Comments by "David Himmelsbach" (@davidhimmelsbach557) on "Paul Warburg" channel.

  1. You've answer a concept never previously asserted. Tariffs only raise money -- throttle free trade -- or restore it. They have no impact on what migrants do, legal or illegal.
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  2.  @matthewhuszarik4173  In the age of Atomic Weapons and ICBMs, such logic is totally outdated. There can NEVER be a buffer zone against an ICBM. It no longer has ANY meaning. Those nations around Russia are military pygmies. When Adolf invaded Denmark, the fight lasted a few hours. When Stalin invaded the Baltics, there never was a fight. The Finnish experience was convincing. They caved.
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  3. France and Sweden are going to pick up the slack. Red China utterly dominates drone production. So Ukraine is going to be irrelevant in the global market for drones. Congrats to Ukraine for drone on drone tactics. That will be replicated forever into the future... by everyone.
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  4. The real problem is at the wells, not the collection pipes.
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  5. Not really. The US Government hugely finances exports -- in a way that makes it hellish to compete with. EG, the F-35s sent to Israel are free to Jerusalem. Why? Because the US sends $3,000,000,000 to Israel every fiscal year. Because of the legislation, that money has to be spent inside the USA. Get it?
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  6. Russia has been importing butter for years and years. Putin has lost his ability to import butter because HARD currencies are required. it's funny, but Putin's last source of butter has been UKRAINE. The butter is sold to the UAE, and only then flown up to Moscow. Cute, no? This long route becomes obvious -- right off the package label. (!)
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  7.  @DUCKSAREEVILLLLLLLL  This IS the CIA that couldn't spot the collapse of the USSR. Thanks, I got cha.
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  8.  @Name-ps9fx  Sorry, the Russians are using fibre-optic cable commanded drones. They can't be jammed. (!) No-one can figure out a counter-measure -- yet.
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  9. From a chemist's point of view, rare earths are not used in chip manufacture -- and probably never will be. They are huge in the Green Economy. They make LED lighting click, etc. But, to top things off, Ukraine is not regarded by the mining industry as a lode of rare earths. Vietnam is. Rare earths are just not that rare. Red China dominates their production and their REFINING because their easy ores are sedimentary. You don't even need to blast.
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  10. Nope. It's in the form of a Treaty. It's not a handshake deal whatsoever. Zelenskyy and Company drafted the Treaty that's to be signed, not Trump, not Rubio. The corruption that Paul sees comes from Kyiv. That's the way they roll over there.
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  11. The USSR collapsed because of internal politics. The DOMINANT factor was the utter defeat of Saddam's Iraq. When that happened, the insiders, the Bolshevik elites, turned on each other. The ultimate result was the COUP, August 15th, 1991. Afghanistan was NOT a factor -- at all. What happened is that the KGB blamed the Red Army; the Party blamed both. Their ENTIRE world view of building towards overcoming the West was shattered. That shattering is recurring right now. You can bet that Putin is entirely absorbed with holding onto his throne. Else, he dies. The only thing propping him up, at this time, is his alliance with Mr. Kim. Putin will now ally with Iran. Red China is propping him up through the back door. Remember how Xi was going to gouge Putin over a Siberian gas pipeline. They are frenemies -- not allies at all. When this is all over, don't be surprised if Xi takes Siberia back from Moscow.
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  12. Paul, you were doing great, and then you screwed up towards the end. A Soviet Lt Col. DID stop ICBMs from firing off due to a bad electronic indication that FOUR USAF ICBMs were inbound. He saved the world, and ruined his career. He actually has video covering this floating around. The incident was only revealed after the end of the Cold War / AKA WWIII. No Nobel for HIM! But Arafat gets one. Sheesh. A Soviet Senior Captain countermanded a launch of an atomic torpedo during the Cuban Crisis (1962) By doing so, he violated doctrine, and the general orders coming from Moscow. And this is on the record, as alluded to by your video, here. A German agent, in the pay of Moscow, during 1984 IIRC, stopped a general atomic war by exposing the Reagan administration's war game as being just a war game. (!) The Kremlin was flatly convinced that the war game, per usual Soviet doctrine of lies, was nothing less than Barbarossa 2.0. At that time, the Soviets had their stuff even spooled up, pilots at the 'hot stand' awaiting the 'Go' to fly to West Germany with nukes. ( Short range missiles, too. ) The snap response of the Pershing II -- remember the hubub about it? -- all turned on the Soviet fear that NATO had a mirror response atomic missile to their own stuff. (The Soviets inspired the Pershing II. Suddenly, Moscow realized that more nukes can easily blow-back upon their creators. No-one thought of them that way before. Eventually entire categories of nukes were 'retired.') Thinking hard about things, Gorby decided that such missiles are just TOO much at a time of crisis. THAT'S what caused the beginning of the wind down. Is it not ironic that the Cold War began to end in 1984 -- and in the minds of the Bolsheviks?
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  13. No ammo, no sky intel -- Zelenskyy is going to kiss up and restore the flow.
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  14.  @P_RO_  His wife's epic spending, etc. tells the World that Zelenskyy operates on commission. Russia, Ukraine, the EU, Britain are corrupt... and have been for years. War causes corruption to explode. During the US Civil War, corruption was epic by any standard. Stop putting Zelenskyy on a pedestal.
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  15. Paul, in 2019 Zelenskyy betrayed Trump. The result was Trump's first impeachment and consequent loss at the polls. (2020) While denied, it must be obvious that Trump intensely dislikes Zelenskyy. Which is why the pressure is always in the background for Ukrainian elections. Whether Zelenskyy would be booted out, is for anyone to guess. In 1864 Lincoln was destined to lose -- until Sherman took Atlanta -- and it was obvious that the war was about to end. There are MILLIONS of Ukrainian men who are furious with Zelenskyy & Company -- and Putin has done everything possible to increase their disaffection.
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  16. Ukraine never sent its atomic holdings back to Russia. They were cannibalized in situ. Re-watch "The World is not Enough" -- the Bond flick. This was a major plot element. It was portrayed rather accurately. The USA paid for the whole process -- and moved all of the weapons grade plutonium and uranium into our power reactors. It's all gone, now. Likewise, the entire stock trimmed back because of Reagan's treaties was so converted -- for both powers. The deal with Russia is that their standard power reactors always produce more atomic explosive (Pu 239) every single day. Ukraine's did too. They were modified to suit the IAEA to stop said production. ( You leave the material in so long that it's poisoned for bomb kraft. )
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  17.  @grundgesetzart.1463 No, no, no. They were ejected in the dead of Winter by the NKVD/KGB... and deliberately so. No-one was kicked out during the Summer season. Why? They did to the Krauts what the Germans did to them in 1941 -- when mothers and children, by the thousands, were ejected from their hovels by the Heer so that the troops could stay warm while the civilians froze in the snow... genocide without bullets. How do we know this? Self-confession is good for the soul -- when you're about to meet your maker. These tales all come from Germans. The Russian civilians never lived to pen their tale.
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  18. I think we can safely ignore Zelenskyy's crowd and the attempted assassination of Mrs. Budenov.
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  19. You must come to understand that the MSM is, and has been, totally compromised by the Left. There are no Republicans in the CIA, USAID, the MSM or the Deep State. Washington DC votes 95% Democrat -- always. You were never supposed to receive anything but the Party line.
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  20. That's not true. The West can lock-up Putin by selling for hard cash those items that are so hard to give up: tobacco.
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  21. Trump is disbanding the Imperialist Dream. You call it 'Destroying Global Influence' -- the logical contradiction to your opener is lost upon you.
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  22. Paul, you've said on video what I've maintained forever. The CCP wants the NORTH. That's where all the GOODIES are. There are NO goodies in Taiwan. Further, it's insane to go directly at Mr Big -- while Mr Weak is right next door -- sitting atop the GOODIES> Lumber, Oil, Minerals, Fisheries, Arctic footprint, Natural gas.... Mr Weak has no friends. Taiwan has the toughest friends to be found anywhere. Japan tried the Oceanic Gambit -- and how did that work out? In 1941 their play should've been the NORTH... but FDR lured them to Pearl. Moscow was saved because of the Siberian divisions -- nothing else. Certainly not British aid.
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  23. Nabiullina told Putin that his cupboard is BARE already. She is able to hold things together with chewing gum and baling wire.
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  24.  @dv8ug  Holy hll. Zelenskyy is getting FREE wealth from the West. He's able to pay his government payroll WITHOUT collecting taxes. It's NO WONDER that the Ukrainian elites are in Wonder Land. They've never seen anything like it. This is why the Caribbean is afloat with Ukrainian mega-yachts as I type. No-one is crazy enough to leave their war profits within sight of Ukraine.
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  25. Paul, let's cut to the chase. Elvira Nabiullina flatly told Putin a week ago that he was BROKE. He has no more cash. See how easy that was ? No analogy was required. Putin's banker told him he's busted -- and no-one will lend him any money, to boot. The latter point is why Putin is renegging on payouts to soldiers, to those conscripted, to those contracted, to those wounded. Putin is renegging on payouts to war-widows, too. See how that saves cash ? Yes, Putin saves !
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  26.  @yyy-875  Fighting off the DNC, MSM, Biden-Harris and Lawfare clearly is a snap. Gotcha.
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  27.  @johnm7267  Moscow State TV proclaims, repeatedly, that Russian Mir has NO borders! Then, just like Adolf!
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  28. But, but, the EU DOES want a treaty like Trump's, too. This is being worked on right now. Strategically, Putin has lost in a MAJOR way. You must note that Putin, suddenly, no longer wants 'negotiations.' Heh.
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  29. @ Americans know the feeling, as the Revolutionary War went on for seven-years. (1776-1783) It also broke, financially, most every Founding Father... and took a tremendous toll on them physically -- especially to include George Washington. Zelenskyy has made some epic boners. No-one is perfect. Biggest error: not executing on the original LendLease deal passed by Congress back in 2022. He let $22,000,000,000 in credit lapse. The folly was that with LL money, Zelenskyy could determine WHAT Ukraine could buy. Instead, he laid back and depended upon Biden's (Sullivan, really) handouts. The USA never much had a history of handing out war funds... to other nations. Lending has been the American tradition. (WWI, WWII, Marshall Plan) In all three cases the US lent Large against folks with terrible credit risk. Trump is going down that same road. Don't be surprised if a future president forgives a LOT of the money lent. This will hugely depend upon how politics flows.
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  30.  @miklin6203  The EU has been extending loans to Ukraine, very much in the manner of LendLease. Now that Trump has a deal in hand, the EU wants one, too.
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  31.  @rosschops9509  A 401K is a tax envelope that is massively used by the top 5% of Americans -- income wise. Do you think Washington will piss them off?
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  32. Trump is whipping around, on-a-dime, just as expected. Big Negotiations are NOT an academic treatise. They are usually quite sloppy, crass and even ugly. We're not even at the first-turn... and you are moralizing... and you don't even have the insider's knowledge. Good luck with that.
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  33. But, Trump is not asking for ANYTHING material. He's demanding better manners and gratitude. Zelenskyy is asking for billions. The Deal confuses the MSM. It's a PIK deal. Google the term.
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  34. Trump is coercing Trudeau to obey Canadian law. So... they are NOT a Trade War move. Yet, all over the Press, the tariffs do get that term. Trudeau is asserting that it's fine if fentanyl and terrorists float across the 49th parallel.
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  35. He's NEVER done such a thing in his life. Trump is going to force Zelenskyy to stand for re-election. Zelenskyy won't like it. It'll be 2020 all over again -- reversed.
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  36. In a Big Negotiation -- something that most Internet posters have never experienced even indirectly -- it's common to totally obfuscate your positions on just about everything. Hanoi spent six-weeks of delay arguing about the very shape of the negotiating table: round, square, hexagon, octagon -- these were ALL critical issues -- in 1968. I can't believe rare earths are ANY serious asset in play. Start thinking about gas & oil. They are what PUTIN wants most. Back in 2014, Putin went straight for them. The ENTIRE reason for the 2014 invasion turned on Kyiv's decision to bring in US drillers and kick Putin's boys out -- for lack of result. The US teams promptly started getting terrific results. (Burisma, anyone?) Suddenly, Putin reached for his 'Little Green Men' who fooled exactly no-body... ever. Why that gambit? Lord only knows. Here's the kicker with rare earths: Red China has monopolized the refining technology in current use. Yup. Even Vietnam sends its concentrates straight north up to Red China. Consequently, Red Chinese (blended-metal) exports utterly dominate trade. The next kicker: Red China's RE deposits are being run through so rapidly that the easy stuff will be exhausted in a decade. (Inner Mongolia) Refining rare earths is super energy intensive, BTW. They are that difficult. Beyond that -- rare earths are NOT all that rare. They are as common as COPPER deposits. Think about THAT! What's rare are really easy ores. Back in the day, the US was the monopolist in rare earths. A single mine in Southern California sufficed to meet demand -- it being so LOW. How times have changed. Lastly, Uranium is a rare earth, too. The rare earth phrase so much in common use refers to LIGHT rare earths. The next series are the heavy rare earths, of course. What they all have in common: brutally expensive separation methods. Greenland, like Sweden, has some serious deposits of rare earths. I don't expect them to be ever exploited, same as Canada's. [ Geologically, Canada, Greenland, Norway, Sweden and Finland are brothers. This is only obvious from a polar view.] Minerals have to be astoundingly concentrated before anyone will fight the northern climate. Above all, prospectors have never even hunted for rare earths until mighty recently. Compare and contrast with gold, silver, copper. The hunt for white hydrogen has just begun. There are many reasons to assume that natural gas is a by-product of white hydrogen. It's abiological, which shows up as an utter lack of Carbon 14 atoms in it. ( C-14 is created by cosmic rays.) Trump really wants US drillers back into Ukraine -- the exact opposite of the American experience in Iraq and Kuwait. Trump also wants the US to exploit minerals -- the very opposite of our role in Afghanistan -- a treasure of heavy minerals brought up from the sea floor millions of years ago. Now, they're right at the surface -- and Red China has the best/only shot at them. Backing Red China off and down is Job One for Trump. But, he dares not say it. Duh.
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  37. I expect that Trump will 'negotiate' with Putin -- and see things going no-where. I expect that during Trump's negotiation, he'll simply HAVE to keep supporting Ukraine. I do expect that Zelenskyy is on 'the bubble' back home. Like Churchill before him, there will be no sign of revolt/ disgust, until there is. Zelenskyy is NOT a proper executive. He's a SALESMAN. In American commerce, salesmen almost never make it to the C-suite. They are one-trick Charlies. Everything else is too complicated for them -- between the ears. Face-to-face, they come off as terrific. But, that's about it. Most actors also fit this profile. In all such roles, they never have to produce substance -- just the vibe, the image, that closes a sale.
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  38. One must wait until next Spring.
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  39. Stop, the USA is not an Empire -- as defined going back millennia. It's an ANTI-Empire. It got 'big' by being against Colonialism. Remember its birth, its ethos? Sheesh. As time went by, just about everyone decided that they wanted the American Dream: End of Empire, usually by aping the Europeans. Much was learned. The economic function of Empire is to suck up economic advantage and drop it in the Royal Treasury, real old school; or to drop it in the king's capital city, and by extension, his home-boys. Britain absolutely followed this model, was the greatest empire for all time. It's elites have not dropped the Great Game, though. Being 'UN-Britain' was what America was all about. Being 'Anti-Slavery' was adopted about 1865. Paul, you've been to college. It will take a bit longer to deprogram from your Marxist professors.
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  40. Dean -- the m o b was the issue. Merv Griffin lost even more money. Barrons had a lot to say -- decades ago.
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  41. Zelenskyy sabotaged Trump's re-election in 2020 -- in a major, major way -- got him impeached, in fact. Then Zelenskyy sat quiet as Biden slipped into office -- straight from his basement. With Trump out of power, Putin invaded Ukraine and Iran invaded Israel. Of course, both events were the direct result of Wise Biden panicking out of Kabul. Putin's invasion prep began within weeks, of course.
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  42.  @patwilson2546  Hirsute, though.
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  43. I'll make it simple. The folks spewing hate on Trump have been at the graft trough. It's already out: USAID was paying off the MSM -- one-by-one, as required. When the full story comes out, you'll realize that NONE of the MSM has been leveling with you... going back years.
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  44. Wait, you had to let Putin, Xi grow noxious and yet the phenomenon eluded you?
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  45.  @sallywilton2236  Neither of those deals were Treaties. The Big Treaties that ended wars were totally one-sided... by the victors. This deal is hugely economic in structure. It makes NO attempt to resolve the current war. And it's not between adversaries, no not at all. So your home expert has missed a few details.
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  46. Paul -- Trump is gaming. He is NOT attempting to actually impose tariffs upon Mexico or Canada. Your entire theory of what's at issue is miles off. VDH is the only guy, besides moi, to see that Trump is not engaging in a Trade War. He wants Trudeau to enforce existing Canadian national laws. Justin's rage is that he doesn't want to enforce existing morality. The Canadian establishment has been taking Big Money from the 'Triads' / organized crime lords who thrive on crime. As for academic thought on such matters -- it's all rubbish. Canada and America are NOT equal trade partners. The US is one of the least dependent trading nations. So what's huge to Canada is a side show for America. Canada can be replaced -- in trading -- whereas America can't be replaced -- in trading. One is reminded of an adolescent arguing with his father over his allowance. It's THAT imbalanced. To no-one's surprise, America's counter-parties are all caving in -- tout suite. Red China is a whole different situation. It's not a partner, rival, or anything but an enemy -- strategically. This is a role that the CCP has set out for itself purely from a dogmatic point of existence. America tried it the other way, and the CCP is not willing to play by anyone's rules or customs. Period.
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  47.  @guidosarducci209  Gas... you've nailed it. But Ukraine has no oil. Putin, personally, owns 1/3 of Gazprom -- thru cut-outs. It's the reason why he never has to pass the hat during his 'campaigns for re-election.'
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  48. Paul, you've completely missed -- by a centimeter. The ex-patriate refugees from Moscow will gravitate towards Kaliningrad. Bet on it. THEY will be the soft power that drives Kaliningrad LIBERAL the moment Putin falls from grace, or the 17th floor, or.... On the economics, Kaliningrad is such a bleeder that anyone taking over Putin's chair will want it ejected. Finances will be THAT tight. Why do you think Moscow left the Warsaw Pact? Money. The (eastern) Europeans were living better than Russians -- and the Russians were paying for it. THIS was Yeltsin's argument. It won the day. Those in Kaliningrad ARE living better than those in Russia. When the troops rotate home, they're pissed. They go home to houses without electricity, plumbing, natural gas, petrol stations on every block, and mud 'roads' -- and so they spread the word. Heck, they don't even have washing machines, commodes, Internet. A long time back, Moscow realized that ONLY Moscovites and Leningraders can be posted in Kaliningrad for the above reason.
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