Comments by "Heads Full Of Eyeballs" (@HeadsFullOfEyeballs) on "What will happen in year three of the war?" video.

  1. It depends on how many people they're prepared to mobilize. Russia has so far avoided a big draft campaign because that would cause a lot of discontent, and Ukraine is still preferentially drafting older men to avoid pulling young people out of education and training, and is keeping existing troops at the front instead of rotating in fresh conscripts. If either country switches to World War-style mass conscription, they'll have bodies for many years at the current casualty rates.
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  2. Hitler got quite lucky, to be fair. He narrowly survived or avoided a number of assassination attempts (mostly by military officers during the later years of the war, but Georg Elser's bomb could have got him in 1939 already).
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  3. NATO doesn't "push". Countries voluntarily apply for membership because they find NATO attractive. As for why Russia's neighbours keep joining NATO...well, look at what happens to the ones that don't, like Georgia and Ukraine.
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  4. Ukraine has plenty of manpower, in theory. They're just reluctant to draft more people because of the economic and social consequences. They're still preferentially conscripting older men, for example, to avoid pulling the young out of education and training. If they (or Russia, for that matter) switched to total World War-style conscription, they would have bodies to throw into the war for many years at current casualty rates.
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  5. "Germany's Scholz is already pretty much in Putlers pockets, that arse vetoes everything he can while smiling and pretending he is pro-Ukraine." Germany has given more military aid to Ukraine than the rest of the EU combined. Your narrative is two years out of date, minimum.
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  6. Ukraine has plenty of troops, they just need to draft them. They have so far been preferentially drafting older men to avoid pulling the young out of education and training.
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  7. Ukraine has plenty of manpower, in theory. The problem is the cost and social effects of conscripting them. They're still preferentially drafting older men to avoid pulling the young out of education and training, for example. If Ukraine and/or Russia switch to total World War-style conscription, they'll have bodies to throw at the front for many years at the current casualty rates.
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  8. The EU doesn't collect any taxes.
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  9. I can't speak for Western leaders, but I didn't expect Putin to attempt a full-on conquest of Ukraine either. Not because I thought he was morally above it, but because I thought he was smarter than that. He had a good thing going! Cordial, profitable relations with the West meant that we would let smaller aggressions against non-NATO neighbours or reasonably deniable propaganda operations slide. He was making money, he had strategic security and his sphere of influence. I didn't think he'd throw all that away on an ill-conceived imperialist adventure.
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  10. "Blackrock and Citadel's gender dogma" XD Listen, not everybody you dislike is in one big conspiracy together. Your enemies aren't all buddies, they hate each other too.
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  11. The average age of Ukrainian conscripts has been 40-something since the start of the war. The reason the average age is high is because they've been preferentially drafting older men to avoid pulling the young out of education and training. Not because all the young men are dead.
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  12. Money isn't the big obstacle right now, it's physically getting our hands on enough ammunition etc. That's why we're investing heavily in arms production now.
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  13. Ukraine was effectively a neutral buffer zone before the war. They were never in a million years going to be accepted into NATO, precisely because it wasn't worth a confrontation with Russia. If a buffer zone was all Putin wanted, he wouldn't have tried to conquer it.
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  14. Nope, he's a military analyst and officer in the Danish navy.
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