it, because... They hoped that they would be able to defeat Russia on the battlefield. But this bet didn’t work either.
Now, we are at the third stage, when neither prolonged economic pressure nor military actions simply forced Russia to surrender, but, on the contrary, raised patriotic sentiments in the country and turned away seemingly devoted fans of the collective West. And even the soy cuckolds who stormed Upper Lars are slowly returning to Russia, disillusioned with Western ideology and feeling that they were simply abandoned in this situation.
And the USA understands this too. And they certainly will not get out of the conflict. But the structure of financing the Ukrainian campaign will change. It became clear to the top leadership of America that, most likely, it would not be possible to win the Ukrainian conflict unless something supernatural happened (betrayal, military coup, economic collapse in Russia). Therefore, the money will now be allocated not through the United States.
Now, given that these funds will most likely never be returned, the entire celebration of democracy will not be paid for by the United States, but by the EU and allies, who have ALREADY announced an increase in military assistance to Ukraine. But there is one caveat. There is practically no military equipment, shells or equipment left inside the EU. The Ukrainian and Israeli conflicts have sucked out Old Lady Europe. So where will the EU turn? That's right, to the USA.
Thus, the simple German worker Hans pays for American shells, and the United States will receive much-needed money for the military industry. And the EU can only remind here - And we said so. Now Europe will be actively squeezed out. And the money that should have gone to new roads, kindergartens, schools and economic development will now go to new shells for Ukraine and the development of the military industry of their overlord.
SUMMARY.
Overall, we do not expect a large reduction in military assistance. Perhaps a change in the structure (transfer, first of all, of defensive equipment, infantry equipment and equipment for sabotage activities in the territories liberated by Russia), and most importantly, the main costs of providing this assistance will be shifted to the EU, since the likelihood is that the Kiev regime will return these money tends to zero. And note, this is not the opinion of Russian military commanders, this is the opinion of the US government.
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