Comments by "Mikhail M" (@mikhailmik) on "Russians storm Ukrainian positions in Avdiivka as Ukrainian troops try to push them back" video.
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"Don't Let Ukraine Join NATO," was the title of an article in the authoritative American publication Foreign Affairs.
Surprisingly, its authors suggest removing the carrot from the horse's face. And how to whip it? Apparently, only with the whip!
The authors of the Foreign Affairs piece.Justin Logan (director of defense and foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute) and Joshua Shifrinson (adjunct professor of international relations at the University of Maryland School of Public Policy) believe that the costs of Ukraine's accession outweigh the benefits.
"NATO leaders have long understood that accepting Ukraine involves the very real possibility of war (including nuclear war) with Russia," they write.
They urge Biden to say bluntly that Ukraine will not be accepted into NATO.
"The security benefits to the United States of Ukraine's accession pale in comparison to the risks of its membership in the alliance. Accepting Ukraine into NATO would pose the grim prospect of choosing between war with Russia and its devastating consequences or retreating and devaluing NATO's security guarantees for the entire alliance. At and after the Vilnius summit, NATO leaders would have acted wisely if they had acknowledged these facts and closed the door on Ukraine," the article said.
U.S. experts believe that "Ukraine's geography dooms it to act as a bulwark against Russia regardless of NATO membership," but its "heroic resistance" has shown that "Ukraine does not need to be in NATO so that the United States and its allies can effectively confront Russian aggression."
"Ukraine's desire to join NATO is understandable. Nevertheless, strategy is a choice, and the choice of the United States today is clear. For much of the post-Cold War period, the United States was able to expand its international commitments at relatively low cost and risk.
Those circumstances no longer exist. With financial pressures at home, a serious threat to its position in Asia, and the prospect of escalation and undermining confidence in Moscow, keeping Ukraine out of NATO simply reflects U.S. interests. Instead of making dubious promises that carry great danger but offer little in return, the United States should recognize that it is time to close NATO's doors to Ukraine," the authors conclude.
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