Comments by "David Himmelsbach" (@davidhimmelsbach557) on "Wars of the 2020s and 30s." video.

  1. Buddy, WWIII has come and gone. It's usually termed The Cold War. We're IN WWIV -- right now. It's official start date is 9-11-2001 -- but that's open to argument. WWV is what's on deck. Xi is working its preamble right now. In Xi's WWV he's destined to fight the rest of the planet at the same time. Xi has territorial claims reaching into India, Russia and every other point of his compass. Curiously, for your thesis, water is NOT an issue for Xi. He has a lock on Tibet -- the headwaters for three of his critical rivers. Because air power is such a HUGE factor in modern war, Red China is at a serious disadvantage WRT India. Aircraft taking off from Tibet (Red China) can't carry full combat loads// fuel loads. Whereas, aircraft rising from India have no serious handicaps. The result is that any such war would be intensely missile dependent. But that's a problem, too. Missiles are extremely expensive, so no power can load up on missiles sufficient for a strategic campaign between the two most populous nations on Earth. Which then means that missile war will devolve to atomics. They remove the population advantage for any nation. Indeed, at a strategic level, Red China's drive to urbanization works against atomic warfare -- for her. Putin is trying to aim Xi towards all other powers. He's not an ally of Red China -- something that Red China SPECIFICALLY acknowledges in its media: The Global Times. They are buddies of convenience -- and nothing more. Siberia HAS TO BE the ultimate desire of Beijing. It's a virtually de-populated resource bucket. Whether it's Russia or India, WWV will go atomic the first day. Indeed, WWV is why both Red China and Russia are investing crazy sums into hypersonic (atomic) weapons. (Without atomics, such missiles don't pencil out.) BTW, there is no such thing as a 'Middle Income Trap' -- it's a cute nostrum advanced by mentally crippled economists. Red China merely needs to sell its manufactures within Red China. Doing so establishes enough scale to recreate the economics of the North American market. This is a market so vast that it scarcely needs the international market -- quite the reverse is true. That's what defines the modern world. BTW, land connections lead to war. Mahan established the notion more than a century ago. The ocean simply out-competes all land transport. Ships even crush double-tracked railroad lines. That will never change. In contrast, great land connections (railroads) feed invading armies. (c.f. Barbarossa)
    2
  2. 2
  3. 1
  4. 1
  5. 1