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David Himmelsbach
Times Radio
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Comments by "David Himmelsbach" (@davidhimmelsbach557) on "Times Radio" channel.

Everyone can look back to 2017-2021 to see how Trump would govern.
25
The sole and only reason he relented WRT the nuke station: pressure from Beijing. He won't listen to anyone inside Russia.
23
Kryxn, you are fundamentally wrong. Due to technical constraints, China can't import more Russian energy than before -- as the system was already running flat-out before February 24th. India is too far away for oil tankers rated for the Gulf of Finland to reach without refueling. But the West won't allow such refueling in its waters. The situation is so extreme that Moscow has tried shifting (oil) cargoes in the mid-Atlantic (!) from super tankers into a VLCC -- as a test. The same constraint applies to Black Sea rated supertankers. Very, very few were ever built with trans-oceanic fuel bunkers. HUNDREDS of ships with trans-oceanic legs are required to deliver the oil you imagine on the scale you imagine. They don't exist.
14
The Chernobyl story is more twisted, yet. Until the USSR collapsed, the entire affair was still a state secret. This means that 'publicly available' maps were not up-dated WRT the disaster. When the 1991 revolution came, Moscow lost both interest and access to Ukraine's map updates. When Putin invaded, he handed out the modern version of Esso road maps to his troops. (Reference to 1944 France & Patton's 3rd Army) THIS is why the Russian junior commanders deployed their men in such an insane manner. They had pre-disaster maps. As I type, Russia is having to deal with mass casualties of a radioactive nature. (This was a major factor in Putin's northern retreat. It's Top Secret, so don't tell anybody.) As for the 'Red Forest' -- Chernobyl was built in a swamp. The Soviets engaged in a massive reclamation project at the site -- moving mud and dirt all over -- driving piles by the hundred -- all to sculpt the terrain for its mega-project. (Four (4) world-scale atomic plants, side-by-side.) Part of that sculpting included a drainage zone (mega ditch) to take away excess water -- assumed to be the result of intense seasonal rains -- always a possibility at Chernobyl. This massive structure was to be hidden from US satellites via planting trees native to the area. They can tolerate saturated soils. This whole zone was flat, low and filled in with very diggable soil, even before the first tree was planted. When the disaster occurred, the astounding amounts of water employed naturally drained straight into the Red Forest. THAT'S why it's so radioactive. Think of it as a septic tank for radioactivity (the plant, itself) ... with a leach field. (i.e. The Red Forest) BTW, it's poor wording to describe the fiasco as an explosion -- much better to term it a reactor lit on fire -- the ultimate BBQ. Fundamentally, the Soviet atomic scheme was a massive pile of charcoal briquettes -- with natural uranium riven through it. After the first explosion -- a STEAM explosion -- the super-heated pile of carbon simply lit off. Plumes of radioactive nuclides went airborne, world-wide.
12
That's not a 'broad front strategy' at all. Putin, at this point, is just fighting to stay fighting. The Ukrainians are not, on the whole, counter-attacking. It's as the guest presented. The Russians are using canon fodder to expose Ukrainian strong points. In this, the fodder has replicated the role of penal battalions -- straight out of Stalin's Great Patriotic War. Where and when the Ukrainians are counter-attacking -- they are doing so largely out of range of Russian artillery. But, of course. Notably, up east of Kharkiv, the UA stopped moving east as soon as it reached the Russian artillery defense range. Wow, just like magic. The real problem with crippled units is that they are crippled in élan even more than TO&E. The entire 1st Guards Tank Army is so afflicted. That's why practically nothing has become of its Izyum bridgehead -- which surely figured large in Putin's Plan Z. Reforming units -- on the fly -- is impossible. The RA has to pull crippled battalion tactical groups entirely out of the war. But Putin can't wait for them to be re-blooded. Regardless, the imminent arrival of the American MLRS is the death of Putin's latest battle tactics. It eats artillery brigades for breakfast. When first employed in 1991, a single volley was known to have shredded a brigade. ('Steel Rain') Witnessing neighbors just fled -- officers, first. Destroying enemy artillery, rocket or tube, is job one for the MLRS system. The US Army did not use it for much else. Keep in mind, the MLRS system out ranges ALL Russian artillery. Putin is going to find it hard to counter.
12
Putin is not for turning. He's the LAST man in Russia to figure out that he's lost.
9
@terryyakamoto3488 Donald did NOT incite an insurrection. Lay off the Corporate Media spin.
7
Keane is not a Major General -- he's a four-star.
7
@feedyourmind6713 Russian NCOs are merely selected soldiers -- as in White Russians. They are INSTANT NCOs. If you are not a White Russian -- you won't be an officer, won't be an NCO. The ratio of privates to NCOs and officers is extreme in the Russian army, BTW.
7
Actually, Germany's stuff is in such poor shape that Berlin is having it practically re-manufactured before delivery. It would be the ultimate humiliation for German (war) goods to be proven drastically inferior to that of Sweden, France, Britain and the USA. What's notable is that German Gepard units are almost combat ineffective in the present day. They were conceived in the 1950s -- decades before smart munitions and brilliant missiles. Now, they just look pretty. They certainly can't roll anywhere near enemy opposition. I'd pencil them in as point defense near bridges and airports... and mighty weak even in such roles. The fact is that Merkel left Germany with merely a token army, a token navy and a token air force. (No F-35s for her !) The true mark of genius. /s
7
One ends the Black Sea blockade by driving the Black Sea fleet back into port -- via missile attacks. As far back as 1982, missile attack against a fleet was shown to be brutally painful. Britain has already promised Kyiv Harpoon missiles. What has happened about them in the last month ? Harpoon missiles can be launched from: ships, land, aircraft. So they are more than sufficient to push all surface combatants into port.
6
@terjeoseberg990 Nope. To do so would be against doctrine. Utter destruction of Russian artillery is job one. Period. Artillery is THE backbone of military defenses... not tanks, APCs, -- not even infantry with machine guns. After enemy artillery is crippled, your boys have virtually no problem gutting the defense works. M-777 will be tasked with tearing up enemy logistics, and additional, pin-point, counter battery fires. (Low target density situations) All of this is established doctrine. (See Iraq, 1991, 2003.)
6
Cross is wrong about one thing: the USA does have no end of weapons and ammo to send. (Not so the Europeans.) It's political will that's touchy. Biden is the boy that bailed on Kabul.
5
I must disagree. Putin HAS a corridor to Crimea: two bridges, built at (his) serious expense, link Crimea by rail and highway -- right across the Kerch Strait. (See: map.) Trust me: a single rail line is more than sufficient to entirely meet the transport needs of Crimea. It's astonishing how much a one line can transport. That's why railroads are all over our planet -- practically define modernity -- in economic terms. Putin's objective is to entirely deny the Sea of Azov to Kyiv. Mariupol WAS a major grain exporting terminal -- since it streamed grains outward to the world -- grains grown in eastern Ukraine. Ukraine's rail grid was entirely set-up for this purpose -- on top of Mariupol being Ukraine's INDUSTRIAL HEARTLAND. Mariupol = Pittsburgh = Nizhny Novgorod = the 'Steel City' of a nation. To destroy Mariupol is to de-industrialize Ukraine -- as a whole. Its steel works are the biggest in non-Russian Europe. (!!!) Yet, talking-head after talking-head can't wrap their minds around industrial reality. Western (TV) talking-heads are clueless. (!!!) Odessa can keep importing/ exporting -- but it can't ever be a Steel City. Mariupol is Steel City because it's directly atop one of the world's largest metallurgical coal deposits. THAT'S why -- for a hundred-years -- the Donbass has been such a fixation for tyrants: Lenin, Stalin, Adolf, Putin. Met coal from the Donbass has been sent -- by rail -- up to Nizhny Novgorod (Gorky, for Bolshevik fans) for decades. Met coal (from the Donbass) was a HUGE trade item when Stalin enabled Adolf. (1939-1941) Yup. Look it up. It's why Adolf was so obsessed with Ukraine -- even before attempting the oil fields of the Caucasus. Yes, he started exploiting Donbass met coal -- straight off. Say, did I mention nickel? Nat gas? Water? Move along, now, nothing to see here, ... move along.
5
@judithbradford9130 That's not his business reputation.
5
@terjeoseberg990 You lose. The MLRS is not designed for such hits. It was EXPRESSLY designed to destroy enemy artillery, en masse. Period. Every war, this becomes its primary task. OTHER systems tackle enemy supply lines. Yes, they are important, but the MLRS is not to be used for such. Zelenskyy has been begging for the MLRS expressly to knock out Russia's artillery. Bridges and all the rest really are the business of the M777 and smart bombs. It's (crudely) like comparing a shotgun to a sniper's rifle. The MLRS is an AREA target system. Its rockets aren't cheap, either. BTW, the Russian rocket artillery has largely the same function. It only shifts over to other area targets when no enemy artillery is about. A string of trucks or a bridge is not considered an area target. The MLRS does have trick rockets that can be used for deep (precision) strikes -- but AFAIK -- Biden won't allow these sold/given to Zelenskyy. They've been the big hold-up WRT the whole deal. (They could reach Moscow.)
5
Mud Season is much worse than Winter. At least you can bundle up against the cold. But an ice cold mud wallow at the bottom of a hand dug trench -- that's a killer. In Mud Season, you can't stay dry.
4
@bazduggan4042 Ukraine has had a seat in the UNGA for many decades... even when the USSR was around. Yup. Look it up. For international recognition as a nation state, the UN is the last word. Bad news Baz.
3
No WAY. By the end, the Krauts were entirely out of food, water and ammo. The Reds went through the ruble, brick by brick, to snag every last man.
3
@davidcurry4433 The tyrant needs the money. Period. He also LIKES keeping the West on his string.
3
I see Castro. The parallels are striking. Check out Castro's history.
3
WRONG. Putin has a Libyan Connection -- even now. It's amazing what money/fresh weapons can do. Still, it may not last long. Libya is Sunni -- and is sure to get a hint from Damascus.
3
@feedyourmind6713 The US Army has no NCO academies, either. In the West, NCOs are elevated out of the ranks. It's OJT all the way. Later, in patches, NCOs are given this or that specific instruction. But they don't go through anything like a Western military academy. (Sandhurst, St. Cyr, West Point, etc.) The US military just LOVES training manuals -- with self-instruction, too.
3
@stevewhite3424 Zelenskyy made it public that he's ordered his army to kick the Russians out of Kherson oblast -- which has been universally interpreted as being before Autumn. All these recent months, Kyiv high command has been laying on additional green brigades... pretty much everywhere. Army tradition is that you always 'blood' new formations in a quiet sector -- if you possibly can -- before committing them big time. This is exactly what's been happening across the Kherson front. It's a fact that any defense requires artillery. Kyiv high command has just crippled Russian artillery stocks. So the Russian defense in the Kherson oblast has been cut in half... in the last seven-days.
2
@laserbrain7774 At Stalingrad there were no SS troops. At the end of the war, Hitler's personal (SS) bodyguard walked (in surrender) straight through Soviet lines -- and fled to the West. The head of his body guard died in Germany in the 1990s, IIRC. I'm too lazy to pull him up. You'll see him in many scenes in the film "Downfall." The last to surrender were SS troops from foreign lands. They had all committed high treason in wartime. AFAIK, most were promptly shot by the Bolsheviks in May, 1945.
2
It's EASY to down-size 1520mm track (Ukraine) to 1435mm track. (Poland) In the 19th Century, the US unified all of the southern 'roads' over a 72-hour week end. Most of the work was performed by un-trained/ semi-trained crews hired on for just this one task. Converting rail cars down is also a snap -- you just change out the trucks/ bogies. Every railroad has stores of bogies as a matter of routine. Poland and Lviv already have dual tracks -- one 1520mm and the other (brand new) 1435mm. Having said that, I rather suspect that UNGA pressure will force Putin to allow humanitarian grain shipments out of Odessa -- so that he can ship out of Novorossiyk, too. Putin's blockade is not hurting Kyiv anywhere nearly as much as it's hurting the 3rd World.
2
@RobBCactive The word is that the Su-57 -- and much more -- is in hiatus because sanctions have stopped the flow of essential components. (micro-chips) Just check out the castration that has hit the Russian auto market. ( Renault is deeply in the mix. No wonder Macron wants the war to go away. )
2
1953 was 71-years ago. Get with the program.
2
Those American tanks have the Chobham armor -- which can't be deployed without British assent. They invented it. The famous 31 Abrams were originally built for export and do NOT have the magic Chobham armor. As for that armor, it's FANTASTIC. Nothing ordinary can get through it.
2
As a kid, I padded my term papers. Savill pads his speech. Whew.
2
@abdulimraan2706 Renewable energy did work -- when slavery was endemic. Back then, slaves were machines -- robots -- to their owners. "Robot" = 'worker' ... in the Czech language. It started out as a science fiction concept, BTW.
2
It's a fact of history that Stalin imported Russians -- who spoke Russian -- into the Donbass more than ninety-years ago. During his intense industrial drive, he built up the Donbass -- practically over-night. He gave its plum jobs exclusively to his Bolshevik true-believing supporters -- internally migrating Russians, in every case. This same grand policy was also conducted once Stalin got his hands on the Baltics, too. The folks moving in had no choice -- they were pawns no different than any other chess piece. Everywhere in the Soviet state, Stalin placed only true believers in all of the plum positions. This often meant compulsory relocations to hick towns in the sticks -- if that's where the key resource was. As I type, many of the (White Russian) descendants of those so displaced are moving out... if not back to Moscow... then to the USA. I met just one such fellow from Uzbekistan. No (White) Russian wants to live there. Its culture (food) is just too alien. It's also not where the action is. (Moscow) [Absolutely no night-life out there in the sticks.]
2
@ThisHandleWasTheOnly1Available When you are the advancing army, you're in the position to recover the dead -- of your enemy.
2
No, he's nailed it. Trump has always bowed to the Pentagon. Trump wanted out of Syria and Afghanistan y e a r s before -- but was always talked out of abandoning the 'projects.'
2
9.5 years -- absurd. Russia's economy can't withstand the sanctions imposed by the democracies. Putin's Plan 'D' has already gone off the rails. Put a fork in him, he's done.
2
Have IQs suddenly plunged in Britain? Putin has Scotched the deal -- right in the face of the world. The grain deal has to be regarded as a media op for his domestic audience. But for the SAM defenses of Odessa -- the grain exporting cranes would already be ruined.
2
@stevewhite3424 Mud season or Winter season are out of the question. Duh.
1
@stevewhite3424 Yes, but one would expect it to be a stationary artillery duel. After a century, warfare is back to WWI dynamics: not much happens in Winter. In the 18th Century, European powers just gave up on Winter War. George Washington violated that dictum -- and crushed the Hessians -- King George's most elite troops.
1
Wouter -- NOPE. Asia and Africa can't AFFORD Putin's oil. And, anyway, OPEC is closer -- cheaper -- and always will be.
1
Nope. NATO expressly stayed out of Putin's conquest. Putin is praying that he can re-frame his invasion as a defensive war against (evil) NATO. No-one is falling for it -- except dopes.
1
Putler has already hit his limit. Which is why sign-on bonuses have sky rocketed, of late. He's sending in cripples to the front line -- as bullet stoppers ! This next Winter will be of discontent. Surely Kyiv is going to return the favor:: thermal power systems, thermal heating systems, rail trestles, etc.
1
You ARE ancient. Coal gas is also known as manufactured gas/ synthesis gas. It contains CO and H2. This is the gas, when leaked, that kills occupants. It also takes 2.5 times as much pipe to deliver the same heat (therms) as natural gas. SNG has totally displaced coal gas. (Synthetic Natural Gas -- quite the oxymoron, no?) [SNG really is just methane from a nearby refinery. It is sourced from oil -- not coal. It's never cheap.] [ It competes with imported LNG -- now gassified -- which is, again, just methane. ] Qattar and USA will be delighted to sell LNG -- but setting things up will take time -- years, in fact.
1
@marioformosa4259 You crazy! The US already can nuke Russia from the other side of the world. As for NATO -- there was NO WAY that Ukraine was ever going to be admitted to NATO. Germany and France have veto power -- and both were entirely against the idea. Putin knows this -- and always did. Likewise, Ukraine could not get into the EU. France and Germany were against that idea, too. EU membership for Ukraine will cost Germany and France BILLIONS of Euros every year in subsidies. No wonder Paris and Berlin hate the idea.
1
@marioformosa4259 Formosa -- you live in an alternate universe. Red China's reserves entirely consist of US Treasuries, Eurobonds, etc. Absolutely no-one will accept Red Chinese government bonds as real money. For Red Chinese court rulings come with those bonds. Heh. Darth Putin fast-tracked Ukraine's EU membership. Until he invaded, it was a dead letter. France and Germany were not willing to cough up billions and billions of Euros to subsidize Kyiv. Now, they just about have to do so. Cute. You are plainly not well informed -- so I'll help you out. France, Germany, and Belgium -- year in, year out, shunt billions of Euros towards Spain, Portugal, Greece. We're talking about out-right cash transfers -- not bond purchases by the European Central Bank. These flows are set by formula. When the math is applied to Ukraine -- the flow becomes epic. Ukraine qualifies for more $$$$ than all others -- IIRC -- combined. It's poor -- and now -- it's broke. So, you see the irony. The nations most reluctant to send military aid -- are being forced by events to send the largest economic aid -- BY FAR. Sweet. Berlin and Paris want Kyiv to enter the EU decades from now -- but it must be obvious that Kyiv is going to be force-fed into the EU in less than five-years. EU membership will be Kyiv's "Marshall Plan." Macron and Scholz are just sick about this prospect.
1
@aussiviking604 Actually Libya has long had an oil pipeline under the Med that terminates in Italy. ( It runs at reduced capacity because of Libya's internal troubles. ) Tell us about the next one.
1
Mearsheimer is stuck in the 18th Century. So is Zeihan. Both have, de facto, left atomic weapons out of their grand calculus. Putin is bold, brash, bullying -- and vocal. The ENTIRE reason for his invasion lies within his personal vision. Period. NATO expansion, EU expansion was a DEAD LETTER until Putin invaded. Putin has always been aware of this. Neither France nor Germany wanted Ukraine in either organization. They ALWAYS 'black balled' Kyiv's applications... over money & politics. EU membership for Ukraine must mean billions of Euro subsidies for decades to come -- paid out by Paris and Berlin, mostly. NATO membership for Ukraine meant the end of cheap Putin gas. That was long made brutally apparent -- behind closed doors. Until he invaded, his gas and oil was thwarting OPEC extortions against Europe. No WONDER Berlin and Paris loved their 'Putin option.' BTW, my track record crushes your 'experts' -- so I don't find them very impressive... just gassy.
1
The radio-head is dull -- green -- and is not asking salient questions. Time to replace.
1
The general is a poor historian -- or he misspoke himself. The blast forensics don't favor the Russian truck IED explanation. Such a detonation would've shredded the other vehicles -- which didn't happen. Instead, the blast came up from the water. So it's due to Special Forces emplaced explosives or some drone boat directed by Star Link, with the latter much more likely. The Russians still have one rail line in good working order. It's already been tested. It'll go back into service PDQ. The working line will allow railroad repair cranes to haul off the damaged carriages. The season is turning foul -- so proper repairs may require waiting until late Spring.
1
But Germany is NOT experiencing a huge economic contraction. What's got Europe on edge: RELIGION. The theology of Global Warming -- greatly aided by the KGB some decades ago -- is bearing fruit. The moment Germany and Britain turn back to coal -- their nightmares are over. But Warmist theology demands that this not be done.
1
@j.p.ijsblok5304 The CRITICAL techniques are trade secrets -- and often lie inside the heads of key employees -- the guys that created them. In all of these years, non-Americans have found it brutally difficult to get inside the club. There are major players in Europe, true. But... it turns out that the Big Ones own American oil firms as subsidiaries. (BP, Shell) What is going on? The primary educational institution for the oil & gas industry is the University of Oklahoma. It's the Oxford/Harvard of those boys. (You'd be shocked as to how many Arabs attend.) This is the nexus of the industry. To be a real somebody -- you need to be an Oklahoma graduate. It's the knowledge base, from American drilling, that advances the art... ever since Drake in 1859. Yeah, before the Civil War. The Americans have been first in just about everything. The only other players of note: Shell and BP. All others are either dependent or laggards -- or both.
1
@grantchallinor5263 The price has fallen to ~ $95/bbl. At 40% off -- that's ~ $60/bbl -- before transport expenses -- which have just exploded. For Putin ~ $60/bbl is painfully low. But, the REAL kicker for Putin is not revenue received -- it's those sanctioned (critical) imports -- think microchips. Not obtaining them has shut down his tank factories, his SU-57 production, .... It's even throttled his production of Renault knock-offs. (Russians now have to settle for castrated automobiles.) We're getting reports that non-critical expenditures ( ie non-foods ) have collapsed in sales. Putin has driven his society into poverty. That vector is only intensifying.
1
@wessexdruid7598 Biden over-ruled his SecDef and the Pentagon. That's WHY the abandonment was so chaotic... very un-military. By why would anyone take a critique from an English pagan ? LOL. BTW, Trump tried to get out of Syria -- the US has as many guys there as Afghanistan. The Press never ever brought that up. The Pentagon and State Department were against getting out of Syria -- and simply LIED to Trump -- straight through his administration. Only at the end, days in front of the election (2020) did a die hard Democrat come public with how he'd absolutely F'd Trump -- lied to keep 2,500 troops in Syria. THIS is what Trump was talking about: the Deep State. Congress never authorized ANYTHING WRT to Syria -- just Iraq and Afghanistan. So, thank you 0bama. JV team, indeed.
1
@mattdonna9677 So... Then Biden poisoned the well? The fact remains that the Pentagon was ALWAYS against withdrawal. It was hardly alone. MANY a career had been made blowing money in Afghanistan -- mission creep is the term. The Pentagon never took Trump's dead line seriously. If it had, then the Pentagon would HAVE TO HAVE begun pulling the boys out even before Trump left office. The Pentagon avoided pulling out of Syria, too. It had as many guys in Syria as it did in Afghanistan. Folks, these deployments become 'self-licking ice cream cones.' The Deep State feeds on them. The Federal budget is glutted with self-licking ice cream cones. Stuff that started out as a Grand Idea devolves into just a money hustle.
1
@wessexdruid7598 Now THAT'S alternate reality. The Deep State fell into ranks to stop Trump. One is reminded of Andrew Jackson. The parallels are there -- much beyond red hair.
1
@cardboardboxification It's impossible to negotiate with Putin, Adolf or Napoleon. For all three: what's theirs is theirs -- what's yours is theirs. 'Nuff said.
1
@cardboardboxification You are not allowed to invent history. Ukraine had NO political independence under the USSR. There never was an anti-Stalinist Ukrainian army. Vlasov was a Bolshevik. However, Stalin hung him out to dry. Furious, Vlasov flipped sides. (A habit he could not shake, BTW.)
1
@olafkunert3714 Wrong. Rail roads appear to be easy to destroy -- but WWII showed that such is not so. They can be repaired as fast as they can be destroyed. Then it gets down to cost: is destruction cheaper than repair. For Putin the answer is flatly NO. A precision guided missile is vastly more expensive than sleepers and track. Its construction uses highly trained and intelligent labor. Track repair requires virtually untrained grunt labor. Only a few foremen need do all of thinking. Your second paragraph is so nonsensical that I can't respond. Obviously, a de-industrialized Ukraine would be a nation dedicated to poverty. It's what Morgenthau intended for post-war Germany. BTW, the Russian Army is centered entirely around rail based logistics. Consequently, we are now witnessing a 'railroad war.' Both nations are going after each other's rail grid. Ukraine is using, largely, howitzers and trick ops. Putin is using deep strikes with missiles. Both are effective, but Putin's missile expenditure is costing him dearly. Olaf, study up. BTW, drop the whole 'land bridge' nonsense. Putin wants all the marbles -- period. He already had twin bridges into Crimea, rail and road. The 'land bridge' pitch is for the proles. Putin is simply not for 'turning.' This should be evident to the whole world -- by now.
1
George nailed it straight off. Nukes are a no-no for Putin -- because Xi does not them to be used -- neither does Modi. Putin REALLY crossed himself up. Finland + Sweden => NATO. Ukraine as a de facto NATO allied power. When the dust settles, Belarus will eject the Russian Empire -- it's no federation.
1
@tommyodonovan3883 Bad dialogue from an overweight actor.
1
Biden & Coy delayed aid -- and have stalled EVERY last item from M-1 tanks to F-16 fighters. Biden delays occurred BEFORE the GOP attained the gavel. Speaker Johnson is the true reason that Zelenskyy has attack'ems -- long range -- even now. He wrote that provision into law. THIS is the reason that attack'ems are firing off so rapidly. Congress, not Biden, gave ALL of the old attack'ems to Zelenskyy.
1
Putin can't survive peace. It's that simple.
1
@pauldean8638 WWI.
1
Look at his uniform. He is already a Marshal.
1
@davidcurry4433 It needs money to fund its economy. Red China will sell -- IF PAID. It's quite astonishing how many items are on the shelf -- sourced from Red China. (Walmart does it, too.) Europe is STILL selling to Russia -- just not war goods -- or dual use goods. Stuff like medicine -- Putin will need plenty for his wounded troops. Putin still needs to pump Big Money to his cronies. BMWs and Mercedes are not sanctioned, AFAIK.
1
@davidcurry4433 Tyrant is a nonsense term if ever applied to an elected politician. Fake elections, in this regard, don't count. So, Putin IS a tyrant. He's the guy who puts you in prison for 15-years if you state that Russia is at war -- tyranny -- open and shut. You are you currying favor with Putin ?
1
@davidcurry4433 I'll let the courts decide. It's obvious that you've ALREADY tried him -- and found him innocent. AFAIK, he hasn't even been formally charged at court. Instead, mere warrants have been issued. Even a traffic citation is a warrant to appear. The government's case is shaky enough that a solid attorney may have the charges thrown out. Jullian has never answered yea or nay to the charges. Instead, Julian acts all the world like a man with a very guilty mind. But a defendants mental opinion can't convict him. It does say something that Obama wanted his person. He could've easily granted Julian a pardon without justification. Greenwald et. al have made the plea. Trump was just as insistent, as is Biden. Everything points to Julian getting American 'assets' murdered in the field. I'm sure that the government will contend that he abetted such a crime by way of reckless disregard for human life. The 'story' the exposé was more important to him. He's THAT narcissistic. I'd also say that he's figured all of the above out. In British, American and Australian law, manslaughter would be the charge -- and 25-years could be the sentence... depending upon aggravating factors. One factor: Julian has no track record of exposing Putin, his cronies, or the Kremlin. This absolutely kills his 'impartial media status.' Many of his exposés were cut-outs for Russian anti-American agitprop. A lot of the naughty stuff committed by contractors in Iraq could've been prosecuted. But not after Julian went global. He made legal pursuit impossible, for he had 'tried' the perps in the press. This legal standard is exactly why you always hear the Press declaring someone as an ALLEGED perp. Julian didn't adhere to THE conventional legal standard required of the Press: to not prejudice a case, ruin the rights of a defendant. Naturally, now JULIAN wants the right of the defendant protected -- because he's IT. Suddenly, he got religion. Greenwald, et. al defend Julian -- and ignore the body count -- which spans years. Because of Julian, no end of perps have been able to walk free. Instead, the blame for the violent misdeeds of the few are laid across the entire American polity -- if not culture. Moscow is thrilled. One can not doubt that Julian was warned off by the Kremlin lest he get any ideas about exposing its crime family. He obeyed. That harshes his defense.
1
Putin's situation is so dire he'll probably lose his throne before January 20. Ukraine now has strategic reach with its drones -- and Russia is a LARGE target-rich nation that has been repeatedly struck.
1
It's not Putin -- it's in the nature of Islam. Islam is driving the mullahs -- who ARE the significant voice in the ummah, not Putin.
1
Drone warfare has made ALL pre-2022 tanks, APCs, IFVs obsolete. That includes the West's best stuff. A $10,000,000 machine can be easily destroyed by a $2,500 drone and a kid playing a video game.
1
No. That's not it. The West can't afford to give Putin what he wants: a Russian crusade against NATO for national survival. For sure, that's how Putin would frame things. Washington, London, et. al have no say in what Kyiv does with its OWN weapons -- the stuff it manufactures. If you recall, Zelenskyy has already attacked Belgorod. (helicopter strike) Kyiv used its own stuff to great effect. Lastly, this war will be decided by Kremlin politics -- as in Putin will be sent packing. Dictators have glass jaws. Il Duce was done in by military reverses. The Tsar was done in by military fiascos. It's historically common. Saddam Hussein was exceptional. 1991 should've done him in.
1
Trump has already been president -- and things worked out very, very well. The Jan6 opera was staged by Pelosi. Speaker Johnson's releases are making that very clear.
1
Putler is just playing for time -- same as Adolf in 1944. Imagine sending wounded -- not healed -- troops back into the front line. (!!!!!) This is actually happening right now -- videos up on the Web.
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Putin is as a narco-baron -- with plenty of cash -- but no-one will sell to him the stuff he wants. (Banknotes are piling up in his back bedroom.) Putin never bought weapons from the outside. Rather, Russia bought sub-components (microchips and microchip assemblies) to incorporate. His key supplier was Siemens -- and they have cut him off. The equation was simple: sell to America or Russia. What a touch decision that was! Everyone is wasting their energies WRT gas and oil. It's the sanctions -- EMBARGOES -- that are crippling Putin. He wants payment in rubles to force Europeans to begin selling stuff to him -- the stuff he really, really, really needs, of course. But, no European manufacturer is willing to trade away all of their NATO customers to obtain Putin's blessing. Putin's two big tank plants are on hiatus -- shut down -- probably semi-permanently. Their employees were STRONGLY encouraged to enlist in the ranks. (!)
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You've missed the plot Carsten. Putin WANTS NATO to attack Russia. Putin WANTS to take his war all the way up the scale -- to nuclear confrontation with NATO. In such an event, BIDEN would be the key decision maker. (Putin regards France and Britain as atomic jokes. Yeah, he's that crazy.) Shudder at the thought.
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@timmiller6868 American inflation is largely due to Biden's zany economics. Turkey's insane inflation is entirely due to Erdogan's crazed economic policies. Putin's folly, his rampage, is but a trivial factor... essentially none for the American economy. At a global scale, today's inflation is a consequence of the CCP (bio-warfare) virus. (Yes, it killed its creators... and seems likely to destroy the CCP -- eventually.) [ This is called: 'blow-back.' ] Governments, everywhere, tried to paper over the catastrophe with fiat money. Doing so actually worked. Yet now, we have a global hang-over. All of that fiat floating around has shifted the price structure -- everywhere.
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I don't know how Putin can survive through Christmas. The way things break -- is always faster than anyone can imagine. I give you the Berlin Wall and the end of the Iron Curtain. I give you the Russian Revolutions of 1917 and of 1991. While I did predict the latter -- to the day -- six-months prior -- such insight is rare.
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Europe is too far north for 'renewables' -- her only shot is atomic power. Naturally, for religious purposes, this is the last thing Europeans can accept.
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@genghisthegreat2034 Totally untrue. Gates has seen the light: windpower is an economic black hole. PV can work -- IF the climate co-operates. But, Germany, et. al are too cloudy. PV is just too sketchy to be economic for Europe. Tidal is pretty consistent. It's just insufficient -- and it's not cheap -- not at all. It also is cyclic -- straight through the day. This will obviously, never change. It'd actually make more sense for Germany, et. al to establish huge solar power farms in North Africa -- and just import energy -- same as oil. Transmuting solar power into hydrogen gas -- if the cost could be made economic -- would be very scalable. Europe's real play is atomic power. The French had it right -- until Hollande opened his big yap. Macron is having to walk-back Hollande's folly... kicking and screaming every step of the way. This is what happens when you let (pagan) religion dictate economic policy. Putting Gaia first has a brutal cost.
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Ukrainian soldiers are hardened, the Russians are in a state of rigor mortis.
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@rjjcms1 With Trump you're hearing electioneering blather. Famously, FDR ran on reversing Hoover's policies -- across the board. (1932) When in office, FDR double-downed on Hoover's policies. (1933) Popular histories utterly omit his flip -- and the dramatic turn of Democratic policies into Republican policies. Instead, the pop history still is that FDR changed things, which corrected the GOP. In 1932, Hoover was being harangued for spending TOO much Federal money -- for running a deficit. (!) And the primary accuser was FDR. Cute.
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@rjjcms1 Don't be surprised if it turns out that Trump orders Putin out of Ukraine -- de facto. In a year's time, the Russian army will have been de-fanged... by Putin. The heating crisis -- across all of Russia -- spells revolution come the Spring. Decades ago, I predicted a Soviet revolution in mid-August -- the moment the Gulf War ended. (1991) I predicted Nixon would be driven from office. (May, 1971) Strangely, both things happened. And, you're reading the short version of my spew.
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You're making 'history' up. Please stop. Nixon ended the draft. Period. BTW, the US had MORE draft resistance during WWII than Vietnam. (General Hershey) He ran the system in BOTH wars, BTW. In WWII, resistors got NO publicity. In WWII -- the farm deferment was used and abused; in Vietnam -- the college deferment was used and abused.
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Did she really say 40-generals died ? Last I heard, the count was ~ seven generals.
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But what about Kofi Annan? Saddam bought him.
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Boris Johnson gave Zelenskyy Harpoon missiles more than a month ago -- on paper. No news since. Denmark has given more harpoons, just the other day. Harpoon missiles are delivered from land, sea and air. To drive the Black Sea fleet back into port, the priority must be to modify Sukoi and Mig jets to carry same. Putin's surface fleet has no counter to the Harpoon. The primary ship designed to frustrate the Harpoon lies at the bottom of the Black Sea. I figure that the UNGA will get Turkey to stop Putin's grain exports, and all else, unless Ukraine's grain can transit, too. The straits will still be blocked against military and ordinary cargoes of Ukraine. Putin, with some arm-twisting, will be able to live with such a deal. Mega-starvation will not win him allies in the UNGA.
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@DragnisThe1st I've never heard the good news: are they now operational ? If they are, one would think that Sevastopol would be out of business.
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No, electric scooters have already appeared -- on the front line, no less.
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@pynn1000 The word is that Paris now wants ALL of its atomic plants up and running -- PDQ. One a week is too slow. Of course, inter-ties with Italy and Germany already exist. Every Watt France produces can be sold, wholesale or retail. Carbon dioxide is not pollution -- it's gaseous plant fertilizer. About 10% of global crop yields exist because of today's elevated carbon dioxide (partial pressure) in the atmosphere. This is easy to prove in a laboratory setting. NASA figured out the math sixty-years ago. Today's atmosphere is at nearly all time lows for carbon dioxide -- on a geological time scale. Most plant species have died out because they could not compete at today's low partial pressures. They only exist in the fossil record -- usually in coal seams. Carbon dioxide makes up the physicality of all plants. (It's the carbo in carbohydrates.) It is not the source of plant released oxygen. That comes exclusively from water. ( This has been known for seventy-years.) The West is not going to destroy the planet in the short space of time required to get past Putin.
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@AlessandroTheCynical Nope. That's working out rather well. When Europe handled things -- look at centuries past -- disaster was at every step. The essence of NATO is that Europe CAN'T handle its own war affairs. The proofs are in history books.
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@TheDisinformationProjectNz The invasion and conquest is a Russian project -- orchestrated by a serial murderer, war monger and imperialist-racist. It's played in the key of death.
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She's wholly incorrect WRT North Koreans breaking a barrier. Iran sent ITS technician/officers to Crimea so as to train Russians WRT Shaheed drones... more than a year ago. They were also immediately taken out by long range, precision, strikes. She forgot about that event, obviously.
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American MLRS will terminate Putin's latest battle tactics. They will remove Russian artillery from the battle space, PDQ.
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Ukraine is winning, hands down, its independence from Moscow. As America, Canada, and India can say, independence is no small thing. Nations do rebuild, their populations do recover. At the end, the Russian Empire is destined to go into the dustbin of history. The center cannot hold. Red China will follow to the same end. Tibet, Mongolia, Xinjiang are NOT Han cultures. BTW, northeast Red China belongs in Korea. Have you ever wondered how North Koreans can hide in plain sight in northeast China? Both sides of the Han river speak the same language and are of the same ethnicity. DNA proves it so. Red China has THAT many tongues -- under one written language.
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Rail roads make that distance evaporate. That's why rail roads are the logistical fulcrum of modern war. Putin's invasion is 'culminating.' He's having to slap together BTGs -- now at a fraction of their TO&E -- to get anything done -- at all. His Donbass campaign was supposed to move from Izyum towards the south. Now it's going east-west... the wrong way, really. What the maps don't show, can't show, is that Putin's crew is being bled white. That's why Syrians, Chechens, Wagner, et. al are in the soup.
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@JamesC785 Putin's crew breaks through -- and stops -- same as that of Stalin. This points to a crippled logistical arm. Now that Putin is crossing rivers aplenty, things can't get better. I have little doubt that the UA is not leaving any functioning rail bridges or switch yards. Of the latter, all seem to be battlefields. Putin has to destroy the very asset he's wanting. If the West were to up-grade Zelenskyy's air force with smart bombs, Putin would be in a world of hurt. He HAS TO supply his boys via rail: he has no where near enough trucks. The rail bridge at the Isthmus of Perekop is just begging for attention. (Forget the Kerch Bridges.)
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@JamesC785 There is a rail bridge there just begging to be dropped. There is no technical reason that the Migs that Zelenskyy has couldn't haul smart bombs to the target. Some of the latest don't even need cockpit instrumentation. Just preload the required GPS co-ordinates -- and drop. (The preload would be performed before take-off.) The latest stuff does not even require a pilot to fly all that close to the target. From altitude, the bomb will simply slide over -- and go boom. The West could supply Zelenskyy with self-homing air-to-air missiles. I can't believe that some sort of modification can't be engineered on the fly by the West. (Blue Tooth from Mig to missile ?)
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@JamesC785 There are two exits from Crimea heading north into Ukraine. The one to the east features a railroad bridge. The traditional route into Crimea is to the west. This is the one used during WWII by both Nazis and Bolsheviks. At its closest, it runs about 7kM wide. (from memory) The railroad bridge is pretty modern -- ie post WWII -- (IIRC) and was without a doubt what fed the RA during the first months down south. Once the UA gets close enough, howitzer fires at the Isthmus of Perekop would drive Putin nuts. To stop such a thing, the 58th CAA keeps getting reinforcements. Zelenskyy is also ramping up his troop numbers -- especially to the west of the lower Dnieper. Should Putin ever clear the Donbass, you just know that the Big Push will move to the 58th CAA. This can't happen if the rail grid to the east is systematically disrupted.
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During WWII, Spits & FW190s constantly upped their specs. The dynamic is remarkable, even now. FPV drones are locked in the same tango. BTW, the boys at the front complain (Telegram) that EW defense emissions are in conflict friendly offensive FPV drones to such a degree that 85% are lost! There is simply no co-ordination between the defense and the offense. This situation is exactly why the Donbas is in peril. Now you know.
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True enough. However, NATO is not stirring up Franco-phone Africa -- stealing gold -- and inciting military juntas at every turn.
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Red China is in MORE debt trouble than any other power. Joe Blogs, China Uncensored goes into the facts. The numbers are terrifying.
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duncan smith Putin has declared that he wants the Russian Empire back.
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Biden & Coy delayed aid -- and have stalled EVERY last item from M-1 tanks to F-16 fighters. Biden delays occurred BEFORE the GOP attained the gavel. Speaker Johnson is the true reason that Zelenskyy has attack'ems -- long range -- even now. He wrote that provision into law. THIS is the reason that attack'ems are firing off so rapidly. Congress, not Biden, gave ALL of the old attack'ems to Zelenskyy.
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Lord Dannatt is nuts. The war will continue until Putin is GONE. There is no negotiating with Putin. Same as was true for Napoleon and Adolf. Putin is NOT for stopping. As for pulling out: Kyiv has already told the world that an ordered withdrawal has been ordered.
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Russia is not a 'terrorist state.' It's a BARBARIAN state. In its original, (French Revolutionary meaning) 'terrorism' was practiced by Napoleon and Coy against French civilians. It's NOT a creation of anarchist, non-state, actors. Putin, Adolf, Stalin, et al, practice BARBARIANISM. They drive totally degenerate societies that are utterly lawless -- which carries on beyond their nationally recognized borders, infamously so.
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Bill is -- fundamentally -- wrong. Russia is folding up -- as I type -- due to real world sanctions -- not financial sanctions. 1) The Russian national railroad has lost 20% of its rolling stock because sanctions have thwarted routine maintenance. 2) Putin has been forced to re-engineer -- backwards -- to 1970s military tech -- because he can't get imported chips. This is underway, currently. 3) The micro-chip sanctions mean that Putin can't replace the smart weapons (Kalibur) when they are used. Putin's (still huge) war chest means that financial sanctions will not have any meaningful effect for twelve-months. He only needs (Western) money if he's trading with the West. Sanctions by the West mean that his money hunger has evaporated. Now, Putin only needs money to feed Red China... by far his largest counter-trading partner. Internally, Putin can crank out fiat currency to suit demand -- mostly -- his. The ruble is disconnected with all hard currencies, already.
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Russia coughs up Putin's so-called gains when Putin is demoted. The geopolitical 'logic' advanced in this video belongs in the 19th Century. Russia is losing its tuchas -- strategically. Moscow is becoming a vassal of Beijing by way of Putin's project. Napoleon and Adolf proved that you can conquer astounding amounts of turf -- and not hang on to any of it. Putin is in a bind: he dares not call up levée en masse. That would end his regime. His deceptions would be exposed. Right now, Putin's resorted down to tricking Russians into volunteering. That gambit can't really scale up -- well. For a polity in demographic free-fall, Russia can't afford any casualties -- at all. As for equipment, Putin is putting 60-year old tanks (T-62s) back into military service. (!!!)
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Heads-up: the M-R Pact was a contract for war... nothing like what Putin & Xi had in mind. Yeltsin gave the game away: He, in front of the whole world's press, coughed up the documents. The ENTIRE idea sprang from the Bolsheviks: They would induce the idiot to attack west -- while they would scoop up the east. Finland, Poland -- ( just pieces) the Baltics, and more, all fell into Stalin's hands -- well before Adolf moved west. Remember? Adolf was supposed to burn himself out -- WW1 2.0 -- and then Stalin was supposed to waltz in the back door... All the way to Portugal, in fact. But in 1940, France & Coy collapsed. So, by 1941, Adolf swung east, using no END of French military gear, BTW. Oops. ( Start with trucks & trains. )
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Lie4052 -- NATO members have standardized their ammo -- going way back -- because of logistics. The 'training' pitch is just a political whitewash. Everything from HIMARS on over is EASIER to use than ever. Example: three centuries ago, a musket required over forty-steps to reload. Today, one throws in a clip. This type of advance occurs across the board in EVERY weapon system. HIMARS uses touch screens to aim and fire -- from the cab. It's reloaded by the 'clip' -- ie pod. Caesar and the others use tiny crews. Sophistication is only required by the repair crews -- not the warrior crews. As I type, the UA is gutting Putin's ammo dumps... spectacularly so. The USA is spooling up its idled ammo plants. These are enormous -- and the US has dozens. Their shells must travel by ship.
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The terror is INTERNAL revolution.
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The boys so 'mobilized' will be given chit tasks in the army. For them, the RA will be a prison without walls... a total nightmare.
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Because it wouldn't stop there -- and because a military reverse is quite likely to be the end of Putin.
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@eugenmalatov5470 Diplomatic pressure will resolve grain shipments. Putin is infuriating the entire 3rd World. Kyiv doesn't need the money. America has its back, billions in general government to government aid mean that Zelenskyy is solvent without shipping a kernel. The losers are those hoping to eat this Winter. Ukraine can't possibly exhaust its manpower. Zelenskyy has a 5:1 manpower edge -- right now. And he's just getting started. His problem is not men -- it still is equipment. He needs so much that it HAS to come by ship -- from America. No other power on Earth has the amounts (with quality) that Zelenskyy needs. If Trump were president - everything would be flowing like a river. But Biden is a go-along guy. Putin knows this -- everyone knows it. It's WHY Putin attacked. Putin is counting on Biden to flake out like Scholz and Macron -- certified flakes -- both of them. Putin's problem is that he has gotten everything wrong. The Pentagon is now in charge. Congress has ALREADY opened the flood-gate with Lend-Lease. Biden is just going to step back and go with the flow -- same as he's always done. Biden is a 'reasoning' politician -- read that to mean 'calculating' politician. This is EXACTLY the kind of pol that Putin loves to play with. Trump was, and remains, quite unpredictable -- and un-bribe-able -- just too damn rich. No wonder the Beltway hates his guts. It's also why Putin was afraid of Trump. One thing you can predict: the GOP will impeach Biden in 2023 -- if nothing else -- to return the insults visited upon Trump. Am I the only one to note the revolving doors at the top of the G7? If Putin could do it -- he would be doing it.
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Where in the world have you been hearing THAT ? I haven't heard anyone predicting imminent collapse -- except Western generals WRT Ukraine. Boy, were they wrong !
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@Irishprice1 Nope. You're out of date. Further, Kyiv high command is in constant communication with London and Washington. Half of all GMLRS coordinates are coming down from satellites... the rest from partisan finks. The West now acknowledges Ukrainian artillery to be at the front rank of professionalism... teaching even the Pentagon some tricks. The Ukrainians are also world-class 'drone artists.' Their Soviet era kit is being burned out by usage... replaced by NATO standard heavy weapons. This is what happened during the Kharkiv Counter-Offensive.
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Xi's role has been that of backdoor chips.
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@a.brekkan4965 It's PUTIN who guarantees victory -- for Ukraine -- he's THAT bad. Like Adolf, he's calling the big shots.
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Another non-scientist blathering on about atomic reactors and what can go wrong.
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@keithroy9217 Yep. That stuff must be ancient.
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@peace-now Putin still has totally unrealistic -- and rather unlimited -- goals. He still can't bear to negotiate with Zelenskyy as, ipso facto, he'd be recognizing Ukraine as a nation state. THAT'S why Putin can't negotiate... can't pick-up Zelenskyy's phone call. Putin has cornered himself in a diplomatic box of his own making. We're not looking at a stalemate. Instead, a 'whimpering culmination' is directly at hand. BTW, as the war goes on, Putin is losing his spies and agents within Ukraine -- at an alarming tempo to Putin. Some of these traitors must have the IQ of a bread box. They've been using their cell phones to link to their masters. Such dolts don't even need interrogation. Their phone records are damning -- and proof of treason.
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@khiem1939 Follow the news. He didn't. The trick missiles were never part of the deal. The basic package is going ahead, of course. The word is that the first machines have already arrived in theater.
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